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381  Economy / Auctions / Advertise on this forum - Round 314 on: July 15, 2020, 11:31:49 PM
The forum sells ad space in the area beneath the first post of every topic page. This income is used primarily to cover hosting costs and to pay moderators for their work (there are many moderators, so each moderator gets only a small amount -- moderators should be seen as volunteers, not employees). Any leftover amount is typically either saved for future expenses or otherwise reinvested into the forum or the ecosystem.

There are 10 total ad slots which are randomly rotated. So one ad slot has a one in ten chance of appearing. Nine of the slots are for sale here. Ads appear only on topic pages with more than one post. Hero/Legendary members, Donators, VIPs, and moderators have the ability to disable ads; these people don't increase the impression stats for your ads.

Design & ad restrictions

Ad text may not contain lies, misrepresentation, or inappropriate language. Ads may not link directly to any NSFW page. No ICOs[1], loggable mixers[2], banks, funds, or anything that a person can be said to "invest" in; I may very rarely make exceptions if you convince me that you are ultra legit, but don't count on it. Ads may be rejected for other reasons, and I may remove ads even after they are accepted.

See the ad design rules for info on designing forum ads.

When advertising a new service, you should always check with me in advance whether your service is OK. I will sometimes accept bids of people who don't do this, but such people are taking the risk of being rejected at the last minute. It's also a good idea for you to have me check your ad's HTML+CSS in advance, especially if this is your first time advertising.

Duration

- Your ads are guaranteed to be up for at least 7 days.
- I usually try to keep ads up for no more than 11 days.
- Sometimes ads might be up for longer, but hopefully no longer than 12 days. Even if past rounds sometimes lasted for long periods of time, you should not rely on this for your ads.

Stats

Exact historical impression counts per slot:
https://bitcointalk.org/adrotate.php?adstats

Info about the current ad slots:
https://bitcointalk.org/adrotate.php?adinfo

Auction rules

New members are likely to have their bids rejected unless they PM me first, telling me what they're going to advertise. New members might also be required to pay some amount in advance. Additionally, if you have never purchased forum ad space before, and it is not blatantly obvious what you're going to advertise, say what you're going to advertise in your first bid, or tell me in a PM.

Post your bids in this thread. Prices must be stated in BTC per slot. You must state the maximum number of slots you want. When the auction ends, the highest bidders will have their slots filled until all nine slots are filled.

So if someone bids for 9 slots @ 0.5 BTC and this is the highest bid, then he'll get all 9 slots. If the two highest bids are 9 slots @ 0.4 BTC and 1 slot @ 0.5 BTC, then the first person will get 8 slots and the second person will get 1 slot.

The notation "2 @ 0.5" means 2 slots for 0.5 BTC each. Not 2 slots for 0.5 BTC total.

- When you post a bid, the bids in your previous posts are considered to be automatically canceled. You can put multiple bids in one post, however, like "5 @ 0.1 and 1 @ 0.5".
- All bid prices must be evenly divisible by 0.01.
- The bidding starts at 0.01.
- I will end the auction at an arbitrary time. Unless I say otherwise, I typically try to end auctions within a few days of 10 days from the time of this post, but unexpected circumstances may sometimes force me to end the auction anytime between 4 and 22 days from the start.
- If two people bid at the same price, the person who bid first will have his slots filled first.

If these rules are confusing, look at some of the past forum ad auctions to see how it's done.

I reserve the right to reject bids, even days after the bid is made.

Price flattening

At the end of the auction, after the winning bids are all determined, I will do a "price flattening" operation. This has no effect on which bids actually win. For each bid, in order of lowest to greatest price/slot, I will reduce each bid's price/slot to the highest value which is equal to or only the minimum increment greater than the next-lower bid. This allows you to bid higher prices without worrying so much, but you still mustn't bid more than you're willing to pay. Example:

Code:
This:
Slots  BTC/Slot  Person
    6      0.20       A
    1      0.16       B
    1      0.08       C
    1      0.08       D

Becomes:
Slots  BTC/Slot  Person
    6      0.10       A [step 4: reduced to 0.09+0.01=0.10]
    1      0.09       B [step 3: reduced to 0.08+0.01=0.09]
    1      0.08       C [step 2: same as the next-lowest, unchanged]
    1      0.08       D [step 1: the lowest bid is always unchanged]

Payment, etc.

You must pay for your slots within 24 hours of receiving the payment address. Otherwise your slots may be sold to someone else, and I might even give you a negative trust rating. I will send you the payment information via forum PM from this account ("theymos", user ID 35) after announcing the auction results in this thread. You might receive false payment information from scammers pretending to be me. They might even have somewhat similar usernames. Be careful.

[1]: For the purposes of forum ads, an ICO is any token, altcoin, or other altcoin-like thing which meets any of the following criteria: it is primarily run/backed by a company; it is substantially, fundamentally centralized in either operation or coin distribution; or it is not yet possible for two unprivileged users of the system to send coins directly to each other in a P2P way. The intention here is to allow community efforts to advertise things like Litecoin, but not to allow ICO funding, even when the ICO is disguised in various ways.
[2]: A loggable mixer is a service marketed primarily for improving transaction privacy which accepts full custody of cryptocurrency for a time and has the technical ability to log where the cryptocurrency comes from and goes to (even if they promise not to log).
382  Economy / Auctions / Re: Advertise on this forum - Round 313 on: July 15, 2020, 11:30:03 PM
Auction ended, final result:
Slots BTC/Slot Person
1 0.09 Dsdaq
1 0.08 cat_rush
5 0.08 DogecoinMachine
2 0.08 sportsbet.io

383  Economy / Auctions / Re: Advertise on this forum - Round 313 on: July 15, 2020, 01:22:42 PM
9 @0.2

I'm not going to accept your bids.

cat_rush and Dsdaq are both approved. Current auction status:
Slots BTC/Slot Person
1 0.08 cat_rush
5 0.08 DogecoinMachine
3 0.08 sportsbet.io


The auction continues.
384  Economy / Auctions / Re: Advertise on this forum - Round 313 on: July 14, 2020, 04:55:28 PM
9 @ 0.1

I will not accept advertising for hex.win.

1@ 0.08

These bids may be rejected - I'm waiting for more info.

Current auction status:
Slots BTC/Slot Person
1 0.08 cat_rush **TENTATIVE
5 0.08 DogecoinMachine
3 0.08 sportsbet.io
1 0.08 Dsdaq **TENTATIVE
1 0.07 BetBTC

(More than 9 slots are included above due to the possibility of one or both tentative bids being rejected.)

The auction continues.
385  Other / Meta / Re: Chinese National Security law on: July 13, 2020, 11:50:31 PM
Bitcointalk.org is not subject to Hong Kong / China jurisdiction, so would not be required to produce data in any case. If some police wants data without a subpoena, they have to convince me that a serious non-victimless crime (eg. scamming) probably occurred. I certainly wouldn't help them if it looks like they're going after political enemies.

But if you're in Hong Kong or other dangerous places and you're worried about this, then you shouldn't trust anyone to protect you: not me, not anyone. Use Tor everywhere, and on bitcointalk.org practice the privacy-enhancing measures mentioned on the privacy page.
386  Economy / Auctions / Advertise on this forum - Round 313 on: July 02, 2020, 09:18:27 PM
The forum sells ad space in the area beneath the first post of every topic page. This income is used primarily to cover hosting costs and to pay moderators for their work (there are many moderators, so each moderator gets only a small amount -- moderators should be seen as volunteers, not employees). Any leftover amount is typically either saved for future expenses or otherwise reinvested into the forum or the ecosystem.

There are 10 total ad slots which are randomly rotated. So one ad slot has a one in ten chance of appearing. Nine of the slots are for sale here. Ads appear only on topic pages with more than one post. Hero/Legendary members, Donators, VIPs, and moderators have the ability to disable ads; these people don't increase the impression stats for your ads.

Design & ad restrictions

Ad text may not contain lies, misrepresentation, or inappropriate language. Ads may not link directly to any NSFW page. No ICOs[1], loggable mixers[2], banks, funds, or anything that a person can be said to "invest" in; I may very rarely make exceptions if you convince me that you are ultra legit, but don't count on it. Ads may be rejected for other reasons, and I may remove ads even after they are accepted.

See the ad design rules for info on designing forum ads.

When advertising a new service, you should always check with me in advance whether your service is OK. I will sometimes accept bids of people who don't do this, but such people are taking the risk of being rejected at the last minute. It's also a good idea for you to have me check your ad's HTML+CSS in advance, especially if this is your first time advertising.

Duration

- Your ads are guaranteed to be up for at least 7 days.
- I usually try to keep ads up for no more than 11 days.
- Sometimes ads might be up for longer, but hopefully no longer than 12 days. Even if past rounds sometimes lasted for long periods of time, you should not rely on this for your ads.

Stats

Exact historical impression counts per slot:
https://bitcointalk.org/adrotate.php?adstats

Info about the current ad slots:
https://bitcointalk.org/adrotate.php?adinfo

Auction rules

New members are likely to have their bids rejected unless they PM me first, telling me what they're going to advertise. New members might also be required to pay some amount in advance. Additionally, if you have never purchased forum ad space before, and it is not blatantly obvious what you're going to advertise, say what you're going to advertise in your first bid, or tell me in a PM.

Post your bids in this thread. Prices must be stated in BTC per slot. You must state the maximum number of slots you want. When the auction ends, the highest bidders will have their slots filled until all nine slots are filled.

So if someone bids for 9 slots @ 0.5 BTC and this is the highest bid, then he'll get all 9 slots. If the two highest bids are 9 slots @ 0.4 BTC and 1 slot @ 0.5 BTC, then the first person will get 8 slots and the second person will get 1 slot.

The notation "2 @ 0.5" means 2 slots for 0.5 BTC each. Not 2 slots for 0.5 BTC total.

- When you post a bid, the bids in your previous posts are considered to be automatically canceled. You can put multiple bids in one post, however, like "5 @ 0.1 and 1 @ 0.5".
- All bid prices must be evenly divisible by 0.01.
- The bidding starts at 0.01.
- I will end the auction at an arbitrary time. Unless I say otherwise, I typically try to end auctions within a few days of 10 days from the time of this post, but unexpected circumstances may sometimes force me to end the auction anytime between 4 and 22 days from the start.
- If two people bid at the same price, the person who bid first will have his slots filled first.

If these rules are confusing, look at some of the past forum ad auctions to see how it's done.

I reserve the right to reject bids, even days after the bid is made.

Price flattening

At the end of the auction, after the winning bids are all determined, I will do a "price flattening" operation. This has no effect on which bids actually win. For each bid, in order of lowest to greatest price/slot, I will reduce each bid's price/slot to the highest value which is equal to or only the minimum increment greater than the next-lower bid. This allows you to bid higher prices without worrying so much, but you still mustn't bid more than you're willing to pay. Example:

Code:
This:
Slots  BTC/Slot  Person
    6      0.20       A
    1      0.16       B
    1      0.08       C
    1      0.08       D

Becomes:
Slots  BTC/Slot  Person
    6      0.10       A [step 4: reduced to 0.09+0.01=0.10]
    1      0.09       B [step 3: reduced to 0.08+0.01=0.09]
    1      0.08       C [step 2: same as the next-lowest, unchanged]
    1      0.08       D [step 1: the lowest bid is always unchanged]

Payment, etc.

You must pay for your slots within 24 hours of receiving the payment address. Otherwise your slots may be sold to someone else, and I might even give you a negative trust rating. I will send you the payment information via forum PM from this account ("theymos", user ID 35) after announcing the auction results in this thread. You might receive false payment information from scammers pretending to be me. They might even have somewhat similar usernames. Be careful.

[1]: For the purposes of forum ads, an ICO is any token, altcoin, or other altcoin-like thing which meets any of the following criteria: it is primarily run/backed by a company; it is substantially, fundamentally centralized in either operation or coin distribution; or it is not yet possible for two unprivileged users of the system to send coins directly to each other in a P2P way. The intention here is to allow community efforts to advertise things like Litecoin, but not to allow ICO funding, even when the ICO is disguised in various ways.
[2]: A loggable mixer is a service marketed primarily for improving transaction privacy which accepts full custody of cryptocurrency for a time and has the technical ability to log where the cryptocurrency comes from and goes to (even if they promise not to log).
387  Economy / Auctions / Re: Advertise on this forum - Round 312 on: July 02, 2020, 09:15:27 PM
Auction ended, final result:
Slots BTC/Slot Person
3 0.08 Best_Change
4 0.07 ZED.RUN
2 0.07 sportsbet.io
388  Other / Meta / Re: DT update log on: July 01, 2020, 09:55:42 PM
This month 128 users were eligible.

Old:
Code:
theymos
OgNasty
CanaryInTheMine
malevolent
qwk
Vod
Anduck
A-Bolt
mprep
Foxpup
philipma1957
Cyrus
peloso
Welsh
ibminer
TookDk
Timelord2067
figmentofmyass
jeremypwr
by rallier
dbshck
hilariousandco
EcuaMobi
Avirunes
Lydian
mindrust
Lesbian Cow
willi9974
cryptodevil
suchmoon
JayJuanGee
Rmcdermott927
achow101
DaveF
examplens
minerjones
sapta
tmfp
BitcoinPenny
yahoo62278
zazarb
LFC_Bitcoin
o_solo_miner
klarki
LoyceV
actmyname
WhiteManWhite
The Pharmacist
LeGaulois
DarkStar_
asu
eddie13
TheFuzzStone
Jet Cash
condoras
bL4nkcode
Coin_trader
finaleshot2016
xtraelv
crwth
Kryptowerk
bobita
Vispilio
Baofeng
imhoneer
krogothmanhattan
Blacknavy
roycilik
CryptopreneurBrainboss
El duderino_
KTChampions
Steamtyme
bavicrypto
GreatArkansas
Veleor
sheenshane
o_e_l_e_o
3meek
vycl87
logfiles
TheBeardedBaby
tvplus006
gospodin
coinlocket$
dkbit98
witcher_sense
asche
DdmrDdmr
cabalism13
anonymousminer
morvillz7z
Bthd
fillippone
abhiseshakana
madnessteat
Corrosive
TalkStar
efialtis
Ratimov
zasad@

New:
Code:
theymos
HostFat
TECSHARE
OgNasty
malevolent
Balthazar
yxt
qwk
Vod
fronti
mprep
Foxpup
philipma1957
babo
Cyrus
peloso
Welsh
Mitchell
vizique
Timelord2067
yogg
hilariousandco
arulbero
Avirunes
mindrust
buckrogers
Lesbian Cow
willi9974
cryptodevil
suchmoon
JayJuanGee
Rmcdermott927
achow101
DaveF
owlcatz
examplens
nutildah
BitcoinPenny
yahoo62278
Royse777
zazarb
LFC_Bitcoin
sandy-is-fine
klarki
actmyname
WhiteManWhite
LeGaulois
asu
SFR10
TryNinja
bob123
eddie13
johhnyUA
condoras
bL4nkcode
Lafu
Coin_trader
polymerbit
Yatsan
finaleshot2016
xtraelv
crwth
Kryptowerk
Vispilio
Baofeng
krogothmanhattan
JollyGood
Blacknavy
xenon131
roycilik
CryptopreneurBrainboss
El duderino_
KTChampions
Coin-1
bavicrypto
GreatArkansas
sheenshane
3meek
vycl87
logfiles
TheBeardedBaby
tvplus006
coinlocket$
dkbit98
witcher_sense
cabalism13
anonymousminer
morvillz7z
fillippone
taikuri13
abhiseshakana
lovesmayfamilis
DireWolfM14
Corrosive
TalkStar
1miau
YOSHIE
efialtis
Ratimov
zasad@
389  Economy / Auctions / Advertise on this forum - Round 312 on: June 23, 2020, 06:56:50 PM
The forum sells ad space in the area beneath the first post of every topic page. This income is used primarily to cover hosting costs and to pay moderators for their work (there are many moderators, so each moderator gets only a small amount -- moderators should be seen as volunteers, not employees). Any leftover amount is typically either saved for future expenses or otherwise reinvested into the forum or the ecosystem.

There are 10 total ad slots which are randomly rotated. So one ad slot has a one in ten chance of appearing. Nine of the slots are for sale here. Ads appear only on topic pages with more than one post. Hero/Legendary members, Donators, VIPs, and moderators have the ability to disable ads; these people don't increase the impression stats for your ads.

Design & ad restrictions

Ad text may not contain lies, misrepresentation, or inappropriate language. Ads may not link directly to any NSFW page. No ICOs[1], loggable mixers[2], banks, funds, or anything that a person can be said to "invest" in; I may very rarely make exceptions if you convince me that you are ultra legit, but don't count on it. Ads may be rejected for other reasons, and I may remove ads even after they are accepted.

See the ad design rules for info on designing forum ads.

When advertising a new service, you should always check with me in advance whether your service is OK. I will sometimes accept bids of people who don't do this, but such people are taking the risk of being rejected at the last minute. It's also a good idea for you to have me check your ad's HTML+CSS in advance, especially if this is your first time advertising.

Duration

- Your ads are guaranteed to be up for at least 7 days.
- I usually try to keep ads up for no more than 11 days.
- Sometimes ads might be up for longer, but hopefully no longer than 12 days. Even if past rounds sometimes lasted for long periods of time, you should not rely on this for your ads.

Stats

Exact historical impression counts per slot:
https://bitcointalk.org/adrotate.php?adstats

Info about the current ad slots:
https://bitcointalk.org/adrotate.php?adinfo

Auction rules

New members are likely to have their bids rejected unless they PM me first, telling me what they're going to advertise. New members might also be required to pay some amount in advance. Additionally, if you have never purchased forum ad space before, and it is not blatantly obvious what you're going to advertise, say what you're going to advertise in your first bid, or tell me in a PM.

Post your bids in this thread. Prices must be stated in BTC per slot. You must state the maximum number of slots you want. When the auction ends, the highest bidders will have their slots filled until all nine slots are filled.

So if someone bids for 9 slots @ 0.5 BTC and this is the highest bid, then he'll get all 9 slots. If the two highest bids are 9 slots @ 0.4 BTC and 1 slot @ 0.5 BTC, then the first person will get 8 slots and the second person will get 1 slot.

The notation "2 @ 0.5" means 2 slots for 0.5 BTC each. Not 2 slots for 0.5 BTC total.

- When you post a bid, the bids in your previous posts are considered to be automatically canceled. You can put multiple bids in one post, however, like "5 @ 0.1 and 1 @ 0.5".
- All bid prices must be evenly divisible by 0.01.
- The bidding starts at 0.01.
- I will end the auction at an arbitrary time. Unless I say otherwise, I typically try to end auctions within a few days of 10 days from the time of this post, but unexpected circumstances may sometimes force me to end the auction anytime between 4 and 22 days from the start.
- If two people bid at the same price, the person who bid first will have his slots filled first.

If these rules are confusing, look at some of the past forum ad auctions to see how it's done.

I reserve the right to reject bids, even days after the bid is made.

Price flattening

At the end of the auction, after the winning bids are all determined, I will do a "price flattening" operation. This has no effect on which bids actually win. For each bid, in order of lowest to greatest price/slot, I will reduce each bid's price/slot to the highest value which is equal to or only the minimum increment greater than the next-lower bid. This allows you to bid higher prices without worrying so much, but you still mustn't bid more than you're willing to pay. Example:

Code:
This:
Slots  BTC/Slot  Person
    6      0.20       A
    1      0.16       B
    1      0.08       C
    1      0.08       D

Becomes:
Slots  BTC/Slot  Person
    6      0.10       A [step 4: reduced to 0.09+0.01=0.10]
    1      0.09       B [step 3: reduced to 0.08+0.01=0.09]
    1      0.08       C [step 2: same as the next-lowest, unchanged]
    1      0.08       D [step 1: the lowest bid is always unchanged]

Payment, etc.

You must pay for your slots within 24 hours of receiving the payment address. Otherwise your slots may be sold to someone else, and I might even give you a negative trust rating. I will send you the payment information via forum PM from this account ("theymos", user ID 35) after announcing the auction results in this thread. You might receive false payment information from scammers pretending to be me. They might even have somewhat similar usernames. Be careful.

[1]: For the purposes of forum ads, an ICO is any token, altcoin, or other altcoin-like thing which meets any of the following criteria: it is primarily run/backed by a company; it is substantially, fundamentally centralized in either operation or coin distribution; or it is not yet possible for two unprivileged users of the system to send coins directly to each other in a P2P way. The intention here is to allow community efforts to advertise things like Litecoin, but not to allow ICO funding, even when the ICO is disguised in various ways.
[2]: A loggable mixer is a service marketed primarily for improving transaction privacy which accepts full custody of cryptocurrency for a time and has the technical ability to log where the cryptocurrency comes from and goes to (even if they promise not to log).
390  Economy / Auctions / Re: Advertise on this forum - Round 311 on: June 23, 2020, 06:53:14 PM
6 @ .10 BTC

Not accepted, and I will therefore ignore lottobtc55's last unnecessary bid.

Auction ended, final result:
Slots BTC/Slot Person
5 0.07 sportsbet.io
1 0.07 lottobtc55
3 0.06 BetBTC
391  Economy / Auctions / Re: Advertise on this forum - Round 311 on: June 22, 2020, 10:14:24 PM
6 @ .10 BTC

Prepayment & more info will be required for this bid. It may be rejected.

Current status:
Slots BTC/Slot Person
6 0.10 traderwal **TENTATIVE
1 0.08 lottobtc55
5 0.07 sportsbet.io
3 0.06 BetBTC


The auction continues.
392  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Riots after Death of Man in Minneapolis Police Custody on: June 21, 2020, 04:25:35 PM
if the reason isn't systemic racism, than what is it?

Blacks are much poorer than whites, are less likely to have stable families, are less likely to have high-quality educations, etc. This is caused mostly by past slavery, long-time government oppression, and past racism. A freed slave had no property or education, so they couldn't afford to educate their children or give them much property. Furthermore, they were often basically forced into a pseudo-slavery system by the government. Then due to poor education and racist laws, the next several generations found it very difficult to accumulate much wealth and very easy to have any wealth they did accumulate taken from them. Government, courts, and society were constantly pushing them back in an ever-deeper hole. Even a couple of generations ago, after most of the racism written into law was gone, societal racism was a drag on these people.

However, now the direct racism is mostly gone. There are still a small number of racist people in powerful positions, but IMO it's a minor factor. If you reformed every single one of these people, I don't think you'd see much difference in society. The problem is that many black families were pushed into a very deep hole, and they just haven't had time to dig themselves out yet, even though society is no longer still dragging them back into the hole very much. Generations of oppression isn't going to be undone immediately, even when the oppression stops.

The justice system, business, etc. is biased against poor and uneducated people, which disproportionately affects certain minorities, but this is because these groups are disproportionately poor and uneducated, due for example to the previously-mentioned factors. Poor and uneducated whites are also treated poorly by the justice system.

Blaming the racial inequality on "structural racism" is counter-productive: First, modern racism is IMO not actually a huge part of what's causing this inequality, so you're aiming at the wrong target. Second, a lot of conservatives see this stuff as you calling them racist even when they're not, which prevents you from ever getting their support. Third, policies which are designed to help one race over another (such as racial affirmative action or diversity quotas) in order to balance inequalities are themselves racist and unfair, and a lot of people despise such policies. Instead of complaining about "structural racism", it'd be more effective to support programs that help poor and uneducated people across the board. Since minorities are disproportionately poor and uneducated, any such programs will disproportionately help minorities; it's like affirmative action, but without pissing people off.

Many of the mainstream-left proposals are also simply ineffective: Affirmative action and diversity initiatives help a few individuals, but have little effect on the group as a whole. Many types of welfare encourage dependence on the government and discourage work, just making things worse. Government education sucks in general, and throwing more money at it rarely helps. IMO the solution probably has to do with ensuring stable family lives and good education. Ending the drug war and helping people addicted to drugs would be a good idea. Helping people relocate from inner cities without any good jobs to lower-population-density areas with decent jobs would be a good idea. Ensuring that children are going to good schools, have good nutrition, and are not distracted by home issues would be a good idea. (I'd ideally advocate doing all this through non-profits, not government.)
393  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Riots after Death of Man in Minneapolis Police Custody on: June 16, 2020, 03:39:01 PM
IMO the response to Floyd's tragic murder has been on-net rather positive. I don't like the focus on race, but the ability of police to literally get away with murder (and even more easily get away with a bit less than murder) has long been a huge problem. As an ancap, I love the fact that "defund police!" is becoming a war cry of some, even if most of the people behind this aren't thinking about it in nearly the same way I am.

That said, I recently learned that the family of George Floyd is being represented by the lawyer Ben Crump. Ben Crump also represented the family of Trayvon Martin, and is responsible for successfully spreading a huge amount of false information in that case. Most people think that Zimmerman in that case was unfairly acquitted, when in fact Zimmerman was clearly acting in self-defense, and most of the arguments offered by Crump were complete fabrications which the media ate up but which the jury correctly and thankfully rejected. He even got away with a crazy witness-swap thing; see The Trayvon Hoax by Joel Gilbert. Since Crump is involved here, we're all probably about to hear a whole lot of complete bullshit fabricated by Crump and amplified by the media, if we haven't already. I think that Floyd actually was murdered by the police, so it's a real shame that Crump is going to turn this into the biggest circus he possibly can.
394  Other / Politics & Society / Re: 2020 Democrats on: June 16, 2020, 03:33:32 PM
If he came out and said something like -- I support the peaceful protesters and said that they have a right to protest and all that, and then said that he'd be heavily cracking down on those that are rioting because we will not let our cities fall to these rioters. There may have been a different tone on all of this, but Trump doesn't do that.
That's pretty much what he said:
https://youtu.be/--99sqBGHMY?t=1009
Quote from: Donald Trump
@18:22 I understand the pain that people are feeling. We support the right of peaceful protesters, and we hear their pleas. But what we are now seeing on the streets of our cities has nothing to do with justice or peace. The memory of George Floyd is being dishonored by rioters, looters, and anarchists.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LgWwm-r6Z0Q
Quote from: Donald Trump
@0:45 We cannot allow the righteous cries of peaceful protesters to be drowned out by an angry mod. The biggest victims of the rioting are peace-loving citizens in our poorest communities, and as their president, I will fight to keep them safe. I will fight to protect you. I am your president of law and order, and an ally of all peaceful protesters.

I don't agree with a lot of what he's saying in these speeches, but I thought that they were pretty moderate and politically appropriate for the mood of the country. I don't watch TV or use social media, though, so I live in my own sort of bubble; clearly I got a different perception than many.
395  Other / Meta / Re: Happy Birthday theymos on: June 15, 2020, 02:07:10 PM
Thanks!

If he really is only 29 then that's pretty amazing
Happy Birthday, almost 30. Enjoy life before you start falling apart.

As I get older, I'm increasingly thankful that I found Bitcoin at a very young age when I was full of both energy and a reckless/adventurous spirit, which really let me make the most of it. Even though I often look back and cringe at how much of an idiot I was back then in many ways, if I'd been 29 in 2010, probably I would've achieved much less, in large part just because I wouldn't have been so filled with wonder at everything. I encourage young people to go out and constructively participate in interesting real-world things; you'll make mistakes, but that's the best way to learn.
396  Other / Politics & Society / Re: 2020 Democrats on: June 12, 2020, 09:53:49 PM
Normally, unemployment benefits will only pay for about enough to pay for basic necessities and maybe enough to pay for gas to go to job interviews. The enhanced unemployment benefits have resulted in over 2/3 of people who lost their jobs making more on unemployment than they were making, softening the blow of losing their jobs. Last month, the economy added ~2.5 million jobs, when the expectation was nearly 8.5 million jobs lost, a swing of nearly 11 million jobs. Those that have a government-insured mortgage are able to receive 12 months of forbearance. I think most of the economic pain is going to be kicked past the election; I think this was probably by design.

The unemployment numbers are way too low. Tax withholding data shows a year-over-year reduction of 30% in April and 33% in May. This means that nation-wide total payrolls (including PPP-supported payrolls but not including unemployment payments) are down by roughly those measures. However, the BLS employment rate is down year-over-year only 14.9% in April and 12.5% in May. This makes me think that a whole hell of a lot of people -- much more than even the BLS acknowledges as being possible miscategorizations -- are being counted as employed in the unemployment number, but actually have substantially reduced hours or are somehow otherwise not counted as unemployed.

PPP is running out about now. The enhanced unemployment benefits end July 31. The $1200 payment is probably roughly spent now by the low-income people who relied upon it. If Trump wants to temporarily wallpaper over this problem until November, he needs to get congress to pump more stimulus into the economy soon, and probably even more than last time will be required. Otherwise I think that this is going to turn into a widespread economic disaster in the next couple of months. Some people think that the action by congress and the Fed bridged the pre-lockdown and post-lockdown economies, and the recovery will therefore be relatively complete, but I really doubt it: the economic damage done by the shutdowns was catastrophic, a lot of business will not be able to resume properly, and a lot of these jobs will not be coming back anytime soon. Any past or future stimulus will IMO only be opiates which temporarily delay the symptoms without actually reducing the total damage, and in fact they'll probably make the total damage worse.

Whoever Biden chooses to be VP will effectively be the president on Feb 1 2021 if Biden is elected. They will probably have the title of President by the end of 2024. I would reserve judgment until Biden announces his VP pick, however since effectively winning the nomination, Biden has been pulled further to the left by Bernie Bros, so who knows what kind of presidency a Biden administration would be.

I've thought from the start that it'll be Kamala Harris, and I still think so. This'll make the ticket even worse, since she's an authoritarian neoliberal who only cares about power.
397  Economy / Auctions / Advertise on this forum - Round 311 on: June 12, 2020, 12:00:56 AM
The forum sells ad space in the area beneath the first post of every topic page. This income is used primarily to cover hosting costs and to pay moderators for their work (there are many moderators, so each moderator gets only a small amount -- moderators should be seen as volunteers, not employees). Any leftover amount is typically either saved for future expenses or otherwise reinvested into the forum or the ecosystem.

There are 10 total ad slots which are randomly rotated. So one ad slot has a one in ten chance of appearing. Nine of the slots are for sale here. Ads appear only on topic pages with more than one post. Hero/Legendary members, Donators, VIPs, and moderators have the ability to disable ads; these people don't increase the impression stats for your ads.

Design & ad restrictions

Ad text may not contain lies, misrepresentation, or inappropriate language. Ads may not link directly to any NSFW page. No ICOs[1], loggable mixers[2], banks, funds, or anything that a person can be said to "invest" in; I may very rarely make exceptions if you convince me that you are ultra legit, but don't count on it. Ads may be rejected for other reasons, and I may remove ads even after they are accepted.

See the ad design rules for info on designing forum ads.

When advertising a new service, you should always check with me in advance whether your service is OK. I will sometimes accept bids of people who don't do this, but such people are taking the risk of being rejected at the last minute. It's also a good idea for you to have me check your ad's HTML+CSS in advance, especially if this is your first time advertising.

Duration

- Your ads are guaranteed to be up for at least 7 days.
- I usually try to keep ads up for no more than 11 days.
- Sometimes ads might be up for longer, but hopefully no longer than 12 days. Even if past rounds sometimes lasted for long periods of time, you should not rely on this for your ads.

Stats

Exact historical impression counts per slot:
https://bitcointalk.org/adrotate.php?adstats

Info about the current ad slots:
https://bitcointalk.org/adrotate.php?adinfo

Auction rules

New members are likely to have their bids rejected unless they PM me first, telling me what they're going to advertise. New members might also be required to pay some amount in advance. Additionally, if you have never purchased forum ad space before, and it is not blatantly obvious what you're going to advertise, say what you're going to advertise in your first bid, or tell me in a PM.

Post your bids in this thread. Prices must be stated in BTC per slot. You must state the maximum number of slots you want. When the auction ends, the highest bidders will have their slots filled until all nine slots are filled.

So if someone bids for 9 slots @ 0.5 BTC and this is the highest bid, then he'll get all 9 slots. If the two highest bids are 9 slots @ 0.4 BTC and 1 slot @ 0.5 BTC, then the first person will get 8 slots and the second person will get 1 slot.

The notation "2 @ 0.5" means 2 slots for 0.5 BTC each. Not 2 slots for 0.5 BTC total.

- When you post a bid, the bids in your previous posts are considered to be automatically canceled. You can put multiple bids in one post, however, like "5 @ 0.1 and 1 @ 0.5".
- All bid prices must be evenly divisible by 0.01.
- The bidding starts at 0.01.
- I will end the auction at an arbitrary time. Unless I say otherwise, I typically try to end auctions within a few days of 10 days from the time of this post, but unexpected circumstances may sometimes force me to end the auction anytime between 4 and 22 days from the start.
- If two people bid at the same price, the person who bid first will have his slots filled first.

If these rules are confusing, look at some of the past forum ad auctions to see how it's done.

I reserve the right to reject bids, even days after the bid is made.

Price flattening

At the end of the auction, after the winning bids are all determined, I will do a "price flattening" operation. This has no effect on which bids actually win. For each bid, in order of lowest to greatest price/slot, I will reduce each bid's price/slot to the highest value which is equal to or only the minimum increment greater than the next-lower bid. This allows you to bid higher prices without worrying so much, but you still mustn't bid more than you're willing to pay. Example:

Code:
This:
Slots  BTC/Slot  Person
    6      0.20       A
    1      0.16       B
    1      0.08       C
    1      0.08       D

Becomes:
Slots  BTC/Slot  Person
    6      0.10       A [step 4: reduced to 0.09+0.01=0.10]
    1      0.09       B [step 3: reduced to 0.08+0.01=0.09]
    1      0.08       C [step 2: same as the next-lowest, unchanged]
    1      0.08       D [step 1: the lowest bid is always unchanged]

Payment, etc.

You must pay for your slots within 24 hours of receiving the payment address. Otherwise your slots may be sold to someone else, and I might even give you a negative trust rating. I will send you the payment information via forum PM from this account ("theymos", user ID 35) after announcing the auction results in this thread. You might receive false payment information from scammers pretending to be me. They might even have somewhat similar usernames. Be careful.

[1]: For the purposes of forum ads, an ICO is any token, altcoin, or other altcoin-like thing which meets any of the following criteria: it is primarily run/backed by a company; it is substantially, fundamentally centralized in either operation or coin distribution; or it is not yet possible for two unprivileged users of the system to send coins directly to each other in a P2P way. The intention here is to allow community efforts to advertise things like Litecoin, but not to allow ICO funding, even when the ICO is disguised in various ways.
[2]: A loggable mixer is a service marketed primarily for improving transaction privacy which accepts full custody of cryptocurrency for a time and has the technical ability to log where the cryptocurrency comes from and goes to (even if they promise not to log).
398  Economy / Auctions / Re: Advertise on this forum - Round 310 on: June 11, 2020, 11:58:42 PM
Auction ended, final result:
Slots BTC/Slot Person
6 0.07 sportsbet.io
3 0.06 BetBTC
399  Other / Politics & Society / Re: 2020 Democrats on: June 11, 2020, 09:16:34 PM
Right now Trump's reelection chances are looking pretty bad. The real economy is in tatters, he isn't perceived as handling coronavirus well, and apparently his handling of the Floyd issue was received very poorly. (I though that he struck a pretty moderate tone in his speeches on the matter, and while I strongly oppose it, I thought that sending in the military against rioters would be popular, so I'm surprised that people seem to overwhelmingly hate his response on this.)

The even bigger issue is that the Trump campaign has seemingly abandoned reality and prefers to live in a comfortable fantasy-land. Rather than acknowledge polls they don't like, they call them fake news. Rather than deal with the fact that 13% unemployment is both terrible on its face and probably a big underestimate due to various counting issues, they tout the unexpectedly-low number as a rocket-ship recovery and act as though the Fed-inflated stock market means anything to the average person. The average person is likely to increasingly be suffering economically as time goes on, regardless of what the numbers say. Rather than try to reach out at all, Trump focuses on appealing to his base. You can't improve your situation unless you realize that there are improvements to be made, and I feel like the Trump campaign is unwilling to find their flaws so that they can fix them. They should have the attitude of, "We got dealt a really bad hand and then furthermore made several mistakes, but we're still going to analyze the situation rationally and make the moves that give us the best chances of winning from here," rather than, "Everything is actually OK, and we can more-or-less continue with what we wanted to do and feel most comfortable doing."

At this point the betting odds give Biden something like a 52% chance of winning, and I think that this substantially underestimates Biden's chances. I prefer Trump over Biden, so it's disappointing. It'd especially be bad if the Democrats take the Presidency, the House, and the Senate, which looks possible right now.

Things can change, of course. The economy in reality won't come anywhere near recovering by November, but maybe Fed action + more stimulus can make it look as though things have improved quite a bit. It's likely that the Floyd issue will be forgotten by then. Biden is a truly terrible candidate, and maybe he'll totally fall apart with Trump's help. But in November Trump is definitely going to be in a much worse position than he was throughout most of his presidency.


The problem with 538 is that it's run by highly-biased Democrat-establishmentarians who don't realize how biased they are, so they tend to make mistakes. The RCP method is also flawed, but at least it's likely to be flawed in a more neutral way. Best to look at both sites, plus the details of the individual polls if it's important to you.
400  Economy / Auctions / Re: Advertise on this forum - Round 310 on: June 11, 2020, 01:18:46 PM
1 @0.07

You have negative trust, so I won't accept your bids.

The auction continues.
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