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Question: New ATH today?
Yes - 35 (79.5%)
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 25464132 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (157 posts by 13+ users deleted.)
realr0ach
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July 28, 2018, 09:56:12 PM

Also, for anyone playing my Divinity 2 mod, I released a big v0.44 necromancy update:

https://www.nexusmods.com/divinityoriginalsin2/mods/388
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buyandhold
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July 28, 2018, 10:03:51 PM

Everything old is new again
http://reason.com/archives/2018/07/27/markets-in-assassination-everybody-panic
also Silicon Valley to ban workplace cafeterias because local restos are suffering
also ghost printed straws hit the streets

(1931) twitter/@inthepixels
Rosewater Foundation
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July 28, 2018, 10:08:35 PM

Kansas is the middle of the world. Everything begins and ends in Kansas.
Also I downloaded R0ach's mod and now my character is in some kind of detention camp?
Oh and my bitcoins are gone
El duderino_
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July 28, 2018, 10:12:39 PM

Kansas is the middle of the world. Everything begins and ends in Kansas.
Also I downloaded R0ach's mod and now my character is in some kind of detention camp?
Oh and my bitcoins are gone

antwerp thats the center of it all .........
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July 28, 2018, 10:19:00 PM

You have to bribe the guards with a level 3 doner kebab and 30 pieces of Lox.



Loch ness monster pattern soon™
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July 28, 2018, 10:20:17 PM


antwerp thats the center of it all .........

Kansas City, Missouri is friendly and laid-back, but don't be fooled by its low-key attitude– the city pulses with an upbeat and creative energy.
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July 28, 2018, 10:34:38 PM


antwerp thats the center of it all .........

Kansas City, Missouri is friendly and laid-back, but don't be fooled by its low-key attitude– the city pulses with an upbeat and creative energy.
dude
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July 28, 2018, 10:39:42 PM


antwerp thats the center of it all .........

Kansas City, Missouri is friendly and laid-back, but don't be fooled by its low-key attitude– the city pulses with an upbeat and creative energy.

Maybe When i go to the US need to plan a trip through Kansas ;-) ?? Maybe iT can surprise me
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July 28, 2018, 10:44:19 PM


antwerp thats the center of it all .........

Kansas City, Missouri is friendly and laid-back, but don't be fooled by its low-key attitude– the city pulses with an upbeat and creative energy.
dude




Weird town. Cheesy
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July 28, 2018, 10:48:46 PM


antwerp thats the center of it all .........

Kansas City, Missouri is friendly and laid-back, but don't be fooled by its low-key attitude– the city pulses with an upbeat and creative energy.
dude




Weird town. Cheesy

LOL silvius brabo statue  Grin but much more of those and ...... down antwerp
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July 28, 2018, 11:14:28 PM
Last edit: July 28, 2018, 11:35:02 PM by bitserve


antwerp thats the center of it all .........

Kansas City, Missouri is friendly and laid-back, but don't be fooled by its low-key attitude– the city pulses with an upbeat and creative energy.
dude




Weird town. Cheesy

LOL silvius brabo statue  Grin but much more of those and ...... down antwerp

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July 28, 2018, 11:17:29 PM


Odds seem against three years, and odds seem against 3 months, too, but seems that each are within a similar probabilities range.

Absolutely... 3 months to 3 years is a wide range: just a bell curve of probabilty .

So maybe from what seems really hard to forecast, and those range defining guesses, we can estimate a period of ~18 months between 5k and 10k ?

Can you live with that ?  I am guessing that most ppl find it difficult to accept, and they might be at risk of overtrading through boredom.

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July 28, 2018, 11:25:30 PM
Merited by BobLawblaw (1)


Odds seem against three years, and odds seem against 3 months, too, but seems that each are within a similar probabilities range.

Absolutely... 3 months to 3 years is a wide range: just a bell curve of probabilty .

So maybe from what seems really hard to forecast, and those range defining guesses, we can estimate a period of ~18 months between 5k and 10k ?

Can you live with that ?  I am guessing that most ppl find it difficult to accept, and they might be at risk of overtrading through boredom.



Jay can do 18 months standing on his head. As for me, price action has become secondary to meme action and ignoring people.
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July 29, 2018, 12:01:00 AM

Right now the price will remain as low as possible until accumulation is finished. If you look at the graph it is a bollinger band squeeze (accumulation trend). The maniuplators have an infinite supply of capital to use (fiat) since they can print more at will..
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July 29, 2018, 12:03:37 AM

The maniuplators have an infinite supply of capital to use (fiat) since they can print more at will..

And yet ... a finite supply of Bitcoins. Do you see?

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July 29, 2018, 12:20:00 AM


Odds seem against three years, and odds seem against 3 months, too, but seems that each are within a similar probabilities range.

Absolutely... 3 months to 3 years is a wide range: just a bell curve of probabilty .

So maybe from what seems really hard to forecast, and those range defining guesses, we can estimate a period of ~18 months between 5k and 10k ?

Can you live with that ?  I am guessing that most ppl find it difficult to accept, and they might be at risk of overtrading through boredom.

Actually, if you agree that 3 months and 3 years are merely a bundle of probabilities that are on a bell curve, then agreeing to a compromise, some point in the middle could become the most probable, but that still does not make the most probable one as to being the scenario that actually plays out or that we should place 100% on that most like scenario... Also the bell curve could be skewed to one side or another from each persons perspective, which might make a spot on one end or another end of the range to be  more likely.

Hypothetically, let's say that for whatever reason, there is decent evidence to conclude that 13.3months has the highest score, but even with that "high score" might only add up to 35% or something like that, right? 

I don't know exactly how the points on the graph plot out, but I know that factors in the world could change the shape of the "bell" curve and the peaks of such curves (and even whether it is a bell curve or a skewed curve or double hump curve) to change at time 1, time 2 and time 3, etc etc.

The most practical way of betting such curves would be to attempt to reflect the probability assignments that you give to each one, and maybe playing some probabilities a little bit higher than others, but never really betting BIG on any one scenario or narrow set of scenarios, merely because on one day or over time, it appears that that narrow set of outcome possibilities is viewed to be largely more likely.

[edited out]
Jay can do 18 months standing on his head. As for me, price action has become secondary to meme action and ignoring people.

Actually, you are correct to suggest that my investment into bitcoin has been planned for the long-term, so the plan plays out for the long-term too.

Actually, when I got into bitcoin, I was thinking that my investment timeline would be for several years, such as a supplemental retirement fund, so I did not develop any exit strategy, beyond just planning long term.  None of the fundamentals of bitcoin have changed or caused any reason to change the plan, and surely it helps to be in sufficient profits that even a dip to $1k would still be profitable (even though concededly, it would not be a good thing to drop 1/8th of today's price or anything even approaching that kind of low price range). 
Rosewater Foundation
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July 29, 2018, 12:22:36 AM

even a dip to $1k would still be profitable (even though concededly, it would not be a good thing to drop 1/8th of today's price or anything even approaching that kind of low price range). 

I'm in it to win it. If this happens I will shit myself sideways and you will all have to watch.
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July 29, 2018, 12:24:26 AM

Maybe When i go to the US need to plan a trip through Kansas ;-) ?? Maybe iT can surprise me

Kansas has one thing going for it - Jews have not managed to destroy it yet by using brown people as expendable, biological weapons against whites:



This one weird trick of expelling the evil cult known as Jews from your country before they can enact the Kalergi plan can prevent you from being killed by grenades.
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July 29, 2018, 12:34:47 AM
Merited by Hueristic (1)

16 such attacks in 2017
3 in 2018
fuck your racist stats
realr0ach
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July 29, 2018, 12:44:52 AM
Last edit: July 29, 2018, 12:57:10 AM by realr0ach

16 such attacks in 2017
3 in 2018
fuck your racist stats

If you don't allow black people to kill you or Jews to steal from you then you're racist.
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