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Question: When will we see a new ATH?
2023 - 39 (25.5%)
2024 - 60 (39.2%)
2025 - 40 (26.1%)
2026 - 4 (2.6%)
2027 - 2 (1.3%)
After 2027 - 3 (2%)
Never - 5 (3.3%)
Total Voters: 153

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26008208 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (170 posts by 5 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Torque
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August 02, 2019, 04:05:16 PM
Merited by RejectedBanana (1)

It's time (again) for a Wall Observer Meta Post!
I am going to switch to monthly schedule soon!

Merit analysis based on LoyceV merit file: http://loyce.club/Merit/merit.all.txt

Merit updated to Friday,26, Jul, 2019 02:51:39 UTC
[snip]

As a side note, ya'll need to quit meriting our resident troll-who-must-not-be-named. The asshole has nearly 300 merits, but gives back merits to no one else.

He is not funny. He is not cool. He spews a bunch of worthless crap. He is a fkn troll. And he won't leave.

Stop meriting him pls. And for the love of the godz, don't quote him.
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JayJuanGee
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August 02, 2019, 04:05:35 PM

Bitcoin, halvening and Plan B appear on the Sun!

https://www.thesun.co.uk/tech/9634852/bitcoin-price-rise-85-all-coins-mined/

Funny picture caption thou:

They put hard disk mining bitcoin? Really?

WO: Best dialogue between the two blokes in front of the "hard disk" wall wins 2 merits!


They missed the most important information, here i fixed their chart:



Oberserving $10530...

20 years later I will be at my 50's though. Having a few billions will surely help but I don't know. I'd rather want them in my 30's which means now or at least in the next 10 years.

You going to rob a bank so you can buy some more bitcoins?  Or you are going to "over" leverage yourself because you can really see up?
jojo69
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August 02, 2019, 04:05:53 PM

now this is my kind of bear market
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August 02, 2019, 04:13:41 PM
Last edit: August 02, 2019, 04:30:19 PM by JayJuanGee

Last time we went from roughly $1K to $20k.
I would say that $50K is a minimal expectation IF the cycles continue the up down pattern, which is always an unknown.
I would not be surprised by $200K, but would not plan for it as far as seriously laying out what to do if and when.
That was not a halving boost, that was a year of market movement, if the 10k-19k happened during anytime close to a halving id give it to you, but it didn't.

It takes 6-12 months for the full effects of the halving to be realised by the market. Miners sell bitcoin to cover costs, all of a sudden they’re getting half the amount of coins as a block solving reward therefore they have half the amount to dump on exchanges. I think it takes a while for that to be reflected in the price.

We will see one more absolutely parabolic bitcoin bull run before it begins to stabilise as an asset imo.
I think Biodom is right, 200,000 USD per bitcoin is possible, maybe in mid to late 2021 if not early 2022.

I’m the most excited I’ve ever been about bitcoin, life changing money is coming to us all so long as we are BTC buyers, HODLers, and/or accumulators.

FTFY by adding a condition.  

I would not want to make the ideas too long, either, but even the no coiners and fence sitters are likely to profit from bitcoin in terms of the creation and promulgation of a system that is more fair and creates incentives to keep other actors more honest.  So, if some of those no coiners and fence sitters start to take a stake in bitcoin, too, they might not get rich right away, but they still have very decent chances to profit from bitcoin, even if they feel that they were relatively "late to the game."
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August 02, 2019, 04:20:33 PM
Last edit: August 02, 2019, 04:40:44 PM by JayJuanGee

About next halving, that's what a (very basic) graph says:


https://i.postimg.cc/pPYCCB2R/download.png


Not sure. Looks too good to be true, but what do I know.

Yes.. What do you know is correct.  That chart does not seem to have too good of odds of becoming true, and surely seems to be perpetuated by someone who is looking more forward to down than up.

We cannot be too certain that down is not going to happen, but the degree of down that is depicted in that chart seems to be a bit over the top, and does not really seem to align with either current BTC price dynamics or what seems to be in the cards of bitcoins short to medium term price dynamics, in the coming 3 months to 2 years.   It seems quite likely that we could top, our next up trend in less than 2 years, and your chart seems to be requiring close to 6 years to accomplish such toping...

Maybe your chart is correct, but something seems to be a bit off about the chart, in terms of current bitcoin price dynamics and future likelihoods.  

Edit:  I see from subsequent posts that I probably should not be taking the substance depicted in the chart very seriously.  Whoops...

Bro you are so optimistic. 2020 is almost there. 100k per coin in 2021? Would love it, but based on what?

Assuming we’re at approx $10,000 - $15,000 at the time of the halving it’s around 10 x price increase.

At the halving in July 2016 we were at around $600. From there to the peak of our last cycle that’s over 30 x increase.

I think $100,000 per bitcoin at the end of 2021 is definitely possible. Speak to HairyMaclairy for detailed price predictions based on TA & charts. I’m just going off what I’ve observed before. I think HM is suggesting a fair bit more than 100k per coin at the top of this bull cycle.

Hairy seems to be suggesting $200k to $350k to be in the ballpark of the top, which also seems reasonable, even if it also seems a bit of a stretch, too, based on current prices and how much value is going to have to go into bitcoin in order to achieve such a pump that is largely modeled upon fractal comparisons.

Bro you are so optimistic. 2020 is almost there. 100k per coin in 2021? Would love it, but based on what?

Assuming we’re at approx $10,000 - $15,000 at the time of the halving it’s around 10 x price increase.

At the halving in July 2016 we were at around $600. From there to the peak of our last cycle that’s over 30 x increase.

I think $100,000 per bitcoin at the end of 2021 is definitely possible. Speak to HairyMaclairy for detailed price predictions based on TA & charts. I’m just going off what I’ve observed before. I think HM is suggesting a fair bit more than 100k per coin at the top of this bull cycle.
100k is possible but it's impossible to predict exact top of the cycle. Major bull run usually ends with parabolic rally which means huge gains every day. So it really depends how long the upward momentum can hold until it pops. Just a week more can mean +50%. So there is very little difference between, say 80k and 120k.

It would not necessarily be prudent to attempt to time the exact top, and like you said, a bit of a difficult task in any event.
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August 02, 2019, 04:37:36 PM

they ain't getting a satoshi out of me for less than $120K/BTC, fuckers.
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August 02, 2019, 04:40:56 PM

Leaving halving aside, this looks a lot like the 2017 season.

Therefore, you can hit the weak hands again and then begin to climb out of control in search of a new ATH in December or before.

BTCullish.

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August 02, 2019, 04:42:58 PM

Shitcoin Jesus launching a crypto exchange Sept. 2.

https://news.u.today/news/pre-registration-rewards-for-everyone-bitcoincom-launches-its-own-exchange
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August 02, 2019, 04:47:09 PM


Bcash base pairs lol.

Can't wait it to get hacked and gox people. Now that would be a sight.

Surely so many shit is going to happen on that exchange.

They'll start with faking their volume. Mark my words.  Cool
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August 02, 2019, 04:47:09 PM

Stock boyz having a shitty time since they got their last rate cut. How much USD shitcoin printing do those welfare queens need?
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August 02, 2019, 04:48:22 PM

@APompilano
“We love you Bitcoin” — @jack

Who would have thought it would only take 10 years for a public company CEO to say this on an earnings call! 🙏🏽

https://twitter.com/apompliano/status/1157044019815473152?s=21

I looked at the tweet and the thread, and I don't really understand.


Is the point that Square is giving away 5,000 BTC?  If true, they must be making a killing through their cash app? 
That is a fucking lot of BTC to be giving away as a kind of promotional, and I suppose that they have calculated already, that it is going to pay off for them, as a business, to do such a large give away.
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August 02, 2019, 04:51:30 PM

Bitcoin, halvening and Plan B appear on the Sun!

https://www.thesun.co.uk/tech/9634852/bitcoin-price-rise-85-all-coins-mined/

Funny picture caption thou:



They put hard disk mining bitcoin? Really?

WO CONTEST: Best dialogue between the two blokes in front of the "hard disk" wall wins 2 merits!


Sorry Im leaving, no more hard drives. Im done with our physical relationship.

Where will you go?

Im moving to the cloud

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August 02, 2019, 04:52:58 PM


Bcash base pairs lol.

Can't wait it to get hacked and gox people. Now that would be a sight.

Surely so many shit is going to happen on that exchange.

They'll start with faking their volume. Mark my words.  Cool

First and only exchange I will be rooting for the US government to take action against.

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August 02, 2019, 05:03:06 PM

Leaving halving aside, this looks a lot like the 2017 season.

Therefore, you can hit the weak hands again and then begin to climb out of control in search of a new ATH in December or before.

BTCullish.

I think that many peeps believe that we are somewhere in 2016, perhaps early 2016...   So it seems that it could take a bit of time for this BAD boy to start ramping up...

On the other hand, we know that sometimes when the UP movement starts it can get out of control fairly rapidly, so who knows if we might end up experiencing a bit of a premature over exuberance in the upward BTC price movement either this calendar year or even before the May 2020 halvening. 

I would not rule out any of the scenarios including premature exuberance scenarios, yet even with a premature exuberance scenario, we are quite likely to continue to experience additional actual physical pressures upon our BTC supply post halvening.... Yeah, the fucktards believe that we can kind of price in the halvening before it actually happens or at around the time that it happens, but the reality of the matter is like LFC continues to explain in that the actual feeling of the restricted BTC supply is a kind of physical phenomenon that has to play out and can take a bit of time before it really begins to wear upon the BTC market... and thereby contributing to nearly inevitable upwards BTC price movement based on that actual ongoing constriction in BTC supply.
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August 02, 2019, 05:04:32 PM

Uh oh.. I was hoping climate change was just another globalist power grab hoax, but we just had a tsunami in a water park.  Shocked

https://www.cnn.com/videos/world/2019/08/02/china-wave-pool-accidental-tsunami-orig-vstan-bdk.cnn
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August 02, 2019, 05:06:50 PM

Sorry Im leaving, no more hard drives. Im done with our physical relationship.

Where will you go?

Im moving to the cloud

Nice little dialogue with yourself Globb0.  I can relate because I feel like that sometimes, too.   Wink
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August 02, 2019, 05:50:19 PM

$10,600

Nice & gently... So satisfying to see it rise like that...
That's what she said.
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nothing to see here


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August 02, 2019, 05:51:52 PM
Merited by fillippone (2)

Bitcoin, halvening and Plan B appear on the Sun!

https://www.thesun.co.uk/tech/9634852/bitcoin-price-rise-85-all-coins-mined/

Funny picture caption thou:



They put hard disk mining bitcoin? Really?

WO CONTEST: Best dialogue between the two blokes in front of the "hard disk" wall wins 2 merits!


"Shh, don't turn around. The dude with the camera just did an interview with me..."
"OK, why do you whisper?"
"I told him all the miners are harddrives. He bought it!"
"lol"


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August 02, 2019, 05:59:53 PM


I always wondered why chess pieces have such strange shapes. Thanks for pointing out why.
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August 02, 2019, 06:22:53 PM
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (1)

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5095156.msg52040541#msg52040541

Welcome back do DT1 LFC_Bitcoin!
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