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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 25817865 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (170 posts by 5 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Wilhelm
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September 03, 2019, 11:47:12 AM

The first major resistance for the shorterm is marked with the yellow area. Around 10.800 Usd to 11.000 Usd, it depends when it gets there.
The first minor resistance is marked with the orange area. We are currently already there. Around 10.500 Usd.

resistance is futile, go borgcoin go!

edit: lol, borgcoin really exists: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=574236.0

Yea, for the longterm there is no resistance. Only sky is the limit.

And assimilate as much coins as possible...
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September 03, 2019, 11:57:30 AM

REITs? They're like ETFs but for Rental properties, professional managed by a team. You don't do anything except collect dividends. The MER is usually a bit higher than index ETFs, but still below 1%.

Can be lucrative, but one has to be careful and do the proper research. The vast majority of REITs are insolvent, and just one downturn away from bankruptcy. A high dividend yield is usually the tell; the higher it is, the more likely the REIT is under bad financial stress.
REITs have a mandatory minimum on returns to stakeholders, in the neighborhood of 90%. Hard to check exact figure right now.

Not sure somebody else already remarked that? Haven't caught up yet... As she crossed back above 10k, WO activity got much busier 😉
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September 03, 2019, 12:04:39 PM

Seems to be a little bit of a change in sentiment around recently. Bullish charts & graphs, people here are making bullish price predictions.

Anybody think we might start to significantly climb as 2019 draws to an end?

 
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September 03, 2019, 12:05:53 PM

Seems to be a little bit of a change in sentiment around recently. Bullish charts & graphs, people here are making bullish price predictions.

Anybody think we might start to significantly climb as 2019 draws to an end?

 

I think we will but not as fast as we like. Parabolic phase will be after the halving...
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September 03, 2019, 12:13:33 PM

Seems to be a little bit of a change in sentiment around recently. Bullish charts & graphs, people here are making bullish price predictions.

Anybody think we might start to significantly climb as 2019 draws to an end?

 

I think we will but not as fast as we like. Parabolic phase will be after the halving...

Agree! In my ideal dreams we break $100,000 per BTC in Q3 or Q4 of 2021.
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September 03, 2019, 12:20:55 PM

Seems to be a little bit of a change in sentiment around recently. Bullish charts & graphs, people here are making bullish price predictions.

Anybody think we might start to significantly climb as 2019 draws to an end?

 
Well I haven't seen pages and pages of trains on fire and happy spacemen so I'm not sure if the time is right yet.....
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September 03, 2019, 12:35:31 PM

When there is too much bullish graphs i start to get worried.
But WO made a few very bullish graphs when most of others were calling a breakout to the downside. Which didn't happen.
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September 03, 2019, 12:37:46 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

Agree! In my ideal dreams we break $100,000 per BTC in Q3 or Q4 of 2021.

That would be the perfect time, it would fit perfectly in 1+ year after next 2020 halving as was the case in the past. However, the question remains how Bitcoin will behave in the circumstances of a possible new economic crisis. As there are no previous references to compare with, it is possible that we will not see same pattern (post halving effects).

I like to see this chart from time to time, and it would be really nice to see it come to fruition Smiley



Source : https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5134686.0
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September 03, 2019, 12:41:00 PM

Seems to be a little bit of a change in sentiment around recently. Bullish charts & graphs, people here are making bullish price predictions.

Anybody think we might start to significantly climb as 2019 draws to an end?

 
Well I haven't seen pages and pages of trains on fire and happy spacemen so I'm not sure if the time is right yet.....

Bullish memes are always welcome  Wink
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September 03, 2019, 12:48:08 PM

When there is too much bullish graphs i start to get worried.
But WO made a few very bullish graphs when most of others were calling a breakout to the downside. Which didn't happen.

Bullish Vs Bull sometime nonfused what's meaning Bullish and Bull same meaning? trading platform said 2 think Bearish and Bullish but so Bull?.
other hand market trend changes need one news or a few second It can go down and upside.
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September 03, 2019, 12:54:58 PM

When Bitcoin reached 3100 Usd there was a very negative news about bitcoin and crypto in general. But Bitcoin started to rise anyway from there on. As you can see, you must be a little bit contrarian, not to just follow the news and the majority of people.
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September 03, 2019, 12:55:57 PM

The first major resistance for the shorterm is marked with the yellow area. Around 10.800 Usd to 11.000 Usd, it depends when it gets there.
The first minor resistance is marked with the orange area. We are currently already there. Around 10.500 Usd.

resistance is futile, go borgcoin go!

edit: lol, borgcoin really exists: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=574236.0

Yea, for the longterm there is no resistance. Only sky is the limit.

first resistance is pulverized Smiley
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September 03, 2019, 01:06:05 PM

Observing $10654  Cool Shocked

Mega volume green dildo  Cool
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September 03, 2019, 01:11:52 PM

When Bitcoin reached 3100 Usd there was a very negative news about bitcoin and crypto in general. But Bitcoin started to rise anyway from there on. As you can see, you must be a little bit contrarian, not to just follow the news and the majority of people.
People are following now two think fundamental and technical new in people maybe follow like bad news pumping group signal group etc, problem new people emotionally operate everything when price few drops then decide to sell the fund.
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September 03, 2019, 01:19:45 PM

Observing $10654  Cool Shocked

Mega volume green dildo  Cool

Green everywhere, will we see $11k today?

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September 03, 2019, 01:19:55 PM

watching walls being eaten is fun, badger is hungry today
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September 03, 2019, 01:20:14 PM

next stop 12k ?  Grin
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September 03, 2019, 01:23:57 PM
Last edit: September 03, 2019, 01:37:29 PM by JimboToronto
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

Good morning Bitcoinland.

Nice to see we're back in 5 digits again... currently $10701USD/$14305CAD (Bitcoinaverage). Also back up over 70% dominance (CMC).

I still think it's a little early to declare the battle for $10k to be won but the autumn (N. hemisphere) run up should be starting in not too many weeks.

Go Bitcoin go.



Not sure how accurate this source is.

Yeah, but you did not even provide the source.

The sources are in the image.
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September 03, 2019, 01:26:46 PM

Hi guys, I haven’t been on the forum for about a year and remembered about this thread. How are you doing?
I did an analysis here and realized that 100k was waiting for us.
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September 03, 2019, 01:39:58 PM
Merited by HairyMaclairy (1), makrospex (1), SuperTA (1)

Hello all WO citizens, you all should read it. I made this one with latest data update from VB1001.
Update:

ABSTRACT
(1) Last two months, Bitcoin fell ~4.5% in price, while figures for total replies, total pages, total views between last two periods (30/6/2019-31-7/2019 and 31/7/2019-31/8/2019) fell 24.8%, 31.3%, and 24.91%, respectively.  (Details, please see in the last table in the bottom of the post).
(2) In medians, figures for monthly new replies, views, and pages are 426942, 57218 and 277, respectively


Data source (from @VB1001):
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg52028093#msg52028093
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg52029308#msg52029308
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg52325977#msg52325977


Converted dataset:
Code:
. list id day month2 year date rep repchange prep2 views viewchange pview2 pages pagechange ppages2 btc pbtc, abb(30)

     +-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
     | id   day   month2   year        date      rep   repchange    prep2      views   viewchange   pview2   pages   pagechange   ppages2     btc     pbtc |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  1. |  1    31       10   2017   31oct2017   361446           .        .   19386138            .        .   18703            .         .    6380        . |
  2. |  2    30       11   2017   30nov2017   368288        6842        .   19749672       363534        .   18415         -288         .    9786    53.39 |
  3. |  3    31       12   2017   31dec2017   380800       12512    82.87   20076512       326840   -10.09   19041          626         .   13186    34.74 |
  4. |  4    31        1   2018   31jan2018   386480        5680    -54.6   20118498        41986   -87.15   19325          284    -54.63   10138   -23.12 |
  5. |  5    28        2   2018   28feb2018   396480       10000    76.06   20185277        66779    59.05   19825          500     76.06   10629     4.84 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  6. |  6    31        3   2018   31mar2018   402460        5980    -40.2   20222795        37518   -43.82   20109          284     -43.2    7119   -33.02 |
  7. |  7    30        4   2018   30apr2018   407457        4997   -16.44   20247143        24348    -35.1   20288          179    -36.97    9275    30.29 |
  8. |  8    31        5   2018   31may2018   410507        3050   -38.96   20280891        33748    38.61   20526          238     32.96    7559    -18.5 |
  9. |  9    30        6   2018   30jun2018   416730        6223   104.03   20315481        34590     2.49   20787          261      9.66    6457   -14.58 |
 10. | 10    31        7   2018   31jul2018   419443        2713    -56.4   20341078        25597      -26   20975          188    -27.97    7848    21.54 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
 11. | 11    31        8   2018   31aug2018   424622        5179     90.9   20413924        72846   184.59   21132          157    -16.49    6935   -11.63 |
 12. | 12    30        9   2018   30sep2018   426942        2320    -55.2   20474102        60178   -17.39   21288          156      -.64    6633    -4.35 |
 13. | 13    30       10   2018   30oct2018   430939        3997    72.28   20650285       176183   192.77   21447          159      1.92    6642      .14 |
 14. | 14    30       11   2018   30nov2018   437199        6260    56.62   20782977       132692   -24.69   21810          363     128.3    4015   -39.55 |
 15. | 15    31       12   2018   31dec2018   446510        9311    48.74   20926425       143448     8.11   22296          486     33.88    3800    -5.35 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
 16. | 16    31        1   2019   31jan2019   452916        6406    -31.2   21006158        79733   -44.42   22563          267    -45.06    3459    -8.97 |
 17. | 17    28        2   2019   28feb2019   459605        6689     4.42   21042628        36470   -54.26   22974          411     53.93    3901    12.78 |
 18. | 18    31        3   2019   31mar2019   465823        6218    -7.04   21079099        36471        0   23292          318    -22.63    4103     5.18 |
 19. | 19    30        4   2019   30apr2019   473225        7402    19.04   21133357        54258    48.77   23662          370     16.35    5270    28.44 |
 20. | 20    31        5   2019   31may2019   480783        7558     2.11   21193583        60226       11   24040          378      2.16    8501    61.31 |
     |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
 21. | 21    30        6   2019   30jun2019   488192        7409    -1.97   21256108        62525     3.82   24410          370     -2.12   11262    32.48 |
 22. | 22    31        7   2019   31jul2019   493567        5375   -27.45   21307690        51582    -17.5   24679          269     -27.3   10052   -10.74 |
 23. | 23    31        8   2019   31aug2019   497611        4044   -24.76   21343127        35437    -31.3   24881          202    -24.91    9605    -4.45 |
     +-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

Notes on variables:
- rep: total replies
- repchange: change of total replies between two months
- prep2: percent of change in rep (replies) between two continuous months.

- views: total views
- viewchange: change of total views between two months
- pview2: percent of change in total views (views) between two continuous months.

- pages: total pages
- pagechange: change of total pages between two months
- ppages2: percent of change in total pages (pages) between two continuous months.

- btc: BTC price
- pbtc: percent of change in BTC price (btc) between two continuous months.
Since this update, I use new variables, pview2, prep2, ppages2, because variables for percentage of changes between two months in OP look stupid, so I decided to change.
Now, let I explain the formula for variable prep2:
To make it simple, I have a simple dataset like:
Code:
month rep repchange prep2
1 10 na na
2 50 40 na
3 80 30 x
How to calculate x?
x = (80-50)/(50-10)*100
It means I calculate percentage of changes in two period: period 1 (from month 1 to month 2), period 2 (from month 2 to month 3)


Results:
Period of observations (22 months, Oct. 2017 - end Aug. 2019)

In medians, figures for monthly new replies, views, and pages are 6221, 57218 and 277, respectively
Code:
. tabstat rep repchange viewchange pagechange, s(n mean sd p50 p25 p75 min max) c(s)

    variable |         N      mean        sd       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
         rep |        23  431653.3  40063.37    426942    402460    465823    361446    497611
   repchange |        22  6189.318  2385.798    6220.5      4997      7402      2320     12512
  viewchange |        22  88954.05  91983.42     57218     36470     79733     24348    363534
  pagechange |        22  280.8182  176.8509     276.5       188       370      -288       626
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Plots
Code:
. list id day month2 year date prep2 pview2 ppages2 pbtc, abb(30)

     +---------------------------------------------------------------------------+
     | id   day   month2   year        date    prep2   pview2   ppages2     pbtc |
     |---------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  1. |  1    31       10   2017   31oct2017        .        .         .        . |
  2. |  2    30       11   2017   30nov2017        .        .         .    53.39 |
  3. |  3    31       12   2017   31dec2017    82.87   -10.09         .    34.74 |
  4. |  4    31        1   2018   31jan2018    -54.6   -87.15    -54.63   -23.12 |
  5. |  5    28        2   2018   28feb2018    76.06    59.05     76.06     4.84 |
     |---------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  6. |  6    31        3   2018   31mar2018    -40.2   -43.82     -43.2   -33.02 |
  7. |  7    30        4   2018   30apr2018   -16.44    -35.1    -36.97    30.29 |
  8. |  8    31        5   2018   31may2018   -38.96    38.61     32.96    -18.5 |
  9. |  9    30        6   2018   30jun2018   104.03     2.49      9.66   -14.58 |
 10. | 10    31        7   2018   31jul2018    -56.4      -26    -27.97    21.54 |
     |---------------------------------------------------------------------------|
 11. | 11    31        8   2018   31aug2018     90.9   184.59    -16.49   -11.63 |
 12. | 12    30        9   2018   30sep2018    -55.2   -17.39      -.64    -4.35 |
 13. | 13    30       10   2018   30oct2018    72.28   192.77      1.92      .14 |
 14. | 14    30       11   2018   30nov2018    56.62   -24.69     128.3   -39.55 |
 15. | 15    31       12   2018   31dec2018    48.74     8.11     33.88    -5.35 |
     |---------------------------------------------------------------------------|
 16. | 16    31        1   2019   31jan2019    -31.2   -44.42    -45.06    -8.97 |
 17. | 17    28        2   2019   28feb2019     4.42   -54.26     53.93    12.78 |
 18. | 18    31        3   2019   31mar2019    -7.04        0    -22.63     5.18 |
 19. | 19    30        4   2019   30apr2019    19.04    48.77     16.35    28.44 |
 20. | 20    31        5   2019   31may2019     2.11       11      2.16    61.31 |
     |---------------------------------------------------------------------------|
 21. | 21    30        6   2019   30jun2019    -1.97     3.82     -2.12    32.48 |
 22. | 22    31        7   2019   31jul2019   -27.45    -17.5     -27.3   -10.74 |
 23. | 23    31        8   2019   31aug2019   -24.76    -31.3    -24.91    -4.45 |
     +---------------------------------------------------------------------------+
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