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Question: When will we see a new ATH?
2023 - 36 (25.4%)
2024 - 54 (38%)
2025 - 39 (27.5%)
2026 - 3 (2.1%)
2027 - 2 (1.4%)
After 2027 - 3 (2.1%)
Never - 5 (3.5%)
Total Voters: 142

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 25980825 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (170 posts by 5 users with 9 merit deleted.)
mersal
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September 07, 2019, 06:33:38 PM


You are here, so you are very lucky (as are we).

You just need to shift your mindset to a minimum of five years.
I am in that kind of mindset already but my strategy is to cashout 5% from the total profits for every quarter,seems like a weird strategy?

But until now I am doing good and also will invest more when have the money.

You’d be stupid to sell anything at all until 6-12 months after the halving which is still 8-9 months away.

https://www.bitcoinblockhalf.com/
Maybe you think that is stupidity but I call it as don't be too greedy. Grin

Anyway I got your point might be need some strategical time regarding the halving period.


I generally agree with LFC, but I do wonder about the range of 6-12 months after the halvening.

A person would be less stupid if at least waiting until 6 months after the halvening, but even less than that if waiting until 12 months after the halvening?

I am thinking that LFC is saying that the larger of the exponential price periods of bitcoin's growth is likely to come somewhat after the halvening, because there tends to be a bit of a denial of the actual effect of the shrinking of the supply of the new bitcoins coming out of the printing presses of the miners.  Anyhow, that peak is not exactly known, but we are going to have better chances of experiencing such peak within the 6-12 month window period than anytime before that.

Even though I agree quite a bit with LFC's hypothesis, I do have some trouble with attempting to bank too much on any such  fractal comparisons, which is largely an attempt to compare what had happened in the last two post halvening exponential growth periods and to extrapolate what is likely to happen in this post halvening period.  Even though I believe that there is a quite a bit of actual physical and material pressures on BTC.. which is upwards pressures on price due to actual restriction of BTC supply, I still have some difficulties putting too many of my eggs in such a basket, so in that regard, I do get some sense that if there is kind of outrageous exponential price rise that comes before that 6-12 month post-halvening period, then that outrageous exponential price rise could (but not necessarily will) take away some of the fuel on the actual restriction of the supply period, because in that case, if BTC's price rise had been front run in such an outrageous way, then there would not likely be enough steam to fuel another exponential price rise that happens in the 6-12 month post-halvening period that comes from actual fundamentals regarding the actual lessening of the new BTC supply.
It likely more than 18 months ahead to make the highest reap compared to the current price but even after that prices going to dances and the cycle reaps that is why I am not very much confused about taking very small profits in short term interval.Which help me to collect the some of capital amount which I invested in few years so the remaining only will be the capital gains.
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Every time a block is mined, a certain amount of BTC (called the subsidy) is created out of thin air and given to the miner. The subsidy halves every four years and will reach 0 in about 130 years.
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September 07, 2019, 07:19:02 PM
Last edit: September 07, 2019, 07:34:15 PM by SuperTA



Btc/Usd

For the short term i'm watching the yellow EMA line, which currently acts as a support on the 4h chart. The 4h candle closed above it. Currently the yellow line is around 10.270 Usd. If it stays above it will be bullish. If not we will find other support.


You sound undeniably correct.

BTC's price is going to go down until it stops going down, and if it does not stop going down where it should stop, then BTC's price is going to go down more.

I have learned a lot about bitcoin and about myself from such observations.    Wink  The chart helps to make that point, too.. Comes off as more professional.  Wink

I don't know about you but i buy on the support bounce. So i bought some back. If it reaches my target between 10.800 and 11.000 i sold 3 times already there. Yes it goes up and down but i tell where is the support (buy) and where resistance (sell). If it goes bellow support it means sell. (well i trade only 20% of my holdings, i never sell all.) Trader has to be prepared for both ways.



Bitcoin bounced nicely from our support around 10.270 Usd (the yellow line). As i said i sold 3x times between 10.800 and 11.000 major resistance area and i bought back some at this support. As long as it stays above this yellow support it's good for the short term. Specially if it stays and closes above the purple line. Currently we are sitting on that purple  line and testing it around 10.470 Usd
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September 07, 2019, 07:21:56 PM

I did not say the protocol could not be changed. I am pointing out Krubster's rather daft implication that the Satoshi-CSW question has anything whatsoever to do with the fact that SegWit is the alteration.
Sir,

I have always respected you. Not for your believes, but for being a gentleman and keeping a civilized tone despite all the (unfair?) bashing you receive.

You're very intelligent, I give you that. I do however don't agree with you. For me, segwit is bitcoin, anything else is an altcoin.

Just because segwit wasn't mentioned in the whitepaper some 10 years ago, doesn't mean it can't be bitcoin.

Things evole. Technology improve. Just as bitcoin has improved. Segwit is a part of that improvement.
If you hold a plan to build a house in your hand and deceit to throw it away to build a bridge, you will sleep under a bridge, would you have followed original plan you be sleeping in a house.

Segwit/Lightning is xrp version 2, same junk as version 1
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September 07, 2019, 07:30:23 PM
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When you cease to embrace change, you are dead already.


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September 07, 2019, 07:34:38 PM

Yo English Fans LFC & v8 ...... pray for another knock from Ben stokes or maybe some umpiring blunders Tongue. 8 wickets left and 365 runs need to win the game.

PS : Joe Root sucks....

I think it’ll be a draw mate, AUS won’t get ENG all out by close of day 5.
Or maybe they’ll skittle England out by lunch Grin
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September 07, 2019, 08:23:37 PM
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via Imgflip Meme Generator


via Imgflip Meme Generator

via Imgflip Meme Generator

Where is this what is this ??

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September 07, 2019, 08:27:05 PM
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Yo English Fans LFC & v8 ...... pray for another knock from Ben stokes or maybe some umpiring blunders Tongue. 8 wickets left and 365 runs need to win the game.

PS : Joe Root sucks....

I think it’ll be a draw mate, AUS won’t get ENG all out by close of day 5.
Or maybe they’ll skittle England out by lunch Grin

So you are hoping for miracle hehe  Grin for this to happen you guys need some resistance from the middle order, which is a tough task if you ask me. Starc-Cummins- Hazlewood this trio can rip off middle-lower order in their one spell only if they get going.

I want Oz to win this game because of Smith.
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September 07, 2019, 08:28:05 PM

Roger Waters?
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September 07, 2019, 08:32:57 PM

Roger Waters?

Is this for me?? Cause would be wrong  Tongue
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September 07, 2019, 08:33:25 PM


Here? (Shot in the dark)

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September 07, 2019, 08:36:34 PM

Yo English Fans LFC & v8 ...... pray for another knock from Ben stokes or maybe some umpiring blunders Tongue. 8 wickets left and 365 runs need to win the game.

PS : Joe Root sucks....

I think it’ll be a draw mate, AUS won’t get ENG all out by close of day 5.
Or maybe they’ll skittle England out by lunch Grin

So you are hoping for miracle hehe  Grin for this to happen you guys need some resistance from the middle order, which is a tough task if you ask me. Starc-Cummins- Hazlewood this trio can rip off middle-lower order in their one spell only if they get going.

I want Oz to win this game because of Smith.

Smith is an alien, he can’t be human.
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September 07, 2019, 08:38:49 PM

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Shot of behind me
Wilhelm
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September 07, 2019, 08:43:31 PM


Is that the Belfort in Brugge?
I was there a few weeks ago 😅👍🏻
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September 07, 2019, 08:50:11 PM
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Is that the Belfort in Brugge?
I was there a few weeks ago 😅👍🏻

Haha no your wrong  Tongue

Its Antwerp Cathedral and I had dinner close there.... walking away from the resto .... I saw there was a big event projected on the town Hall about world war II and the liberation....

Was Made very nice
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September 07, 2019, 08:59:52 PM
Last edit: September 07, 2019, 11:44:55 PM by SuperTA
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WO September Statistics (Merits Received/Sent)

micgoossens received 45 sent 45
fillippone received 31 sent 12
SuperTA received 28 sent 27
makrospex received 27  sent 18
JayJuanGee  received 25  sent 39
LFC_Bitcoin received 21  sent 25

vroom received  19 sent 3
Globb0 received 18 sent 40
Icygreen received 18 sent 4
Toxic2040 received 18 sent 0
d_eddie received 17 sent 8
Last of the V8s received 17  sent 6
mindrust received 16  sent 20
xhomerx10  15 sent 4
VB1001 received 15 sent 13
Dabs received  14 sent 96  
Wilhelm received 14 sent 20
Biodom received 14  sent 9
jojo69 received 14 sent 4

HairyMaclairy received 9  sent 11
Arriemoller received 9  sent 1
BobLawblaw received 9  sent 0
lightfoot received 6 sent 0
heslo received 6  sent 1

Raja_MBZ received 5  sent 4
Elwar received 5 sent 0
Lambie Slayer received 5  sent 0
Krubster received 5  sent 0
arewethereyet? received 5  sent 0

Torque received 4  sent 5
JimboToronto received 4 sent 4
nutildah received 4  sent 3
Negotiation received 4  sent 2
bkbirge received 4  sent 2
psycodad received 4  sent 1
Totscha received 4  sent 1
Dunkelheit667 received 3  sent 5
JSRAW received 3 sent 4
DaRude received 3 sent 2
Findingnemo received 3  sent 0
tranthidung received 3  sent 0
becoin received 3  sent 0

sirazimuth received 2  sent 5
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bitcoinPsycho received 2  sent 4
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September 07, 2019, 09:01:29 PM

Whew.. I was starting to think you had met up with r0ach IRL  Roll Eyes
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September 07, 2019, 09:03:40 PM


Is that the Belfort in Brugge?
I was there a few weeks ago 😅👍🏻

Haha no your wrong  Tongue

Its Antwerp Cathedral and I had dinner close there.... walking away from the resto .... I saw there was a big event projected on the town Hall about world war II and the liberation....

Was Made very nice

Ah darn... Close enough...
Looks like a nicely done light show. Always good to remember the horrors from the past.
I went to Auschwitz which also puts things into perspective.

Anyways have fun.... 😎
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September 07, 2019, 09:07:46 PM


Is that the Belfort in Brugge?
I was there a few weeks ago 😅👍🏻

Haha no your wrong  Tongue

Its Antwerp Cathedral and I had dinner close there.... walking away from the resto .... I saw there was a big event projected on the town Hall about world war II and the liberation....

Was Made very nice

It was Liberation party... . My old neighbours from Kattenberg were again on demo with their old US WWII military vehicles... . (Better maintained than current Belgian army stuff) Cheesy Cheesy
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September 07, 2019, 09:08:28 PM
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Whew.. I was starting to think you had met up with r0ach IRL  Roll Eyes


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September 07, 2019, 09:11:17 PM
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WO September Statistics (Merits Received/Sent)

micgoossens received 45 sent 45
fillippone received 31 sent 12
SuperTA received 28 sent 27
makrospex received 27  sent 18
JayJuanGee  received 25  sent 39
LFC_Bitcoin received 21  sent 25

vroom received  19 sent 3
Globb0 received 18 sent 40
Icygreen received 18 sent 4
Toxic2040 received 18 sent 0
d_eddie received 17 sent 8
Last of the V8s received 17  sent 6
mindrust received 16  sent 20
xhomerx10  15 sent 4
VB1001 received 15 sent 13
Dabs received  14 sent 96  
Wilhelm received 14 sent 20
jojo69 received 14 sent 4

HairyMaclairy received 9  sent 11
BobLawblaw received 9  sent 0
lightfoot received 6 sent 0

Raja_MBZ received 5  sent 4
Elwar received 5 sent 0
Lambie Slayer received 5  sent 0
arewethereyet? received 5  sent 0

Torque received 4  sent 5
JimboToronto received 4 sent 4
nutildah received 4  sent 3
Totscha received 4  sent 1

Dunkelheit667 received 3  sent 5
JSRAW received 3 sent 4
Findingnemo received 3  sent 0
tranthidung received 3  sent 0

sirazimuth received 2  sent 5
jbreher received 2  sent 5
bitcoinPsycho received 2  sent 4
Ibian received 2 sent 1
Saint-loup received 2  sent 1
Pamoldar received 2  sent 0
akhjob received  2 sent 0
cAPSLOCK received 1  sent 6

bkbirge received 0  sent 2
ivomm received 0 sent 1
Cryptotourist received 0  sent 1
Hueristic received 0 sent 1
Bossian received 0  sent 1
hugeblack received 0  sent 1
btcbeliever received 0 sent 1
rs1x received 0  sent 1





Sowwy, but this record is incomplete  Grin
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