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Question: Price Target for Nov. 30, 2024:
<$75K - 1 (2.1%)
$75K to $80K - 1 (2.1%)
$80K to $85K - 2 (4.3%)
$85K to $90K - 7 (14.9%)
$90K to $95K - 12 (25.5%)
$95K to $100K - 5 (10.6%)
>$100K - 19 (40.4%)
Total Voters: 47

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26492673 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Ibian
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March 13, 2019, 07:55:55 AM

So, predictions. If I am correct that all the social ills and psychological and behavioral problems of our time is primarily caused by overpopulation and life being too easy for generations at a time, then there are only a very small number of possible future outcomes.

The first one that a lot of people will probably jump to is that we simply wait for the boomers to die and then everything will be fine after that. Not going to happen. Things always change, and always towards the left over time.

Other than that, the only option is a violent reduction in numbers. War, pestilence or famine. Given the current understanding of the amygdala, war is most likely to come in the form of a soviet-style collapse. The states will continue to become ever more tyrannical until we have an economic collapse, which will result in lowered food production and a lot of dead people.

So if soviet conditions are the most likely near-future outcome, what to do about it?

Flee. Simple as that. If you stay, odds are you will be locked up or have all your property stolen or simply end up shot. Let the disease burn itself out, and when the rebuilding begins in 10-30 years it might be time to come back if you feel like it by then. But staying through it is simply too dangerous and there is no reward.


On a side note, I have gained a new appreciation for the importance and role of religion during these studies. Maybe a topic for another time.
While I might agree that reduction of populations could be one solution, I'm not convinced it needs to be war, famine and disease that does it. What if the other option included wealth and education redistribution which ultimately resulted in the same. (John Calhoun's rat experiment) A voluntary or subconscious participation in depopulation could leave our hard fought infrastructure intact where war likely would not.
The constant threat of war plays an important role in our eventual decision to choose another option but failing this, war is ready.
I choose plan BTC
Humans don't act based on logic and facts and numbers. The few who do are the weirdos, the freaks of nature. Humans as a whole act based on subconscious programming. This is not something we can reason our way out of.
This is true. However, if you become aware of this you can turn yourself into one as well and thus expand your possibilities. After all, everything that holds us back is the result of adaption to environment encoded in genetics and materializing in habits so to speak. If you understand this you can actively work on breaking those habits and replacing them with new ones that are more fit for our times and your personal situation. Of course that's a major pain in the ass and not necessarily worth it on an individual basis, especially for those who are already well off.
The problem is that it appears to require a large amygdala in order for critical thought to be possible. As in, physically possible. And it only develops under certain environmental conditions which, for the most part do not exist today. How do you physically alter the brains of millions of people?
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March 13, 2019, 08:05:09 AM

This is true. However, if you become aware of this you can turn yourself into one as well and thus expand your possibilities. After all, everything that holds us back is the result of adaption to environment encoded in genetics and materializing in habits so to speak. If you understand this you can actively work on breaking those habits and replacing them with new ones that are more fit for our times and your personal situation. Of course that's a major pain in the ass and not necessarily worth it on an individual basis, especially for those who are already well off.
The problem is that it appears to require a large amygdala in order for critical thought to be possible. As in, physically possible. And it only develops under certain environmental conditions which, for the most part do not exist today. How do you physically alter the brains of millions of people?
With psychedelic drugs. They have been shown to promote neurogenesis as well as to create new connection between neurons. The effect is the strongest while the substance is in the body, but after-effects remain. Of course, research on this is way behind thanks to our precious governments protecting us.

Another option is technology, namely the kind of stuff Musk is trying to create with Neuralink. But that's still god knows how long away.


Do you know any papers on the amygdala claim by the way? Sounds interesting and would explain why some people can't be reasoned with even if you're being extra nice.
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March 13, 2019, 08:14:19 AM

Also regarding the "life too easy" argument.

I don't think that you necessarily need to encounter extreme "bad" hardship to become capable and a net positive on society as opposed to being a drain. It would probably be enough if there were sufficient incentives in place to periodically push yourself beyond your current limits.

The key element here is overcoming challenges that appear "too big" or even impossible. Going through such of any type is a humbling and rewarding experience and you learn to be much more open-minded.

You can generally tell if a person has accomplished anything (even just being really good at a 'useless' game) based on how they interact with others (over prolonged periods of time, everybody has bad days). Those that never pushed themselves make conclusions. The others question and are willing to learn.
And the more such hardships one conquers the stronger the effect becomes.

But when everything is thrown your way and you don't have to try you just assume that you're perfect, after all everything is going well. Similarly, people who have shitty lives but have a constant voice telling them it's not their fault won't push themselves either and then repeatedly make conclusions as opposed to looking for new ways forward. In arguments this translates to fighting as opposed to looking for unknown variables with the opponent (opponent in the sense of the person opposite of you, not in the sense of an enemy - someone throw me an English word for this please).
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March 13, 2019, 08:16:35 AM

Ummm these girls don’t look 18 to me



They all look ugly too, shit man if I was that rich I’d be surrounded by Eastern European elite escorts Wink
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March 13, 2019, 08:18:04 AM

https://www.chepicap.com/en/news/8079/legendary-financial-market-analyst-and-btc-skeptic-marc-faber-buys-bitcoin.html

Bitcoin scored a major victory by converting a famous nocoiner and Bitcoin hater. You may have seen him over the last few years when Mr. Faber does his typical rounds on CNBC, Fox Business, and Bloomberg. He is an old school gold bug and used to mock and deride Bitcoin and its hodlers.
 

"Readers of Faber’s “Gloom, Doom, Doom” report have been encouraging him to buy Bitcoin for years now, he explained. He finally conceded for “learning reasons,” the news outlet reports. Additionally, Faber recently sat down with millionaire entrepreneur Wence Casares, CEO of Xapo - the world’s largest Bitcoin depository and executive director at PayPal - which may have affected his decision."


Many of these famous old school stubborn gold bugs like Mr. Faber, Jim Rickards, and Peter Schiff have been very outspoken critics of Bitcoin. Converting Mr. Faber is a great sign. Next we will convert Schiff, Rickards, and the rest of his ilk and these famous gold bugs will become powerful allies in the run to 100k.

88 days into the new Baby Bull Market and all is well.  Grin
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March 13, 2019, 08:23:22 AM
Merited by xhomerx10 (1)

I think I just threw up a bit looking at that Calvin Ayre pedo pic. The girl on the left is what ? 13 at most ?
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March 13, 2019, 08:27:39 AM
Merited by P_Shep (1)

Ronaldooooo!

Yeah, long time i woke up and the first thing i wanna see wasn’t CORN price

I’m so happy to see JUVE going through and not atl m with their (lame football)
 
GoGoGo JUVEeeeeee ....... still didn’t watch the price, gonna do that now Wink

I hated him ever since the Beckham thing when he winked after getting his own team comrade sent off in an international.

Total CSW

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March 13, 2019, 08:29:36 AM

This is true. However, if you become aware of this you can turn yourself into one as well and thus expand your possibilities. After all, everything that holds us back is the result of adaption to environment encoded in genetics and materializing in habits so to speak. If you understand this you can actively work on breaking those habits and replacing them with new ones that are more fit for our times and your personal situation. Of course that's a major pain in the ass and not necessarily worth it on an individual basis, especially for those who are already well off.
The problem is that it appears to require a large amygdala in order for critical thought to be possible. As in, physically possible. And it only develops under certain environmental conditions which, for the most part do not exist today. How do you physically alter the brains of millions of people?
With psychedelic drugs. They have been shown to promote neurogenesis as well as to create new connection between neurons. The effect is the strongest while the substance is in the body, but after-effects remain. Of course, research on this is way behind thanks to our precious governments protecting us.

Another option is technology, namely the kind of stuff Musk is trying to create with Neuralink. But that's still god knows how long away.


Do you know any papers on the amygdala claim by the way? Sounds interesting and would explain why some people can't be reasoned with even if you're being extra nice.
How do you realistically do it today?

http://www.anonymousconservative.com/

Also there are vids on youtube, search for r/K theory. This might be a good start https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W8N3FF_3KvU
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March 13, 2019, 08:34:33 AM

Want to share this for everyone. This is really good for risk management.


He really explained it very well:

Read more here: https://twitter.com/CryptoCobain/status/922197320292323328

But there is no diversity, that should all be in once slice - crypto. Or maybe 2, crypto and crypto high risk or something.




Ibian
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March 13, 2019, 08:40:55 AM
Last edit: March 13, 2019, 08:55:15 AM by Ibian

Also, there is something called the triune brain theory. It states that the brain can be thought of as three different systems that developed over time throughout evolution. The oldest part is what we call the lizard brain, it contains all the automatic functions that are required to stay alive. Blood pressure, heartbeat, breathing, rapid fight or flight responses, hormonal adjustments, terribly boring stuff but vital. We don't care about this part.

The next part is the limbic system, what we commonly call the subconscious part of the brain. It contains emotions and instincts. Everything that makes humans different from other animals, our essential core personality. And it still works the same way it did before we fucked up and invented agriculture, which is why people do so many dumb things that make no sense in a modern context.

The newest system is the thinking part of the brain. It deals with numbers, cause and effect, anything that requires conscious thought. It can reprogram the subconscious which is how we learn things. It is also extremely slow and energy intensive compared to the emotional part of the brain, which is why most people do not use it unless absolutely required. It is not fully developed before the age of about 25, which helps to explain teenagers.

NPCs use primarily the emotional part of the brain. They don't think, they just feel. They carry out automatic scripts.

What I have observed is that high-amygdala people use the thinking part of the brain more. I believe it has to do with a heightened sense of danger, which prompts us to develop new and better modes of operation because the ones we have are obviously not sufficient. Small-amygdala people do not see the coming dangers. They are physically incapable of perceiving them. I have yet to see a serious study look into this connection, but I would bet money on it being correct.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hg6XUYWj-pk


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March 13, 2019, 09:30:19 AM

This is true. However, if you become aware of this you can turn yourself into one as well and thus expand your possibilities. After all, everything that holds us back is the result of adaption to environment encoded in genetics and materializing in habits so to speak. If you understand this you can actively work on breaking those habits and replacing them with new ones that are more fit for our times and your personal situation. Of course that's a major pain in the ass and not necessarily worth it on an individual basis, especially for those who are already well off.
The problem is that it appears to require a large amygdala in order for critical thought to be possible. As in, physically possible. And it only develops under certain environmental conditions which, for the most part do not exist today. How do you physically alter the brains of millions of people?
With psychedelic drugs. They have been shown to promote neurogenesis as well as to create new connection between neurons. The effect is the strongest while the substance is in the body, but after-effects remain. Of course, research on this is way behind thanks to our precious governments protecting us.

Another option is technology, namely the kind of stuff Musk is trying to create with Neuralink. But that's still god knows how long away.


Do you know any papers on the amygdala claim by the way? Sounds interesting and would explain why some people can't be reasoned with even if you're being extra nice.
How do you realistically do it today?

http://www.anonymousconservative.com/

Also there are vids on youtube, search for r/K theory. This might be a good start https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W8N3FF_3KvU
Was worried about the link at first, but it actually makes reference to peer reviewed studies. Would merit, but out and you're already legendary.
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March 13, 2019, 09:34:40 AM

My current market position is 98.2% cold, long term Bitcoin.  1.8% cash.*  

Deep dark purple all the way through the crypto-winter bottom.  Might start picking up some market risk when we get a golden cross on the 50 / 100 Weekly MA.  

*excludes non-crypto assets


Edit: forgot a small short at $3390 which I have mentally written off and 0.012 BTC that V8 owes me.  
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March 13, 2019, 09:38:44 AM

Also, there is something called the triune brain theory. It states that the brain can be thought of as three different systems that developed over time throughout evolution. The oldest part is what we call the lizard brain, it contains all the automatic functions that are required to stay alive. Blood pressure, heartbeat, breathing, rapid fight or flight responses, hormonal adjustments, terribly boring stuff but vital. We don't care about this part.

The next part is the limbic system, what we commonly call the subconscious part of the brain. It contains emotions and instincts. Everything that makes humans different from other animals, our essential core personality. And it still works the same way it did before we fucked up and invented agriculture, which is why people do so many dumb things that make no sense in a modern context.

The newest system is the thinking part of the brain. It deals with numbers, cause and effect, anything that requires conscious thought. It can reprogram the subconscious which is how we learn things. It is also extremely slow and energy intensive compared to the emotional part of the brain, which is why most people do not use it unless absolutely required. It is not fully developed before the age of about 25, which helps to explain teenagers.

NPCs use primarily the emotional part of the brain. They don't think, they just feel. They carry out automatic scripts.

What I have observed is that high-amygdala people use the thinking part of the brain more. I believe it has to do with a heightened sense of danger, which prompts us to develop new and better modes of operation because the ones we have are obviously not sufficient. Small-amygdala people do not see the coming dangers. They are physically incapable of perceiving them. I have yet to see a serious study look into this connection, but I would bet money on it being correct.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hg6XUYWj-pk


I'm not sure what the fuck my amygdala looks like, but I think almost exclusively and when I notice emotions I take note of them, where they come from, and then decide whether there was substance to the cause of the impulse or not. If there was I take note to adjust my behaviour in the future, otherwise I just stop being upset immediately and laugh off the stupidity of the impulse.

I don't know if I really look out for danger (subconsciously) though, I just really enjoy trying to identify all aspects of cause and effect for just about anything. It's literally like playing games or solving puzzles to me, which I consider entertaining. I generally don't feel threatened by any of the potential doomsday scenarios either, they're just part of the intriguing game of life to me.


NPCs are definitely a thing though. Always had a hunch that something was "odd" about some people (who consider me just as odd I suppose) but it's interesting to see that there are actual studies on this. Taking offense to anything is just the dumbest concept imaginable for me, although the impulse makes sense given our previous exposure to predators.
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March 13, 2019, 09:39:30 AM

This is true. However, if you become aware of this you can turn yourself into one as well and thus expand your possibilities. After all, everything that holds us back is the result of adaption to environment encoded in genetics and materializing in habits so to speak. If you understand this you can actively work on breaking those habits and replacing them with new ones that are more fit for our times and your personal situation. Of course that's a major pain in the ass and not necessarily worth it on an individual basis, especially for those who are already well off.
The problem is that it appears to require a large amygdala in order for critical thought to be possible. As in, physically possible. And it only develops under certain environmental conditions which, for the most part do not exist today. How do you physically alter the brains of millions of people?
With psychedelic drugs. They have been shown to promote neurogenesis as well as to create new connection between neurons. The effect is the strongest while the substance is in the body, but after-effects remain. Of course, research on this is way behind thanks to our precious governments protecting us.

Another option is technology, namely the kind of stuff Musk is trying to create with Neuralink. But that's still god knows how long away.


Do you know any papers on the amygdala claim by the way? Sounds interesting and would explain why some people can't be reasoned with even if you're being extra nice.
How do you realistically do it today?

http://www.anonymousconservative.com/

Also there are vids on youtube, search for r/K theory. This might be a good start https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W8N3FF_3KvU
Was worried about the link at first, but it actually makes reference to peer reviewed studies. Would merit, but out and you're already legendary.
Everything in the book is referenced. Part of why it caught on probably, the science behind it is solid.

He also has a second book that deals specifically with narcissists (to my understanding, a result of a small amygdala plus environment - look up Sam Vaknin on youtube for more). That one is without references, but it is perhaps the best book on the topic to date.

Both of them are free if you drop an email, it's how I got them initially.
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March 13, 2019, 09:45:05 AM

My current market position is 98.2% cold, long term Bitcoin.  1.8% cash.*  

Deep dark purple all the way through the crypto-winter bottom.  Might start picking up some market risk when we get a golden cross on the 50 / 100 Weekly MA.  

*excludes non-crypto assets


Edit: forgot a small short at $3390 which I have mentally written off and 0.012 BTC that V8 owes me.  
Given that you traded technicals quite successfully on the way down. How come you don't use 1-5-10% of your corn stash to trade shit coins? They're doing fairly obvious movements right now that you should easily be able to scalp to increase your BTC stash with fairly low risk given tight SLs.
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March 13, 2019, 10:07:46 AM

Everything in the book is referenced. Part of why it caught on probably, the science behind it is solid.

He also has a second book that deals specifically with narcissists (to my understanding, a result of a small amygdala plus environment - look up Sam Vaknin on youtube for more). That one is without references, but it is perhaps the best book on the topic to date.

Both of them are free if you drop an email, it's how I got them initially.
Good to know, will send them a mail and read through sometime.
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March 13, 2019, 10:38:22 AM
Merited by xhomerx10 (1)

I think I just threw up a bit looking at that Calvin Ayre pedo pic. The girl on the left is what ? 13 at most ?

I throw up with you..... mentale this morning
Wtf is that Guy doing and showing of....
He’s lucky not to cross me, cause i would really consider punching him square in the face for being with those miners......
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March 13, 2019, 10:41:44 AM



Edit: forgot a small short at $3390 which I have mentally written off and 0.012 BTC that V8 owes me.  

Mmmmmmm those V8 BTC Will be tasting good (collect them on a private address Then auction Then auction them Roll Eyes )

No Maybe we can speculate about the price what they Will be FIAT worth the day of sending (almost thinking of creating a game around it) Cheesy
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March 13, 2019, 10:43:31 AM

via Imgflip Meme Generator

Roll Eyes Roll Eyes
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March 13, 2019, 10:43:58 AM

My current market position is 98.2% cold, long term Bitcoin.  1.8% cash.*  

Deep dark purple all the way through the crypto-winter bottom.  Might start picking up some market risk when we get a golden cross on the 50 / 100 Weekly MA.  

*excludes non-crypto assets


Edit: forgot a small short at $3390 which I have mentally written off and 0.012 BTC that V8 owes me.  
Given that you traded technicals quite successfully on the way down. How come you don't use 1-5-10% of your corn stash to trade shit coins? They're doing fairly obvious movements right now that you should easily be able to scalp to increase your BTC stash with fairly low risk given tight SLs.

Good question which I sometimes ask myself.  Unfortunately I have zero respect for shitcoins which taints my judgement. Also just don’t have time to invest in them.  Such is the life of a min / maxer.  

I have some grudging respect for Grin which I am following but the chart looks like a diseased dick and no way to short it that I am aware of. 
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