Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[fr4nkthetank]

....if there is ww3, this is what started it:

https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/126/eo14024_directive_4_02282022.pdf

prohibits the whole world other than possibly china to interact with the russian central bank.  That's what I would call a pre-emptive economic thermonuclear first strike

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[jojo69]

https://twitter.com/i/status/1500942297202102274

[JayJuanGee]

.....
....even a stopped clock can be correct from time to time - a couple times a day to be more precise.

Indeed....
However, there is no way for one to determine when it is correct, unless one has a working clock next to it, in which case, surely the stopped clock is not only useless, but also irrelevant....Perhaps?

Time is relative, so every watch is completely irrelative unless measured from a frame of reference.

Oh gawd... you two are getting way too philosophical, when the most basic point that I was attempting to make was that the dweeb known as Save the RF had happened to make a decent point - which is a rare event.... and, yeah, I will even concede that whether Save the RF had actually objectively made a decent point could also be a point of contention..

.....
....even a stopped clock can be correct from time to time - a couple times a day to be more precise.

Indeed....
However, there is no way for one to determine when it is correct, unless one has a working clock next to it, in which case, surely the stopped clock is not only useless, but also irrelevant....Perhaps?

I recall an old saying that went something like: You never take two clocks with you when you travel, you either take one or three.

What would you take with you if you were trying to verify Save the RF?  I'm thinking a sledge hammer might be a good start.

 

@therationalroot
The HODL Model: #Bitcoin 's illiquid supply is outpacing supply issuance.
As illiquid supply rises, so do the market impacts of bitcoin's digital scarcity.

Short 🧵👇

https://twitter.com/therationalroot/status/1500875223201042439?s=21


@therationalroot
The "HODL model hypothesis" is that bitcoin has crossed a historic inflection point where the asset's illiquid supply is outpacing the rate of new supply issuance. Future halvings with lower supply issuance will only exacerbate this divergence.

https://twitter.com/therationalroot/status/1500875232986353666?s=21


@therationalroot
Illiquid supply as a percentage of circulating supply will grow in a parabolic fashion as #Bitcoin 's digital scarcity drives investor behavior towards store of value as the dominant use case. As a result, illiquid supply will approach 80% of circulating supply by 2036.

https://twitter.com/therationalroot/status/1500875238220828672?s=21

@therationalroot
Liquid and highly-liquid supply will tighten as illiquid supply grows, leaving less bitcoin available on the market to acquire or trade.
New waves of demand that enter the market to acquire this declining available supply will then lead to exponential price increases.
https://twitter.com/therationalroot/status/1500875240494166017?s=21

@therationalroot
The HODL model predicts a conservative estimate of #Bitcoin 's available supply following the growth curve we saw above. Since illiquid supply share nears a low at the inflection point, a logical consequence would be for bitcoin's price to follow an inverse S-curve.
https://twitter.com/therationalroot/status/1500875242369011715?s=21

@therationalroot
The 'HODL Price Model' leverages the HODL Model's inflection & end point to create an an asymmetric s-curve following the projections of illiquid supply.

https://twitter.com/therationalroot/status/1500875247024701441?s=21

@therationalroot
Unlike a log-curve with a continuous decreasing slope, the HODL price model has an increasing slope from the inflection point onwards.
https://twitter.com/therationalroot/status/1500875249662849025?s=21

@therationalroot
With tighter liquid and highly-liquid supply, we see high increases in price at the beginning of bitcoin’s lifetime and then moderate price increases near the third halving’s inflection point. As available supply tightens again, we should expect higher price increases to follow.
https://twitter.com/therationalroot/status/1500875251399331845?s=21


Interesting analysis, bit of bullishness & HOPIUM for us. We’re going to need to be very patient, the price will explode some time after the next halvening. North of $300,000 in 2025 at some point imo. Prepare yourselves for a bear market until 2024 though, buy with all you have near & under $30,000. Bottom will be within 12 months, something like $25,000.

NFA
DYOR

Some of these cited articles/links/points seem to be highlighting a bit of an issue that seems to be currently present within bitcoinlandia, which is that there seems to be a certain amount of paper-supply bitcoin that has been issued and that seems to be retaining too many influences upon bitcoin current price dynamics, and surely many of us realize and appreciate that there is a certain solution that could be helpful to resolve aspects of the paper bitcoin issuance problema..... which is a 3x to 15x price surge, and then the count-response for the various paper bitcoin issuers would be to attempt to issue 10x to 100x more paper bitcoin in an attempt to push the BTC prices back down, but will they be able to get away with such nonsense ongoing manipulation attempts without getting called out (hopefully a severe and irreversible beating) from actual bitcoin HODLers?

I don't proclaim to know the answer.. but I do hope that a vase majority of these paper bitcoin issuers can get their asses beaten..even though I am not sure exactly how to accomplish such.. beyond HODLers claiming their keys and then ultimately placing high value on privately held BTC (which contrary would be lower value upon third party bitcoin's that seem to be not backed 1 to 1)

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[JayJuanGee]

The Top 5 Metaverse Cryptocurrencies With a Unit Price of Less Than $0.09 (March 2022)

The Metaverse Cryptocurrency market continues to be dominated by traders and investors looking for the next big thing. While there are already a number of successful multi-billion dollar Metaverse cryptocurrency initiatives on the market, such as Decentraland and The Sandbox, there are also a number of underappreciated and undervalued projects worth monitoring. This article examines our selection of the best five Metaverse crypto coins with a unit price less than $0.09 to watch in March 2022, ranked from lowest to highest by current price.

Fuck shitcoins

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[DaRude]

The Top 5 Metaverse Cryptocurrencies With a Unit Price of Less Than $0.09 (March 2022)

The Metaverse Cryptocurrency market continues to be dominated by traders and investors looking for the next big thing. While there are already a number of successful multi-billion dollar Metaverse cryptocurrency initiatives on the market, such as Decentraland and The Sandbox, there are also a number of underappreciated and undervalued projects worth monitoring. This article examines our selection of the best five Metaverse crypto coins with a unit price less than $0.09 to watch in March 2022, ranked from lowest to highest by current price.

Are you lost? Cause you seem to be lost. In any case, if you're not, you will be!

[sirazimuth]

The Top 5 Metaverse Cryptocu….snipped shitcoinery….

Fuck shitcoins.

ftfy

Advice for noobweek…This is not a shitcoin thread.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[jojo69]

[Richy_T]

I like CBuddy posts...He is so informing and apolitical.  (sorry Arrie, I know you find him them very irritating...)

edit... sorry snowflakes folks....I fixed that offensive pronoun.

Pronouns are beep/boop.

[sirazimuth]

I like CBuddy posts… He Beep is so informing and apolitical.  (sorry Arrie, I know you find him boop very irritating...)

edit... sorry snowflakes folks....I fixed those offensive pronouns.

Pronouns are beep/boop.

Thanx m8. And I just noticed I didn’t fix the “ he”. All good now.

[suchmoon]

As to your other angle, it all comes down to perspectives or frames of reference if you wish. One side tries to frame the conflict in terms of a separate, individual localized incident where Russia out of the blue attacks small Ukraine for a land grab. Very easy to argue for Ukraine as a victim and dismiss Russia with crazy Putin as a big bad aggressor, pretty clear cut whats good and bad.

Georgia 2008, Ukraine 2014, no, it's not "individual localized", it follows the pattern of Putin attempting to resurrect a totalitarian dictatorship, collapse of which he not-so-subtly called the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the 20th century.

But taking a step back and looking at a bigger picture you realize that suddenly things are not so simple, and some things don't make sense at all. Clearly by officially providing live intel and 17,000 anti-tank missiles and 2,000 stinger anti-aircraft missiles to Ukraine makes it a proxy war for superpowers with Ukraine stuck in the middle.

How does it not "make sense at all" for Ukraine to acquire defensive capabilities after the aforementioned aggressions? Surely it makes at least some sense if you really want to step back and take a look at the whole picture and not just Putin's "interests".

Now this is where things get very nuanced, not so black and white, and now whats good and whats bad isn't so clear anymore. Just because things are complicated doesn't make Russia right, but people start thinking, and this is not the field mass media and people with agenda, want to play on.

No, it's still actually quite clear, no need to muddy the waters here. If Alice robs Bob's house and Carol's house and Carol buys a baseball bat and Alice comes back to rob Carol 8 years later, no sane person would think that this is complicated or nuanced.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[jojo69]

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[Hueristic]

https://news.yahoo.com/street-outside-russian-embassy-labeled-210328476.html

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation