Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +100,003 units

[buwaytress]

Typical England. Would have got my bet back if you guys didn't do such a half-arsed job of it. And Georgia well, it was always a risk even if they led again in terms of creating chances.

We go again with nice boosts here:

Game 1: Shanghai Shenhua - Shandong Luneng. Shandong WIN @1.66. Betcoin odds: 1.64
Game 2: Inter Miami CF - Atlanta United FC. Miami WIN @1.94. Betcoin odds: 1.95
Game 3: Montreal Impact - Toronto FC. Toronto WIN @1.87. Betcoin odds: 1.88
Game 4: Frosinone Calcio - AS Roma. Roma WIN @1.52. Betcoin odds: 1.50
Game 5: Cadiz CF - UD Almeria. Cadiz WIN @1.72. Betcoin odds: 1.72
100 units parlay boosted at Sportsbet @16.85. Betcoin parlay: 15.51
Bet ID: 5f58732db303a8f73807924d

Odds advantage: 134

Running advantage after 433 bets: +14,744 (+134)
All-time cumulative: +36,744
Running units after 432 bets (73W|359L): +13,216.15 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Horrible parlay in the end, I have no idea what I'm doing, do I?

Mixing it up today with some 1st half over/unders, hoping for high-energy Chinese games and then pad it off with what should be an easy PSG win and Seattle thumping? Insurance!

Game 1: RC Lens - Paris Saint-Germain FC. PSG WIN @1.69. Betcoin odds: 1.70
Game 2: Seattle Sounders - San Jose Earthquakes. Seattle WIN @1.70. Betcoin odds: 1.70
Game 3: Shanghai SIPG - Qingdao Huanghai FC. HT over 1.5 @2.18. Betcoin odds: 2.19
Game 4: Beijing Guoan FC - Tianjin Teda. HT over 1.5 @1.95. Betcoin odds: 1.92
Game 5: SC Internacional RS - Ceara SC CE. HT over 0.5 @1.56. Betcoin odds: 1.55
100 units parlay at Sportsbet boosted to @20.39. Betcoin parlay: 18.84

Odds advantage: 155

Running advantage after 434 bets: +14,899 (+155)
All-time cumulative: +36,899
Running units after 433 bets (73W|360L): +13,116.15 (-100)

[big_daddy]

^my eyes are on PSG today too, the price for this match is great, maybe caused by their problem with covid infected players, the self isolated are: Di Maria, Icardi, Marquinhos, Mbappe, Navas, Neymar and Paredes, but I still believe that PSG will win this one

[buwaytress]

^my eyes are on PSG today too, the price for this match is great, maybe caused by their problem with covid infected players, the self isolated are: Di Maria, Icardi, Marquinhos, Mbappe, Navas, Neymar and Paredes, but I still believe that PSG will win this one

Looks like we all missed out on a great upset from PSG. I did say after CL final that they could have a rocky start to their season (Teams either become very strong or very shaken by such a defeat, look at Spurs!). Too bad I totally missed the pick!

Anyway, Watford begin their season and I'm taking this lovely Sportsbet 5/1 pick:
Corners Over 7.5, Over 1.5 Goals, Yellow Cards Over 2.5, Handicap Watford -0.5
100 units parlay special at Sportsbet @5.00. Normal parlay: 4.28
Bet ID: 5f587242348a11b7c308862f

Odds advantage: 72

Running advantage after 435 bets: +14,971 (+72)
All-time cumulative: +36,971
Running units after 434 bets (73W|361L): +13,016.15 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Watford were good for the win, but I took a quick look at their lineup and realised then why they were over 2/1 to win, almost a completely different team save Foster in goal. Tough, very tough, but I'll keep backing them to go up (7/1 to win Championship even!).

ANYWAY today is the first day of English Premier League, and a NEW SEASON begins for me!
So, final tally for Season 2 after yesterday's loss stands at:
435 bets
73W|362L (20% win haha)
+12,916.15 UNITS!

Final Numbers for Season 2 (25 June 2019 to 11 September 2020):
1. Starting bankroll: 10,000 units
2. Ending bankroll: 22,916 units (122.9% profit)
3. Total Bets: 435 (73W|362L) for a 20% win rate
4. Total Units Gained from Odds Advantage: 14,971 (An average of 34.41 units per bet!)

I'll update that into OP as well, but we keep a running tally of Cumulative units gained.
==============================================

And to kick it all off, Sportsbet have a great, great 10/1 parlay for Liverpool's front three to all net a goal so that's my pick for the day. Call me stupid but opening day and Klopp and Liverpool love each other.
100 units special at Sportsbet for Mane/Firmino/Salah all to score @10.0. Regular parlay: 9.45
Bet ID: 5f5b39d0a0ef9056c9f23c01

And another Sportsbet special:
100 units parlay on Spurs, Chelsea, Arsenal, Liverpool to all win @7.0. Regular parlay: 6.25
Bet ID: 5f5872d0f307f5c7bd25df26

Total odds advantage: 130

Running advantage after 2 bets: +130 (+130)
All-time cumulative: +37,101
Running units: 0

[buwaytress]

Mane could have scored, and Firmino should have pulled the trigger on two occasions, but Salah hattrick and a huge opening day win suits me just fine too. 4 disallowed goals on both sides too, phew! Nevertheless, still alive on our parlay!

Sportsbet always makes it worthwhile on these 5-leg parlays with free insurance and boost, so here we go (sorry Leg 1 is playing right now I thought I clicked post on this a whole while back!

Game 1: LOSC Lille - FC Metz. Lille@1.70. Betcoin odds: 1.70
Game 2: AS Monaco FC - FC Nantes. Monaco WIN @1.95. Betcoin odds: 1.92
Game 3: Paris Saint-Germain FC - Olympique Marseille. PSG WIN @1.62. Betcoin odds: 1.63
Game 4: Villarreal CF - SD Huesca. Villareal WIN @1.59. Betcoin odds: 1.60
Game 5: Los Angeles FC - Portland Timbers. LAFC WIN @1.51. Betcoin odds: 1.52
Bet ID: 5f5de47a348a11714e09c0d2
100 units boosted parlay at Sportsbet @13.80. Betcoin parlay: 12.94

Odds advantage: 86

Running advantage after 3 bets: +216 (+86)
All-time cumulative: +37,187
Running units after 1 bet (1L): -100 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Can't believe we missed out on another PSG upset haha,,, I thought Neymar would come in and win it all but 5 red frenzy hit the French leg. Villareal too, ugh, coulda won it many times.

Simpler, tougher parlay?

Game 1: Sheffield United FC - Wolverhampton Wanderers FC. Wolves WIN @2.65. Betcoin odds: 2.48
Game 2: Brighton & Hove Albion FC - Chelsea FC. Chelsea WIN @1.62. Betcoin odds: 1.60
Game 3: K Beerschot VA - KRC Genk. Genk WIN @2.03. Betcoin odds: 2.01
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @8.22. Betcoin parlay: 7.96
Bet ID: 5f5f4c48dd80bf5b195b00e9

Odds advantage: 26

Running advantage after 3 bets: +242 (+26)
All-time cumulative: +37,213
Running units after 3 bets (3L): -300 (-200)

[buwaytress]

Seems like the Belgian regulars in Europe are having a shitty time this new season. The Gents and Genks losing, Antwerp and Brugge below qualification phases. Strange times in a way, and damn them for giving me a loss like this.

Game 1: US Pergolettese 1932 - Atalanta BC. Atalanta WIN @2.47. Betcoin odds: 2.48
Game 2: Sevilla FC - Levante UD. Sevilla WIN @1.38. Betcoin odds: 1.38
Game 3: AL Duhail SC - Sharjah FC. Al Duhail WIN @1.55. Betcoin odds: 1.51
Bet ID: 5f6064ef41ed7ab63977e479
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @5.28. Betcoin parlay: 5.17

Odds advantage: 11

Running advantage after 5 bets: +253 (+11)
All-time cumulative: +37,224
Running units after 4 bets (4L): -400 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Our first win of the new season! Atalanta won comfortably, while Sevilla had to fight back from 2 goals down plus a last min goal, so there you have it with odds. Easy underdog win and tough favourite fightback. A comparatively modest win from a 3-leg parlay but that wipes out our losses and brings us back to par, while getting our wager numbers up across our books (yay).

Here's a traditional upset. Georgians vs Russians, both from the capital, and only based on form.

100 units at Sportset on Lokomotiv Tbilisi to WIN vs Dinamo Moskow @8.04. Fairlay odds: 7.44
Bet ID: 5f62fedffea8d0e073acb820

Odds advantage: 60

Running advantage after 6 bets: +313 (+60)
All-time cumulative: +37,284
Running units after 5 bets (1W|4L): +28 (+428)

[buwaytress]

Europa always makes my day in early stages. Upsets are rife and conditions are fertile for bookies to give us special odds. Very good game, was actually surprisingly comfortable even with all the yellow cards. Tired players gave away a penalty in the end but it was all still good for 2-1 outcome.

OK, weird selection I hardly do, but early season 1st half flurry hopefully? Free insurance haha.

Game 1: Bayern Munich - Schalke 04. Bayern HT 2+ goals @1.64. Betcoin odds: 1.65
Game 2: Olympique Lyonnais - Olympique Nimes. Lyon HT WIN @1.82. Betcoin odds: 1.82
Game 3: FC Famalicao - SL Benfica. Benfica HT WIN @1.96. Betcoin odds: 2.00
Game 4: Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Rakow Czestochowa. BTTS @1.67. Betcoin odds: 1.70
Game 5: Wisla Krakow - Wisla Plock. Krakow HT WIN, DNB @1.52. Betcoin odds: 1.50
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @15.89. Betcoin parlay: 15.32
Bet ID: 5f645d807ba9ace333c6deb1

Odds advantage: 57

Running advantage after 7 bets: +370 (+57)
All-time cumulative: +37,341
Running units after 6 bets (2W|4L): +732 (+704)

[big_daddy]

^ Olympique Lyonnais screwed my ticket too 
usually I don't bet on Ligue 1, and when I do, trying to gain more profits it end like today...

btw, congrats to Bayern on that amazing win

[buwaytress]

^ Olympique Lyonnais screwed my ticket too 
usually I don't bet on Ligue 1, and when I do, trying to gain more profits it end like today...

btw, congrats to Bayern on that amazing win

Yeah, bloody Lyon. Reminds me of times when Liverpool were just before and right after Klopp. Crazy possessions but wholly incapable of breaking teams down even though they can beat the big boys.

Anyway, I'm going for a nice Palace upset. They managed it already, even with injuries, but Zaha do up the ante against a United who might, could be, suffering from media distractions? I hope so =p

100 units at Sportsbet on Crystal Palace to WIN vs Man Utd @10.02. Fairlay: 9.78
Bet ID: 5f65a758439e9c1d0aa963a4

Odds advantage: 24

Running advantage after 8 bets: +427 (+57)
All-time cumulative: +37,398
Running units after 7 bets (2W|5L): +632 (-100)

[big_daddy]

^ I will follow this one on a draw no bet @6.14, but my pool pick is unchanged, 2:1  

[buwaytress]

^ I will follow this one on a draw no bet @6.14, but my pool pick is unchanged, 2:1  

Manchester teams give me such joy. It's really surprising that odds are so hugely against their opponents when on the field you can clearly see there is not so much a gulf of quality. So satisfying to win these picks too, schadenfreude

I'm not yet decided on matches today, but I'm really liking the odds on Liverpool, it's been climbing so clearly people think Chelsea could pull off an upset here, so good for me!

Going to use my winnings for another boost, so instead of 100 units, I'll put a big 500 units bet. I rarely do this, but let's get silly.

500 units at Betcoin on Liverpool to WIN HT @2.73. Sportsbet odds: 2.65

Odds advantage: 40 (8x5)

Running advantage after 9 bets: +467 (+40)
All-time cumulative: +37,438
Running units after 8 bets (3W|5L): +1,534 (+902)

[big_daddy]

^ nice one
I have Liverpool with Liecester and Napoli with Juventus to win
It should make my day 

[buwaytress]

^ nice one
I have Liverpool with Liecester and Napoli with Juventus to win
It should make my day 

Well done. I thought Mane would gift me my glorious injury time first time winner but to be fair, the red card was probably worth more in the end... as it killed Chelsea off.

I'm doing a stupid bet but the math tells me this is good value, as it had been below 7/1 all day until now 8/1 with a boost. Let's go for Serie A risk on Milan too as a parlay:
Game 1: Wolves vs City. Wolves WIN @8.04. Betcoin odds: 7.54
Game 2: AC Milan Vs Bologna. Milan WIN @1.54. Betcoin odds: 1.55
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @12.38. Betcoin parlay: 11.69
Bet ID:5f68d03d439e9cd541aa1187

Odds advantage: 59

Running advantage after 10 bets: +526 (+59)
All-time cumulative: +37,497
Running units after 9 bets (3W|6L): +1,034 (-500)

[Trofo]

I'm doing a stupid bet but the math tells me this is good value, as it had been below 7/1 all day until now 8/1 with a boost. Let's go for Serie A risk on Milan too as a parlay:
Game 1: Wolves vs City. Wolves WIN @8.04. Betcoin odds: 7.54
Game 2: AC Milan Vs Bologna. Milan WIN @1.54. Betcoin odds: 1.55
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @12.38. Betcoin parlay: 11.69

So you did not manage to stay away from Wolves. I also pointed valid reasons in the other topic to skip this one today and ended up playing it with the bonus on SB, same as you. Damn, we deserve to lose these tickets today.

I had another on Schwartzman to win 2:0 against Djokovic @15.5 today and it looked promising in the beginning, Schwarzi started with 2 breaks but in the end Djoko was his usual self at the tail end of sets.

[buwaytress]

So you did not manage to stay away from Wolves. I also pointed valid reasons in the other topic to skip this one today and ended up playing it with the bonus on SB, same as you. Damn, we deserve to lose these tickets today.

I had another on Schwartzman to win 2:0 against Djokovic @15.5 today and it looked promising in the beginning, Schwarzi started with 2 breaks but in the end Djoko was his usual self at the tail end of sets.

No I did not... the fact that the odds rose to 8/1 (okay, with boost haha) made it just too irresistible. I still think Wolves wins 1 out of 5 matches with City, so that's always going to look like very good value to me. Anyway =)

Feeling good about tonight. Will give Watford a chance to reboot their season, West Brom to prove they're better than people think, and some tight wins for Russians and Czechs in tonights European qualifiers. Boosted and insured, yay.

Game 1: Slavia Prague - FC Midtjylland. Prague WIN @1.71. Betcoin odds: 1.70
Game 2: Krasnodar - PAOK Thessaloniki. Krasnodar WIN @2.19. Betcoin odds: 2.18
Game 3: Brasil AL - EC Juventude RS. Brasil WIN @1.79. Betcoin odds: 1.79
Game 4: Newport County AFC - Watford FC. Watford WIN @1.66. Betcoin odds: 1.68
Game 5: WBA vs Brentford. WBA WIN @2.32. Betcoin odds: 2.29
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @27.62. Betcoin parlay: 25.52
Bet ID: 5f6a14d6d621a4e295952c7e

Odds advantage: 59

Running advantage after 11 bets: +736 (+210)
All-time cumulative: +37,707
Running units after 10 bets (3W|7L): +934 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Awful. Watford just can't get out from the dumps, West Brom actually allowed the draw and then lost out on penalties, but you know what, well done to their opponents. Right, another Europe qualifier and Carabao Cup matchup. Let's back another Premship team KO:

Game 1: Molde FK-Ferencvarosi TC. Molde WIN @2.24. Sportsbet odds: 2.21
Game 2: Fulham FC-Sheffield Wednesday. Wednesday WIN @4.35: Sportsbet odds: 4.21
100 units parlay at Betcoin (welcome back BC!) @9.74. Sportsbet parlay: 9.30

Because I can't stand not to do this, Newcastle had a torrid time over the weekend, why not pile on more misery from Morecamb right?
100 units at Fairlay on Morecambe to WIN vs Newcastle @10.66. Sportsbet odds: 9.40

And boosted 5-legs? MLS parlay of favourites:

Game 1: New England Revolution - Montreal Impact. NE WIN @1.61. Betcoin odds: 1.60
Game 2: Columbus Crew - Minnesota United FC. Columbus WIN @1.69. Betcoin odds: 1.70
Game 3: Nashville SC - DC United. Nashville WIN @1.69. Betcoin odds: 1.72
Game 4: Colorado Rapids - San Jose Earthquakes. Colorado WIN @1.62. Betcoin odds: 1.58
Game 5: Stoke City - Gillingham FC. Stoke WIN @1.59. Betcoin odds: 1.60
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @12.67. Betcoin parlay: 11.83
Bet ID: 5f6ae964d621a44be5955f50

Total Odds advantage: 44+126+84 =254

Running advantage after 14 bets: +990 (+254)
All-time cumulative: +37,961
Running units after 11 bets (3W|8L): +834 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Horrendous underdog pick last night, sorry about that. And totally bombed on Sheffield and even Molde heh heh but at least our MLS boys and Stoke carried us over the line. Also, fixed the errors in total bets and odds advantage, which only noticed now.

Anyway, remember Lokomotiv Tbilisi? Next up's Granada. Granada want this badly and should be a walk in the park for them but hey. If the bad boys from Georgia could defeat an old enemy in Russia, why not some Southerners from Spain? at 50/1? Any time of day haha.
100 units at Fairlay on Lokomotiv Tbilisi to WIN vs Granada @50.69. Sportsbet boosted: 37.40

But here's a more reasonable boosted+insured 5-leg bet on Europa favourites to win the first half or at least score:

Game 1: Legia Warszawa - KF Drita. Warsaw HT WIN @1.65. Betcoin odds: 1.62
Game 2: AC Milan - Bodo/Glimt. Milan HT WIN @1.65. Betcoin odds: 1.62
Game 3: Riga FC - Celtic Glasgow. Celtic HT WIN @1.65. Betcoin odds: 1.62
Game 4: Willem II Tilburg - Glasgow Rangers. Rangers WIN @1.81. Betcoin odds: 1.79
Game 5: FC Basel 1893 - Anorthosis Famagusta. Over 1 HT @1.59. Betcoin odds: 1.58
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @13.83. Betcoin odds: 12.02
Bet ID: 5f6c3bc8e5d761256a07b705

Total odds advantage: 1,329+181 = 1510

Running advantage after 16 bets: +2,500 (+1,510)
All-time cumulative: +39,471
Running units after 14 bets (4W|10L): +1,801 (+1167-200=+967)