buwaytress (OP)
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November 24, 2020, 07:09:09 PM |
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One of the least interesting offers in Champions League ever. I always have at least 6/8 games I want to bent on every single CL day but today all the games are meh and odds are even worse. I feel like I am forcing it big time but I played one treble.
I chose both to score on Barca game @1.7, should be an easy bet to win for reasons you mentioned above and Barca can score one goal even if they are playing with juniors. Then I went with Dortumnd -1.5 @1.9, hopefully Haland wants to build his CL stats a bit PSG to win @1.7, seems to me this is the time for revenge and if they loose they are basically out of CL which would be a big hit for them
I really ought not to bet tonight but urgh I went ahead and put 2 more parlays for today (actually, games already started so can't make those bets now, not that anyone follows me haha) have very high confidence in Sevilla, Lazio, Chelsea. One will probably disappoint me but anyway. Haaland will score, don't know if his team will provide good service though, but that man is a machine. PSG should also win, but not sure about must-win games these days. All in all, yeah a tepid 4th Match Day it looks on the cards.
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buwaytress (OP)
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November 25, 2020, 12:06:55 PM Last edit: November 25, 2020, 07:26:14 PM by buwaytress |
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Hey, win some lose some. First time I've done a back-to-back 5 leg parlay win actually, and the third one is still alive too, who knows;) Let's be a bit silly and put 2 underdog bets tonight. Great odds at Fairlay. Olympiakos to WIN vs City @11. Betcoin odds: 10.75 And a hedge, as I'm posting a parlay with Atletico: Lokomotiv to WIN vs Atletico @16.37. Betcoin odds: 14.30 Special at Sportsbet: Ajax, Atletico Madrid, Bayern Munich & Liverpool All to Lead at Half-Time & Full-Time @10.00. No odds comparison as I can't really find any market like this! Bet ID: 5fbd08c83d30de596aaa8a21 And one more City HT, Ajax HT, Bayern HT, Gladbach, Inter/Real Over 2.5 @13.23. Betcoin odds: 12.60 Units advantage: 232 + 63 = 295 Running advantage after 122 bets: +8,369 (+295) All-time cumulative: +45,354 Running units after 117 bets (23W|94L): +7,939 (+1,031)
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buwaytress (OP)
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November 26, 2020, 02:15:57 PM |
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Yikes, I got murdered last night on parlays and on singles. We actually have a parlay still alive waiting on Europa's AEK Athens and Sat's EPL Liverpool so I'm not TOO upset heh. Simple insured boosted: Villareal, Arsenal, Leicester, Roma, Sociedad @18.55. Betcoin odds: 17.80 Bet ID: 5fbfb6ac2a6366f7bd6b9012 Units advantage: 75 Running advantage after 123 bets: +8,444 (+75) All-time cumulative: +46,109 Running units after 121 bets (23W|98L): +7,539 (-400)
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buwaytress (OP)
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November 27, 2020, 06:57:51 AM |
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Should have known it'd be the Spanish teams who'd kill me, didn't even get the insurance back. Just glad I didn't put more parlays down as I think I'd have chosen Rangers as well in them, tsk. Our remaining parlay also crashed. AEK Athens damn you. 100 units at Sportsbet on Wolfsburg, Valladolid and Toons to WIN @16.6. Betcoin parlay: 16.20 Units advantage: 40 Running advantage after 124 bets: +8,484 (+40) All-time cumulative: +46,149 Running units after 123 bets (23W|100L): +7,339 (-200)
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buwaytress (OP)
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November 28, 2020, 09:33:19 AM Last edit: November 28, 2020, 02:49:13 PM by buwaytress |
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Valladolid HAD to concede that penalty, damn you guys. Would have been a nice bet to take home, should have just kept Newcastle and Wolfsburg, but where's the fun in that right? Forgot to put in a parlay on boosted odds last night, I think it'll hit as it also contained Wolfsburg but never mind! 100 units at Sportsbet on Liverpool, Leeds, Sevilla @11.60. Betcoin odds: 11.20 This is a bit dumb but 600 units at Fairlay on Liverpool to WIN at Brighton with an experimental lineup @1.74. Betcoin odds: 170 Units advantage: 64 Gods, we drew. Shit. Panic underdog bets on Fairlay to recover Liverpool (didn't have time to check odds but they were much lower, so I put conservative): Bordeaux to beat PSG @13.11. Odds difference: 50 Koln to beat BVB @12.14. Odds difference: 50 Total units advantage: 164 Running advantage after 128 bets: +8,648 (+164) All-time cumulative: +46,313 Running units after 124 bets (23W|101L): +7,239 (-100)
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buwaytress (OP)
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November 29, 2020, 11:25:28 AM |
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Phew. I need to seriously learn my lessons (and I know I won't). Suckered into the good value bet on Liverpool, that'll teach me. Not the first time, probably won't be the last it happens this season;) Good think Dortmund helped us out on that ragebet! 2 parlays today: 100 units at Sportsbet on Lazio, Milan, Roma, Bournemouth, Sociedad @40.48. Betcoin odds: 38.20 100 units at Sportsbet on Saints, Spurs to WIN @13.70. Betcoin odds: 13.50 Total units advantage: 248 Running advantage after 130 bets: +8,896 (+248) All-time cumulative: +46,561 Nett units won/loss from yesterday: -900 [600 units on yesterday's big Liverpool bet + 1,214 on Koln win = 314 Running units after 128 bets (24W|104L): +7,553 (+314)
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buwaytress (OP)
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December 01, 2020, 07:14:38 AM |
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Yep, Liverpool killed us, Saints almost won our hearts but fell in the final minute, while of course Spurs would have made that parlay pointless anyway! We go again in the Champions League + Championship. 100 units parlay insured, boosted: Atalanta HT, Liverpool, Salzburg, City, Bournemouth @12.62. Betcoin odds: 11.90 Also a single on Bayern WIN vs Atletico @3.91. Betcoin odds: 3.70 Units advantage: 91 Running advantage after 132 bets: +8,987 (+91) All-time cumulative: +46,652 Running units after 130 bets (24W|106L): +7,353 (-200)
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turkandjaydee
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December 01, 2020, 09:13:15 AM |
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-snip- 100 units parlay insured, boosted: Atalanta HT, Liverpool, Salzburg, City, Bournemouth @12.62. Betcoin odds: 11.90 -snip-
Hello, what is HT? and can I get the bet url / id? I'm quite new to soccer betting so I don't know some abbreviation or term in soccer betting. Thanks ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif)
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buwaytress (OP)
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December 01, 2020, 09:19:33 AM |
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Hello, what is HT? and can I get the bet url / id? I'm quite new to soccer betting so I don't know some abbreviation or term in soccer betting. Thanks ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) Hey there! Thanks for following my thread! I just saw I didn't share my betslip, sorry for that. Too late to share it (can't do posthumous) but the Bet ID on Sportsbet for that bet is: 5fc5ec4ac5122f5844b47e56 HT = Half time. So that bet above means Atalanta to be leading (win) at Half time (or Asian first half handicap -0.5 usually gets you better odds!). Don't normally share screenshots but you can see there's a healthy boost, and a free insurance too! (Sportsbet.io gives you free boosts and a free insurance if 1 leg loses, returned as a freebet, if all legs have min 1.5 odds) ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ibb.co%2Fb5JLvzg%2Fimage.png&t=665&c=lsPz-HXmKz3y_A)
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buwaytress (OP)
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December 02, 2020, 06:53:39 AM |
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Well, to be fair, the games were all shitty. Fancy Atalanta almost losing to the season's whipping boys. Let's see if Lazio can take advantage of some BVB weakness when they lost at home to Koln, and parlay that with Barca who might just want to win this group? 100 units at Sportsbet on Lazio, Barcelona to WIN @7.60. Betcoin odds: 7.55 Running advantage after 133 bets: +8,992 (+5) All-time cumulative: +46,657 Running units after 132 bets (24W|108L): +7,153 (-200)
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December 03, 2020, 01:02:57 PM |
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Lazio, you almost did it. Why? And turns out Barca just know how to win every group game big, regardless of the team and opponent. Pity we missed that parlay. Wolfsberger have been impressing to me in Europa, fancy a punt @6.06 on Sportsbet. Betcoin odds: 5.80. Odds advantage: 26 Let's think of parlays later. Running advantage after 134 bets: +9,018 (+26) All-time cumulative: +46,683 Running units after 133 bets (24W|109L): +7,053 (-100)
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December 03, 2020, 01:28:20 PM |
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Really? I watched them in two games against Dinamo and they showed nothing. It seems to me they basically have one guy who knows how to fall inside penalty area and that is their main go to play. Don't like the games today very much. I wanted to go big on Villareal both to score, but then I read that covid did a number on Sivaspor squad and now I am left with nothing ![Angry](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/angry.gif)
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December 03, 2020, 01:34:22 PM |
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Really? I watched them in two games against Dinamo and they showed nothing. It seems to me they basically have one guy who knows how to fall inside penalty area and that is their main go to play. Don't like the games today very much. I wanted to go big on Villareal both to score, but then I read that covid did a number on Sivaspor squad and now I am left with nothing ![Angry](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/angry.gif) Sounds like a great strategy though, doesn't it? Haha. I'm completely basing this on form and results, admittedly as you said they got 3 penalties against Feyenoord (but still, a fucking bloody major upset). And they held Moskow to a draw -- seems they have a high conversion of shots to goal. CSKA have been incredibly shit too though no? I still fancy my chances, and yeah I'm going to be doing very silly parlays probably later, will edit and add them as I decide. Villareal look good value to add in a parlay then, if Sivasspor really are down a few key men.
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December 03, 2020, 01:41:58 PM |
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Villareal look good value to add in a parlay then, if Sivasspor really are down a few key men.
The problem is that I don't know if they are key men until line ups. I just read manager and 5 players covid positive. Could be important ones or could be bench fodder. According to odds I am leaning towards bench fodder if I had to guess.
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BitcoinAccepted
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December 03, 2020, 02:12:12 PM |
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When a player tests positive, I don't think this information will be readily available normally.
This influences the opponent, and the opponent can then easily adjust its strategy to it before the start of the match.
At large clubs, this news usually comes out quickly.
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December 04, 2020, 08:23:44 AM |
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Congrats on your win yesterday. It was good day for me in the end as well. Here is my ticket: ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2F3elwS4s.png&t=665&c=TkhY2fKiOssFRA) This is a good example why I hate Europa league, I chose 3 most secure teams to win and every single one of them was loosing. Milan was 2:0 down, Lille was killing Sparta and then they were 1:0 down 70th minute, Rangers were 1:0, and 2:1 down. In the end all passed but I was way too demanding for such low odds ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) Yesterday was a day for Croats, that goal that brought you your win was the work of Croatian u-21 representative, Dinamo destroyed Feynoord and Rijeka took a point from Sociedad. There was some other good performances like Cop scoring against Rangers.
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December 04, 2020, 12:22:36 PM |
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Yeah, awesome win, I even saw that before the game odds were up to 65/10, shame I caught it a bit lower but still a good win nevertheless. Stats also showed they were dominant so yeah, was a game worth betting on in the end. Right about all those picks too, I'd def have ordinarily parlayed Rangers (super form in Europa!) except bookies didn't give good value, so yeah, shitty Europa but well done ANYWAY! I wasted my freebets on Leicester and Spurs heh. Simple Marseille and Bilbao win tonight @3.86. Betcoin odds: 3.80 Units advantage: 5 units Running advantage after 135 bets: +9,023 (+5) All-time cumulative: +46,688 Running units after 134 bets (25W|109L): +7,559 (+506)
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December 05, 2020, 10:03:27 AM |
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A rather unexpected loss to Celta last night, but I did pick that upset in another set of parlays, so not too upset about it. Boosted parlay for tonight/tomorrow: 100 units at Sportsbet on Barcelona, Lazio, Fiorentina & Juventus @6.50. Betcoin odds: 6.20 Bet ID: 5fc8cf78e5843f798e02ff23 And this hedge: 100 units at Fairlay on Fulham to win vs City @22.98. Sportsbet boosted odds: 18.80. Total units advantage: 30 + 418 Running advantage after 137 bets: +9,441 (+418) All-time cumulative: +47,106 Running units after 135 bets (25W|110L): +7,459 (-100)
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December 06, 2020, 11:48:26 AM |
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Yikes. What a bummer about Barca, and Fulham were never going to win, idiot bets;) Then again, I should keep going City's average loss should turn up soon. For now though, let's take it easy with 3 big English games today. 100 units at Sportsbet on Liverpool, Leicester, Spurs to WIN @7.74. Betcoin odds: 7.55 Units advantage: 19 Running advantage after 138 bets: +9,460 (+19) All-time cumulative: +47,125 Running units after 137 bets (25W|112L): +7,259 (-200)
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December 07, 2020, 06:45:15 AM |
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Nice, solid win on yesterday's parlay, shame I didn't use my freebet on it, losing it on something silly as usual. Have Vardy to thank for though, winning all 3 points for Leicester in their time of need with only minutes to spare. Another Sportsbet boosted parlay? 100 units on Fiorentina, Bastia, Charleroi, Mallorca & Hoffenheim to WIN @17.00. Other odds: 16.80 5fcd254f83733242358deb16 Mistake made though, they actually offer boosted odds at 17.98 but I didn't actually check;) And another 3-team pick? Sure! Saints, Eibar and Hoffenheim @14.12. Other odds: 13.80 Total odds advantage: 52 Running advantage after 140 bets: +9,512 (+52) All-time cumulative: +47,177 Running units after 138 bets (26W|112L): +7,933 (+674)
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