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Author Topic: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 winner - Real Madrid!  (Read 129354 times)
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December 02, 2020, 09:50:00 AM
 #4561

I am on both to score market on this game but over should be a good bet as well. For me both to score is more realistic since I see this game finishing 1:1 much more likely then it finishing 3:0 for one of the sides. I am actually expecting a result like 3:1, same as in the first game.

Sounds good, will just take the safer route and play the BTTS as I for sure see both teams scoring and would be mad if the game ends 1:1 and I miss my over bet...

I will be watching United - PSG today, should be goals in this one as well but I am betting on over cards tonight, both teams have some fast and tricky attacking players and I am expecting a lot of cynical fouls today. Daniele Orsato is referee in this one and he likes to give out the cards and averages over 5 cards per game.

Solid advice!
Will look at the card market and also expect a tough fought match which should result in a couple of cards shown!
Thanks!
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December 02, 2020, 10:35:39 AM
 #4562

Interesting situation in Group F, where Zenit needs a win today, if they want to keep their hopes for EL participation after the CL group stage alive. A draw won't be enough, since they would lose the H2H - in first leg Brugge won 2-1 at Zenit. The Belgians themselves don't need the 3 points badly, IF Lazio loses at Dormund. A draw would put them 3 points behind Lazio then and with a win at Rome they would advance to KO phase. So the motivation of Brugge to go for 3 points relies a bit on what happens in Dortmund, but still Zenit has no choice but to play for the win. I like these scenarios and the over 2.5 @ 1.75 looks like a good bet here.

.....wie die Zeit fliegt.....
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December 02, 2020, 12:19:36 PM
 #4563

8 of 16 teams are now qualified for the final stage of the CL



Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020%E2%80%9321_UEFA_Champions_League

Focus on Group B

Borussia 8
Shakhtar 8
Real 7
Inter 5

Last turn

Inter - Shakhtar
Borussia - Real

Inter will pass in Champions if

-They win and Real beat Borussia

Inter will pass in Europa League

-They win and Real will not beat Borussia

Inter stays in Milan if they don't win.


In Italy we call it "biscotto" when the other game needs a draw to qualify the other 2 teams, it will be this case?

I want to believe that it is very tight for Inter Milan to qualify for both champions league and europa league; i say this because Inter milan qualification depends on many probabilities. Borrusia has a goal difference of +8, which means that for Inter to qualify; Madrid has to defeat Borrusia; while Milan wins shahktar and even at that; Borussia would be top of the table with more goals scored.

Shahktar needs a point at Milan; Madrid needs a win
Inter Milan needs a win of 2 goals +; while Borussia needs a draw at most

A very interesting GW6 Ahead
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December 02, 2020, 12:28:01 PM
 #4564

Interesting situation in Group F, where Zenit needs a win today, if they want to keep their hopes for EL participation after the CL group stage alive. A draw won't be enough, since they would lose the H2H - in first leg Brugge won 2-1 at Zenit. The Belgians themselves don't need the 3 points badly, IF Lazio loses at Dormund. A draw would put them 3 points behind Lazio then and with a win at Rome they would advance to KO phase. So the motivation of Brugge to go for 3 points relies a bit on what happens in Dortmund, but still Zenit has no choice but to play for the win. I like these scenarios and the over 2.5 @ 1.75 looks like a good bet here.

But it's really difficult for Zenit where they have to play away whereas in the last match Zenit lost at home I can't think how they would turn things around
For Zenit over 2.5 it is ok, also interesting to bet both teams to score.
Dortmund and Lazio also seem to be playing casually to avoid injury to players because they both have enough points.

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December 02, 2020, 01:11:34 PM
 #4565

A really important win for Inter, it keeps them in the game. Since they're playing Shakhtar at home in the last game, I think they have a decent chance to qualify.
The only problem for them is that if Real and Borussia Monchengladbach play a draw, they both go through if Shakhtar does not win - so they might play it safe.

Liverpool played well against Ajax, Kelleher has potential to be a decent goalkeeper. We qualified as 1st in our group and we'll probably go on a field trip to Denmark.

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December 02, 2020, 01:28:46 PM
 #4566

I want to believe that it is very tight for Inter Milan to qualify for both champions league and europa league; i say this because Inter milan qualification depends on many probabilities. Borrusia has a goal difference of +8, which means that for Inter to qualify; Madrid has to defeat Borrusia; while Milan wins shahktar and even at that; Borussia would be top of the table with more goals scored.

Shahktar needs a point at Milan; Madrid needs a win
Inter Milan needs a win of 2 goals +; while Borussia needs a draw at most

A very interesting GW6 Ahead
They were leading two times and wasted it all away last night.
Inter now has to face reality that they will going nowhere but suffering in the corner seeing themselves just unlucky .
One of a hell crazy group i have ever seen especially in this pandemic edition where real madrid almost wont make it through the group stage.
It could be a bad history for the club lol
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December 02, 2020, 01:30:39 PM
 #4567

But it's really difficult for Zenit where they have to play away whereas in the last match Zenit lost at home I can't think how they would turn things around
For Zenit over 2.5 it is ok, also interesting to bet both teams to score.
Dortmund and Lazio also seem to be playing casually to avoid injury to players because they both have enough points.

Yes, Zenit have disappointed during this CL campaign and they were struggling a bit in domestic league lately as well, but you also have to consider the fact, that they have to score at least two goals to have a chance to win the H2H against Brugge. A 1-0 win won't do it, since first leg was 2-1 for Belgians. A 2-0+ today would do the trick, a 2-1 would tie the H2H and results like 3-2/4-3/etc. would also win them the H2H. I do think they are very interested in continuing to play in EL, so I think they will take a quite offensive approach, which should then also open up some space for Brugge. And if Brugge takes the lead, you will see Zenit pushing all the time. BTS is a good option as well, but odds are slightly lower, thus I went with the over instead, lets see.

Dortmund will probably be happy with a draw today, since it would secure promotion to KO phase. They are not the team go for a draw, but if the game is tied middle/late second half, they won't go for the win no matter what just to take top spot in the group. Lazio can live with a draw as well, so I am expecting a rather boring game like you.

.....wie die Zeit fliegt.....
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December 02, 2020, 01:33:48 PM
 #4568

Interesting situation in Group F, where Zenit needs a win today, if they want to keep their hopes for EL participation after the CL group stage alive. A draw won't be enough, since they would lose the H2H - in first leg Brugge won 2-1 at Zenit. The Belgians themselves don't need the 3 points badly, IF Lazio loses at Dormund. A draw would put them 3 points behind Lazio then and with a win at Rome they would advance to KO phase. So the motivation of Brugge to go for 3 points relies a bit on what happens in Dortmund, but still Zenit has no choice but to play for the win. I like these scenarios and the over 2.5 @ 1.75 looks like a good bet here.

But it's really difficult for Zenit where they have to play away whereas in the last match Zenit lost at home I can't think how they would turn things around
For Zenit over 2.5 it is ok, also interesting to bet both teams to score.
Dortmund and Lazio also seem to be playing casually to avoid injury to players because they both have enough points.


I also would like to do agree with you over 2.5 is looking attractive to take risk on it so we can expect this match would be interesting as Zenit will have to perform extraordinary to keep them into this event otherwise lost of that match they will be into big trouble so let's see what happen when it will be kicked off.
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December 02, 2020, 01:43:44 PM
 #4569

I am starting to post my predictions for today's matches:
I bet for RB Lipsk against Basaksehir, I now they beated Man Utd but I think it was only one time accident and it won't repeat.
I bet for Borussia Dortmund, too as they will host a match I think they get a successful revenge against  Lazio.

I am looking for signature campaign Wink pm me
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December 02, 2020, 01:53:12 PM
 #4570

Group H

Man U vs. PSG
RBL vs. IBFK

RBL will most likely get all 3 points and have a total of 9.

And if PSG wins at Old Trafford, it will be:
Man U - 9
PSG - 9
RBL - 9

Assuming that ^ happens, I expect PSG to move to the next round as they face IBFK on match day 6. Man U and RBL will be a do-or-die match  Grin
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December 02, 2020, 02:18:48 PM
 #4571

Group H

Man U vs. PSG
RBL vs. IBFK

RBL will most likely get all 3 points and have a total of 9.

And if PSG wins at Old Trafford, it will be:
Man U - 9
PSG - 9
RBL - 9

Assuming that ^ happens, I expect PSG to move to the next round as they face IBFK on match day 6. Man U and RBL will be a do-or-die match  Grin

Man United will likely win today's match against PSG. That should qualify them and with RB Leipzig having 6 points currently, they'd have to win against Istanbul and at least draw against Man U. I have a feeling both PSG and Leipzig will win against Istanbul in the next two matches, only reason why Man U lost against them the first time is because they're swinging between victories/draws and defeats this season.

That should send Man U and PSG to the round of 16 while Leipzig doesn't qualify for it.

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December 02, 2020, 03:01:44 PM
 #4572

 Group B surprised again yesterday with Shakhtar's victory over Real, while Inter showed character and won a very important victory over Borussia. Now Inter has real chances to qualify from the group, but it's bad that Borusia still needs a good game for this. It is also interesting that if Real Madrid and Shakhtar win their matches, Borussia will not advance further in the playoffs of the Champions League. Good intrigue, I like it.

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December 02, 2020, 03:06:57 PM
 #4573



Since they are already qualified the squad list for Juventus is fulfilled with players from the Young selection.

Source: https://twitter.com/juventusfc/status/1334119111664787456

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December 02, 2020, 03:10:23 PM
 #4574

Dortmund and Lazio also seem to be playing casually to avoid injury to players because they both have enough points.
yeah, the top teams are having a hectic season, pretty much a match every 3 days, so i'm sure the managers will welcome these kind of "not much to play for" CL matches so that they can heavily rotate the squads.

So I'm going to avoid that match and also Sevilla - Chelsea + Juve and Barca matches because all of them qualified to RO16, also the Krasnodar - Rennes because a battle of winless teams is not a match where you want to throw your money on.

A Leipzig win and Man Utd - PSG to have O2.5 goals are my two CL bets tonight

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December 02, 2020, 03:10:52 PM
 #4575

Ferencvaros Barcelona - quite high chance for  surprise.
Hungarian football is now on good track and Barcelona will be without few crucial players
https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/fc-barcelona/sperrenundverletzungen/verein/131
And odds are quite encouraging about 5 for draw and 7 for hungarian team!

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December 02, 2020, 03:20:41 PM
 #4576

Assuming that ^ happens, I expect PSG to move to the next round as they face IBFK on match day 6. Man U and RBL will be a do-or-die match  Grin
That's a very tough group with nothing yet to be decided, I must admit that when the group stages were drawn, I didn't give United any chance to go through, but surprisingly they have been the best team in the group thus far; I think PSG will win tonight and set up a cracking last game for all the teams; I expect to see lots of goals across the two games in group H tonight.
Ferencvaros Barcelona - quite high chance for  surprise.
It'll depend on the players Koeman fields tonight, Barcelona are through already, so they could rest a couple of starters and try out fringe players and that could give the opposition a chance in this game.

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December 02, 2020, 03:36:16 PM
 #4577

Group B surprised again yesterday with Shakhtar's victory over Real, while Inter showed character and won a very important victory over Borussia. Now Inter has real chances to qualify from the group, but it's bad that Borusia still needs a good game for this. It is also interesting that if Real Madrid and Shakhtar win their matches, Borussia will not advance further in the playoffs of the Champions League. Good intrigue, I like it.
A very dramatic win for Inter Milan who won against Borusia Gladbach at home is always a surprise but I believe the opportunities for Inter and Real Madrid still exist where both of them next week will play as host this can be taken advantage of if they correct their bad game before. the possibility is that Real Madrid will continue to play hard to win.
In Group B all teams still have a chance but I'm sure Inter and Madrid will qualify for the next phase.

R


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December 02, 2020, 04:06:37 PM
 #4578

Inter Milan still have one chance to replace Shakhtar or Real Madrid in this round. With a note, Shakhtar lost to Inter Milan in the last match. This result will bringing Inter to UEL if Madrid win. If Madrid lose, then Inter are entitled to qualify for the next round at UCL. The draw in the last match meant nothing to them, as they couldn't compete at UCL or UEL.

The match in Group H, will be very interesting. Because points between ranks 1 - 3 can end up the same, which is 9 points. This will be determined by the difference between the goals concedeed or the team's performance at Home & Away.
Group B drama will be the one to remember if
as it's possible to see both big names get out so soon as for Borussia Monchengladbach they will qualify directly if he defeats Inter Milan, or draws with the latter, and Shakhtar did not win against Real Madrid, and he will confirm his lead for the group in the event of his victory and the loss Madrid.
Real Madrid: Will qualify directly if they beat Shakhtar Donetsk. Shakhtar: He will not qualify if he suffers a loss at the hands of the Real.
Milan: He will not be able to qualify if he does not win against Moenchengladbach, and he will also bottom the table if he loses. So next week will be a year to remember other then corona virus or just another CL groupe stage that a big team like Real Madrid had minor difficulties to qualify.
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December 02, 2020, 04:18:38 PM
 #4579

Inter Milan still have one chance to replace Shakhtar or Real Madrid in this round. With a note, Shakhtar lost to Inter Milan in the last match. This result will bringing Inter to UEL if Madrid win. If Madrid lose, then Inter are entitled to qualify for the next round at UCL. The draw in the last match meant nothing to them, as they couldn't compete at UCL or UEL.

The match in Group H, will be very interesting. Because points between ranks 1 - 3 can end up the same, which is 9 points. This will be determined by the difference between the goals concedeed or the team's performance at Home & Away.
Group B drama will be the one to remember if
as it's possible to see both big names get out so soon as for Borussia Monchengladbach they will qualify directly if he defeats Inter Milan, or draws with the latter, and Shakhtar did not win against Real Madrid, and he will confirm his lead for the group in the event of his victory and the loss Madrid.
Real Madrid: Will qualify directly if they beat Shakhtar Donetsk. Shakhtar: He will not qualify if he suffers a loss at the hands of the Real.
Milan: He will not be able to qualify if he does not win against Moenchengladbach, and he will also bottom the table if he loses. So next week will be a year to remember other then corona virus or just another CL groupe stage that a big team like Real Madrid had minor difficulties to qualify.
If Monchengladbach draws the match against Real Madrid, they will qualify for the next round. On the other hand, Real Madrid must win this match. If so, they will not be able to qualify. On the other hand, I don't think there is any chance of qualifying for Inter Milan. They have just won one match. I would be happy if Shakhtar and Monchengladbach go to the next round.

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December 02, 2020, 04:19:02 PM
 #4580

...
forget about Group B, Madrid and Inter are beyond saving...
btw, I can't wait for the Chelsea vs Sevilla match. Even though there are no more important points to be chased by Chelsea or Sevilla because both have progressed to the next round, Chelsea will definitely satisfy their fans. playing at Sevilla home, this will be a very exciting match.



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