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[JanpriX]

Pick for April 29, 2021 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 08:00 PM EST, NBA
Match: Golden State Warriors - Minnesota Timberwolves

[WIN!!!] - PICK: OVER 234.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.89 ODDS).

Despite the fact these two teams have been playing to the under as of late, we see this game as the 2nd highest total on the board and we think its high for a reason. The Wolves are surging having beat the Jazz outright back to back games as double digit dogs, then beat the Rockets. They have their big 3 healthy in Towns, Russell, and Edwards, and these 3 together when healthy have been winning. They come into this game with double revenge as they lost two earlier season meetings to the Warriors but both games were without Towns and Russell. I think they will definitely get up for this game. We have already seen this line move towards the Wolves signalling that they are an active dog today. Then you have the Warriors who come off a beat down of a loss to the Mavericks that saw them lose 133-103 at home. Kerr said after the game they came out and treated that game like an exhibition game and moving forward every game has to be treated like a playoff game. Having scored just 103 points, I expect the offense of the Warriors to step up today. Put it all together and I like the over today.
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[JanpriX]

Pick for April 29, 2021 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 08:00 PM EST, NHL
Match: Minnesota Wild - St.Louis Blues

[LOSS] - PICK: MINNESOTA WILD ML for 2 UNITS (1.69 ODDS).

If you are the Wild, you have to be ticked has they had a 3-1 lead and gave up 3 unanswered goals in the 3rd period with the last one being with 23 seconds left to lose 4-3. That was the first regulation loss of the season when leading after two periods and just their 5th regulation loss all season at home. They have only lost back to back games at home once this season and you have to go all the way back to January. Yesterday was the first game they played after clinching a playoffs spot so perhaps they got a little complacent. That will not be the case here today as several players said after the game it was a good learning lesson for them. They have lost now 3 in a row to the Blues and I simply do not see them losing a 4th in a row. This Wild team has been dominant at home and I expect a big bounce back from them today. Take the Wild to get it done and get some rapid revenge. Blues are 1-5 in their last 6 road games. Wild are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Wild are 20-6 in their last 26 games as a favorite.
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[JanpriX]

Pick for May 2, 2021 (SUNDAY)
Game will start on 02:15 PM EST, EPL
Match: Tottenham - Sheffield United

[WIN!!!] - PICK: TOTTENHAM -1.5 GOALS for 2 UNITS (2.01 ODDS).

Jose Mourinho is out, Ryan Mason is in. The Hotspur are now managed by Mason after Mourinho’s 17-month tenure at the helm of Tottenham. Mason led the team to a 2-1 victory over Southampton just two days after Mourinho got sacked. He plans to do his best to get his team surging towards the top four. Mason is currently the interim manager; however, he knows if he can get the best out of this squad, they might be able to keep Harry Kane for next season, and maybe Tottenham removes the interim tag from his title. Sheffield’s relegation has been confirmed, and they have had a disastrous season. This is a complete mismatch here, and there is no doubt the Hotspur have all the motivation at this point. Tottenham beat the Blades 3-1 in January, and Sheffield is 1-5 in their last 6 matches, and have scored 2 goals and conceded 13 in that same time span. I will roll with the Hotspur to get it done by two or more goals.
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[JanpriX]

Pick for May 2, 2021 (SUNDAY)
Game will start on 02:35 PM EST, MLB
Match: Boston Red Sox - Texas Rangers

[LOSS] - PICK: BOSTON RED SOX ML for 2 UNITS (1.86 ODDS).

I like the Red Sox to bounce back here, as they look to avoid losing their first series of the season. The Red Sox left 10 runners on base yesterday and twice had the bases loaded but could not capitalize. I expect a much better effort offensively today as the Red Sox rank #3 in batting avg at .260, and rank #3 in runs scored. They face Folty today who comes off a win, however he is not the pitcher he once was as he has allowed 8 HR in his first 4 starts of the season which is an average of 2 per game. He was fortunate to win his last game as he allowed 3 HR and 7 hits but the Texas offense carried him. Richards on the mound for the Red Sox has great career numbers against Texas as a member of the Angels going 9-4 with a 2.91 ERA. Texas has struggled at home this season especially against righties. The Red Sox are 9-3 on the road this season and 10-2 on the runline on the road. We will take the better offense, and better pitcher. Take the Red Sox to roll today in the series finale. Red Sox are 10-4 in their last 14 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Rangers are 0-7 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
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[JanpriX]

Pick for May 2, 2021 (SUNDAY)
Game will start on 04:10 PM EST, MLB
Match: Arizona Diamondbacks - Colorado Rockies

[WIN!!!] - PICK: ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS ML for 2 UNITS (1.66 ODDS).

The Diamondbacks got embarrassed by the lowly Rockies last evening losing 14-6. They will want to bounce-back and return the favor in the rubber match here in Arizona. The Diamondbacks are 9-3 in their last 12 games, and have Merrill Kelly on the mound here tomorrow. Kelly is a far better pitcher at home than on the road as his 3.24 ERA and 1.14 WHIP at Chase Field reflect. The Rockies counter with Chi Chi Gonzalez, who has been an average pitcher at best this year. The Diamondbacks are just the far superior team here. Colorado is 10-17, and 2-7 on the road. Look for Arizona to take the rubber match tomorrow. Diamondbacks are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
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[JanpriX]

Pick for May 2, 2021 (SUNDAY)
Game will start on 08:00 PM EST, NBA
Match: San Antonio Spurs - Philadelphia 76ers

[WIN!!!] - PICK: SAN ANTONIO SPURS +6.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.91 ODDS).

I roll with the Spurs as the home dog to hang tough today. The Spurs come off an epic 32 point collapse against Boston in their last game. This cannot sit well with the team or Popovich. The Spurs need to keep winning to continue their spot for the play in game as they currently sit in 9th. They Spurs have been playing some of their best basketball of the season in recent weeks as they beat a red hot Wizards team, beat the Suns outright as dogs, and beat the Pelicans. I think they are catching the Sixers at the right time as they come off three blowout wins in a row, could have a letdown here. The Spurs also come in with big revenge after losing to 76ers 134-99 in March. Lets also not forget this is a Sixers team that does not play as well on the road as they do at home. Great public fade to boot. Put it all together and we like the Spurs at home to hang tough and keep this one close. 76ers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. Spurs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
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#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for May 3, 2021 (MONDAY)
Game will start on 03:15 PM EST, EPL
Match: West Ham United - Burnley

[WIN!!!] - PICK: OVER 2.5 GOALS for 2 UNITS (1.75 ODDS).

Both teams can put the ball in net here. Burnley have been better away from home this year than on their own pitch, and five of their last games have produced more than 2.5 goals. Four of West Ham’s last five games have gone over 2.5 goals as well. The Hammers have a lot of injury concerns as well, which will leave them vulnerable defensively on the back end here. Jesse Lingard was doubtful leading up to the Chelsea game, and the Manchester United loanee looks as if he will play, which is great for West Ham as he has been in fantastic form. We think this will be an exciting game and plenty of action on the pitch Monday. Take the over.
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[JanpriX]

Pick for May 3, 2021 (MONDAY)
Game will start on 08:00 PM EST, NHL
Match: Vegas Golden Knights - Minnesota Wild

[LOSS] - PICK: VGK ML for 2 UNITS (1.86 ODDS).

If you are Vegas, I think they have had this game circled for a while now as they have lost 4 straight to the Wild and were swept in their own building back at the beginning of April. Vegas sits at the top of the division with a 4 point lead over Colorado and a 6 point lead over the Wild. A win here for Vegas could very well be the dagger needed to seal up 1st in the division. Both teams come in red hot, but the Wild have not been as sharp lately. They lost back to back games at home to the Blues, blowing a lead in the first game, to finally pull one off in OT. When you look at both these teams, Vegas has more depth up front and the edge in goal no matter who starts. Vegas leads the league with the best goals against and simply have more game breakers in a close game to get it done. Put it all together we like Vegas to get some revenge here and grab a big win on the road. Golden Knights are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
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[JanpriX]

Pick for May 3, 2021 (MONDAY)
Game will start on 09:00 PM EST, NBA
Match: Memphis Grizzlies - New York Knicks

[LOSS] - PICK: MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES -3.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.84 ODDS).

If you are the Grizzlies, you have to be ticked as they come off a buzzer beater loss to the Magic, also a game that saw them blow a 20 point lead in the 3rd quarter. Perhaps they got a bit lazy and looking ahead to this game against the Knicks. This is also a revenge game here for the Grizzlies as they lost April 9th in New York 133-129 in OT. They had the game tied at 114-114 and Morant missed shot at the buzzer to end it, so he is likely motivated here as well. Its hard to go against the Knicks as good as they have been playing, which is why the public is on the trendy dog as they have been with the Knicks as of late. The Knicks come off beating up on the Rockets but now head into a tough part of their road trip, facing all playoff bound teams. The Knicks has clinched a spot in the playoffs, but the Grizzlies are fighting for their lives sitting in 8th spot. They have the Warriors and Spurs right on their heels and they need a big win after blowing it against the Magic. Put it all together and we like the Grizzlies at home to get it done. Grizzlies are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Knicks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Memphis.
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[JanpriX]

Pick for May 3, 2021 (MONDAY)
Game will start on 09:30 PM EST, MLB
Match: Tampa Bay Rays - LA Angels

[WIN!!!] - PICK: TAMPA BAY RAYS ML for 2 UNITS (1.90 ODDS).

The public loves Shohei Ohtani. We get it. This is exactly why the Angels are the trendy dog today, however the Rays are favored and we agree. Shohei cannot stop walking batters. He has walked on average one batter per inning so far this year. He has not pitched past five innings yet either, and the Angels bullpen, while not terrible, is not as good as the Rays. Glasnow has been lights out this year with a 1.67 ERA and 0.8 WHIP. There is a reason that Tampa opened as an underdog at +100...and now they are a -120 favorite. It's because the public loves Shohei, and the sharps love Glasnow. Tampa is a much better team than their record reflects, and there is absolutely zero doubt who the better pitcher is here. Glasnow has allowed one run or less in 5 of his last 6 starts, and in his career vs the Angels he holds a 0-0 record with a 1.50 ERA. We will roll with the Rays tonight. Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
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#BlackLivesMatter

[JanpriX]

Pick for May 5, 2021 (WEDNESDAY)
Game will start on 03:00 PM EST, Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Match: Chelsea - Real Madrid

[WIN!!!] - PICK: CHELSEA ML for 2 UNITS (1.63 ODDS).

Last week these two teams played to a 1-1 draw at Alfredo Di Stefano in Madrid. We see the same type of low scoring game here. Real was only able to register one shot on goal vs Chelsea’s stifling defense, a sign that Chelsea could keep a cleansheet tomorrow. N’Golo Kante will continue to attack and create opportunities for the Blues. We see this as a slow paced first half, with both teams trying not to make mistakes defensively, and opening up in the second half with Chelsea getting one more goal in the net than Los Blancos. Thomas Tuchel has a well-balanced approach, and he should be able to manage his way to the Championship game for the second year in a row. Take Chelsea to advance.
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[JanpriX]

Pick for May 5, 2021 (WEDNESDAY)
Game will start on 07:00 PM EST, MLB
Match: Milwaukee Brewers - Philadelphia Phillies

[LOSS] - PICK: MILWAUKEE BREWERS ML for 2 UNITS (1.75 ODDS).

Freddy Peralta has been a pleasant surprise to the already stacked Milwaukee Brewers pitching staff. He comes in at 3-0, with a 2.25 ERA, and 1.00 WHIP. Another interesting stat with Peralta is in the six games he has started, whether or not he got the decision, Milwaukee is 5-1 in those games. So he consistently gives his team a great shot to win. Also worth noting he comes in off an impressive game vs the Dodgers, even though the Dodgers have not been hitting great lately. Chase Anderson comes in with a 5.40 ERA and 1.4 WHIP. He also has a 6.55 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in his career vs the Brewers. Milwaukee is 7-2 in their last 9 games vs a right-handed starter. The Phillies are 3-8 in their last 11 games as an underdog. Let's roll with the Brewers on Wednesday.
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[JanpriX]

Pick for May 5, 2021 (WEDNESDAY)
Game will start on 09:00 PM EST, NBA
Match: San Antonio Spurs - Utah Jazz

[LOSS] - PICK: SAN ANTONIO SPURS +6.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.91 ODDS).

This is a roll they have been quite successful in this year as they are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog and 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games. The Spurs just lost by 11 to Jazz on Monday, and lost by 21 to them when Mitchell was playing on Jan 3rd, they have big revenge, and will have motivation to put up a fight. The are Spurs fighting to stay in the play-in tourney and Murray provided a spark Monday and should do so again here. The issue the last game for the Spurs was the slow start, as they did make a run at the Jazz in the second half which is something to build off of for this game. This has not been the same Jazz team we saw in the first half and has not been the same Jazz team at home as the first half of the season. Since Mitchell has gone down with injury the Jazz have been very inconsistent and are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite. The Jazz have Denver on deck so they are likely looking ahead here and don't care to much to blow out the Spurs for a second time. The Spurs sit in the 10th and final playin spot with the Pelicans just 2 games behind. I think we see a big effort here from the Spurs and they cover the number on the road. Spurs 21-9 ATS on the road.
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[JanpriX]

Pick for May 5, 2021 (WEDNESDAY)
Game will start on 09:00 PM EST, NHL
Match: Winnipeg Jets - Calgary Flames

[LOSS] - PICK: OVER 5.5 GOALS for 2 UNITS (1.98 ODDS).

The Jets now find themselves in a tie with the Canadiens with 57 points due to their 7 game losing streak. What has been the worst part of this losing streak is they have not been able to score and they are in need of a bust out offensively. They have score just 10 goals during the last 7 games and need to find their game. Both teams come off losses, and both teams managed to score just 1 goal in their last game. I think Calgary will get up to face the Jets as well. Put it all together and we like the over in this one. Over is 9-3-2 in Jets last 14 games as a road underdog. Over is 9-4-1 in Flames last 14 following a loss of 3 or more goals.
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[JanpriX]

Pick for May 6, 2021 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 03:00 PM EST, Europa League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Match: Arsenal - Villareal

[LOSS] - PICK: OVER 2.5 GOALS for 2 UNITS (1.72 ODDS).

As per this selection, Arsenal comes into this game with a minimum deficit to overturn, following their 2-1 defeat to Villareal in the first leg. The good news for the Gunners is Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Martin Odegaard will both be in the starting eleven for Arsenal. Their presence helped lift the Gunners to a 2-0 victory vs Newcastle United on Sunday. Aubameyang had a goal and assist in the match. Arsenal has conceded at least one goal in each of their nine home matches in all competitions. The Gunners did score a road goal last week vs Villareal, so they look to possibly keep a cleansheet and score 2 or more themselves. However, we do not see Villareal shut down here, as they have not been held to nil since February 28th vs Athletico Madrid. They just put two in the back of the net last week vs this Arsenal team, and they know if they can outscore them again, they will emerge victorious. Arsenal has been inconsistent, however with Auba back, we think they find the net a minimum of two times here as they will be desperate for goals, as well as will The Yellow Submarine. Take the over.
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[JanpriX]

Pick for May 6, 2021 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 01:05 PM EST, MLB
Match: Milwaukee Brewers - Philadelphia Phillies

[LOSS] - PICK: MILWAUKEE BREWERS ML for 2 UNITS (1.74 ODDS).

As per this selection, I love this spot for the Brewers today. I'm a big fan of Brandon Woodruff. He comes in with a 1.80 ERA and a 0.80 WHIP. He has a 2-0 record, however Milwaukee has won 5 of the 6 games he has started, so he keeps his team in the game. The Brewers are looking to avoid a 4 game sweep here, in all three prior games Mon-Wed, the Brewers have lost all three by one run!! If that isn't motivation we don't know what is!! Zack Wheeler starts for Philadelphia, and his numbers are decent this year, however as opposed to Woodruff, the Phillies are 2-4 in Wheeler's starts despite his 2-2 record, so he doesn't exactly put his team in the best situation to win such as Woodruff. The Brewers were down early in both games due to one big inning, but fought their way back each game making them one run games. I think today it's the Brewers that avoid the sweep and grab a big win. Let's roll with Milwaukee today. Brewers are 8-3 in their last 11 games following a loss.
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[JanpriX]

Pick for May 6, 2021 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 03:30 PM EST, MLB
Match: Oakland Athletics - Toronto Blue Jays

[WIN!!!] - PICK: TORONTO BLUE JAYS ML for 2 UNITS (1.68 ODDS).

Toronto has averaged 6 runs per game over their last 7 games and they have held opponents to just 2.1 runs per game in day games this season with opponents hitting just .207 against them. Toronto’s bullpen is one of the best in all of MLB on the road this season with an ERA of 1.74 and a WHIP of 1.129. Opponents have averaged 4.6 runs per game against Oakland over their last 7 games and 5 runs per game against them at home this season. Look for Toronto’s bats to stay hot here today so play Toronto Moneyline.
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[JanpriX]

Pick for May 6, 2021 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 10:00 PM EST, NBA
Match: LA Lakers - LA Clippers

[LOSS] - PICK: UNDER 210.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (2.02 ODDS).

This is the lowest total on the board and I think it is low for a reason. There are a few things going on here. The Lakers come in trying to avoid a season sweep by their rivals and they are without James and Schroeder. Do you not think they get up for this game? I think they do but in order to keep this close and try to win they are going to have to have max effort on defense. The Clippers on the flip side have been an under machine lately despite having lost 3 of their last 4. Some question their desire or effort in the last lag of the season knowing they have a playoff spot locked up. What they have been doing is playing outstanding defense. This is a team that held the Raptors to 100 points, Denver to 110 points, Memphis to 105 points to name a few. They are on a 9-1 under run their last 10 games. Not to mention if the season ended today this would be a first round matchup, so we could see a playoff feel game. Being the last game on the board it is a great public fade. I think both teams step up on defense, hence this one likely goes under. Under is 16-4-1 in Lakers last 21 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 11-3-1 in the last 15 meetings in Los Angeles.
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[JanpriX]

Pick for May 7, 2021 (FRIDAY)
Game will start on 03:00 PM EST, EPL
Match: Leicester City - Newcastle United

[LOSS] - PICK: UNDER 3 GOALS for 2 UNITS (1.77 ODDS).

Leicester City will look to strengthen their grip on third place as they take on Newcastle United on Friday. The Foxes can tie a spot in the Champions League if they emerge victorious over the Magpies. Newcastle United have seen 8 of their last 11 matches net 1 or fewer goals. The Foxes vs Magpies at King Power Stadium have been extremely low scoring over the last twenty years with seven of the last ten matches producing under three goals. We think Leicester has a shot at a clean sheet here, and we like them to win the match. However, we will side with under 3 goals here as we think it is a low scoring affair.
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[JanpriX]

Pick for May 7, 2021 (FRIDAY)
Game will start on 08:00 PM EST, NHL
Match: Minnesota Wild - Anaheim Ducks

[LOSS] - PICK: MINNESOTA WILD -1.5 GOALS for 2 UNITS (1.87 ODDS).

The Ducks are in for a let down here after their shootout win vs the Blues in their last game. They have the 30th ranked offense in the league averaging just 2.19 goals per game, and rank #23 in defense allowing 3.13 goals per game. They go up against a Wild team that have been lights out at home with just 5 regulation losses at home. They come off a 3-2 OT loss last game vs Vegas. I expect them to be hungry here as they are fighting for top spot in the West, just 5 points back of Vegas. I think the Wild are eager to bounce back here and will not take the Ducks likely. I expect a big win at home, hence they cover the puckline. Wild are 9-3 in their last 12 overall.
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