rdluffy
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August 18, 2022, 09:47:15 PM |
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The chances of the top six winning the World Cup look like this:
Brazil 5.55 England 6.60 France 7.05 Argentina 8.10 Spain 9.10 Germany 11.10
If there was complete certainty that one of these teams would win gold, then one could bet on all of them and get a guaranteed profit of almost 21%. But I do not think that anyone can give such guarantees. Even if we imagine that all these teams have reached the 1/4 finals (and they can meet each other at earlier stages), it turns out that there will be 2 teams that, in order to become a champion, need to win only 3 games in underdog status. This is a fairly common situation in annihilation games.
Can you post the source of this list please? In my opinion, England is not the second favorite to win I would put: 1 - Brazil > France > Germany > Argentina > England > Spain Only considering these six above, but I think I prefer to put Netherlands instead of Spain in sixth place Obviously it's not 100% guaranteed to any os these 6 squads to win, but I don't see any other teams winning this cup, maybe Netherlands and Belgium. Portugal and Uruguai are strong but not at the point to win the cup.
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nullama
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August 18, 2022, 11:35:30 PM |
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~snip~ Can you post the source of this list please?
In my opinion, England is not the second favorite to win
I would put: 1 - Brazil > France > Germany > Argentina > England > Spain Only considering these six above, but I think I prefer to put Netherlands instead of Spain in sixth place
Obviously it's not 100% guaranteed to any os these 6 squads to win, but I don't see any other teams winning this cup, maybe Netherlands and Belgium. Portugal and Uruguai are strong but not at the point to win the cup.
Yeah, that makes sense to me. I would also include The Netherlands as you say. I kinda want them to win this time, they usually are so close, the best they've gotten is second place a few times. This might be their chance to actually win it. Yeah, Portugal with Cristiano Ronaldo will make some big advances, but not sure it will win the world cup. And Uruguay is always good, but I don't see them winning this time around.
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STT
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August 19, 2022, 12:02:13 AM Last edit: August 19, 2022, 12:18:28 AM by STT |
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In my opinion, England is not the second favorite to win They lack the consistency to bet that outcome this far out. It could be proven but I'd rather take the bet having seen them put in the performance presumably with the training and discipline beforehand. Also Qatar in general is a wildcard to me, maybe that'll be a pointless fear in retrospect but seems possible some teams suffer more then others altering the odds drastically as the contest is ongoing. What's the best long shot bet in this contest. Straight away it seems the odds for Germany at 11x would be far too high not to be worth considering with a bet to cover that outcome.
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uneng
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August 19, 2022, 12:39:29 AM |
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Most consistent teams this time are Brazil and Argentina. European titans have been inconsistent on results these days, especially France. Maybe it's because european nations in general are all balanced and offer decent challenges to each other, while in South America Brazil and Argentina don't have great opponents to play against, so it's easier to stand out and get noticed.
Personally I don't expect an underdog to take the protagonism of Qatar's world cup, like Croatia did in 2018 at Russia's world cup. The competition must be between the teams pointed as the favorite ones. i just think this time Brazil and Argentina are better prepared to reach further on the championship.
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alegotardo
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August 19, 2022, 01:00:37 AM |
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Most consistent teams this time are Brazil and Argentina. European titans have been inconsistent on results these days, especially France. Maybe it's because european nations in general are all balanced and offer decent challenges to each other, while in South America Brazil and Argentina don't have great opponents to play against, so it's easier to stand out and get noticed.
Personally I don't expect an underdog to take the protagonism of Qatar's world cup, like Croatia did in 2018 at Russia's world cup. The competition must be between the teams pointed as the favorite ones. i just think this time Brazil and Argentina are better prepared to reach further on the championship.
I agree with you, but note that many of the European players are Latin American and that includes Brazilians and Argentines. So... when they play for Brazil or Argentine they won't be "infected" by that European malady that you mentioned? I really hope that Brazil wins, because i'm Brazilian, it's impossible to cheer against him ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) . But Europe has always had very strong teams, so it's difficult to guarantee who will win. I prefer to leave my bet for when they pass the group stage.
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Sithara007
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August 19, 2022, 03:08:18 AM |
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Most consistent teams this time are Brazil and Argentina. European titans have been inconsistent on results these days, especially France. Maybe it's because european nations in general are all balanced and offer decent challenges to each other, while in South America Brazil and Argentina don't have great opponents to play against, so it's easier to stand out and get noticed.
Personally I don't expect an underdog to take the protagonism of Qatar's world cup, like Croatia did in 2018 at Russia's world cup. The competition must be between the teams pointed as the favorite ones. i just think this time Brazil and Argentina are better prepared to reach further on the championship.
In every edition, there will be underdogs who manage to surprise the big teams. Back in 2018, it was Croatia. And there is a good chance that in 2022 it maybe Serbia, Wales or Senegal. Football is a game where even a single mistake can prove to be costly. So I won't be surprised if some of the much hyped teams get kicked out of the world cup by the smaller ones. France looks like the most overhyped team at this point and some of the other UEFA nations are also venturing in to that territory, including Netherlands, Germany and Belgium.
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rdluffy
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August 19, 2022, 11:26:35 AM |
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Yeah, Portugal with Cristiano Ronaldo will make some big advances, but not sure it will win the world cup. And Uruguay is always good, but I don't see them winning this time around.
The problem with Portugal is obvious, they are too dependent of Cristiano Ronaldo, and the truth have to be said, he is 37 years old, almost impossible to carry the team 7 matches to be the champion, but a decent cup will be at the quarter-finals, and I believe they are capable of. It's probably the last cup for him, and I think he will do everything to play at best, the last cup, the last chance. Uruguay have old players like Gódin, Luis Suárez and Edinson Cavani who are pretty good and can decide some matches, but old enough to not have a consistency cup, on the bright side they love soccer and world cup, they classified in an incredible way, they were at 7th place and lasting 4 rounds of qualifiers, they won 4 matches and guaranteed the 3rd place. They also have Arrascaeta of Flamengo, Piquerez from Palmeiras, both are playing so good, that you can expect at least quarter-finals from Uruguay too. They lack the consistency to bet that outcome this far out. It could be proven but I'd rather take the bet having seen them put in the performance presumably with the training and discipline beforehand. Also Qatar in general is a wildcard to me, maybe that'll be a pointless fear in retrospect but seems possible some teams suffer more then others altering the odds drastically as the contest is ongoing.
What's the best long shot bet in this contest. Straight away it seems the odds for Germany at 11x would be far too high not to be worth considering with a bet to cover that outcome.
Exactly, you have a good understanding here, England suffer from lack of consistency. I'm not England but I've always liked the squad (Beckham, Lampard, Rooney, Terry etc) but they always get attention of media, always a strong squad, starts well, but they can't hold and lose some "easy" matches and bye bye England.
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Boristhecat
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August 19, 2022, 12:19:30 PM |
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The chances of the top six winning the World Cup look like this:
Brazil 5.55 England 6.60 France 7.05 Argentina 8.10 Spain 9.10 Germany 11.10
If there was complete certainty that one of these teams would win gold, then one could bet on all of them and get a guaranteed profit of almost 21%. But I do not think that anyone can give such guarantees. Even if we imagine that all these teams have reached the 1/4 finals (and they can meet each other at earlier stages), it turns out that there will be 2 teams that, in order to become a champion, need to win only 3 games in underdog status. This is a fairly common situation in annihilation games.
Can you post the source of this list please? In my opinion, England is not the second favorite to win I would put: 1 - Brazil > France > Germany > Argentina > England > Spain Only considering these six above, but I think I prefer to put Netherlands instead of Spain in sixth place Obviously it's not 100% guaranteed to any os these 6 squads to win, but I don't see any other teams winning this cup, maybe Netherlands and Belgium. Portugal and Uruguai are strong but not at the point to win the cup. https://stake.com/sports/outright/soccer/international/world-cup/10753-world-cup-2022 - here is the source (click World Cup - Winner and you will see the details), however, I do not think that any other bookmaker quotes are very different. I agree about Germany, this team is underestimated, but on the other hand there are reasons for this - already two major competitions can be said to be failed and in general it is now difficult to single out someone as a super star there, and the whole team does not show the results that are usually expect from them.
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rahmad2nd
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August 19, 2022, 01:04:07 PM |
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~snip~ I would put: 1 - Brazil > France > Germany > Argentina > England > Spain Only considering these six above, but I think I prefer to put Netherlands instead of Spain in sixth place
Obviously it's not 100% guaranteed to any os these 6 squads to win, but I don't see any other teams winning this cup, maybe Netherlands and Belgium. Portugal and Uruguai are strong but not at the point to win the cup.
Yeah, that makes sense to me. I would also include The Netherlands as you say. I kinda want them to win this time, they usually are so close, the best they've gotten is second place a few times. This might be their chance to actually win it. I agree to include the Netherlands instead of Spain, but that doesn't mean the Spanish squad isn't better than the 6 teams mentioned. it's just that the current performance of the Dutch squad is more solid than the Spanish squad. it seems, the netherlands are the team that will qualify easily in the group stage, seeing their toughest opponent is only senegal. Yeah, Portugal with Cristiano Ronaldo will make some big advances, but not sure it will win the world cup. And Uruguay is always good, but I don't see them winning this time around.
well, i doubt for the portugal squad. If the Portugal squad still relies heavily on Ronaldo and doesn't change their outdated strategy, don't expect the Portugal squad to progress smoothly in other further rounds. Even I believe, Uruguay, Ghana, South Korea, will be very troublesome for the Portugal squad to qualify for the next phase.
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Razmirraz
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August 19, 2022, 01:23:40 PM |
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Yeah, Portugal with Cristiano Ronaldo will make some big advances, but not sure it will win the world cup. And Uruguay is always good, but I don't see them winning this time around.
well, i doubt for the portugal squad. If the Portugal squad still relies heavily on Ronaldo and doesn't change their outdated strategy, don't expect the Portugal squad to progress smoothly in other further rounds. Even I believe, Uruguay, Ghana, South Korea, will be very troublesome for the Portugal squad to qualify for the next phase. Portugal cannot continue to rely on Ronaldo, the 2022 world cup will be the last appearance in this most prestigious event. Along with the decline in Ronaldo performance, at this time world cup Portugal was not included in the nominations for the team that was counted as one of the semifinalist candidates. Maybe Portugal can qualify from the group stage, the obstacles of teams like Uruguay, Ghana and South Korea are still able to be passed by Portugal, but I doubt Portugal can go further in the next round.
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dataispower
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August 19, 2022, 01:38:23 PM |
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Portugal cannot continue to rely on Ronaldo, the 2022 world cup will be the last appearance in this most prestigious event. Along with the decline in Ronaldo performance, at this time world cup Portugal was not included in the nominations for the team that was counted as one of the semifinalist candidates. Maybe Portugal can qualify from the group stage, the obstacles of teams like Uruguay, Ghana and South Korea are still able to be passed by Portugal, but I doubt Portugal can go further in the next round.
Do you know one thing about football team. It's that no matter the level of a player they have as the best they does not depend on the player.and secondly, it's not one player that determine the success of a particular team rather it's a collective effort of the team that brings the success and jubilation by the end of match. I don't really like to predict the failure of team or people that will emerge. What i concentrate on is the total number players who is in that team.
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tomos81
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August 19, 2022, 03:18:46 PM |
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Portugal cannot continue to rely on Ronaldo, the 2022 world cup will be the last appearance in this most prestigious event. Along with the decline in Ronaldo performance, at this time world cup Portugal was not included in the nominations for the team that was counted as one of the semifinalist candidates. Maybe Portugal can qualify from the group stage, the obstacles of teams like Uruguay, Ghana and South Korea are still able to be passed by Portugal, but I doubt Portugal can go further in the next round.
Do you know one thing about football team. It's that no matter the level of a player they have as the best they does not depend on the player.and secondly, it's not one player that determine the success of a particular team rather it's a collective effort of the team that brings the success and jubilation by the end of match. I don't really like to predict the failure of team or people that will emerge. What i concentrate on is the total number players who is in that team. We all know this World Cup is Cristiano Ronaldo's last World Cup. He has worked very hard for his country's football He is currently in charge of leading his team But if Cristiano Ronaldo retires from football, Portugal and the world of football will surely lose a bright star. I don't think there will be another Ronaldo coming out of Portugal. Because Ronaldo is only one.
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wheelz1200
Legendary
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August 19, 2022, 03:44:32 PM |
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Portugal cannot continue to rely on Ronaldo, the 2022 world cup will be the last appearance in this most prestigious event. Along with the decline in Ronaldo performance, at this time world cup Portugal was not included in the nominations for the team that was counted as one of the semifinalist candidates. Maybe Portugal can qualify from the group stage, the obstacles of teams like Uruguay, Ghana and South Korea are still able to be passed by Portugal, but I doubt Portugal can go further in the next round.
Do you know one thing about football team. It's that no matter the level of a player they have as the best they does not depend on the player.and secondly, it's not one player that determine the success of a particular team rather it's a collective effort of the team that brings the success and jubilation by the end of match. I don't really like to predict the failure of team or people that will emerge. What i concentrate on is the total number players who is in that team. We all know this World Cup is Cristiano Ronaldo's last World Cup. He has worked very hard for his country's football He is currently in charge of leading his team But if Cristiano Ronaldo retires from football, Portugal and the world of football will surely lose a bright star. I don't think there will be another Ronaldo coming out of Portugal. Because Ronaldo is only one. Maybe not right away but every era has its stars. He's had a historic run but there certainly can come a player who takes Portugal to a place where cristiano couldn't. I know it's not a one player thing but every world cup champ has its iconic stars. Never say never.
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arimamib
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August 19, 2022, 05:28:46 PM |
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Snip
I agree with you, but note that many of the European players are Latin American and that includes Brazilians and Argentines. So... when they play for Brazil or Argentine they won't be "infected" by that European malady that you mentioned? I really hope that Brazil wins, because i'm Brazilian, it's impossible to cheer against him ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) . But Europe has always had very strong teams, so it's difficult to guarantee who will win. I prefer to leave my bet for when they pass the group stage. As one of the countries that have won the most World Cups, Brazil has always been the seed in every World Cup event. Brazil is also famous for a country that always gives birth to talented players, every performance of the World Cup Brazil squad is always filled with great players. I am always entertained by the individual actions of the Brazilian player known as the rocking Samba, but I can't say Brazil can win the 2022 World Cup, because other countries also have great squads. Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands and England are a series of European countries that have great squads. Now it is very difficult to shoot which country will win the World Cup, because most of the participants have great players.
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Dunamisx
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August 19, 2022, 06:48:30 PM |
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As one of the countries that have won the most World Cups, Brazil has always been the seed in every World Cup event. Brazil is also famous for a country that always gives birth to talented players, every performance of the World Cup Brazil squad is always filled with great players. I am always entertained by the individual actions of the Brazilian player known as the rocking Samba, but I can't say Brazil can win the 2022 World Cup, because other countries also have great squads. Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands and England are a series of European countries that have great squads. Now it is very difficult to shoot which country will win the World Cup, because most of the participants have great players. Well i think i will have more supportive hands on England this time around, Brazil is trying and is one of the countries well known for sport games and activities, but when it comes to winning, i think they have a past good record in that aspect but not till present, i consider the mode of playing strategies by England in thier matches and all i could conclude is a deserving win for the FIFA world cup finals and i know they will eventually push to the climax in achieving this.
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terrorJR
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August 19, 2022, 10:27:56 PM |
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Portugal cannot continue to rely on Ronaldo, the 2022 world cup will be the last appearance in this most prestigious event. Along with the decline in Ronaldo performance, at this time world cup Portugal was not included in the nominations for the team that was counted as one of the semifinalist candidates. Maybe Portugal can qualify from the group stage, the obstacles of teams like Uruguay, Ghana and South Korea are still able to be passed by Portugal, but I doubt Portugal can go further in the next round.
Do you know one thing about football team. It's that no matter the level of a player they have as the best they does not depend on the player.and secondly, it's not one player that determine the success of a particular team rather it's a collective effort of the team that brings the success and jubilation by the end of match. I don't really like to predict the failure of team or people that will emerge. What i concentrate on is the total number players who is in that team. Dependence on Ronaldo even though it doesn't seem right, but things like this will continue to exist until he actually retires from the national team. Actually Portugal in this case does not lack talented young players but with their dependence on one player it seems as if the talent they have is limited in this case so it is not uncommon when one of the players is good enough to play in the club but does not look good in the national team because it is dependence like this.
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Mate2237
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August 19, 2022, 10:55:06 PM |
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World cup kick starts From Group A Qatar vs Ecuador will start the world cup on the 20th of November 2022. time: 09:00pm. Venue: Al Bayt Stadium. While Senegal vs Netherlands will start their on the 21st of November 2022. Time: 09:00pm. Venue: Al Thumama Stadium For Group B. England vs Iran will start theirs on the 21st of November at Venue: Khalifa International Stadium, Time: 06:00 pm while USA vs Wales will start theirs on the same date but different time with 12:00am source: https://www.livescores.com/football/world-cup/?tz=-7
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D-law
Member
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Offline
Activity: 686
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August 19, 2022, 11:26:48 PM |
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Brazilians have a better chance of winning the World Cup. Would see how it all ends in the end But France and Germany are not to be taken likely, they are world shockers.
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nullama
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August 20, 2022, 01:08:20 AM |
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Here is the updated schedule of the matches, with Qatar vs Ecuador starting one day earlier: ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FqmYjbAS.png&t=665&c=vBL-xVrNWD_BMA) They moved that match basically because they wanted to have massive fireworks in the opening ceremony, and Qatar was playing too early in the day before.
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Fesatmas
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August 20, 2022, 03:23:29 AM |
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Can't wait to see the Qatar World Cup get underway. There will be a new euphoria from football lovers in my opinion. Because this World Cup will be a little different, because many star players may end their careers after this World Cup. In addition, there are a lot of young potential who will participate in this biggest football party. Maybe a new star will appear, I think so.
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