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Author Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation  (Read 3185684 times)
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May 13, 2018, 02:19:27 PM
 #38201

https://weeklyglobalresearch.wordpress.com/2018/05/12/darknet-markets-and-the-shadow-economy/

Really good article written about darkmarkets and shadow economy in last 5 years.   In this thread there was lots speculations in past two years of how much volume and how much listings darkmarkets have. This guy some who got answers.    Yes speculation here went also in how big share Monero have. There is no infor about that in the article, except confirmation that more and more every day pass.

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May 13, 2018, 03:27:28 PM
 #38202

In my opinion the emission schedule should be decreased by 50 %.
For example, the current block reward is around 14 xmr - better to change it to 7 xmr.
It will help the dumping pressure and gives nice and steady growth for the coin.
The existing balances and total number of coins should not be touched but just give 100 % more time for the rest of emission.


https://moneroblocks.info/block/1571959

coinbase is right now around 6.4 XMR. So I guess your criterium is reach and you are happy.

Freshly mined Moneros are now so rare that Monero is getting scarce. Monero is a cryptocurency that is being used everyday and coinbase is one way to provide liquidity for that use.

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May 13, 2018, 04:38:23 PM
 #38203

Yes, but there is a critical difference. By the time Monero reaches a 70% mined rate it will a fundamentally different investment than it is today, for better or for worse. This means a vastly different risk vs return consideration for any investor. We are talking 8 or more years since the start of crypto currencies in 2009.
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May 13, 2018, 04:56:52 PM
 #38204

In my opinion the emission schedule should be decreased by 50 %.
For example, the current block reward is around 14 xmr - better to change it to 7 xmr.
It will help the dumping pressure and gives nice and steady growth for the coin.
The existing balances and total number of coins should not be touched but just give 100 % more time for the rest of emission.


https://moneroblocks.info/block/1571959

coinbase is right now around 6.4 XMR. So I guess your criterium is reach and you are happy.

Freshly mined Moneros are now so rare that Monero is getting scarce. Monero is a cryptocurency that is being used everyday and coinbase is one way to provide liquidity for that use.

Don't reply to the bots.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=753252.msg8870903#msg8870903
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May 13, 2018, 06:24:01 PM
 #38205

https://weeklyglobalresearch.wordpress.com/2018/05/12/darknet-markets-and-the-shadow-economy/

Really good article written about darkmarkets and shadow economy in last 5 years.   In this thread there was lots speculations in past two years of how much volume and how much listings darkmarkets have. This guy some who got answers.    Yes speculation here went also in how big share Monero have. There is no infor about that in the article, except confirmation that more and more every day pass.

Thank you for sharing this. Previously, we all knew about the statistics recorded from 2016 especially by the known market/crypto analytics firms, but I think it will be difficult to truly estimate, especially when dark markets learn their lessons after the falls of silk road and alphabay. Monero will also be harder and harder to track, which is what it is all about anyway, but let us not forget not all dark market activity is bad even if it is illegal. I do not condone most activities there for sure but services like anonymous emails and vpns should always be protected.

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May 13, 2018, 06:29:05 PM
 #38206

Anyone know what caused that  dump across the board on everything and hour ago?


...

Damn, just took a look and it's just ugly right now, but I think it's whale feeding time and all the little guppies are emptying their pockets. Smiley.

If I were to guess it could also be short squeezing time. I would not be surprised if there is a significant XMR short position by our ASIC player. There are some strange moves which may be due to the ASIC fork including a very sudden sharp rise in the price of BCN,  which was very likely caused by a single large buyer. This was accompanied by a sharp increase in the BCN hashrate. The ASICs may find BCN to be a more attractive home than XMO.

When it comes to squeezing shorts, my strategy is very simple one buys or keeps holding, takes delivery (this is absolutely critical) and waits, 

Edit: Fish of any size can participate in this strategy.

Yeah it looks like BCN is going to be a P$D for awhile, I noticed it was being accumulated the last few months and there were a few revivalists running about. Looks like their Move was nothing more than a fizzle as the blockchain couldn't handle it. Lol I bet the exchanges made some cake on that.

So what became of those little chain forks? Was that someone making attempts at double spends?

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May 13, 2018, 06:39:45 PM
 #38207

so much different information about this subject is traveling on the market, choosing the ones that are strong among them takes a little effort.

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May 13, 2018, 07:43:33 PM
 #38208

https://weeklyglobalresearch.wordpress.com/2018/05/12/darknet-markets-and-the-shadow-economy/

Really good article written about darkmarkets and shadow economy in last 5 years.   In this thread there was lots speculations in past two years of how much volume and how much listings darkmarkets have. This guy some who got answers.    Yes speculation here went also in how big share Monero have. There is no infor about that in the article, except confirmation that more and more every day pass.

Great article which brought me full circle back here to this thread which I think you all should read my comment if your thinking of joining that ICO.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=2994969.msg37179092#msg37179092


so much different information about this subject is traveling on the market, choosing the ones that are strong among them takes a little effort.

Not really, all you have to do is read the comments in the various threads and check the trust and other posts of those making their opinions known on the subject. It's easy to find scams and on Bytecoin you don't even have to DYOR it's already done for you.

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May 13, 2018, 10:15:37 PM
 #38209

alright guys:

 what’s the 2018 predictions?

will we see an ATH in btc & usd?
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May 13, 2018, 10:18:57 PM
Merited by Hueristic (1)
 #38210

So what became of those little chain forks? Was that someone making attempts at double spends?

Masari forked for 23 blocks after switching to anti-asic hashes.  Looks like a pattern to me.

Give a man a fish and he eats for a day.  Give a man a Poisson distribution and he eats at random times independent of one another, at a constant known rate.
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May 13, 2018, 10:45:01 PM
 #38211

So what became of those little chain forks? Was that someone making attempts at double spends?

Masari forked for 23 blocks after switching to anti-asic hashes.  Looks like a pattern to me.

Thanks man so yeah thats good news. Smiley


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May 13, 2018, 11:29:30 PM
Merited by Shnikes101 (1)
 #38212

I've been speculating a little (see what I did?).

I do not really expect ledger support on it's own to cause a big bump in price.  In other words, I am not sure people will now buy Monero just because they can store it with the help of a Nano S.  If I had to bet I would guess this is already priced in.  I hope I am very very wrong! Wink

But, I DO believe it will make more people who have bought XMR and are holding it on the exchanges (crazy pants, imo) to take DELIVERY of their asset since they can now store it much more safely using their own gear.

If that is true this will change the liquidity on the exchange markets.  It will make Monero less liquid, and possibly more volatile, with an upside bias in my opinion.

To that end once the 0.12.1 builds are out it would behoove us to make a clear foolproof tip-sheet explaining how to create the wallet in the CLI and then use it in the GUI.  Because that will be the final barrier for our less tech savvy users.

I will be glad to do this and publish it.   I have been trying to get the Windows binaries to compile on my machine with no luck yet...
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May 14, 2018, 02:36:26 AM
 #38213

I've been speculating a little (see what I did?).

I do not really expect ledger support on it's own to cause a big bump in price.  In other words, I am not sure people will now buy Monero just because they can store it with the help of a Nano S.  If I had to bet I would guess this is already priced in.  I hope I am very very wrong! Wink

But, I DO believe it will make more people who have bought XMR and are holding it on the exchanges (crazy pants, imo) to take DELIVERY of their asset since they can now store it much more safely using their own gear.

If that is true this will change the liquidity on the exchange markets.  It will make Monero less liquid, and possibly more volatile, with an upside bias in my opinion.

To that end once the 0.12.1 builds are out it would behoove us to make a clear foolproof tip-sheet explaining how to create the wallet in the CLI and then use it in the GUI.  Because that will be the final barrier for our less tech savvy users.

I will be glad to do this and publish it.   I have been trying to get the Windows binaries to compile on my machine with no luck yet...

Would love to see this guide once available.

I didn't see meeting notes today. Are they back to a less frequent schedule?
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May 14, 2018, 05:02:19 AM
 #38214

0,06125 bei October 15 2018  Cool Grin Cheesy

Not December 18 2017 anymore?  Damn it, I'm still waiting!

#meetoo

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May 14, 2018, 05:07:44 AM
 #38215

The dumps were absorbed good enough in my opinion. The problem is that right now we have someone (credible enough for me) who is telling that there is some kind of  major problem with the blockchain. But he hasnt give enough explanations. So there is great uncertainty right now and it will stay for a while unless we know more about that or we conclude it was bullshit...
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May 14, 2018, 11:16:12 AM
 #38216

The dumps were absorbed good enough in my opinion. The problem is that right now we have someone (credible enough for me) who is telling that there is some kind of  major problem with the blockchain. But he hasnt give enough explanations. So there is great uncertainty right now and it will stay for a while unless we know more about that or we conclude it was bullshit...

There's nothing wrong with the network. There was a "mini-fork" last week, which resulted in an alternative chain of 25-35 blocks. It was presumably caused by a mining pool's daemon being stuck whilst still serving a block template. In addition, some (remote) nodes were affected too, i.e., they synced to this mini alternative chain. Evidently, this resulted in a small subset of users not being able to properly use Monero.

Privacy matters, use Monero - A true untraceable cryptocurrency
Why Monero matters? http://weuse.cash/2016/03/05/bitcoiners-hedge-your-position/
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May 14, 2018, 02:23:24 PM
 #38217

The dumps were absorbed good enough in my opinion. The problem is that right now we have someone (credible enough for me) who is telling that there is some kind of  major problem with the blockchain. But he hasnt give enough explanations. So there is great uncertainty right now and it will stay for a while unless we know more about that or we conclude it was bullshit...

Where the link to this "someone (credible enough for me)" and why would I care what you find credible? Who are you that we should trust you?

So friday instead of buying into a diving market on the rebound I shorted Stella and just put my profits in XMR at the same price I would have got it at friday. Smiley

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May 14, 2018, 03:17:20 PM
 #38218

I didn't see meeting notes today. Are they back to a less frequent schedule?

Developers meetings are every 2 weeks as they were in the past. But There was a community meeting this weekend.

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mambamanagement
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May 14, 2018, 04:34:02 PM
 #38219

hey guys, when are we going to the moon?
ChooseASide
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May 14, 2018, 05:20:29 PM
 #38220

So let's make a new prediction: We'll break 0.0043 this year.

I think that understates just how undervalued XMR is, and just how powerful Monero's position is in regards to securing an increasingly invincible marketcap.

A lot of cryptocurrency speculators are still very much naive in respect of Monero's extraordinary backstory, the cryptography, and the demonstrable power of it's industrial community.

But there has been a shift - a tangible sense that we are now in a prime position to occupy a space than can only really be matched by Bitcoin itself. The recent StackExchange victory proves that whatever the size of one's marketcap, it is the power of community, the egalitarian nature of the genesis, and the skill of the underlying codebase which are the real qualities that will carry projects forward without decline.

Resistance at the 0.004-0.005 level may well be inevitable, but the speed and ferocity at which it is finally broken shouldn't be of any objective surprise. Thus, I wouldn't be surprised if we were toying with 0.0160 by years end.

Either way, Monero now only has to double in value for it to be one place behind Dash on the marketcap. Consequently, and in conjunction with a perceived "Monero vs ZCash" conversation that will make Dash increasingly irrelevant, speculative and community leakage will pour massively into the Monero ecosystem and the levees will break.

Without knowing it, suddenly Monero has a marketcap in excess of $100 million.  
 

Awesome neurolinguistics. Very clever.
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