VRobb
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
December 15, 2016, 09:34:07 PM |
|
Holy crapola, batman, we're at a 2 Trillion share!! Here's where you separate the serious from the frivolous! Mine on, kano-ites, we're bound to crack this damnable hellBlock if I have to squat down and start prancing/clucking like a chicken!! ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif)
|
I don't believe in superstition because it's bad luck: 13thF1oor6CAwyzyxXPNnRvu3nhhYeqZdc These aren't the Droids you're looking for: S5 & S7 (Sold), R4B2, R4B4 (RIP), 2x S9 obsolete, 2xS15-28, S17-56, S17-70 Pushing a whopping 1/5 PH! Oh The SPEED!!!
|
|
|
ZACHM
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
December 15, 2016, 09:52:10 PM |
|
of course it would have; not on luck itself, but stdev of blocks per day, almost certainly. organofcorti should correct if i am wrong.
A smaller pool should typically have more variation in the number of blocks mined per day than a larger pool.
to me, this ^^ sounds right.
Yes, you will get more blocks per day, but you will still get 600%+ blocks. Blocks per day is not the way to look at it, the way is average shares per block. The only thing having more hashrate will do is make the bad blocks go by quicker, which makes it feel better, but the reality is that there is no difference. We would all be getting less per block also, so the amount of BTC per day would be lower, so the number of blocks per day is not relevant.
|
|
|
|
citronick
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1080
---- winter*juvia -----
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
December 15, 2016, 09:57:59 PM |
|
Dear goddess Juvia,
Please make us find 5 blocks in 10 minutes so everyone just stop complain about our luck.
Thank you,
Herb
![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fd.wattpad.com%2Fstory_parts%2F190312158%2Fimages%2F141b2a605d30b1e8.jpg&t=665&c=a0_EBy2Q7b3u0A) KEEP CALM - AND MINE ON !
|
If I provided you good and useful info or just a smile to your day, consider sending me merit points to further validate this Bitcointalk account ~ useful for future account recovery...
|
|
|
clgrissom3
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1032
Carl, aka Sonny :)
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
December 15, 2016, 10:11:39 PM |
|
We could sure use the citronick/Juvia lucky fire power these days ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif)
|
|
|
|
binarygold
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 21
Merit: 0
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
December 15, 2016, 10:19:36 PM |
|
Regarding the bad luck streak...
1) First I am soooo sorry. Srsly, so sorry. 2) Seems, whilst I was composing some bad-luck poetry, to target another pool of course, I was called away by events beyond my control and my cat sat on my bunker-PC's keyboard and she died. 3) Why does this matter, well her carcass was pressing CTRL+V and pasting the badluck passage into a google search window with site:kano.is in beginning of the search string... 4) I think she, RIP kitty, really messed us up sending out this bad juju but targeting our beloved pool 5) I don't go in the bunker often, but as soon as I saw her [and the terrible prose on screen] today - I put an end to it. 6) Srsly, so sorry.
Things should improve from here, again, sorry - it won't happen again.
|
|
|
|
firetreeactual
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 952
Merit: 1003
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
December 15, 2016, 10:30:09 PM |
|
![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2F8aP7ptS.jpg%3F1&t=665&c=LG9SKobbgaleew) RIP Kitty...bring us blocks...
|
To infinity and beyond...on two 741s and one of only 3...nope, make that 4...full nodes in Hawaii...on <30A. (I have other gear on the Hoth ice planet)
|
|
|
ZACHM
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
December 15, 2016, 10:33:49 PM |
|
Please tell me that we don't need to start sacrificing cats now, chickens I'm okay with, but cats, well I'm okay with that too but other people will get mad... ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) I had chicken for lunch, hoping to appease the block gods, but to no avail yet...
|
|
|
|
kano (OP)
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 4578
Merit: 1851
Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
December 15, 2016, 11:10:33 PM Last edit: December 15, 2016, 11:45:58 PM by kano |
|
Well in case anyone was wondering about pool changes (and someone commented before) Blocks have been found since all changes that have occurred. i.e. the pool does find blocks with the current configuration. I'm not using any of the current ckpool git segwit which doesn't work. The bad luck itself (as I posted before) has quite clearly been since the last block in November. Now for some statistics (since the middle of May) I mentioned I'd post sooner or later: Name CDF[Erl] S9v1 0.994766 103.6 BDR 79 Blocks strat 0.8.x 0.883100 15.0 BDR 11 Blocks A6+? 0.881335 83.2 BDR 73 Blocks proxy 1 0.776782 6.5 BDR 5 Blocks A7v1 0.772224 6.5 BDR 5 Blocks S7+S5+?(4.8) 0.627001 307.3 BDR 302 Blocks ckpool 5.7 BDR 6 Blocks S?+? (4.7) 0.298274 16.5 BDR 19 Blocks S9v2 0.223353 10.2 BDR 13 Blocks A?+? (4.9) 0.040362 143.3 BDR 165 Blocks
strat 0.5/0.6 0.4 BDR 0 Blocks
Total 668.1 BDR 678 Blocks
'strat' is stratehm stratum proxy The total stats since May is: Block finders: 753.8 BDR 750 Blocks Non-block Finders: 3.5 BDR
|
|
|
|
VRobb
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
December 15, 2016, 11:23:06 PM |
|
C'mon Juvia, this is your shift. Let's do this! ![Kiss](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/kiss.gif)
|
I don't believe in superstition because it's bad luck: 13thF1oor6CAwyzyxXPNnRvu3nhhYeqZdc These aren't the Droids you're looking for: S5 & S7 (Sold), R4B2, R4B4 (RIP), 2x S9 obsolete, 2xS15-28, S17-56, S17-70 Pushing a whopping 1/5 PH! Oh The SPEED!!!
|
|
|
tbonetony
Sr. Member
![*](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/star.gif) ![*](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/star.gif) ![*](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/star.gif)
Offline
Activity: 441
Merit: 250
No zuo no die why you try, u zuo u die dont be shy
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
December 15, 2016, 11:39:12 PM |
|
As of writing this, we are at 660%. If you feel burnt more with every 1% plus, here's a better way to cool yourself down a bit, psychologically, and also, mathematically, true: The worse the current, the more probable the end. In the past we've had two or three 700%+ blocks but there was pretty much the top of it. Could we break it again this time, probably. But what's more likely to happen next is a block would arrive before that. Assuming this is true, we are only or even less than another 50%'ish away ![Tongue](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/tongue.gif)
|
|
|
|
IntroVert
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
December 16, 2016, 12:15:21 AM |
|
As of writing this, we are at 660%. If you feel burnt more with every 1% plus, here's a better way to cool yourself down a bit, psychologically, and also, mathematically, true: The worse the current, the more probable the end. In the past we've had two or three 700%+ blocks but there was pretty much the top of it. Could we break it again this time, probably. But what's more likely to happen next is a block would arrive before that. Assuming this is true, we are only or even less than another 50%'ish away ![Tongue](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/tongue.gif) Timewise, this is likely the longest block in the pool history given the difficulty. The ones that were 700%+ took less time due to lower difficulty. I am pretty sure the suffering will end soon, we are approaching (or are already at) legendary bad luck share numbers, the most ever.
|
|
|
|
Dak1
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
December 16, 2016, 12:47:36 AM |
|
New miner here and my first post. I added my first 13THs into the mix!
My friends tell me I am a lucky man, so I am hoping to bring a whole lot of it to the pool.
|
|
|
|
tbonetony
Sr. Member
![*](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/star.gif) ![*](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/star.gif) ![*](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/star.gif)
Offline
Activity: 441
Merit: 250
No zuo no die why you try, u zuo u die dont be shy
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
December 16, 2016, 12:53:15 AM |
|
New miner here and my first post. I added my first 13THs into the mix!
My friends tell me I am a lucky man, so I am hoping to bring a whole lot of it to the pool.
No doubt. More true if the tide turns around then you just dodged the last a few painful days ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif)
|
|
|
|
kano (OP)
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 4578
Merit: 1851
Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
December 16, 2016, 01:31:58 AM |
|
Since it can cause no expected effect, but the block hash calculation is indeed a non-random calculation ... ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) I'm changing the payout address with a ckpool restart in 5 minutes. All miners should just see a reconnect. If your miner can't handle a reconnect it should just failover and then back about 5 minutes later. (Yeah this bad luck is REALLY getting at me also)
|
|
|
|
PPOC
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
December 16, 2016, 01:35:11 AM |
|
Interesting. I mine here because it's transparent, openly managed, and for all appearances over an extended period of time, honest. I don't give a rusty duck about a fancy GUI; I want to see hard numbers and open structure, and that's out front here and not buried. I'm reasonably confident that bad luck is simply that.
I've been doing this for several years. I came here last year. I'm not going anywhere.
Mine on.
I agree, a fancy GUI isn't important to me either, Although a bit more condensed homepage would be nice. I'm just passing on what some of my friends have said, which means others feel it to. Everyone who has done website design etc. Knows that info on a site isn't what pulls everyone in, look layout and feel are a big part, Even if it's irrelevant to the purpose. Bitminter's got a good website layout and they've lost most of their hash power over the last 2 months. Bitminer had a 49 day round, 2.061T, we are up to 2.092T and its only been a few days. I think this block on going to be a record and we should be due for a nice rebound.
|
BTC: 1Bo6YsPeHCrVRygHLJg9BwHeaLSQpppcJi "Lost coins only make everyone else’s coins worth slightly more. Think of it as a donation to everyone."
|
|
|
PPOC
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
December 16, 2016, 01:40:46 AM |
|
of course it would have; not on luck itself, but stdev of blocks per day, almost certainly. organofcorti should correct if i am wrong.
A smaller pool should typically have more variation in the number of blocks mined per day than a larger pool.
to me, this ^^ sounds right.
Yes, you will get more blocks per day, but you will still get 600%+ blocks. Blocks per day is not the way to look at it, the way is average shares per block. The only thing having more hashrate will do is make the bad blocks go by quicker, which makes it feel better, but the reality is that there is no difference. We would all be getting less per block also, so the amount of BTC per day would be lower, so the number of blocks per day is not relevant. I remember seeing Antpoo going almost a full day with no blocks, I think it ended being a 1400% block
|
BTC: 1Bo6YsPeHCrVRygHLJg9BwHeaLSQpppcJi "Lost coins only make everyone else’s coins worth slightly more. Think of it as a donation to everyone."
|
|
|
torontobitcoinmanager
Jr. Member
Offline
Activity: 66
Merit: 3
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
December 16, 2016, 01:48:56 AM |
|
I got my new 50 S9s with better power supplies and will be hooking them up tomorrow I can not currently deal with luck at all due to power bills and cost if investment. I am also purchasing another 150 machines. I wish this pool would be hashing at at least 5% of total power. This way luck becomes next to irrelevant. But this pool is the best out of everything I tried so far.
|
|
|
|
Biodom
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 3864
Merit: 4239
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
December 16, 2016, 02:11:45 AM |
|
of course it would have; not on luck itself, but stdev of blocks per day, almost certainly. organofcorti should correct if i am wrong.
A smaller pool should typically have more variation in the number of blocks mined per day than a larger pool.
to me, this ^^ sounds right.
Yes, you will get more blocks per day, but you will still get 600%+ blocks. Blocks per day is not the way to look at it, the way is average shares per block. The only thing having more hashrate will do is make the bad blocks go by quicker, which makes it feel better, but the reality is that there is no difference. We would all be getting less per block also, so the amount of BTC per day would be lower, so the number of blocks per day is not relevant. I remember seeing Antpoo going almost a full day with no blocks, I think it ended being a 1400% block Oh, no.... If 1400% is possible, then what, a week without blocks is possible? I hope we stop at about now or within 700%
|
|
|
|
firetreeactual
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 952
Merit: 1003
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
December 16, 2016, 02:13:36 AM |
|
I got my new 50 S9s with better power supplies and will be hooking them up tomorrow I can not currently deal with luck at all due to power bills and cost if investment. I am also purchasing another 150 machines. I wish this pool would be hashing at at least 5% of total power. This way luck becomes next to irrelevant. But this pool is the best out of everything I tried so far.
Hey...bring 'em on, bunkie! We can use it. You're entirely welcome. ![Cool](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cool.gif)
|
To infinity and beyond...on two 741s and one of only 3...nope, make that 4...full nodes in Hawaii...on <30A. (I have other gear on the Hoth ice planet)
|
|
|
torontobitcoinmanager
Jr. Member
Offline
Activity: 66
Merit: 3
|
![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
December 16, 2016, 02:25:02 AM |
|
I got my new 50 S9s with better power supplies and will be hooking them up tomorrow I can not currently deal with luck at all due to power bills and cost if investment. I am also purchasing another 150 machines. I wish this pool would be hashing at at least 5% of total power. This way luck becomes next to irrelevant. But this pool is the best out of everything I tried so far.
Hey...bring 'em on, bunkie! We can use it. You're entirely welcome. ![Cool](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cool.gif) I will as soon as i see some stability
|
|
|
|
|