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1541  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2022 WNBA Discussion and Betting on: September 06, 2022, 03:10:14 PM
^
The way that they stopped Breanna Stewart is really unexpected now that Stewart is being exposed I am confused about what the Seattle Storm could do next that the Las Vegas Aces stopped their main player, is it time for Sue Bird or Tina Charles to take over or the Seattle will come up with a plan to make Breanna Stewart effective again, I guess this is some of my questions that I think pretty much exciting for us if what may happen next, but I will now give my predictions and picks for tomorrows game,


The small ball played by the Aces seemed too much for the Storm. They played this strategy in two consecutive games but the Storm did not find a way to counter this. A'ja Wilson has free reign in the paint and Chelsea Gray has the ability to isolate in the perimeter. This contributes to the defeat of the Storms. Both Sue Bird and Tina Charles need to contribute to help Breanna Stewart who will certainly be guarded by A'ja Wilson again. Wilson is doing a great job limiting Stewart. If Bird and Charles can have a dominant game, it can open up the opportunity for Stewart to score.

Las Vegas will likely end the series in this game and punch their ticket to the Finals.
1542  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2020 Philippine Basketball Association betting discussion on: September 05, 2022, 10:14:55 PM
They had a huge problem in game 7, not having their coach is already a major problem, and Erram was unlucky he got ejected, he could be a big used to at least limit Fajardo, but he wasn't careful enough. What I've seen also is Mikey Williams not able to continue his good start, he was very limited in the 2nd half so Castro really has nothing in terms of help.
Chot's son subbed him in the very final game. Is it a coincidence? We don't know if it's just a coincidence or if it's planned. Too many problems existed on their end and that's already a sign that they won't have a good game 7.
Well, they should just do better next time. I saw how Castro tried his best but it's not really that enough when it's already too late.

Josh Reyes is the lead deputy of TNT in PBA that is why he is the one that subbed him during Chot's absence in Game 7. It is just unfortunate that their headcoach went under health protocols in the most important game of the season. In game 4 and 5, Josh is also out of the country to coach Gilas U-18 so assistant coach Sandy Arespacochaga took the helm during that time. I think he did a good job considering TNT  is riddled with injuries and undermanned.
1543  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2023 NBA Season on: September 05, 2022, 12:43:31 PM
He really needs a huge adjustments for his skills to somehow blend well with LeBron and AD's style of play.

Westbrook had enough time to blend with Lebron and AD, but did we see that last season? The answer is no, so WB have another season to finally test if he can really blend, after this if he still fails, I don't know what will happen.

I really believe that Westbrook can't blend well with Lebron and AD. The guy has a high sense of pride and ego. And his 3-point shooting is always a liability especially when they already have Lebron as their main guy that drives the ball that can create space for the Lakers' supposedly deadly sharpshooters.   

With less than a month before the start of another season, the Lakers need to better their offers in order to unload Westbrook and his huge $47 million salary. Because if they can't unload Russ then what's the point of signing Lebron with a super expensive deal if they are also not willing to build around him?

You nailed it, I don't understand why the Lakers are still keeping Westbrook after seeing him struggle last season, they don't give up easily, but actually I think they should try to think of trading him because for sure, next season, Lakers might still be a disaster again.

Lebron and AD is enough as long as they are surrounded with role players and deadly shooters, they are good to go.

It is hard to trade westbrook because of his humungus contract. I doubt any team will take him without additional picks or good trade package. Lakers has no picks to offer or anyone to package with Westbrook. I do not know if they can buy out his contract so they can replace him with someone better. I do not know if that is viable. If it is, I think that is a better course if Westbrook's performance does not improve or he cannot have chemistry with his other co-superstars.
1544  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2020 Philippine Basketball Association betting discussion on: September 05, 2022, 12:26:55 PM
Mikey becomes much worst at most games in this series that's why I called him Mikey "Choke" Williams. Cheesy Grin

Rightfully. He scored 2 points in game 6 where they could have closed the finals if he performed in his normal scoring average. And again in game 7, though he was a monster in the first half, he was very cold when it matters the most. He failed to score in the 4th quarter when the team needed someone to carry them.

TNT still manage to chase the lead in 3rd quarter but in the half part of 4th quarter, it looks like they stop doing good plays and that’s why SMB was able to take a huge lead. Kudos to the whole staff and players of both team for a great championship series, the better team prevails and that is SMB. Lucky to the fans who are also placed a bet, time for a celebration!

TNT is exhausted in the 3rd quarter and because some of them are injured and Erram was ejected from the game, there is not much rotation from the players. Castro playing on a sprained ankle is just forcing himself to play. He performed well though you can really see that he is hurt every time he landed on his feet.
1545  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2022 WNBA Discussion and Betting on: September 05, 2022, 08:54:00 AM
What a mess.
Seattle Storm already had the win but the officials reviewed and added more time for the Aces to be able to get a catch and shoot and end the fourth quarter for an overtime deuce buzzer-beater by Jackie Young. Should've just fouled her and tried her at the free-throw line. Wrong decision by whoever was defending her.
Aces won and they successfully stopped Stewart's offensive madness in 3 quarters with a nonstop exhausting double-team strategy. Most of her points came from the 4th quarter where she caught fire.
A'ja Wilson, player of the game with 34 points and 11 rebounds.  Shocked

I did not watch it live but saw the highlights. That was a wild last 6.9 seconds in the fourth quarter. A'ja Wilson drived to the basket to give Aces a 1-point lead with 2.7 seconds left. But then Sue Bird made a 3-point catch and shoot from the corner that shifted the lead to Storm by 2. It was clear that there was still time left when the ball went in, so I think the referee was right in adjusting the clock to 1.8 seconds. The play for the inbound pass to Young in the paint was brilliant. You are right, they should have fouled her and let her earn the points in the line. Storms must have felt exhausted after failing to close out the game with that 3 from Bird. They run out of gas in the overtime.

Good job for the Aces in limiting Stewart to only 20 points. I think this will be the strategy again next game.

1546  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ️ Esports Prediction & Discussion Thread on: September 04, 2022, 10:35:34 PM


I think that this betslip might win today but I didn't bet on it so let's see if I'll miss a nice chance. The total odd is 2.05.

Actually all of the picks here are credible for these matches. Maybe only the Vitality - Spirit one is a little doubtful. Because Vitality have already guaranteed to finish the group at the 1st position. Spirit might use this for their advantage if they show a solid performance. So far they have been able to beat Endpoint and NIP. They couldn't win even one map against NaVi and fnatic. But like I said this isn't an important match for Vitality at all. Otherwise Vitality's odd would be lower than 1.40 for sure.

I was also super confident with Navi against NiP, but they just got schooled in Overpass. Great map movements from NiP on the last map and they managed to play Navi like a fiddle. Both teams showed how good they were on Overpass, but NiP just won crucial rounds that affected Navi's hold on a better economy for a lot of rounds ending in a loss. Even on gun rounds, NiP just outgunned Navi. Eco rounds didn't go so well for Navi too, and it's extremely unfortunate for them to be at that position.

 Lots of betting sites also heavily favored Navi for this matchup, especially on the last map but damn they were wrong. That's a hefty 4.00 odds on a lot of platforms!

I did not watch the game but I was surprised when I checked the result and NAVI lost again. I thought they will try to win this one since they lost to vitality yesterday. If team secret won over Vitality, then NAVI could have been dropped from the tournament. Someone pointed out that they intentionally lost to Endpoint because the odds in the betting sites are heavily in their favor. But then they lost again to Vitality and NIP. NIP has a very terrible tournament but they still managed to beat NAVI. There is something wrong with NAVI line up this tournament.
1547  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2020 Philippine Basketball Association betting discussion on: September 04, 2022, 02:07:59 PM
~ Though lot of time left but the body language of the TNT players are not looking good.
You have to feel for them but legs are heavy especially for the 'babad' players like Castro. They're not getting much help from the bench unlike the Beermen.

The momentum swings has been insane in the first three quarters but the SMB depth has been evident in this game 7. There's no coming back after that 17-0 run and then you have the veteran Ross putting the nail in TNT's coffin.

edit: Fajardo step-back three the icing on the cake Grin

TNT was still fighting in the 3rd quarter even though they are undermanned. They even got a 5 points lead at the end of the third. But suddenly, in the fourth quarter, the San Miguel Beermen went to a run that deleted the lead of the TNT. TNT has no answer to the scoring assault of the beermen and that is when they started to fall. They never scored and let the beermen to a 15-0 run. TNT suddenly run out of gas after an stellar 3rd quarter run. You can see the pain in Castro's face every time he jumps and you know that he is in real pain but forcing himself to play. William suffering from a cramp, I think, did not help the team either. A minute and half left in the game, SMB stopped scoring and just let the shot clock expires.

Congratulations to SMB for bagging the All Filipino Conference 2022.
1548  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2020 Philippine Basketball Association betting discussion on: September 04, 2022, 11:27:03 AM
End of 1st half, SMB having the lead by 11 points.

The score now is 66-55, it was a high-scoring game, so the over will likely win. Smiley

Castro played, so TNT are now complete, but can they come back in the 2nd half and beat the SMB?

The ejection of Erram will surely hurt TNT in this second half. They are already down 11 points and now that they have less force on the inside, surely SMB will take advantage of this. Kelly Williams is the only big man left in TNT. I do not know how will they stop June Mar once he decides to go monster mode inside the paint. In the first half, June Mar is just playing decoy, attracting the defense of the TNT while his teammates wreck havoc. I wonder if SMB will be the main point of their offense in the second half now that Erram is out of the game.
1549  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2022 WNBA Discussion and Betting on: September 04, 2022, 09:13:19 AM
Though the Seattle Storm is the favorite to win on their homecourt in game 3, I believe that Las Vegas Aces will capitalize on their momentum to win the upcoming game. They will be relying on the backs of their possible MVP A'ja Wilson with the help of their key players Kelsey Plum and Jackie Young. There is also a possibility that Dearica Hamby will be able to play in game 3. That is additional firepower for the Aces.

The Aces will start with confidence after winning game 2. They will likely follow the same strategies they employed last game. It is up to Seattle Storm if they can adjust.

1550  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2020 Philippine Basketball Association betting discussion on: September 04, 2022, 07:54:18 AM

To be sure, i'm taking the ML as they would be a defense-oriented game and a low scoring game so the winning margin for this game might not be wide.


I am taking the opposite of your stance. I believe that it will be a scoring game between TNT and SMB because TNT cannot match the defense of SMB. Their key player, Castro, is out and Erram has injury and cannot play 100%. Maybe, they will try to outscore SMB instead duking it out on defense. They can do that if William and Poguy get their shooting going. Good luck to your bets.

1551  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🕹️ Esports 🎮 Prediction & Discussion Thread on: September 03, 2022, 10:27:19 PM
Fnatic actually didn't play very well, but as a team they were better than spirit. This helped them to win.
Fnatic got firepower and very good players now. The difference in individual skills was very apparent. Chopper is a bot and magixx failed to show any magic. Wonderful was meh.

I am very surprised with Vitality's win over Navi in 2nd and 3rd map.
Vitality hasn't even played Overpass with this new roster and yet they stomped Navi in the second half.
Navi is no longer the same powerhouse.
They have performed very well against navi. There is something wrong with NAVI in this tournament. They lost 0-2 against Endpoint and now they dropped again against Vitality. They are not looking like the number 1 in the world right now.

Vitality is now the top in their group with 4-0. NAVI and FNATIC come second and third respectively. With the matches tomorrow, I think the top three are set unless there are some upsets from Endpoint and Team Spirit.

Tomorrows matches are:

NAVI vs NIP
Vitality vs Spirit
FNATIC vs Endpoint

Vitality is secured with the top spot regardless of the result of the matches tomorrow.


1552  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2023 NBA Season on: September 03, 2022, 10:04:58 PM
Why is everyone obsessed with the Lakers getting more guys over the age of 30 lol.  Their main issue was keeping guys on the floor.  They need young talent, old teams never work ever.  Bron needs some fresh legs playing beside him.  They get Conley then what he only suits up for 40 games this season as he deals with nagging injuries.  They need some youth on that team.

Right, they need young players to complement their old roster. They already run that setup last season where most of their players are aging, and they cannot win. Younger teams are running circles on them. And with age comes the possibility of injuries. Since Jazz is rebuilding, maybe they should make a move to take Clarkson instead. He has played with Lebron before and he is still very young. And with his performance last year with the Jazz, he can be a big help coming from the bench.


Quote
Russell Westbrook shot 44.4% (548/1233) overall and 29.8% (79/265) from three in 78 games in 2021-22.

I would say decent percentage but he can improved a lot on this. So I would say that Ham turning him to be a shooter might not be a bad idea at all. Westbrook just need to bring his confidence back so that he can at least improved this numbers as a shooter.

I do not know if he can still improve on that. He is already on the decline. In Washington, he is 31.5% in 3pt% and last year just 29.8%. He would be an unreliable shooter if the coach will put him as a corner shooter. That will just destroy westbrook further. I think he should take the guard role instead and let westbrook do what westbrook does the best. Or just trade him because he does not fit if they will force him to be the shooter.
1553  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2020 Philippine Basketball Association betting discussion on: September 03, 2022, 01:47:55 PM
Castro being questionable should be the factor why the handicap for TNT is high. however, TNT cannot be underestimated, they are a great team and even without Castro, I think they will be able to give a good game because they also wants to win. TNT needs to play together, just like what they did in game 5.

I think they are riddled with injury so they will not be performing 100%. Poy Erram, Ryan Reyes, and Castro have some kind of injuries. They can play tomorrow but I do not think they can perform 100% but since it is the finals, I will not discredit their will to win a Championship. I think Castro will play no matter what tomorrow. He was already a game-time decision last game, and he chose to avail himself more time to heal by not playing.

The ML odd for TNT is 2.39 as of this post but I think if Castro decides to play, it will be lower. So, if you are a TNT supporter, this is the best time to bet.

The ML odd for SMB sits at 1.51. I will wait until before game time to bet for SMB. The ML odd is too low for me.
1554  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🕹️ Esports 🎮 Prediction & Discussion Thread on: September 03, 2022, 01:21:53 PM
I've watched some CIS Dota 2 action lately and there are more to go. The one I've watched is Outsiders against Pari Parni.

Too ez for Outsiders and trivia for those that still don't know, Outsiders should be the one to have that secured slot for TI but Fnatic was the one who's got in due to some percentage of point lack.

They have a close dpc points and Valve corrected the computation. Outsiders still have a chance to enter TI through the qualifier.



NIP finally got their first win in EPL Season 16, beating Endpoint 2-0. They are now tied with Endpoint , 1-3 in group A. I do not think NIP will still have a chance to enter playoffs but it is still nice to see that they were able to win a series. They were performing poorly this tournament, hopefully they can figure out what is wrong with their line up.

Next game FNATIC vs Team Spirit

I am taking Team Spirit on this one. They have been doing well this past days and hopefully they will continue to perform well.

Against FNATIC, I think this series can go either way, so taking +1.5 map has better chance of winning.

1555  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🕹️ Esports 🎮 Prediction & Discussion Thread on: September 03, 2022, 10:03:28 AM
Don't be surprised by the Navi, a team #1 HLTV lost to Endpoint, only ranked #37. With the betting odds of 1.05 for Navi and 11-12 for Endpoint before the match, I knew the match going to be ugly. A sort of 'trait' for Navi and Navi fans are used to it. Never bet on Navi on a match that is so overwhelming to Navi or the odds are many times over for the enemy team. Cause you know Navi will throw the game for 'profit'.

Wow, that is game-fixing. I am not familiar with rules in E-sports about this but that should not be allowed, right? But I guess if you are betting using crypto there is no control over it.

Vitality have impressed people with their dedicated performance so far. One transfer can really change nearly everything about a team. Spinx is still playing a crucial role in the matches. Today they took on fnatic and beat them 2-1. Spinx was the most performing player on Inferno (27 kills) and Mirage (25 kills). He was the top fragger on both maps and helped a lot about making a comeback after losing on Nuke by 16-6. fnatic did this to NaVi too. I mean they won the first map against NaVi too but couldn't turn this into their advantage to win. They are still not at the level of top tier teams but this is an improvement that shouldn't be disregarded also.

They have the best match yesterday. If they did not play, it would have been a boring day for CS. The other matches ended quickly. FNATIC dominated the first map but Vitality shown their prowess in Inferno and Mirage.
1556  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: How do you play online/offline without your wife or family knowing it? on: September 02, 2022, 06:47:25 PM
I never have to hide my gambling habits from my wife. In fact, I think she bets more than I do in betting. Only she bets with friends and co-workers while I do bet online.

It is better if the wife knows your gambling habits because it involves funds for your family. She can control you if you are going overboard on betting and already risking your family's future. If you cannot do that, it is a matter of time before your family fails. If you hide it and you got busted, that will break her trust in you.

The best thing you can do is to buy a cheap android phone with a Bluetooth headset. Hide it from your family and use it whenever they are not in the house or whenever you are alone. Keep your second phone in your car or in your basement so that no one knows about it. In case they do find out about this phone then you can tell them it is for work purposes and that is the reason you bought a cheap one.

When you get busted, it is harder to explain the second phone. She might even think you are cheating on her because of the second phone. She might not believe that the phone is for gambling.
1557  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2020 Philippine Basketball Association betting discussion on: September 02, 2022, 02:27:28 PM
The momentum swings to SMB's favor after that blowout win and Castro's questionable condition for game 7 isn't helping TNT.

It is questionable for now but I bet he will be playing come game 7. It is Castro we are talking about. The guy has lot of spirit and sure will push himself to play even if he is not 100%. Anyway, if he gets to play game 7 and they win, I am sure he will get the Finals MVP award. No one would question how important his presence in the court is for the team. He has bailed them time and time again since playoffs up to the finals.
1558  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🕹️ Esports 🎮 Prediction & Discussion Thread on: September 02, 2022, 12:52:16 PM
NaVi to make a comeback against Endpoint and win the series has a huge odd now.

The match between them is going on really interestingly. I'd never expect NaVi to have this much difficulty against a much weaker opponent like them. The first map was Ancient and it is the weakness of NaVi as you know. I really don't understand why NaVi are still not banning this map first. Because they lost to fnatic on the same map yesterday too. I still was confident that NaVi would turn the game around but they are struggling on Dust2 also now. They are 15-6 behind and this is really about to end up by a horrible 2-0 loss.


That was disappointing for NAVI, they really lost 2-0 to Endpoint. No one would have thought that Endpoint can pull an upset to a strong team like NAVI. Even the odds are way in favor of NAVI. Those who took their chance on Endpoint are reaping their rewards.

1559  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2020 Philippine Basketball Association betting discussion on: September 02, 2022, 12:36:31 PM
I thought TNT will claim the victory today,  but SMB didn't want to be a loser  that's why a tight defense and have a good offense made it and push to game 7 in this series. But as I observe it's a big impact for the team when Castro did not play in this game 6 mikey willams, Kelly willams, rosario and other member of the team did not scored we'll only RR Pugoy scored 30+ points in this game which he is trying to carry his team but he can't.
Maybe coach chot had a good start in game 7 to claim the championship trophy.

TNT does not have Castro today to stop the momentum of San Miguel when they are on the run. In the past games, when SMB is starting to have momentum, Castro is always there to put a stop and start a comeback. But now that he is sidelined, no one is guiding the team on the court. You can feel the lack of Castro in this game.

If San Miguel can keep this pressure in Game 7, I doubt TNT will be able to win. They have a hot start and threes are pouring in. They also started being very aggressive in the game that they even got into foul trouble early. Hopefully, they can carry this momentum until the next game and win the championship.
1560  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2020 Philippine Basketball Association betting discussion on: September 02, 2022, 09:21:21 AM
San Miguel lost the last two outings but they are still the favorite in the bookies. Handicap is -5.5, which I gladly take considering that Castro is doubtful to play this game. He can rest this and be back on Game 7 stronger. Or he can play this game and be a liability if he cannot perform 100%. I hope SMB come out with their guns hot in this game so they can match the scoring capability of Williams and co.

Here is my bet for this game. I am not sure about over but I hope there will be shootout in the 3 points area.

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