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1881  Economy / Gambling / Innovative Poker idea/opportunity on: May 16, 2015, 01:27:11 AM
Lets face it, there are too many btc poker sites, and everyone is at a loss on how to innovate.

Here is an answer/opportunity that is already being used (so I've heard) by a few obscure sites. And I think it is an idea could drive high stakes cash play.

That is, a site should have insurance on offer to players that are 'all-in.' Insurance sells at a modest mark-up - it is a built-in profit center for the house, and is valued by players who can use it to smooth out their results.

Personally I have strong preference to play games that have insurance on offer - it allows me to play higher stakes and damper the inevitable bad runs.

I know in China live poker games insurance is always on offer, and I've heard that some Chinese online sites also offer insurance to its players. It would require a modest amount of programming, and some familiarization for players who have not used insurance in the past. Anyway insurance is never mandatory for players. In fact, if a site generates good revenue from insurance, perhaps they don't have to charge rake, so in that way cash players have an even greater incentive to play.

I would play at such a site ... who's going to bring it?
1882  Economy / Gambling / Re: Poker Ring Game Meetup on: May 16, 2015, 01:09:00 AM
While the real world has kept me busy a bit these couple days, every time I've checked into Luckyflop there has been some action available on the ring games. Clearly people are playing in order to collect 'lucky points,' which allow entry to the larger freerolls running throughout the day. This afternoon I used a few of my points to play in a 10 chip freeroll that paid out 3 places and had only 7 people play. Well, it was actually closer to six, if memory serves, because someone just kept shoving early in order to triple up or go home, and they were sent packing right quick. So this is my go-to spot for some quick ring action, often when I just have 20 minutes or so in between other commitments and such ...

Also, I could be wrong, but I think I spotted a weak bot sitting low-stakes from time to time. The bots I've run into tend to play weak-tight, and one can just hammer them all day on a short-handed table. Anyway, I could be wrong, but this one was consistently donking chips, and not just to me. Have yourself a run at the tables, come back and tell us if you think you spotted the player I'm talking about ...
1883  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [ANN] Coinut.com - The only Bitcoin Options Exchange on: May 15, 2015, 12:35:27 AM

It says Bid amount - that's the amount of contracts bidding for the strike.

It also says best bid - that's the best bid price.


On the web interface I only see 'Amount Bid Strike Ask Amount'

I've been on this for ~20 hrs and I don't see any parsing of the 'Amount' figures ...

What 'best bid' are you referring to?

I'm talking about the orderbook here.

https://coinut.com/



That doesn't add anything, and I think you know that. Shame on you.

Coinut should add more digits to the bid/ask prices in order to give customers an accurate indication of contracts at the best bid/ask, instead of allowing market makers to game customer orders. Hmmm, maybe Coinut is the market maker ... that would make sense.
1884  Economy / Gambling / Re: Poker Ring Game Meetup on: May 15, 2015, 12:26:16 AM
If anyone knows me by now, knows I'm a man of my word… so i will let you guys figure it out and my budget is set $150.00 for food for 4 hours for a 12-15 guys to play a decent limit game. lets get some NICE size ring game going….does anyone on this thread play games around 1mbc and 2mbc blinds anyway, i would even to .5/1 just to start it off and try out this promo. we can start by picking a popular time.. like what ever time is good for the majority….Huh sunday 3-7 pM ?

Look at your own online stats and you will know when is most convenient for everyone. I'm happy to play the larger stakes, but I have a strong preference for a full or near-full table. How we get there I am not sure. Getting HU or 3-way just becomes very volatile. Most any table of six or more players, I will sit.


When I was playing in China, all the cardrooms in a particular city compete for the same pool of players. If everyone show up at Room A, then Room C might not have a game that night. So often certain rooms will text everybody: 'First three players to show get 10 Big Blinds to play.' Of course if you show up at an underground poker room in China and take free money, you're gonna sit for a couple hours at least, as a courtesy to get the game going. Otherwise you might piss somebody off ... lol. I don't know what the online equivalent would be.

Previously I suggested you recruit a 'pro' like plo8monster who is prepared to sit all day, all stakes, at your cash (ring) tables. You might think about that again and start casting around for someone. I know at one point Satoshi Poker had 3 pros who were staked by admin. Then, two of them purposefully donked their chips to friends so it didn't quite work out. But there are ways to make it work I think ...
1885  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [ANN] Coinut.com - The only Bitcoin Options Exchange on: May 14, 2015, 06:58:29 PM
Hi guys. I am a n00b to options trading, so bear with me if my questions don't make sense.

I read on the net that if I have an asset, and I don't mind holding it, then I can write a call option so that I will either sell the asset with profit or keep the premium if the holder doesn't show up at expiry date. My questions are:

1. Can I write call option on coinut.om?
2. Can I set a premium?
3. Can I set expiry time?


You are describing a covered call, and yes, you can sell calls at Coinut against your deposited btc.

Do your own research, there is lots of information on the web about writing covered calls. And then start
by placing only a small position, so that you can see/experience firsthand how the position works its way to expiration.
1886  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [ANN] Coinut.com - The only Bitcoin Options Exchange on: May 14, 2015, 06:52:33 PM

It says Bid amount - that's the amount of contracts bidding for the strike.

It also says best bid - that's the best bid price.


On the web interface I only see 'Amount Bid Strike Ask Amount'

I've been on this for ~20 hrs and I don't see any parsing of the 'Amount' figures ...

What 'best bid' are you referring to?
1887  Economy / Gambling / Re: Poker Ring Game Meetup on: May 14, 2015, 06:44:28 PM


what I would do is buy reloads/credit cards and order pizza or reload your CC to keep anonymous if you choose and order your own!

That is so unique and thoughtful please pm me if this gets anywhere near reality and I will be sure to join you! What an idea for a promotion that should be on a btc news site if it happened as well as a few blogs. Simply brilliant outside the box thinking.

Be careful Bigfish (Luckyflop Admin): The btc poker community has gotten so used to handouts and freebies that once you dangle something you'll never hear the end of it.

Anyway I'm more a broads 'n blow kinda guy, at least my imaginary online persona ... lol, so we'll take a pass on the pizza.
1888  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [ANN] Coinut.com - The only Bitcoin Options Exchange on: May 14, 2015, 06:28:10 PM

I think they might have plans to change it up.

But currently they're showing quite a bit of information.

They're already showing the orderbook with the best bid and asks.

It is a misrepresentation, in my view. Right now it shows 746 of the 236 strike near contracts bid at .009 btc, but you can only sell about 10 contract at that price.

Lets just call it what it is: dishonest.
1889  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [ANN] Coinut.com - The only Bitcoin Options Exchange on: May 14, 2015, 06:04:03 PM
Ok, gotta beware here, because it appears the market makers play games. (Lol, that sounds funny, right? Its like discovering that politicians lie ...)

OP: What is going on here?

there is a bid for ~400 contracts at a stated price - lets say .00355.

I post a Sell Limit order for 50 contracts at .0035

I get filled 10 contracts at .00355

And I'm left with an open order for the remaining 40 while the bid has been pulled back to, let's say .00335.

It is like they are gaming my orders. That is not cool ...

That's what I was trying to tell you about the other dimension of the orderbook.

You can see the full orderbook with the API.

Just because there's 400 contracts of liquidity doesn't mean its all at the top.  For the best bid and ask.

If you use the api you'll be able to visualize it but they probably do it like what you said, at increments.  And this way there will be liquidity when they remove some bids at the front of the book to shift price.

Well, if customers need to parse the API to get an accurate view of the order book then Coinut has lost 98% of its target market. Market makers specifically do this to game customer orders.

On a related note, Coinut needs to use a third party index, because their short-term calculations underlying the 30-minute contracts are ridiculously errant.

I've taken a 10-day position, and I'll probably be here for a bit, but I wouldn't (yet) recommend Coinut to others ...
1890  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [ANN] Coinut.com - The only Bitcoin Options Exchange on: May 14, 2015, 05:25:55 AM
Website isn't loading properly for me.

"Balance," "Margin," and "Free Margin" are in a perpetual 'loading' state, and there are no quotes for the near-term contracts.

Uh, ok my balances are back, but quotes on near contracts are absent ... hmmm.

Buyer beware, we are still in Beta ...
1891  Economy / Gambling / Re: BitcoinPoker.gg - High Stakes. High Rewards - Secure Bitcoin Poker on: May 14, 2015, 04:50:58 AM
I've spent many hours on the Bitcoinpoker.gg site and don't recall any connectivity issues ...
1892  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [ANN] Coinut.com - The only Bitcoin Options Exchange on: May 14, 2015, 04:48:59 AM
Ok, gotta beware here, because it appears the market makers play games. (Lol, that sounds funny, right? Its like discovering that politicians lie ...)

OP: What is going on here?

there is a bid for ~400 contracts at a stated price - lets say .00355.

I post a Sell Limit order for 50 contracts at .0035

I get filled 10 contracts at .00355

And I'm left with an open order for the remaining 40 while the bid has been pulled back to, let's say .00335.

It is like they are gaming my orders. That is not cool ...
1893  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [ANN] Coinut.com - The only Bitcoin Options Exchange on: May 14, 2015, 04:32:00 AM
Interesting, I put on the same trade again, newest contract, and somebody narrowed the buy/sell spread dramatically.

The bid was higher than the ask ... no kidding. I was just about to take a screenshot when it disappeared. Must be multiple market makers. The opportunity wasn't huge, not sure if it would have exceeded trading costs ...

maybe OP could should shed some light on who / how many entities are making markets?



I think there are multiple market makers.  It might also be a glitch.  It should have triggered right?

Also note that usually its the exact same but if someone has an order on only one, it might be better to buy a put then write a call.  And its the exact same for binary options. (but price might be different)




Yeah, it didn't trigger ... that was odd ... wish I had taken a screenshot. Anyway, I've made another deposit and I'll be on the site a bit. If I see it again I'll definitely take a screenshot right way ...
1894  Economy / Gambling / Re: BitcoinPoker.gg - High Stakes. High Rewards - Secure Bitcoin Poker on: May 14, 2015, 03:30:26 AM

It seems to be very difficult to get bitcoin poker players to actually play ...

Let me rephrase: It seems to be very difficult to get bitcoin collectors to actually play poker ...
1895  Economy / Gambling / Re: Poker Ring Game Meetup on: May 14, 2015, 03:10:10 AM
We are definitely getting busier….. I want to set up a way where 18-20 guys can play a decent game, lets say .5-1 or 1-2, and I can send them PIZZA and you can play and eat….Huh what do you think Huh

As outlandish as it sounds, somehow I think you'd find a way ...

I'm just happy to have a regular game. :-)
1896  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [ANN] Coinut.com - The only Bitcoin Options Exchange on: May 14, 2015, 02:13:23 AM
OK, 22.8% profit in about 30 minutes, lol. That was fun ...  Grin

So this is how you create degenerate gamblers.

I'm a dye-in-the-wool degen poker player. Don't blame this site for my downfall ... lol.
1897  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [ANN] Coinut.com - The only Bitcoin Options Exchange on: May 14, 2015, 02:12:01 AM
Interesting, I put on the same trade again, newest contract, and somebody narrowed the buy/sell spread dramatically.

The bid was higher than the ask ... no kidding. I was just about to take a screenshot when it disappeared. Must be multiple market makers. The opportunity wasn't huge, not sure if it would have exceeded trading costs ...

maybe OP could should shed some light on who / how many entities are making markets?

1898  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [ANN] Coinut.com - The only Bitcoin Options Exchange on: May 14, 2015, 02:01:25 AM
OK, 22.8% profit in about 30 minutes, lol. That was fun ...  Grin
1899  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [ANN] Coinut.com - The only Bitcoin Options Exchange on: May 14, 2015, 01:44:46 AM

Yup looks like they created a 30 minute one for the gamblers.

They still have a 4 hour one, daily, weekly, biweekly/monthly (not sure)

Vanilla options just got added recently but I think they'll be adding more contracts in the future.  And before they add long term contracts they'll need to do mid term and then if they are able to get liquidity they'll be able to launch a VIX product.

Also interesting is that they changed option strikes from $2 to $4 which is good.  And they added some more strikes for the shorter term binary options.  I think that's also good and now more stuff can be traded.  Which means a nicer spread in prices.

So 30 min recently switched.  Index is at 236.48 so lets look at the cost of the contract.

1.63x for Calls
1.51x for puts

Those odds are actually quite good.  We'll have to see if the market maker needs to adjust.

And there's a vertical orderbook too so all the liquidity isn't right at the top.

I waiting for a full changelog since they made a lot of changes.

If you're interested in trading at coinut consider using my referral link in my signature.

Hi, what do you mean by 'vertical order book' ?

I set up my Coinut account a couple days ago, not sure what link I used ... sorry.
1900  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [ANN] Coinut.com - The only Bitcoin Options Exchange on: May 14, 2015, 01:41:22 AM
Hi, sending my first modest deposit right now. I'm going to start by selling longer-dated binary puts, and see how it goes. (I'm starting with only some of my online poker winnings, so I can afford to lose it ... lol.)

The very short-dated contracts - you are running them every 30 minutes it seems ... I'm thinking your system isn't going to be able to keep up amid the sort of volatility that BTC has seen in the past. Or maybe your system can keep up, but your liquidity provider will gap the spreads something crazy.

Still, I like your effort.

I would suggest offering very long-dated options, like stock option LEAPS. These best allow for hedging, and the time frame takes more of the short-term gamble out of it.

Sure, the short-term gamblers/traders will bring the volume and pay the bills. That is not me unfortunately, lol. I'd be most interested 3,6, 12-month contracts.

Ok, I just made my first trade, and did the exact opposite of what I said I would do. Guess I am a gambler ... lol.

Sold some calls with a 237 strike, expiring in about 21 minutes ... lol, we'll see how it goes. I'm thinking whoever sold btc down a couple hours ago likely isn't done. Or more precisely, that is what I'm thinking everybody else is thinking. Twenty percent return in thirty minutes would be nice ... :-)

Famous last words ...
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