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1921  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Donald Trump Has Been Impeached. What's Next? [serious discussion] on: February 04, 2020, 02:35:50 AM
Naw. The way the game was played by the liberal team so far reeks of incompetence. That's not what the Trump/McConnell team is.

The whole 'democrats are incompetent, stupid, deranged' argument is just lame.    Mitch and Pelosi both know how to play the game, probably better than anyone else in congress and definitely better than anyone around here.  If you think you know exactly what's going to happen, or that you know better than Pelosi when it comes to anything related to political strategy......I just don't know what to tell you other than what I did before.  Try approaching the situation without the 'us vs them' mentality.  Flip the Ds with the Rs and play out the scenarios that way.  ....

I understand what you are getting to.

But I'm able to ascertain levels of competence, for example assessing Bill Clinton, Hillary Clinton, and Obama. No problem with giving them credit for their good points, or pointing out obvious bad ones. Sure there's a lot of stuff in the middle ground.

But is any deranged leftist going to argue Bengazi wasn't plain and simple, a total fuckup?

When actions pretty much shout "Incompetent am I!" there's no reason not just to take it at face value.

By the way, why not apply your own lecturing mode condescending superiority to yourself? Lol...

...
But you think Flynn was 'entrapped'....
It's not exactly "me." I don't think about Flynn.

How about the Washington Post?

https://nypost.com/2020/01/31/the-flynn-prosecution-now-stands-exposed-as-massive-fbi-and-doj-abuse-of-power/
1922  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Donald Trump Has Been Impeached. What's Next? [serious discussion] on: February 03, 2020, 10:46:45 PM
....So congrats to the right and Trump. Keep on attacking Biden as that will ensure Bernie gets the nomination. ....
Well, that's not EXACTLY accurate.

The shutdown of the never-ending-parade this-time-around "Impeachment" does save Biden face, no dragging Hunter in etc. Leaves Biden in the running,doesn't it?
Trump will continue and now Lindsey is saying they're going to do a bunch of stuff. But then again he's been saying that for awhile so who knows why he's saying it now.

I find it hard to believe they (Trump, not Congress) haven't been putting some serious effort into investigating the Bidens and the DNC.  It's possible they already have something and are saving it for later.  Also possible they have nothing and it goes the way of all the other democrat investigations he got everyone all fired up about that just fizzled out.



Naw. The way the game was played by the liberal team so far reeks of incompetence. That's not what the Trump/McConnell team is.

Look, I think we can agree that a positive result of the Senate squashing this road kill of an impeachment is no public inquiry into Biden - at least for the time being. Because as noted, Biden down, Bernie up. So now the old fat white power brokers in the back room can push their guy, Biden, and backup billionaire. Because they are rich guys, rich on industries Bernie wants to dig into. They won't allow that.

Personally I'm for taking whatever is criminal totally out of the political sphere and letting Bill Barr go at it/them. I don't know if that includes Hunter Biden, my guess is no.
1923  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Donald Trump Has Been Impeached. What's Next? [serious discussion] on: February 03, 2020, 05:35:46 PM
....So congrats to the right and Trump. Keep on attacking Biden as that will ensure Bernie gets the nomination. ....
Well, that's not EXACTLY accurate.

The shutdown of the never-ending-parade this-time-around "Impeachment" does save Biden face, no dragging Hunter in etc. Leaves Biden in the running,doesn't it?
1924  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Donald Trump Has Been Impeached. What's Next? [serious discussion] on: February 03, 2020, 04:21:14 PM
...
Well, the Democrats have pursued all such theories, and here they are.
Don't know what your point it. ...
[/quote]Dems brought an extremely weak case, and the weak case played out as a weak case would.

....

Am I crazy to think the trial might have opened a lot of peoples eyes who may have otherwise not paid attention to these things?
Wrong, not crazy.

2016 started out with a strong Anti-Trump-Cult.
There were many anti-Hillary factions and votes that went to Trump.
That has changed first to grudging acceptance to some outright enthusiasm.

I never thought Trump was that likable.

2020 seems to have about the same Anti-Trump-Cult as 2016. I don't agree with the Anti-Trump-Hate because, well for one thing, no new wars. For another, some progress in crime reform and jobs in the lower income sectors.

1925  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Post Your Favorite Trump Memes Here on: February 03, 2020, 12:58:08 PM


I've always found that confusing.

https://kchistory.org/faq/why-there-kansas-city-both-kansas-and-missouri
1926  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Donald Trump Has Been Impeached. What's Next? [serious discussion] on: February 03, 2020, 12:53:48 PM
Hearsay evidence of "B" may exist, but is not admissible in a court of law.
That is a common fallacy but is not true at all. There is a pretty long list of exceptions to it such as some of these which could be applied in this case:

- The court recognizes that by law the declarant is not required to testify;
- The declarant refuses to testify;

Some other exceptions which may or may not apply:

- It has sound guarantees of trustworthiness
- It is offered to help prove a material fact
- It is more probative than other equivalent and reasonably obtainable evidence
- Its admission would forward the cause of justice
- The other parties have been notified that it will be offered into evidence

That's just a handful. So yes, hearsay can be admissible. In this case much of it was corroborated between a variety of witnesses which gives it much more weight.

Well, the Democrats have pursued all such theories, and here they are.
1927  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Donald Trump Has Been Impeached. What's Next? [serious discussion] on: February 02, 2020, 11:46:57 PM
....

Try considering just the evidence of the trial, not that it's Trump being investigated, or the democrats doing the investigation...

Next.
1928  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Donald Trump Has Been Impeached. What's Next? [serious discussion] on: February 02, 2020, 10:38:18 PM
The only one of the 1,2 and 3 that's even worth discussing is 3.

Will you answer anyway?

Sure. My answer will be based on how these three things are considered in a court of law. T, T, T.

Now how about you answer how would they be considered in a court in Russia during the Stalinist era.




Quote
True or False: 1- 'it was a perfect phone call, there was no quid pro quo'

True or False: 2 - 'it's all hearsay and second hand information' (this implies that direct evidence would be relevant)

True 3 - 'if he did do it, it's not impeachable'


The other two are jokes.

Why do you think so much effort was put into making the arguments then?

"If you could show me that Trump actually was engaging in a quid pro quo, outside the phone call, that would be very disturbing"
-Lindsay Graham

Why would Graham say that, and then vote against having direct evidence in the trial?

And it wasn't just Graham.  The overall defense for weeks was 'there isn't enough evidence from just the transcript'.  Then after all the house testimony it was 'that's all just hearsay, none of the witnesses have first hand knowledge'.  And then when they found out someone was willing to provide direct evidence, they voted against hearing it. It's an overused saying, but why do you think they keep moving the goalpost when they could've just went with argument 3 from the beginning?

My opinion? They're all remembering the Kavanaugh fiasco, where there was time after time, "one more witness," "One more reason to keep it going." So if they shut it down quicker, it's the Dems past behavior as the cause. You got what you deserved.
1929  Other / Politics & Society / Re: 2020 Democrats on: February 02, 2020, 09:45:29 PM
...

What is interesting to me is that I don't think the neolibs understand how much of a problem this would be.  One could make a reasonable argument that Bernie getting the nom "stolen" is the likely outcome.  I don't think the establishment and their super delegates will think twice about voting Biden if a second round is needed because Bernie is a bigger threat to them than Trump is.  If they do that it will disenfranchise are pretty large portion of their base for a long time, it will reaffirm their belief that corruption runs the democrats and all government and will help the GOP win presidential elections until another popular populist comes along for a second try.

Belief? Hasn't that been well understood for a long time? It's all right out in the open, their switching votes for Hillary and the other antics, and also how much resistance, including in the Republican, there was against Trump.

1930  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Donald Trump Has Been Impeached. What's Next? [serious discussion] on: February 02, 2020, 09:41:57 PM
Your three arguments can easily coexist, they are not exclusive of one another.

Agree.  They could be all true, all false, or any combination.  What do you think about each of them?




Quote
1- 'it was a perfect phone call, there was no quid pro quo'

2 - 'it's all hearsay and second hand information' (this implies that direct evidence would be relevant)

3 - 'even if he did do it, it's not impeachable'

These are all strong legal arguments. You and I have had a couple discussions before about, IIRC, what constitutes, facts, evidence, "beyond a reasonable doubt" and now hearsay. You might put these definitions in a category named "Irrefutable rebuttals."

This is different than asking "did Trump do XYZ." I kind of get it, how those persecuting and harassing Trump wouldn't care about these realities of a legal case, IF their goal is just to parade anti-Trump memes before a public they think is gullible.

But this is exactly what those who criticize the whole thing as a total scam think.

So in my case, I'm forced to the conclusion the whole thing was a scam and a sham trial, because the weakness of the arguments presented is so laughable.

By the way, your statement above "it's all hearsay ---> implies" is curious. Nobody needs hearsay to imply that direct evidence would be relevant; the existence of hearsay is not a proof that direct evidence is relevant. There are standards for evidence.

The only one of the 1,2 and 3 that's even worth discussing is 3. What is the standard for impeachment? The other two are jokes. Here appears to be your case.

"We think the call in which he asks politely for help was strong-armed pressuring, and some people say they heard other people say other people said that was what it was, and we need to broaden the constitutional requirement of 'high crimes and misdemeanors' to include Trump's behavior as implied by letters that don't say it and as implied by hearsay not evidence."

That's pretty crazy and that's what you got.
1931  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Donald Trump Has Been Impeached. What's Next? [serious discussion] on: February 02, 2020, 05:58:42 PM

What is quite interesting here is that you(and Viper
Do not take what I said and twist it to suit your agenda and then to twist it into some veiled personal attacks. I said he gave some good speeches, nothing more. I've made no comment on anything else regarding Schiff. ...
My misunderstanding, sorry.

.....

If anyone is willing, I'm interested in which of these statements you consider true or false.  And if you consider 2 or 3 of them true, why do you think they even used any defense other than the last?

'it was a perfect phone call, there was no quid pro quo'

'it's all hearsay and second hand information' (this implies that direct evidence would be relevant)

'even if he did do it, it's not impeachable'

imo, that answer is False, False, False.

I think the democrats forced the republicans to go from True, True, True => False, True, True => False, False, True.  Which realllly looks like they don't care about the actual truth and are more concerned about protecting Trump.
...

Your three arguments can easily coexist, they are not exclusive of one another. There is absolutely nothing wrong in presenting an argument in the following form:

By direct reading of the call, the call did not contain "B".

Hearsay evidence of "B" may exist, but is not admissible in a court of law.

In the alternative, if the call was determined to contain "B", "B" is not impeachable.


If people were convicted of a crime for which a direct reading of the document does not show a crime, or by way of hearsay, or or for activities that were not crimes, we would be in a Stalinist or Mao or Nazi type of environment, just picking a few examples historically in which reality was similar.
1932  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Donald Trump Has Been Impeached. What's Next? [serious discussion] on: February 02, 2020, 02:42:47 AM
....

try to look at it from both sides.  it seems like you can only say bad things about the party you oppose and its usually more insulting there intelligence than anything substance.                

I lived in Schiffs district for 5 years voted against him both times i could, had a Rogan sign on my garage the last year that district was red.  hes done some messed up things like voted for iraq, dragged his feet on benghazi. but his court room game is on point.  he proved his case very well, i really don't think there is a single senator that doubts trump did exactly what hes been accused of....

What is quite interesting here is that you(and Viper and Twitch) are obviously sincere about your assessment of Schiff, as am I.

And I'm not just repeating talking points, no need for that. I can evaluate his performance as a practicing lawyer and orator just fine.

Such dissonant points of view must be explainable based on cognitive dissonance and preconditioning. However, as for "who is right" I'll certainly place my bets on those people who simply said that the whole thing was a sham and 2/3 wasn't going to come.

But if you think as you think about Schiff and his powerful oratory and keen acumen, then yes those with similar preconditioning and similar cognitive dissonance if wavering could be positively moved into the True Believer category. Translated to the alternative party viewpoint, fewer losses in mainstream Dem voting group than otherwise.

I feel that's incomplete and imperfect, so consider it only a first crude cut at trying to reconcile this matter.
1933  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Donald Trump Has Been Impeached. What's Next? [serious discussion] on: February 01, 2020, 11:23:13 PM
Schiff likely things he's an important guy, someone who could go places ... now.

He's been in congress for 20 years, chair of the intelligence committee and was lead prosecutor in two previous senate impeachment trials for federal judges.
It was probably a very easy decision for Pelosi to tap him to lead the house managers.

I did not see competence in his words or actions, or any strategy ... at all. It was all over in the "definitely weird" category. No clue why or what that means.

But I've seen a lot of comments as the guy's obvious incompetence.

1934  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Israel wants to extort 300,000,000,000 dollars from Poland on: February 01, 2020, 11:20:25 PM
Tens of thousands of Polish patriots protests against Jewish extortion tries, live from Warsaw.
Part in front of the American embassy, in English language by Grzegorz (Gregory) Braun.  

+1

These claims are baseless. Poles did not kill these Polish Jews.  Germans did that.

Israelis are barking at the wrong tree.....

Agreed. Poland was a victim of Germany.

The state of Poland, it is argued, benefitted from the wrongful deaths.

But does Israel have standing to demand payment TO ISRAEL? Is Israel somehow a close cousin, or a favored friend of these unknown dead, by virtue of it being a champion of the same religion?

No. No way.
1935  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Evil MAGA hat kids from Covington School VS Native American on: February 01, 2020, 11:09:33 PM

I'm okay with this. Could give them say 100k per year for dutifully wearing their MAGA hats against the 250M settlement.

But they'd have to buy the real MAGA hats, not some cheap imitation knock-offs.
1936  Other / Politics & Society / Re: REEE: Donald Trump Hasn't Yet Been Impeached. What's Next? [serious discussion] on: February 01, 2020, 11:04:20 PM
^^^ Trump is probably behind his own impeachment. We all know about "divide and conquer." Looks like the Legislative Branch is divided by this so-called impeachment.

Cool
Actually the Advanced 4d-chess Trumpian "divide and conquer," I had never seen anything like that before.

Oddly at the same time, the Democrats are going crazy. Part of the answer is he drove them to it, but if that is so then the American people, having elected him, can take full credit for driving them crazy.

....
'all hearsay, no direct evidence' had been repeated over and over in defense of the President.  Bolton would be able to provide direct evidence.

By refusing to hear any witnesses, and the fact that Pompeo, Mulvaney and Bolton were all considered 'democrat witnesses', is evidence that there is a cover up happening.

There's always another shiny penny in the road, isn't there? Another one to eagerly lunge for, and then finding its only a penny, get distracted by yet another shiny thing in the dirt.

My guess Bolton, wasn't a 'cover up', but was just another well laid trap that your team was stumbling right into. Do you really think plans were not in place to handle the possibility that the majority vote approving witnesses might have happened?
1937  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Donald Trump Has Been Impeached. What's Next? [serious discussion] on: February 01, 2020, 04:35:41 PM
...
There would never be any impeachment if you assumed the other side isn't going to change their mind. As I said previously, this impeachment was far too short. There wasn't enough time for the public to really get engaged (which is where the 2/3 could come from, if we still would like to think the Senate would listen to the voters as opposed to being on their knees worshiping their King) let along all the witness/document issues. But sure, there's always a variety of motives and if you view them as the enemy it's natural to attribute everything to ulterior motives. Doesn't make it true.

The bottom line is that the "base" of the Dems have wanted Trump impeached from day one. I was impressed that they held out so long frankly. So I see things a bit differently. The only "ulterior" motive I think that has any potential validity is that it was due to one of their own, i.e. Biden, being involved. Everything else is just politics as usual.

One of the "bases", yeah, we all heard that agiprop from the beginning. We all knew they didn't care about what he was impeached for, they just wanted him impeached.

But no rational person looking at all these would have thought the 2/3 was going to be achieved. None. So it's only rational to look for other reasons, such as what I have suggested, free publicity and getting their faces on the TV. Schiff likely things he's an important guy, someone who could go places ... now.


"Trump bad orange man" meme.
I'm curious. How is that any different than the years of "Obama, bad black man" that the right did for years (and many still do)? The right mocks the left for the whole orange man bad thing. But they had, and many still do, Clinton derangement syndrome. When it comes to climate change the amount of Gore derangement syndrome I see is staggering. And there was a whole lot of Obama derangement syndrome.. So how is the current climate any different.. it just flips back and forth now and has really become meaningless as some sort of attempt at mocking those people one deems of having that sort of syndrome.

You're asking the wrong guy, because I never considered Obama black. He was half black.

A great saying is "History doesn't repeat itself, it rhymes."

There were so many objectionable things to the Obama years, I don't know where to start there. How about his weaponizing the IRS? Gun running to Mexican gangs?  "Kinetic action" in Syria?

But now you have one false narrative after another for 3 1/2 years, all designed to get Trump out of office.

Those are NOT EXACTLY SIMILAR HISTORIES.
1938  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Is planting trees actually good for the planet? on: February 01, 2020, 02:32:55 AM
There is no harm in planting trees. Just see the temperature where there is no temperature vs area which is covered by tree. You will see a marked difference.

Okay, so where I live everywhere I go my shoes are crunching up acorns dropped by all the big trees. Now I think those are like, seeds, right? The trees drop them and they turn into more trees?

Now why should I plant trees?

Not only that. Why shouldn't I cut down trees?

Now I promise to only cut down trees where there is already green leafy stuff of one type or another growing. Can anybody explain why I should not cut down trees?

To answer this requires calculating all the effects in that regions bio of that species of tree versus the alternatives which would naturally arise to take its place. And in fact, every tree you plant will remove something else that is alive and growing there.
1939  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Donald Trump Has Been Impeached. What's Next? [serious discussion] on: February 01, 2020, 02:13:12 AM
Given they never dreamed or seriously considered they'd get 2/3 in the senate, it's then useful to ask what the real motivations were. What were they actually trying to accomplish? I think a motive that has to be considered is that they are actually quite confused, and do not have clear motives.
I think the House was thinking more about the case they were presenting to the country than the Senate.

Also, they put a lot of republican senators in swing states in an undesirable situation by making them actually pick a side on something they have always defaulted to political non-answers when asked about.  It's pretty common in congress to propose and force a vote on something that you know doesn't have a chance of passing just to get a record of it...

That's all true but there is another factor. In typical work of the Congress and Senate, the members don't get much public exposure. Sure, some more than others. Rand Paul consistently gets a bit of media time, month in month out. But big media shows like the impeachment "trial" is big exposure like a politician only dreams about.

In that situation, that's a rational, although disgusting, reason why Schiff might have wanted to draw it out longer. FREE PUBLICITY FOR ME!!! ME!!!

Regarding...

Also, they put a lot of republican senators in swing states in an undesirable situation by making them actually pick a side on something they have always defaulted to political non-answers when asked about.
The major effect of this 3 1/2 year long non-stop "Orange man bad" that I see has been to seriously piss off a lot of moderate and conservative and independent voters and they are going to make their voices known. I would be happy to say, "That was brilliant, that move!" but it seems here time after time these Democrat strategists (or whatever) are making decisions seemingly very amateurish and often wrong.

...
All in all, I'm not comprehending what the witnesses were intended to accomplish and for what goal.
The whole trial was on whether or not Trump did something bad, and how bad it was.
....
[/quote]Well, that's what I asserted earlier. More and more of the manic "Trump bad orange man" meme.
1940  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Reddit’s science forum banned climate deniers. on: February 01, 2020, 12:13:07 AM
...
But you're skirting the issue. Here's a way to understand it. Solar scientists do show hard science showing the effects of the sun on climate. They're not wackos, and they are not climate deniers.
Yeah.  The sun has an effect on the climate, and so do humans.

So as a (somewhat humorous lol) illustration of this, I sometimes post serious science showing we may be headed for global cooling.

This drives Warmers nuts, of course. It's laughable to me, but it engages the True Believers, so of course it would never be allowed in the reddit.

But strictly from the scientific point of view, of course there could be a strong solar cooling trend, a component of human warming, a couple volcanoes with a cooling effect, blah blah blah ad nauseam. Of course the resulting climate is the summation of the various causes, inflow and outflows.

Right there is the proof that climate alarmists don't care about the truth of the matter, and that they are pushing lies largely for political purposes.

As frank1 has pointed out several times, the most important thing is water vapor, and the outbound radiative flux (both IR and visible light ranges).
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