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841  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2024 Oscar Awards bets and discussions on: November 07, 2023, 04:48:05 AM
Regarding the ones that will probably be nominated, so far I watched Past Lives and Anatomy of A Fall and while both are good movies, I liked former more and so far it has been the most I saw this year. I am waiting for Oppenheimer and Killers of The Flower Moon to come on streaming sites while The Killer (the one I am very interested in because its Fincher's movie) is coming to Netflix in a few days (November 8th).

You should add Napoleon in your list of movies to watch. It will be released in cinemas on November 22. If this movie was created to be inspirational and if it can get your sympathy for the leading character then this movie might have the capability to win some awards as an underdog very much similar to Coda.

Also, as I have mentioned already, a Ridley Scott and Joaquin Phoenix partnership has similar chances to win awards as Martin Scorsese and Leonardo di Caprio partnership hehehehe. The last movie of Ridley Scott with Joaquin is the Gladiator which won awards including best movie and best actor.
842  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Kraken to turn over select customer data to IRS after July court loss on: November 07, 2023, 03:24:40 AM
@larry_vw_1955. If the question is if the IRS could do anything to a company that does not have any type of presence under America's jurisdiction, I reckon not directly and it would be very complicated. It would be much easier for them to enforce the rules on American citizens.

However, is Kraken not an exchange based in San Francisco, California? The founder Jesse Powell is also an American, I reckon.
843  Economy / Exchanges / Re: [Updated] FTX on: November 07, 2023, 02:42:54 AM
@Rikafip. Yes we can be quite certain he was not alone on this. It might also not only be with the help of his parents. It would not be shocking if it was with the help of the influencial people his parents are connected to.

This is a documentary on FTX created by James Jani. There are things mentioned in this that we might never find the answers like the moneylaundering activities by politicians and other questionable people.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=w3EYKuFGJ5c
844  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Coinbase delisting BSV :) on: November 07, 2023, 01:19:13 AM
Considering the fact that the bitcoin community is fighting against the faketoshi, this is a big win and I still think its relevant to this section.
 Edit: the mods moved it anyway

Agreed. However, why did exchanges list this BSV? It is head shaking because everyone knew already that it is a scam. The listing might have given it an appearance that it was being supported in the community. This is how scams trick people. If it is listed in reputable exchanges then it might not be a scam type of attitude.
845  Economy / Speculation / Re: Hong Kong regulators might allow spot ETF on: November 07, 2023, 12:25:36 AM
There are many spot etfs in many countries already this is nothing new. I think somewhere in Europe there was a bitcoin etf from maybe 5 years back.

USA and the sec is the only country pretty much that refuses to launch one and we don’t know why. Look at how many stocks go bankrupt like Bed bath and beyond and they head to $0 while they think that bitcoin network might stall and the etf will go to $0, highly unlikely.

In many countries? How many and what are these countries? I am quite certain that there are not many countries offering spot ETFs for bitcoin or other cryptocoins. Also, if it is a spot ETF in a developing country with a small market, we can also be quite certain that it will not have effect on the whole market.

On Bed Bath and Beyond, you cannot compare hehehe. I do not know the story but the stock goes to 0 because the company behind the stock went bankrupt and if a company goes bankrupt, they are ordered to delist their stock from the stock market.

In an case, back on topic, can the data on the take up on futures ETF be used as precedent for how much the take might be for the spot ETF?
846  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Kraken to turn over select customer data to IRS after July court loss on: November 06, 2023, 04:38:42 AM
The exchange will be required to report information on customers who transacted more than $20,000 between 2016 and 2020.

https://cryptoslate.com/kraken-to-turn-over-select-customer-data-to-irs-after-july-court-loss/

I think 2016 was when there was no rules about crypto from the IRS. You could just buy and sell BTC without paying any taxes or anything. Problem is, at some point maybe 2018 or 19, the IRS started coming down hard on Americans. They wanted to know if they were involved in crypto - making them check a box on their tax return if they were. Now they're going to find out who was honest and who wasn't.   Shocked

This is an interesting situation since Kraken is not an american company they are outside the USA. yet the IRS can still tell them what to do and they can't do anything about it.

However, if they are operating under the jurisdiction of America and also accept American customers then American tax laws should and will be imposed on Kraken or the exchange will be cracked down and ordered to stop offering their services in the country.

Nothing is certain except death and taxes.
847  Economy / Exchanges / Re: [Updated] FTX on: November 06, 2023, 04:17:08 AM
@o48o. Agreed, however, until the sentence is given and considering Sam's parents have connections with the top politicians and leaders of the Democtratic party I will not be shocked if there was a plot twist.

In any case, the cryptospace is a very crazy place. Similar to what the people in social media are saying, Sam was a pump and dump. A billionaire at 29 years old to being bankrupt and jailed in less than 1 year hehehehe.
848  Economy / Speculation / Hong Kong regulators might allow spot ETF on: November 06, 2023, 03:36:20 AM
Investment funds, insitutional investment firms and whales located in Asia will have their own chance on speculating in a spot bitcoin ETF without the need for an American financial institution if spot ETFs are approved.

However, there is something mentioned in the article that implies that spot ETFs might not be as bullish as we might expect. It is mentioned that the take up on futures ETF in Hong Kong has only been modest. I assume the take up on futures ETF in America has also only been modest? Can the data on bitcoin futures ETF be used as a precedent on how strong or weak spot ETFs might be?



The city is weighing retail-investor access to such spot ETFs providing regulatory concerns are met, Securities and Futures Commission Chief Executive Officer Julia Leung said.

The crypto sector sees ETFs as a way of making digital assets more mainstream since the funds are readily available to a variety of investors. Bitcoin has surged 110% this year partly on expectations that the likes of BlackRock Inc. will soon win permission to start the first US spot ETFs for the token.

Both Hong Kong and the US currently allow futures-based crypto ETFs, but the take-up has been modest compared to the overall size of the fund industry. The Asian city current lists the Samsung Bitcoin Futures Active, CSOP Bitcoin Futures and CSOP Ether Futures ETFs. They have combined assets of about $65 million.


Read in full https://finance.yahoo.com/news/hong-kong-mulls-allowing-spot-231014425.html
849  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: FTX CEO Sam Bankman Fried found guilty on: November 06, 2023, 02:45:37 AM
Also, I am one of those who speculate that Sam might get only a few years in prison or end in suicide like Jeffery Epstein. However, is this moving the goal post?

From spending only 6 months in home arrest and then enjoying all his life billions as you were saying  to him getting whacked in a prison cell, and all this being the same, that's pretty much moving the goalposts.
Why can't you simply accept that not everything needs to be some goddamn conspiracy?

It is what it is and things like this have happened for centuries, there were scammers who were even granted royal decrees and orders, and things like this will keep happening without any reptilian masterminds behind them, it's just because there are some con artists that are pretty good at what they are doing.

No, it is only a speculation that Sam might have too much information on the Democrats' moneylaundering apparatus. The Democrats might have to help him or kill him.

Yeah yeah! The same thing over and over, the ones dealing with billions, controlling the world, controlling the banks, the global economy, are so stupid to use the stupidest guy running a Ponzi scheme exchange to launder their money in with it! All those guys in such high places doing billions in money laundering were not able to tell something was wrong and they left some guy doing drugs with 20 hommies running their business?

Seriously, how high do you have to be to believe this crap even for a second?


@Rikafip. It appears that @stompix has not understood what type of different settings are being argued in this forum. He is very annoyed at me for speculating what possbilities might occur that would give the viewers much action, drama, comedy, romance and the shocking plot twists hehehehe.

@stompix. We know Sam will go to prison and we accept this. We are only discussing different settings in the storyboard like this is a movie hehe.
850  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2024 Oscar Awards bets and discussions on: November 06, 2023, 02:28:59 AM
In short, the Oscar Awards seem close... but it is the awards season that adjusts the reality of the "@" although they say otherwise many betting houses, which remain "stuck" with these initial "@."

Then, awards season can make our bet more precise, consequently Oppenheimer being the candidate for these Oscar Awards, but be careful, eh!

The list of awards is longer than indicated, without a doubt they are the most important awards, Golden Globe Awards, Directors Guild, Screen Actors Guild, I would add:
Independent Spirit Awards, Critic's Choice among others but one that closes strongly is the Bafta. So no matter what the "@" says, awards season better defines where the real winners are and still, surprises happen at the Oscar Awards.

You are correct, the Bafta awards is another important date. I will add this. However, the Bafta have a different set of voters with a different inspiration than the members of the Academy of motion pictures arts and sciences. There might be some similarities in the nominations but there are small differences in which movies in each categories are voted as the winners. The best director, the best actor and the best movie might go to Christopher Nolan, Cilian Murphy and Oppenheimer in the Bafta for very clear reasons hehehe. However, the Oscars might vote differently.
851  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: FTX CEO Sam Bankman Fried found guilty on: November 05, 2023, 06:23:25 AM
And for almost a year all I could hear on this forum was
...
Well, some of us were trying to be reasonable amidst all those conspiracy theorists. The moment his ex -gf got a deal and ratted him out, it was pretty obvious how this will end up.


I wonder what the next move of the nay-sayers will be because god forbid we would have an instance where the system works.
As you can see, now they move goalpost to SBF getting only few years in prison.

Agreed. We can only react after new information is given and reported to the community very much similar to when a speculation that FTX was going to bite the dust. In the beginning, only very few expected that it would really bite the dust. However, after new information came out, it became clearer. It is very much a similar reaction in this thread.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5419386.0

Also, I am one of those who speculate that Sam might get only a few years in prison or end in suicide like Jeffery Epstein. However, is this moving the goal post? No, it is only a speculation that Sam might have too much information on the Democrats' moneylaundering apparatus. The Democrats might have to help him or kill him.

852  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2024 Oscar Awards bets and discussions on: November 05, 2023, 06:07:20 AM
@electronicash. This Barbie movie is only trying to have a meaningful message, however, @Saint-loup is right. This movie is only a big commercial for a toy company very much similar to many other of these common cartoon shows.

In any case, on your question on which story usually win an Oscar in best movie category, you only need to look at the 5 last best movies. Everything Everywhere, Coda, Nomadland, Parasite and Greenbook. They are stories about family, growing up, being connected, perseverance and friendship. All of them are inspirational movies except for Parasite.

The favorite Oppenheimer is not very inspirational, I reckon.
853  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: November 05, 2023, 05:24:14 AM
@owengtam09, @YuginKadoya. It appears these Scandanavian Vikings should not be underestimated hehehe. They are the most strongest and they are almost unbreakable warriors in the history of human beings. The Brazilians live in sunny areas of the world where there is animals to be hunted, fish and fruits everywhere. Their life is easy. The people of Denmark, Sweden and Norway were people who sailed on their ships to invade other villages to get food because food is not very abundant.

I reckon the Brazilian was the biggest favorite for this event against the Viking warrior? I shake my head hehehe. We should never underestimate any human if they have Vinking's blood flowing in their veins.
854  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈 on: November 05, 2023, 04:47:15 AM
Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles will certainly be a very good game! @everyone, what would be your bets for this if you were forced to bet the winner. I reckon the Cowboys should not be underestimated and this is also is this the first time for Dak Prescott vs. Jalen Hurts to play against each other?

The defenses of both of these teams are also very good, however, the Eagles' defense is moderately better. I might put Tony Pollard on the bench hehehee.
855  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: FTX CEO Sam Bankman Fried found guilty on: November 04, 2023, 06:32:38 AM
And for almost a year all I could hear on this forum was

- he is never going to be found guilty
- he will never be arrested
- he will never be sentenced to anything
- in the US nobody with money goes to jail
- he will spend all his life in luxury without a worry

Not to mention the real tinfoil things like he bribed the democrats, he bought the republican, he's the SEC pet, he is protected by the reptilians, by the Rothschilds, by the 13 inbred families of the Illuminati!

I wonder what the next move of the nay-sayers will be because god forbid we would have an instance where the system works.

Is that true? I have never read anything that says what you have said. No one was talking about the case except a few people. Also, I reckon none of the people in the forum has really followed the case very closely as @Rikafip, @JuanJayGee and the other people in [Updated] FTX thread.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5419710.0
856  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2024 Oscar Awards bets and discussions on: November 04, 2023, 05:32:24 AM
I think that Oppenheimer will win all the Oscars in the categories where it has nominations.
Not because it's a great movie(it is pretty good, but I'm not that impressed), but because we live in the constant thread of a World War III right now. The USA tested nuclear weapons. Russia will get out of the treaty, which reduced nuclear weapon testing. There's is tension in the Middle East. Israel and Iran probably have nuclear weapons. Hollywood became totally political in the last few years and I don't believe that anything will change. The only good thing is that there won't be that much liberal propaganda this year(at least I hope so).

Similar to what I have said before, this is not a certainty. Oppenheimer was not a very inspiring movie and if you have noticed, the members of the Academy of motion picture arts and sciences have more voted for movies like Green Book, Coda and Everything Everywhere for the best movie which were positive and inspiring. The favorites against those movies did not win.

I have not yet watched much of the movies that have a chance to be nominated to make a recommendation which movies are inspiring.

Other important dates before the Oscar Awards.

January 7, 2024, Golden Globe Awards
February 10, 2024, Directors Guild
February 24, 2024, Screen Actors Guild

@Saint-loup. I am quite certain that it will not be nominated.

@electronicash. The oddsmakers might only be guessing because they have the most popular directors. However, I reckon Napoleon might be very underestimated. It is directed by Ridely Scott and has Joaquin Phoenix as leading actor. They worked together on the movie The Gladiator which has won best picture, best director for Ridley and best supporting actor for Joaquin Phoenix. If this movie inspires, this might be the underdog winner hehhehe.
857  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Prosecution to use Caroline Ellison notes as evidence against SBF on: November 04, 2023, 05:17:33 AM
@sokani. I have always assumed that the time between the verdict and the sentence for the defendant to be given time to make an appeal because what if the defendant is really innocent? I am not telling you that Sam Bankrupt-Fraud is innocent, however, there certainly are people who were wrongfully given the guilty verdict.

Another reason might be to give the defendant time to prepare. Similar to Sam, he will be going in for 110 years. I reckon it is fair to give him his time for preparation.
858  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC Sentiment Poll for November on: November 04, 2023, 04:35:27 AM
I voted for "I don't know" for lack of a more accurate choice that represents what I think. I think the price will tend to go slightly up in the month, but I don't think it will be exaggerated and I doubt if we will have a small dip in December. After so much time of bear market it is normal that people feel bullish at the slightest joy but if we see what happened in previous cycles the pre-halving months there is a rise, followed by a small fall to enter the bull run proper after the halving. History does not have to repeat itself but it is better to keep it in mind.

That is a unsurprising reaction there considering that for many, it is still in the stage of disbelief. However, on what price should bitcoin pump before you consider this market to in a bull market? You will wait for another all time high to be sure?

In any case, it appears that there will be more pumps coming to the market hehe. Tether has printed more USDT for almost $1 billion of inflows.



TETHER PRINTER
Just printed $997,989,246 USDT!


Source https://twitter.com/usdcoinprinter/status/1720595482001486316
859  Economy / Exchanges / Re: [Updated] FTX on: November 04, 2023, 03:06:43 AM
I reckon this will have a positive effect on the market because it is closing a bad chapter of a story and it starts a new chapter where we can have a new beginning, where we can find new hope and where we might witness a new pump heheheh.
Even though its definitely a good news, I don't expect it to have any infleunce on the market whatsoever.


@Rikafip. You are correct. It was all or nothing hehehe.
You see? You worried for no reason that he will end up getting acquitted or getting some kind of deal. The moment his cloests allies ratted him out it was obvious that he is not getting away with is and now the only question is how many years he gonna spend in jail.



Maybe some crypto gambling site active here on bitcointalk should sponsor jail sentence prediction topic?  Grin

Hehehe, yes but you should have noticed that I watch a lot of movies and my love for them. I wanted action, drama, mystery and also some comedy for Sam's case. However, reality has shown again to be boring hehe. It might have been different if it was streamed on video.

Also, speaking of movies, it will be the Oscars betting season! I have created the thread already. We need your knowledge and analysis hehehe.
860  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈 on: November 03, 2023, 04:37:47 AM
I am quite certain that this will be another losing week for me again hehe. However, did anyone watch the game? Does Will Levis really deserve to receive only 8 fantasy points for this week? I reckon he did more for the Titans than this 8 points.

He might also be a good replacement for Tua in the Dolphins because he likes to throw the ball very far. This will be good for Mike McDaniel's style. They also have a much better offensive line and wide receivers
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