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1501  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: July 20, 2015, 05:37:15 AM
Doomed:

http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/pnf.php?c=%24GOLD,PGTBDANRNO[PA][D][F1!3!!!2!20]
1502  Economy / Speculation / Re: PnF TA on: July 18, 2015, 08:01:33 PM
Shorts closed. Opened a small long just in case the storm is over...
1503  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 18, 2015, 07:02:49 PM
Back from the beach. Price flat. Longs/shorts not doing much.

Right off for a cycle.  Grin

Beach? Thought you were from Birmingham mate? Yeah price flatlining atm. Pretty dull but this is a long game, we're in this for years. No rush for huge price surges, sideways = still opportunity to keep accumulating. I'm going to a party in an hour or so. Bitcoin can take a back seat until tomorrow Grin

In Greece going slowly brown Smiley

Have you sold any Bitcoins to Greeks through local Bitcoins yet? They were selling for way above the market rate last week but I haven't heard how much they are selling for since the Grexit fears subsided. Somebody from Greece quoted a very high figure last week and I'm interested in hearing if it's still the same.

No, just enjoying my holiday. To be honest you wouldn't know anything was afoot if you didn't turn on the tv. What is amazing is how democracy has just been ignored here. There should have been revolution.
Where exactly in Greece?
1504  Economy / Speculation / Re: PnF TA on: July 18, 2015, 12:33:10 PM
Sell off in btc-e continues, soon arbitrage will take other exchanges at 265 too.

A scalp long there (263$, stoploss 260$) is good trade IMO.
1505  Economy / Speculation / Re: PnF TA on: July 18, 2015, 11:02:04 AM
Let me make this clear: Tripple bottom break AND bullish trend are INCOMPATIBLE!!!

Capish everyone? Cup & handle my ass...
1506  Economy / Speculation / Re: PnF TA on: July 18, 2015, 06:46:18 AM
I am opening small shorts in every bounce, bearish until >304$
1507  Economy / Speculation / Re: PnF TA on: July 17, 2015, 07:34:08 AM


Let's see bullish support now...
1508  Economy / Speculation / Re: PnF TA on: July 17, 2015, 06:44:17 AM
People opening longs at 275 may get seriously burned - why do it?
280$ broke VERY hard, there are 0 chances it will be reversed from just 5$ away...

EDIT: Bid at 263$, stoploss 260$
1509  Economy / Speculation / Re: PnF TA on: July 16, 2015, 05:52:43 PM
Thank you for your kind words!

A lot of people are interested in XMR and so am I, that's why I already do PnF analysis about it (also for XRP, STR, MAID, SJCX, DASH, SDC, NXT & BTS).

But I had to start a whole project because TradingView does not include data from Poloniex & Bittrex.

So I am about to launch a project that will offer PnF charts for alts and also signals & analysis.

It has to be with a subscription though because I pay 2 devs to implement this and a lot of my personal time too.

Long term I will maybe provide a trading bot based on PnF, indexes based on alts, relative strength charts for alts (so you know which alt is rallying or falling harder), bullish percentage indicator for cryptos sector, relative strength charts for btc with other assets (SP500, gold, DAX, ETFs, etc).

Finally I will provide more PnF patterns (see here for an example: http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.scan , P&F Patterns) for BTC & alts, log and percentage scale charts etc (TV does not provide log scale charts - also some indicators are not displayed correctly and 1box reversal charts are wrong).

If anyone is interested please PM me.

Ah I see, you can vote here to let TV add Polo: https://getsatisfaction.com/tradingview/topics/add-https-www-poloniex-com-to-the-bitcoin-related-exchanges.

I doubt I will pay for subscription at the moment because of my trading bankroll and skills (pretty new to trading), but I wish you good luck with your project and keep up the good work!
TV would be good to add them but sooner or later I have to make my own charts too because of some limitations on the platform, errors in PnF and most importantly I need to make my own Relative Strength charts.

I understand on your hesitation regarding the subscription but PM me your email in any case...


EDIT: Also I am not sure if I can get patterns out of TV charts and scan all alt coins in an automated way
1510  Economy / Speculation / Re: PnF TA on: July 16, 2015, 04:05:54 PM
Triple top/bottom break is very strong signal, I doubt 275 support will hold.

1511  Economy / Speculation / Re: PnF TA on: July 16, 2015, 01:45:29 PM
Sell signal:



But on support line. Be careful anyway you trade..


LTC sell signal too:

1512  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 16, 2015, 09:15:29 AM
Shorts up to 12.5k.

Longs at 27.5 mil USD.

In a bear market sideways action leads to impatience and a heavy speculator deciding market direction with a speculative sell (in the direction of trend). With the bear market technically over it will be interesting to see how the next move plays out.

'Line on a chart' analysis suggests as long as we stay above 275 - 280 we will probably break higher and through resistance at 300. If that happens then like a light being switched on, the bitcoin bull will be back and we could see 400 quickly.

If we stagnate here then we could range trade for a few months. Lots of support levels right down to super support at 210-220.

The halving countdown has already begun. My guess would be that the bitcoin halving rally will be front run by traders second guessing the previous bitcoin halving (rally after) and the recent litecoin halving surge (rally before) and we will rally earlier than most traders expect.

We still have two swords of damocles (gox coins could be bearish, could be bullish; coin etf - could be massively bullish if allowed by SEC eventually) and a little dagger (final us marshalls auction of 44k) hanging overhead.

I think we will move sideways for a bit as bitcoin shakes out the shorters a few more times before it does it's thing.
When is the halving approximately?
1513  Economy / Speculation / Re: PnF TA on: July 16, 2015, 07:08:58 AM
BTC triple bottom at 284$. If it holds extremely bullish. If it breaks (280$) very strong sell signal.

Resistance 288-292 & 300-304$. Bullish trend broken at 260$.




LTC double bottomed. Sell at 3.5$. Resistance 4.75-5$. Support 2.75-3.25$. Trend broken at 2.5$

1514  Economy / Speculation / Re: PnF TA on: July 15, 2015, 10:43:27 AM
Klee, what do you think about butcoin's price in 5 - 10 years from now ?
0 or above 50K usd
1515  Economy / Speculation / Re: PnF TA on: July 15, 2015, 10:35:00 AM
We may get another bounce up for a double-top at $320 ($315 realizable trade)?

By borrowing BTC and selling on bitfinex. The leverage you can get is dependent on how much % over your selling price you want to hold a reserve to prevent a margin call.

I almost did it, but decided I have better upside in what I am working on. So it wasn't worth the risk to me (not only unexpected volatility to the upside, also bitfinex solvency or the market price moving faster than bitfinex can execute margin calls), but in your case depending how desperate you are, it might be worth the risk if we bounce up again before declining.

I am fairly certain we will decline, but I can't be sure we won't see prices above $320 and below $400 before going down. Above $400, I would declare myself incorrect and eat the losses.

Some people said you can trade on bitfinex and even sell for $usd without doing KYC as long as you don't withdraw fiat. I didn't want to risk that, because it appears it is a discretionary policy.
True.

Possible. IMO after 320 we will test 450-475 - this is the last test.. If we break 500$ the train has left for good for new ATH. So maybe we need to visit this price before a possible new bear market to double digits.

Do you have an expected time frame to break through 500 ?
Not based on PnF but on my own instinct, I would expect things to escalate quickly if we break 320.
I would not be surprised if this take min 2-3 days and up to 2-3 weeks.

But this is wild ass speculation  Tongue
1516  Economy / Speculation / Re: PnF TA on: July 15, 2015, 08:59:33 AM


Support 264-292, bullish support broken at 260$
1517  Economy / Speculation / Re: PnF TA on: July 15, 2015, 08:49:35 AM
We may get another bounce up for a double-top at $320 ($315 realizable trade)?

By borrowing BTC and selling on bitfinex. The leverage you can get is dependent on how much % over your selling price you want to hold a reserve to prevent a margin call.

I almost did it, but decided I have better upside in what I am working on. So it wasn't worth the risk to me (not only unexpected volatility to the upside, also bitfinex solvency or the market price moving faster than bitfinex can execute margin calls), but in your case depending how desperate you are, it might be worth the risk if we bounce up again before declining.

I am fairly certain we will decline, but I can't be sure we won't see prices above $320 and below $400 before going down. Above $400, I would declare myself incorrect and eat the losses.

Some people said you can trade on bitfinex and even sell for $usd without doing KYC as long as you don't withdraw fiat. I didn't want to risk that, because it appears it is a discretionary policy.
True.

Possible. IMO after 320 we will test 450-475 - this is the last test.. If we break 500$ the train has left for good for new ATH. So maybe we need to visit this price before a possible new bear market to double digits.


Hey klee, love your charts, it was a bit hard to understand at first but S/R levels seem really good.

Any chance you can post an XMR chart?

Cheers!
Thank you for your kind words!

A lot of people are interested in XMR and so am I, that's why I already do PnF analysis about it (also for XRP, STR, MAID, SJCX, DASH, SDC, NXT & BTS).

But I had to start a whole project because TradingView does not include data from Poloniex & Bittrex.

So I am about to launch a project that will offer PnF charts for alts and also signals & analysis.

It has to be with a subscription though because I pay 2 devs to implement this and a lot of my personal time too.

Long term I will maybe provide a trading bot based on PnF, indexes based on alts, relative strength charts for alts (so you know which alt is rallying or falling harder), bullish percentage indicator for cryptos sector, relative strength charts for btc with other assets (SP500, gold, DAX, ETFs, etc).

Finally I will provide more PnF patterns (see here for an example: http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.scan , P&F Patterns) for BTC & alts, log and percentage scale charts etc (TV does not provide log scale charts - also some indicators are not displayed correctly and 1box reversal charts are wrong).

If anyone is interested please PM me.

1518  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 14, 2015, 04:16:46 PM
Good morning Bitcoinland.

I see that yesterday's little post-Grexit panic dump is a thing of the past and we're back to the slow steady grind upward.

Pretty much sideways in the $290s but with the lean in the right direction.

Let's see if the price rises when the banks open in Greece. Obviously the Greeks have all kinds of motivation to get their money out of the banks and into Bitcoin but can't do it with their funds frozen.

As for those in other countries with shaky economies who fueled this recent rally there is no reason for them to stop protecting their wealth by getting it out of the banks.

Interesting times indeed.
Banks open =/= capital controls though, don't expect much liquidity on the Greek side...
1519  Economy / Speculation / Re: PnF TA on: July 13, 2015, 06:49:48 PM
BTCe LTCUSD:



We made a reversal up to 5.25$ and then fell back to support of 4.25$. Now resistance is at 4.75-5$.
The triangle will have to break either upwards (buy signal at 5.5$) or downwards (sell signal 3.5$) so we test the 2.75-3.25$ support.

At 2.5$ we are in bearish trend...
1520  Economy / Speculation / Re: PnF TA on: July 13, 2015, 05:49:41 PM
If we hold this double bottom it will be bullish. Resistance 308-312. Reversal at 296$



If we go 280 it will be the first sell signal since the drop to 223$.
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