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2081  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: A typical weekend in sport betting-Why do gamblers still do sport bets? on: September 03, 2023, 07:54:32 AM
I've seen sports betters claim that it's more skillful to bet on sports, I don't buy it. If a certain sportsbooks has odds that aren't aligned with the actual odds (of course we don't know what the "true" odds are for a sports match, it's not a precise mathematical calculation), you can potentially find a bet with a theoretical positive EV. That does not guarantee profit. Arbitrage is also possible, but those opportunities are rare.

Sports betting does have a house edge, it's fairly difficult to calculate or recognize. I'm assuming the ostensible lack of a house edge makes sports betting attractive. Gives the illusion that it's easier to win. It really isn't.

I have to agree.The illusion must be what keeps people coming back.I am trying to bet on Baseball and place multi parlays with over 6.5 to over 8.5 and I keep losing for one game,of course I have absolutely no way of knowing which team is better as I don't understand but I have started doing so as I got really mad by losing consistently in soccer betting.Of course the arbitrage needs a whole team to keep track of everything and you can't do it alone,there is no way to do it perfectly all alone so this is out of the equation,I think that most people think that they know the teams and it is this illusion which most probably keeps them coming back.
2082  Economy / Gambling / Re: Concept of Halal Casino on: September 03, 2023, 07:24:19 AM
From the Muslim colleagues I have in my work I know that this can't be the truth and that scholar should not be a good one if he is offering the concept of such casino where Muslims will be allowed to play.I know though that some Muslims even from countries like Saudi Arabia or other countries gamble as I have seen Arabic names in Stake chat and a lot of them,maybe the idea of that scholar is to switch these players to that casino in order to get the benefits themselves,to get the money spending there in their casino as they play anyway so maybe that is why.
2083  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏁🏎️ Sportsbet.io🏁 FORMULA 1 2023 Season🏁🏎️Prediction Pool Discussion Thread on: September 02, 2023, 09:31:48 PM
The tire management of RBR is better, Verstappen will be an easy race unless some hazard happens.

I can't see how he can lose, remember also under DRS the RBR is the best car and on Monza DRS is huge.

Yep , correct + Ferrari not having a good race pace with current car so I think Verstappen will easily take the W tomorrow as well. However, we might have a great battle for second and 3rd place as Ferrari might snatch a 2-3 podium if somehow their strategists won't ruin the race  Grin Grin

In this qualifying I didn't see any other team except Russell exceptional personal performance that can fight with the Ferraris,I am really surprised at Hamilton low pace today and of course the Aston Martin and McLaren were nowhere near fighting for one of the top spots.It will be interesting to see tomorrow the fight with Perez against Ferraris,if he beats them then it means he is not sleeping anymore and want to go from being a mediocre driver to a driver that asks always for more,he should do so as he just secured his place for 2024 at Redbull and what better way to celebrate it.
2084  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: September 02, 2023, 09:05:21 PM
This performance of Newcastle surely leave a lot to desire,if they go in the Champions League group stages with this kind of attitude then they will definitely be out already in the group stages.You should have some personality as a team who last season finished 3rd or 4th don't remember who made it to the Champions League group stages,you cannot let your guard down this way,you have to react,they were 3-0 and they barely managed to hit two times the target with one scoring one goal in late additional time of the second half when the result was 3-0.

Congrats to Brighton but Newcastle should have done better tonight.
2085  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: A typical weekend in sport betting-Why do gamblers still do sport bets? on: September 02, 2023, 08:40:03 PM
I am checking that in every single league of the big ones we have seen at least some surprise result and this is the typical weekend of many of the sport bettors.I wonder why do people still place sport bets because in slot machines I can understand,they run after the maximum payout and they know it is a game of pure luck,yet in here in sport betting it is not only pure luck,there is also skill involved and seeing many of the stronger teams lose their game today means that it is not worth doing anymore sport betting.

What is the reason that sport bettors still continue to place sport bets?
Entertainment of course!

I don't consider entertaining when Napoli loses,Chelsea loses,Valencia loses,and every week some team does that.On a side note I tried a low bet today by playing 3 teams from Georgian league where the 3 teams I choose I saw them playing in Champions and Conference League preliminaries and they should have not had any problems winning their game yet one of them lost at home,Dila Gori against a very weak team,again reinforcing my view that in such remote leagues the gambling companies can do whatever they like and that is for sure while I am surprised that even the big leagues are being may be manipulated although this is just my opinion.
2086  Economy / Gambling discussion / A typical weekend in sport betting-Why do gamblers still do sport bets? on: September 02, 2023, 08:10:06 PM
I am checking that in every single league of the big ones we have seen at least some surprise result and this is the typical weekend of many of the sport bettors.I wonder why do people still place sport bets because in slot machines I can understand,they run after the maximum payout and they know it is a game of pure luck,yet in here in sport betting it is not only pure luck,there is also skill involved and seeing many of the stronger teams lose their game today means that it is not worth doing anymore sport betting.

What is the reason that sport bettors still continue to place sport bets?
2087  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏁🏎️ Sportsbet.io🏁 FORMULA 1 2023 Season🏁🏎️Prediction Pool Discussion Thread on: September 02, 2023, 07:55:47 PM
I was thinking that Ferrari would take pole position today. However I picked the wrong driver. I picked Leclerc as he was more successful in qualifying sessions in general. However Sainz really maintained his great performance in FP sessions in the qualifying as well. He took pole position by only a gap like 0.013s. Verstappen must be really frustrated.

Ferrari drivers both did a great job in the qualifying actually. But the most important thing is to maintain this look in the race as well. I'm afraid it is really difficult to trust Ferrari crew now but let's see.

I see no reason why Verstappen should be frustrated,just because he lost the pole position does not mean that he will lose the race too.He of course I believe to have the maturity to not screw up in the first corner and if he maintains his calm through the first corner here most probably will get an easy win.

I know the distance is very small in a single lap like you say at 0.013s but in the race distance I am pretty sure Redbull is a better car and of course a much much better team when it comes to pit stops while for Ferrari I have a lot of doubts that they will not screw up their drivers race tomorrow with wrong strategies.
2088  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Motosport General discussion tread --- Formula1, MotoGP, WTCC, ETCC, DTM..... on: September 02, 2023, 07:39:00 PM
Pole position for Ferrari.

Whatever. Max will have an easy win if nothing happens to him.

Great drive by Sainz but just a thousand of a second faster than Verstappen meaning most likely it will be possible for Redbull to win an easy race tomorrow as we know that in the race distance Redbull makes the difference.Max should be very careful tomorrow to not try and win since the first corner as this can pose a big risk to him,he can risk getting out or crash and that would ruin his try to become the first driver in F1 history to win 10 consecutive races.I am sure though that Max is mature enough to know that and to try at all cost to avoid it,he knows very well with the car he has,he should be patient and soon in the race he can overcome any car.
2089  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: September 02, 2023, 06:31:32 PM
A week of surprise results I would call this so far with Chelsea losing and also Newcastle losing,these are normal in Premier League as the Premier League is full of surprises when it comes to results but this season have started with a lot of them since the early weeks of the Premier League while we have witnessed the highest level of surprises in the latest weeks of the season at least in the last couple of seasons.

Tomorrow good games and Arsenal will have a true test of their strength against Manchester United which for me based on what I have seen from both teams,Arsenal should win the game of tomorrow,in the pool now that I am checking I see 4 positions up but the amount of points is not satisfying in these first weeks.
2090  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: September 02, 2023, 04:18:03 PM
Ancelotti will overhaul his formation in the second half, possession is still on Madrid side. I am optimistic that Madrid can turn things around, so they can secure three points at home. I predict Bellingham will save Madrid with his goal, Kross has the potential to come in to replace Tchouameni.

There is still one more round for Ancelotti squad to prove its quality, Getafe will not be able to survive.

Getafe played first half good but it looks like Ancelotti made a great pep talk. Real Madrid started second half pretty fast and go for a result. There are too many positions to be reviewed, VAR did an extra work today, that was interesting.
The game looks like Getafe can't resist anymore and Real Madrid will find the winning goal. I expect over 3.5 goals now. The score is 1-1 and we will see at least two more goals.
Another side note is that Joselu scored his first goal in Real Madrid jersey after 12 years. Smiley
Real Madrid will do everything possible to ensure they win this game,they've been able to get an equaliser after being down to a goal,but they still need to get their backline is solid enough to stand any counter attack by Getafe because that is what they are waiting for,they know very well they can't stand their attacking force,so all they need do is to sit back and wait for a possible counter.
Nevertheless,with the way Madrid are pressuring them,I think they might still grab a late goal to get the win.
Games are becoming hard for big teams to win this season despite the fact the odds given to them are very little,they still find it difficult to win with those odds.



Games are not becoming hard.It is the big teams who are not the big teams they used to be some time ago.Just some years back and any team that would come to Bernabeu would know that if they get away with 1 point would have been a huge achievement for them and I am talking about teams like Getafe who are average teams who not long ago they used to play in La Liga 2.It is totally the fault of Real Madrid who seems unable to score goals,they have created several chance and only now finally in the 96th minute of the game they got the advantage and hopefully will win the game.

I found it very strange that they have won so far 3 away games and the first playing in their home to have so much difficulty of winning it.
2091  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: September 02, 2023, 04:04:19 PM
I will not be surprised if Nottingham Forest will win this game because Chelsea at present are not playing like they are confident. They're loosing so much chances and I think Pochettino should stop starting Caicedo for now and instead use Mudryk. I feel they are not fully maximalizing his potential and he seems to understand Enzo Fernandez pattern of play better. Today, eyes would be looking on Raheem sterling to step up and help bring his team the three points since he has been able to give impressive performance in last games.
There have so many talented players but yet few and unimpressive results. Let's see who gets to take home the three points. I sense a draw here but maybe either sides can wake up during the second half.
You write it like this because Nottingham is already 0-1 up. If the score is reversed for Chelsea to win, your writing will definitely be different from what I assumed you would write I wouldn't be surprised if Chelsea won because they played well.
Stop this nonsense guys.

There are no superior statistics that Nottingham got other than the luck of being able to score goals.
1st they could only make 3 shots against Sanchez. Their ball possession is only 32%.
Look at statistics 2st, almost 85% Chelsea are ahead of all statistical records.


It looks like even the new coach is having a really hard time with Chelsea in this beginning stage of the Premier League and while many will say that it is just the beginning I would say that the sun can be spotted early in the morning.I am afraid this Chelsea team will go from bad to worse in the coming weeks as they are again having difficulties in scoring goals,they lost today game at home against Nottingham Forest which by the way this starting stage of the season they are doing well.

I am afraid Chelsea is back to their last couple of seasons illness which is the inability to score goals,they are lacking exactly in this same area.
2092  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏁🏎️ Sportsbet.io🏁 FORMULA 1 2023 Season🏁🏎️Prediction Pool Discussion Thread on: September 02, 2023, 03:41:58 PM
It looks like there will always be rumours for Perez's seat. For example I have seen news such as Verstappen is leaning towards having Norris as his teammate. It doesn't make sense to me when I look at this situation from Red Bull's point of view. They want to have a dominant champion like Verstappen. They don't want a very competitive second driver who can make difficulties for Verstappen. Norris is exactly the definition of a competitive driver as you know.  Grin

Verstappen and Norris are really good friends now. But the team need to think of their main strategies first.

Meanwhile Perez is confirmed for 2024 and the top teams have all confirmed their driver line up which will be the same as this year for them,only average and slow teams have not yet come up with 100% of their line up for next season.

For today well done to Carlos Sainz and well done to all in the pool who have put him in the winner seat of the qualifying,Ferrari looked to have upped their game a bit yet I am not convinced they will continue with this performance during tomorrow race in which I predict an easy win for Redbull.
2093  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: September 02, 2023, 12:51:22 PM
Come on Everton you can do it! Said everyone before Sheffield scored 2 lol

Well so far I at least am seeing a good reaction from Everton,they equalized now and the game is still going on 2-2 with 30 minutes left to play,I think the draw though is the most logical end for this match as both teams had 0 points before such encounter and most probably getting the first point of the season for each of these teams can mean a lot to them.Don't get me wrong I am not saying that they should not fight for the three points,they should do it absolutely but even if the game ends in this way I think both teams should be happy with the result.
2094  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Motosport General discussion tread --- Formula1, MotoGP, WTCC, ETCC, DTM..... on: September 02, 2023, 11:56:23 AM
The last practice which finished just now showed that Sainz is in the top spot and Verstappen is just there,maybe we will have a different pole winner here compared to these last races which will not be Verstappen but for the race I have absolutely no doubt,in the race distance is what makes Redbull cars perfect,they keep closing the gap if they are behind and win the race,if I am not mistaken it was in a race like that last year that Verstappen won after starting 14th,I mean the track layout were of high speed straights not that he won here from 14th place.This should keep all of our hopes low as who will win the race but of course surprise events are welcome in a F1 race.
2095  Economy / Gambling / Re: Stake phishing on: September 02, 2023, 11:19:51 AM
BTC so been playing on stake for 3 years.
Last Sunday my balance went from 8 k to 10k I got phishing mail and I clicked thinking it was legit bonus as I was nearing level up.


The balance in your wallet is inconsequential to think of making such excuse for that happening to you now. Scammers will send attractive message for you to get you to compromise which you did. I think this is where the issue on your account started, you have compromised your account by clicking on a phishing mail sent to you and that directed your account towards the hackers domain. You are knowledgeable that it was a phishing site but because of the bonus you got tempted to open it instead of verifying from the casino and or report it.

Well I think what you need to do is to reach out to stake and ensure your account is safe going forward. Is a good thing you secured your account further with 2FA.

That is the main problem here,user awareness was not at the desired level,OP got tempted badly to click the bonus link without hovering near the link to see where it was going in reality.We live in a digital world and we hear daily and a lot of times in a day to not click links without verifying them no matter where they came from.It is easy to fall for phishing scams as bankofamerica.com is not the same as b@nkofamerica.com which is an analogy they make a lot of times in cyber security courses I have followed.The only good thing out from this history is OP having enabled 2FA which is almost impossible to by pass no matter how good a hacker or group of hackers can be and I am talking about the app Google Authenticator,not the SMS 2FA which has been spoiled a couple of times.
2096  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Portuguese League - Liga Portugal 2023/24 on: September 01, 2023, 09:34:54 PM
The Portuguese clubs in the Champions League already know their groups:
Group C: Naples, Real Madrid, Braga and Union Berlin
Group D: Benfica, Inter, Salzburg and Real Sociedad
Group H: Barcelona, Porto, Shakhtar Donetsk and Antwerp

Will we see different behavior from these three teams in the next games?


MATCH DAY  4:
01.09. 20:15 Vizela vs Gil Vicente
02.09. 15:30 Casa Pia vs Rio Ave
02.09. 18:00 Famalicão vs Farense
02.09. 18:00 Portimonense vs Estrela Amadora
02.09. 20:30 Benfica vs Vit. Guimarães
03.09. 15:30 Chaves vs Moreirense
03.09. 15:30 Estoril vs Boavista
03.09. 18:00 Porto vs Arouca
03.09. 20:30 Braga vs Sporting
Info: day.month. time (Lisbon time)



If you have ideas, for more information to present, tell me to analyze them. Wink

I think the games are easier to analyze right now,Benfica and Porto should have easy wins since they are playing at home.In the other games despite Braga playing at home I think they will be tired from a tiresome game in Athens where they got qualified for the group phase of the Champions League,great achievement for them but I think they will most probably either lose or draw against Sporting.

In their group of Champions League,looks like a group of hell for them with Napoli and Real Madrid out of their reach and they should aim to get a third place to continue in Europa League.
2097  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: September 01, 2023, 09:18:58 PM
Rough first half for both clubs but i think that Luton could have scored at least one goal from the corner. They were so close a couple of times but just wouldnt go into the net.
Luton finally scored a goal in the premier league after waiting for more than 20years to celebrate scoring in the premier league. They celebrated the goal even though the goal did not mean that they will win the game or even draw the game, they were just excited to score. Mads Andersen's name will go down in the history as the person who scored that goal. West Ham was always expected to win the game, so it is no surprise. They have been unbeaten this season and it is a very good start to the premier league and something for them to celebrate too. They are top on the premier league table with this victory.
Despite the fact that West Ham were the away the team the match, their performance was very impressive. They were the better side in the both halves of the game and the management must be very happy for winning the game and taking home all three points.
It's the first time since the 1999/2000 season that West Ham has won three of their opening four game in the English Premier League while Mads Andersen made him the first Luton player to score a top flight goal since Brian Stein and Mark Pembridge scored in a 20 win over Aston Villa 31 years ago.

The newcomers in the Premier League are clearly suffering with Sheffield and Luton losing their games and they need to change their posture,meaning that they should understand that they are not playing in Championship anymore and that they should change tactics.

On the other hand West Ham is doing pretty well as they are the winners of Europa Conference League which was a great achievement for them last season,they are continuing where they left off and they are doing it in style in this beginning of the Premier League while soon we will see them in the group stages again of Conference League in Europe.
2098  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Is crypto mining still profitable? on: September 01, 2023, 08:31:55 PM
Now is the time to stack in silence and wait. When mining isn’t profitable has historically been the best time to be mining. By the time it’s profitable that means the price has already risen and everybody is fighting to get as much hashrate as possible. By then it’s too late. If you are able, just mine coins and wait until the market comes back to sell.

I strongly agree with this statement.Usually the guys who make a lot of money out of mining are the ones who do so when they mine at a big loss as I have done it personally in 2018-2019 when everybody shut down their miners I kept mine on.The result were that in 2021 I was an extremely happy person,I got against all odds at that time and I was rewarded a couple of years later.For now there is still time meaning that based on if history will repeat itself,the next bull run should be in late 2025 so another couple of years for people to start their mining journey if they want.
2099  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏁🏎️ Sportsbet.io🏁 FORMULA 1 2023 Season🏁🏎️Prediction Pool Discussion Thread on: September 01, 2023, 08:17:37 PM
Actually, Ferrari is very fast in timers here.

Have they boosted their engine at the maximum in their home race with the risk of breaking it or taking a penalty or the next GPS?

probably.

That would not be smart at all but I agree since they have got nothing to lose anyway and in front of their home fans they want something to show them,a victory would be a huge achievement for them.I highly doubt it though as the Honda engine in a track like this full of straights,big straights will absolutely make a difference and I don't think the free practices show the true performances of the cars.For me only the official qualifying tomorrow will show it and in the race anyway we know that Redbull still have the best race pace especially in track like this one.
2100  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Socialtournaments-A way to stop gambling addiction on: September 01, 2023, 06:20:45 PM
Do you think this platform can help people remove addiction, I think it can be a big boost to do so.
Good initiative that will help those who really want help, not the people who want to stop gambling but are not serious about it.

One very good way to beat addiction is to stay occupied and engaged, that way you can forget about the habit that is so difficult to control. The games that can be played without money is good but can be ineffective in a long run because it still exposes the addicted gambler to the same environment that they want to free themselves from putting them at the danger of having a relapse even if they successfully stay the period playing games without using their own money.

Yes it is a good alternative for those people who know what they want and I don't think the risk of going back to playing gambling in a real way if you want to quit as you know these tournaments are there everyday,every week and every month and the monthly prize is a huge one to be shared between the participants being 20.000 EUR as a grand prize.There are side benefits also as you can buy with in account currencies (not using your money) wheel spins and I won 10 EUR yesterday from a ticket of such spin of the wheel.So yeah,this platform offers plenty of activity for people who want to at least reduce their level of addiction.
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