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1081  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: PROOF: BFL used ALL pre-order moneys for development of their Bitcoin Miners! on: July 30, 2013, 12:05:06 PM
Well let's face it, we can either say you got BFLed, or they pulled a BFL on you.
1082  Economy / Speculation / Re: Why the current stagnation around $95? on: July 30, 2013, 12:01:16 PM
Some people have suggested it's due to summer (lots of people taking vacations). Some have argued it's because of MTGOX's problems.

What say you?

Well could be relating to the cycles of the moon.  Or not, just a thought.
1083  Economy / Speculation / Re: Market has peaked, sell off incoming. on: July 30, 2013, 11:57:22 AM
Today we will have low trading volume, it will be back and forth. Saturday a big sell off is coming, not sure where it will end up. The market will recover into a small up-trend Sunday and Monday but we might be looking at another long-climb back to where we are now. It could take weeks.

That's good.  Knowing that in advance you should make a killing.  Congrats.
1084  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Can someone say arbitrage? on: July 30, 2013, 11:54:36 AM
Someone asked this similar question here recently:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=263909.msg2831541#msg2831541
Many of the exchanges are poor quality is part of it.
1085  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Thailand Bans Bitcoin on: July 30, 2013, 11:49:45 AM
Well no big loss I guess.  BTC could actually be their official currency one day in the future.
1086  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: bitcoin.co.th trading suspended on: July 30, 2013, 11:17:16 AM
Somehow I followed a press release thread that got moved here?  It wasn't about bitcoin.co.th or whatever.
1087  Economy / Long-term offers / Re: Earn 15% every month from your deposit - BitGlory.com on: July 30, 2013, 10:35:52 AM
Can we see an example of some of your work, what you might do to earn this money?
1088  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: CampBX - How safe is it? Any troubled past? on: July 30, 2013, 10:19:41 AM
Is this site pretty much finished now?  I can't find the official thread.
1089  Economy / Securities / Re: Best Investment? on: July 30, 2013, 10:10:16 AM


Did AM have any product at their IPO?

Asking what the number of shares has to with anything is no different than asking what the price of each share has to with anything. You may as well be asking why TAT.AM is 100 times cheaper than AM-PT. The answer is obvious.



you have to understand that AM took totally unique opportunity which won't repeat itself. You think that Active Mining will make hole in the world with some Avalon chips? I don't think so...

There's nothing to stop the opportunity repeating. Also, if you think people are investing in ActM because they have a few Avalon chips, as opposed to them developing their own chips, then you don't know what you are talking about. Investors will jump at the chance to get in on the "next ASICMminer" early, and this has been proven with ActM.

Not only will ActM repeat AM's success, but I'm betting Labcoin and BTC Garden will as well.

Also, Active Mining has already doubled in price since I made my initial post here, proving that ActM was a far better investment than AM at the time.

Active Mining can seem like a good opportunity, I would like to see some test units get out.  AsicMiner shares have started to stagnate, and their price will depend a lot of how ActM delivers.
1090  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Ripple Giveaway! on: July 30, 2013, 10:04:06 AM
I haven't heard anything about Ripple lately either.  When was the last date someone received a giveaway?
1091  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin future - security options on: July 30, 2013, 10:02:42 AM
After comparing all the different wallet choices I think the best bet is to go with blockchain.info with watch only (paper) addresses. This way thieves would have to physically break in and demand my private keys for my paper wallet. But I've been thinking about this and this isn't really ideal. What if in the future everyone is doing this and we all have paper wallets kicking about the place? What do we do:

1) Have safe deposit boxes, this will cost us around £300 a year. This would prevent coercion.
2) Trust banks to keep our keys safe? This scenario worries me but I don't know why.
3) Hide it, secure it better somehow. Still not going to stop someone.

Someone could break in and steal my money this way right now. But the bank will refund payments, but not with BTC.

A brainwallet or semi-brainwallet can work, and you can even have part of it written down and remember the rest.
1092  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Coinbase vs BitcoinQT for wallet? on: July 30, 2013, 09:59:09 AM
I use a lite wallet, electrum, for regular small transaction, and Armory for cold storage.  Between those two I would tend to trust BitcoinQT over an online wallet.
1093  Economy / Speculation / Re: Ding Dong! The Bubble-burst is done! $90-95 is the new normal on: July 30, 2013, 09:56:39 AM
I am calling the 2013 bubble-burst completed. This is based upon the observation that the 2013 bubble was structurally more similar to the August 2012 event than the 2011 one.

March 28 to April 1st - pre-2013 peak. Stability in low 90s.
April 18/19 - same during period of large oscillations.
July 19-23 ongoing - more stability in the 90s.

I also believe that the reward halving at the end of Nov 2012 was the key driver in the appreciation of the BTC fxrate to a new level. Markets always discount known data with a future effect. So for four years the market lived with the information that the 21 million cap probably would be effective. The reward halving proved that it will be effective. This is an important distinction, and a successful reward halving paradigm is now properly priced in.

The repricing likely coincided with large acquisitions (such as the Winklevoss holding being accumulated), coupled with news-frenzy and feedback from the telegenic but BTC-irrelevant Cypriot bank crisis, likely caused over-compensation, so the fxrate ran 150% higher than the fundamentals warranted.

That 150% surge has now dissipated.

Any takers on this reading?








This sounds good to me.  What would you guess the peak over the next 6-8 months?
1094  Economy / Securities / Re: [ActiveMining] The Official Active Mining Discussion Thread on: July 30, 2013, 09:55:00 AM
What's the surge in this stock, could it be worth as much as AsicMiner eventually?
1095  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Are The MTGox and BitStamp Prices Different on: July 30, 2013, 09:50:30 AM
One exchange will be easier to get money into that another.  When the price difference is big that means arbitrage is difficult- you know many would like to take advantage of the easy money.  Many exchanges have been unreliable recently.
1096  Economy / Gambling / Re: Predictious - Prediction Market Launching this Afternoon on: July 30, 2013, 09:21:29 AM
Looks like fun. I forgot how much I miss InTrade. Sort of like peering at society's subconscious mind. Thanks for starting this.

That's what i thought also.  They have an official thread now:  https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=264443.0
This one was just to announce the launch I think.  I made a thread for posting your picks also.
1097  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: Just-Dice.com : Play or Invest : 1% House Edge : Banter++ on: July 30, 2013, 08:39:46 AM
40 Million Bets Bonus!

Investors are scrambling to put their bitcents together to offer a prize for the 40 millionth bet.

16:39:38 (1) <dooglus>  http://blockchain.info/address/15eUfpGRrwURexYfaLgyBhUuvAdzcKNeiE?filter=2#<-- collecting for 40m bet bonus - betid closest to 40m of 0.0001 or more gets the pot


Get your cents in now and make it a prize worth having!!

0.3 btc so far! Let's make this pot grow!!!

Deb

Oh, and thanks to Dopefish for getting this going!

17:02:52 (9) <Dopefish> I got 40000001
17:02:58 (57018) <SoggyLettuce> 39999999



Congrats to Dopefish (who somewhat suspiciously suggested the promo Wink) and SoggyLettuce who split the prize.

Nice going guys.  Was the prize 0.3 BTC or did it get higher by then?
1098  Economy / Gambling / Re: BitArena | Online Bitcoin Arena | Season 1 Contest 1 BTC prize pool! on: July 29, 2013, 07:21:15 PM
House rake seems very high on this.  It's a player versus player game so the house takes no real risk kinda like Peerbet.  Peerbet takes no rake.
1099  Economy / Securities / Re: [BTC-TC] Deprived Mining Speculation (DMS) on: July 28, 2013, 09:06:08 AM
No sales of PURCHASE today, so no management fee (200 MINING+SELLING were bought back so number outstanding dropped by 200).

PURCHASE selling price    0.03379
PURCHASE buy-back price    0.03154

Not sure if this was already covered, but does a MINING+SELLING get bought back everytime it can be done for less than the PURCHASE buy-back, or some other way?
1100  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: WTF!!! bitcoinwatch.com hacked? on: July 28, 2013, 08:59:11 AM
bitcoinwatch.com and bitcoincharts.com are run by the same company - K.K. Tibanne (same as MtGox)

Presumably they just wanted to get people onto bitcoincharts - I had to update my google spreadsheet to pull BTCUSD data from a different place...

Will

Does that mean they're as reliable as MtGox as well?
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