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441  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: It is 2020 time for a new diff thread. on: July 18, 2020, 02:04:59 AM
I thought China was 1-2c kWh during these months of the rainy season (if the miners or the power or the Inet is not wiped out by floods in whatever/whichever the downstream province you may be storing your china ASICs at. Smiley Or is the above 3.3c kWh above best deal in USA/Canada the best in those countries you can pull off. I still think MASSIVE amounts of miners are mining for free on hydropower with electric utility handshake deals...the utils have electric in the rainy season they can't fully use and Bitmain/Innsilicoin/etc have miners..thus 'handshake deal' via rainy season. Utility supplies electric and Bitmain or whoever supplies ASIC equipment of whatever flavor and split the coins at the end of the month 50/50 till the rainy season is over in I think 2 months. win/win it seems..if indeed the 1-2c kWh in China is more or less correct with and/or alongside the 50/50 split arrangement above. Anyway ....like I know anything..but have heard the above as rumors off/on for last few years.

Brad
442  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 14, 2020, 02:09:56 AM
So I have tried a few times to download the Coinbase app needed to sign up for the Coinbase debit card. Each time I get "This is not supported in your country".

I use a VPN to set my IP in the US so is it not supported in the US? Or is it somehow detecting that I'm really in Panama?

Also, I finally got around to filing my extortion papers for the IRS.

Getting married helped keep me from needing to pay any taxes.

Land of the free...where you have to file your taxes even if you haven't stepped foot in the country all year.

You could renounce your citizenship, but you may well be anticipating getting some income such as social security or maybe you are receiving some other pension, which makes it a BIGGER trade off to renounce.

I am not saying that I agree with world-wide income taxation, and surely there are trade-offs with any system whether we are referring to taxation or other matters of figuring out if you get benefits or will get benefits in the future.   Sure, you likely subscribe to one of those libertarian views, and you have already admitted to it, and sure I have issues with libertarians trying to spin matters with out accounting for how to deal with various public goods, but you surely did not start your propounding of libertarian ideas in your teenage years, so you have some issues with your having had made too many USA connections in terms of either prior employment or your desires to return to the USA or to travel around the world with a USA passport causing you to be unwilling to renounce your citizenship.. because it will likely cost you more than what you are willing to admit to because you want to spin the taxation matter in one direction (sure we all have concerns about taxation how their spent and from whom they are collected).


To renounce my citizenship would require paying taxes on the total value of all of my bitcoin holdings as if I sold them the day I renounced. The thought of the amount of brown skinned people in far off lands who's skin will be burned off using my money does not sit well with me.

My thought is that the US will collapse in the next few years so it is not necessary to renounce my citizenship. US citizenship will cease to exist. Then I can just not sign onto the America 2 (the electric boogaloo) citizenship.

But not to worry. I filed this year so when you leave your house in the morning there will be roads.


I'm not sure but you could get dual citizenship..it would not help the taxes problem...but would maybe be an alternative if you are going to live overseas as far as the state

taxes and/or medical issues of the future being paid for...(not much but all that comes to mind) Sad I'm also not sure if you MARRY someone overseas and eventually get

their citizenship under that plan applies...but you probably would just have dual citizenship by default..it is not US citizenship just stops being so...

Probably, you can simply make a LLC or some such..put everyone under that and do the whole corporate tax shift that way..just have it pay you a certain amount each

year and just pay cap gains on that? is that how that works...?  All I know for sure is a LOT of ex-military in the USA who have foreign brides get socialized medicine via

that route rather than the VA also cheaper to retire in the wife's home country too boot.....anyway, not like I'm gonna find a wife/country/etc that would accept my likes

anyway.....for what it is worth? Anyone with more clarification of the above feel free.

Brad
443  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 12, 2020, 07:16:08 PM
To do a regression on bitcoin's long term trend, get rid of the manic price actions (the stuff in blue). Do a regression on the red data. You get the yellow line. Its equation is price = 10^(.09242*sqrt(d)-1.5011) where d is the days elapsed since September 11, 2010



 I project a brief top between $150k and $200k around late 2021, followed by a grinding bear market reverting eventually to the base trend.

Well, there are 4128 days between September 11 2010 and December 30 2021.
Putting this into formula gives the price of $27342 , nowhere close to 150-200K
Details:
sqrt of 4128 is about 64.25, multiplication by 0.09242 gives about 5.938, which after subtracting 1.5011 results in 4.43684, which is your exponent.
10^4.43684 is 27342

maybe, adjust the number you are subtracting?
Or, your order of operations is written incorrectly (multiplication precedes addition or subtraction)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Order_of_operations


I'm guessing that formula is a quantitative projection of the baseline, and the blowoff top number given (150k) is more of heuristic estimation according to historic baseline-peak ratios

You had me at 'guessing' ...sometimes I think I'd be better off just flipping a coin..that way at least I could blame 'chance' on the timing...

now back to our regularly scheduled confusion. Smiley
444  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 10, 2020, 10:50:55 PM

Church should be a dirty word in the US.....


It is. Grin

If you keep up with that blasphemous heresy, the almighty invisible sky fairy will smite you
before you can even get on your knees and beg forgiveness for your abominable pagan sin....

Pagan...be redeemed on this page Smiley

https://www.spaghettimonster.org/ Church of the Flying Spaghetti Monster!

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flying_Spaghetti_Monster#/media/File:Touched_by_His_Noodly_Appendage_HD.jpg



'Invisible Sky Fairy' ...please...that is so 'improbable' as to be laughable! Smiley

445  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: TikTok PUMPS Dogecoin Cryptocurrency | ĐOGE going to $1?!!! on: July 10, 2020, 10:45:16 PM

well..that was interesting...

now it is down 21.19%...  so it goes

link:

https://www.coinmarketcap.com/currencies/dogecoin/

"tis" a skill I have, always being at the wrong side of any 'action' ...be it btc/crypto/witty lines/or pretty girls... Sad

brad
446  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][LSK] Lisk | Blockchain Application Platform for JavaScript Developers on: July 09, 2020, 09:27:08 PM
@Searing I honestly don't think it will change the way delegates work, keep in mind that there are people making several million every year and from the beginning, it has always been a "mafia" in which they do not look at each other well, I can assure you that I saw it many times from the beginning of the project.

That was what I was afraid of...if they change the delegate system everyone that is a delegate would be wise to sell out ASAP..thus can't reform or a flood of LISK

on exchanges as a result. The likely current system of delegates is permanent as a result. I myself just did what everyone else has done and just voted for the top 101

delegates as they are the ones that at least potentially payout...not like I can babysit it every day on the drama of delegate shuffling.

Sad. The project itself does not seem to be doing much IMHO either, kinda spinning their wheels. So it is a cluster...IMHO. Sad

Brad






447  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] Litecoin - a lite version of Bitcoin. Launched! on: July 09, 2020, 09:21:55 PM
Below is an unsettling article I agree with today at 7/9/2020.

Pretty much nails what is going on with LTC depressing though it may be.

But, IMHO, they need to step it up..merge with Cardano or other coins...or something.

Mimblewimble progress is 'snail-like', was originally Fall 2019...we will be lucky to see something by Fall of 2021.

Anyway, I too wonder why I'm in HODL mode sometimes...Stuff has to change IMHO.

https://cointelegraph.com/news/if-crypto-traders-abandoned-litecoin-why-are-investors-hoarding-ltc

brad
448  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Band-aid solution for the bitcoin.org dilemma? on: July 08, 2020, 10:37:08 PM
in my experience, the wayback machine after a few years only goes down about 7 or 8 threads and hates forums.. I tried to look at knc miners forum in that manner

and the last thing they archived was just the title of messages...people assume it takes everything but not really. was pretty frustrating only thing you could get was

announcements and titles and the thing was still huge...bitcointalk would overwhelm the bot..just saying...when I looked into archiving some forums for knc and also for

worldgroup bbs ...they stopped web paging on the title did not archive posts.

hopefully, it has changed in the last 2 years

was my experience anyway

brad


Well, the bitcoin.org is just a static website(and definitely not a forum) anyway, so this problem is already out of the topic. In entirety, the bitcoin.org doesn't have that much pages anyway, as most(probably 90%+) of it's pages are just different language translated versions of the original English version.

OK..I thought you meant the www.bitcointalk.org web site as well...which the WayBack Machine could definitely not handle...sorry about that..pet peeve of not being able to get the sites above I wanted to back up....so mis-read. Sad
449  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Band-aid solution for the bitcoin.org dilemma? on: July 08, 2020, 06:27:47 AM
Err, but what would this solve though? Doesn't look like a band-aid solution for anything. The Bitcoin.org domain is mostly what's significant, not necessarily the content.

I guess it could be a good thing to keep a backup and do this in case something goes wrong with the current bitcoin.org website? Like, is there any need right now to copy the stuff to the bitcointalk.org domain?

Probably not necessary. Thankfully, we have the Wayback Machine: https://web.archive.org/web/20200630141011/https://bitcoin.org/en/


in my experience, the wayback machine after a few years only goes down about 7 or 8 threads and hates forums.. I tried to look at knc miners forum in that manner

and the last thing they archived was just the title of messages...people assume it takes everything but not really. was pretty frustrating only thing you could get was

announcements and titles and the thing was still huge...bitcointalk would overwhelm the bot..just saying...when I looked into archiving some forums for knc and also for

worldgroup bbs ...they stopped web paging on the title did not archive posts.

hopefully, it has changed in the last 2 years

was my experience anyway

brad
450  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][LSK] Lisk | Blockchain Application Platform for JavaScript Developers on: July 07, 2020, 07:36:27 PM
wat? Goddamned Elite cartel is going to sh*t?
I never thought that I'd live to see this! Cheesy

I'm still utterly befuddled on how this 'grouping of delegates' to improve? replace such actually works as a better replacement

(assuming i even have that right and this is just an attempt to fix such above)

use small words...I'm completely lost on delegates and just did the 101 tweak as confused as hell Sad

brad
451  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Craig Steven Wright is a liar and a fraud - Tulip Trust addresses signed message on: July 07, 2020, 07:33:06 PM
he asked for default judgement in his favour that CSW/DAVE were bitcoins creator

Again, they can ask for anything, doesn't mean they're going to get it.  Ira could ask for half the coins in the genesis block, which is impossible, so why aren't you having a shit-fit about that too?  Maybe, instead of just blindly asking "what if" and letting your imagination run wild without a hint of limitation or reason, just try considering what's actually practical for once.

And, since you seem adamant that any utterance of common sense in opposition to your total lack thereof isn't permitted or justified unless there's some quoting of a legal document from the cases, I give you the following.  The courts have expressed zero interest in validating any claims that either party were responsible for Bitcoin's creation, as has already been confirmed to you by the documents you claim to have read:

First, the Court is not required to decide, and does not decide, whether Defendant Dr. Craig Wright is Satoshi Nakamoto, the inventor of the Bitcoin cybercurrency.

For someone to interpret that as a likelihood that a judge is going to validate faketoshi's claims would suggest they aren't fond of critical thinking and have a flair for the dramatic.

I tried explaining to franky earlier that a "default judgment" does not mean that the judge ruled Craig and/or Dave is Satoshi, but he glossed right over it.

https://www.law.cornell.edu/wex/default_judgment
Quote
Default judgments arise in circumstances whereby one party to a suit has failed to perform a court-ordered action, and subsequently that failure has not only prevented the issue from being presented before the court but also results in the court settling the legal dispute in favor of the compliant party. For example, when a defendant is summoned to appear before the court in a case brought by a plaintiff, but fails to respond to the court's legal order, the judge can rule for default judgment and thereby decide the case in the plaintiff's favor.

I think he needs to go back and do some more Research™.

Damn...hard for the court not to infer that if CW gives all the BTC the Klieman estate says they are entitled too..... or do i have this wrong?

452  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Craig Steven Wright is a liar and a fraud - Tulip Trust addresses signed message on: July 06, 2020, 08:36:40 AM

Craig Wright options 1 and 2.

1) If Craig Wright 'loses' the case with the Kleiman Estate and is forced by the court to pay. (even though can't because NOT Satoshi) he will

use this to claim this proves he 'is' Satoshi. Sad

2) If Craig Wright 'wins' the case with the Klieman Estate and is NOT forced by the court to pay. (even though again he could not, because he is NOT

Satoshi) he will claim that this proves he 'is' Satoshi. Sad

So no matter what, this 'idiot' is never going to go away unless the 'real' Satoshi signs and address and proves he is the 'real deal'...man I'd love to

see Craig Wright 'explain' his way out of that!

But until then...this guy will continue to be around in all his 'scummy' glory. Sad

453  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 06, 2020, 08:29:32 AM
OT: So anyone wanna bet on how long until #MaxwellDidntKillHerself becomes the next meme?

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/ghislaine-maxwell-knows-everything-and-will-be-naming-names-former-epstein-associate-says

I don't know if this is fake news but what a coincidence... Roll Eyes

Ghislaine Maxwell has tested positive for COVID-19 in New Hampshire jail, DOJ reports.

Quote
An official report from the United States Department of Justice indicates that socialite and alleged Jeffrey Epstein co-conspirator Ghislaine Maxwell has tested positive for novel coronavirus (COVID-19) in New Hampshire while awaiting extradition to New York.
“Once she was in custody and began to relax, officials noticed that she was displaying symptoms related to coronavirus including watery eyes, cough, and mucus. She stood to be tested regardless of symptoms while in custody, but her symptoms and the profile of this particular case caused local officials to speed up the testing practice,” a release from the US Department of Justice stated.

“It looks really bad,” one New Hampshire official told The Brown Valley Observer. “Her symptoms seem advanced at this point and ultimately she will probably end up requiring a ventilator, more likely sooner than later.”



The catch is ....naming names true or false is her only angle, unless she wants to spend the rest of her life in jail...just saying...has to be more to it than her word....or it is all moot.

454  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 30, 2020, 05:29:17 PM
When any high profile nutjob leaves the crypto space there always seems to be another in line to take the limelight...
https://cointelegraph.com/news/max-keiser-us-hash-rate-war-with-iran-can-send-bitcoin-price-to-500k
Quote
“So this is God looking at us through the protocol and trying to figure out, ‘How do we fix this human species because they’ve gone way off track due to central banking?’”


At least this one is bullish on BTC. $500,000 per coin, ahhhhh **daydreams**



With my HODL/Hoard...I'd be 'such an ass' at those prices...man.....I'd be the happiest prick on the planet...(hey money changes you big money would likely

would magnify my prissy personality to epic heights of pettiness) ....lol I wish it would do 1/2 of the above ....( i just wet myself a little bit from sheer happiness

re-reading above price expectation) dare to dream Smiley
455  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 30, 2020, 03:37:08 AM
Hong Kong national security law is ready to rock n roll.


#Bitcoin Eternal Range
https://twitter.com/Cryptanzee/status/1277163427643850752

Haha good one.
Yup. If you haven't gotten the fuck out of HK then it's too late. I'm glad I didn't live there, complicated place.

Well it is good to see the United Kingdom 'man up' and do the right thing...if China is gonna renege on the 1997 Hong Kong treaty...well then it is only

fair that they get a U.K. passport if they want to leave. As to the USA we have like 18,000 translators from the Afgan/Irag war that were promised relocation and

have waited years..and of course how the Trump Administration treated the Kurds this last year and left them in the lurch. At least the U.K. held to its 1997 agreement

even though hell is gonna pay by China for their actions. I remember a day when the USA's word had such weight, now not so much. Sad

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-52842303



456  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][LSK] Lisk | Blockchain Application Platform for JavaScript Developers on: June 22, 2020, 09:09:51 PM
@Searing I honestly don't think it will change the way delegates work, keep in mind that there are people making several million every year and from the beginning it has always been a "mafia" in which they do not look at each other well, I can assure you that I saw it many times from the beginning of the project.

Yeah..what I also expected...was hoping to be told otherwise....waiting for a pump out of this BTC/Crypto/Altcoin/Siacoin/LISK downturn of FUD ....and dump if/when my BTC maybe

does go over 12k or some such and drags the rest of the altcoins along.

If that does NOT happen I will have much more to worry about with my BTC/Altcoins/Crypo Hoard then the amount of LISK I still amd in HODL on Sad

later

Brad
457  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] Official ASIC Thread of Epic SC200 blake2b/blake2b-sia.(SC) Miner. Paypal! on: June 22, 2020, 09:06:39 PM
Interesting machine
How big is the first batch? And how many are planned to be produced after the first one?


Not sure yet. They said they will 'limit' the 1st batch to me anyway and they will not 'self-mine' themselves either. Said they are in this for the long term on the Siacoin Network

and Siacoin project. As always, check your kWh electric use and such to figure your ROI...

I will have more info as it arrives, as you can imagine, this is their first opening week and they are guite slammed with stuff to do, from what I've been told

later

Brad

458  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][LSK] Lisk | Blockchain Application Platform for JavaScript Developers on: June 22, 2020, 12:12:02 AM


Invite Invalid Sad



try this - https://discord.com/invite/7EKWJ7b


PS: invitation from the official site LISK




nope still don't work Smiley mysterious Smiley

edit: you have to be logged into Discord before hitting 'accept' it seems...so now it works FYI. Smiley

459  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] Sia - Decentralized Storage on: June 22, 2020, 12:10:25 AM


Link to a new Siacoin ASIC to hit the world, they take PayPal...do your elec/purchase/etc ROI calculations

anyway here is the link to the thread:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5256787.msg54650510#msg54650510
460  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] Official ASIC Thread of Epic SC200 blake2b/blake2b-sia.(SC) Miner. Paypal! on: June 21, 2020, 01:16:11 AM

Thanks should be fixed on the 1st  Page of this Thread now. Here it is again.

https://www.epicblockchain.io/

Brad
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