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Question: Bitcoin Forecast: What do you expect BTC/USD prices to do in the next 4 weeks?
Up
Down
Same as now
I don't know

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Author Topic: Bitcoin Forecast, Bitcoin Speculation & Bitcoin Technical Analysis. Up or DOWN?  (Read 504443 times)
Mushoz
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December 19, 2011, 12:27:14 PM
 #1741

All downward trendlines have been broken when we bounced off almost perfectly of the upward trendline. Prepare for more upside!

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proudhon
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December 19, 2011, 12:28:10 PM
 #1742

All downward trendlines have been broken when we bounced off almost perfectly of the upward trendline. Prepare for more upside!

Yes, apparently you're not the only one to notice that.
molecular
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December 19, 2011, 12:47:13 PM
 #1743

We _will_ see price movements the coming days. The question is, is whether it's going to be up or down. Personally, as I've explaining before, I believe there's a strong chance of it going up =)

Question answered, Mushoz right, indeedausername wrong. ^^

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dancupid
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December 19, 2011, 02:45:12 PM
 #1744

You bulls are about to be disappointed!  We won't see any price movement until volume picks up in January.  Right now a lot of people are taking a break from speculation.

All you need is a computer (and maybe a bot) - it's not as if people go back to their families and discover they have no internet access. There is no holiday season on the internet.

This is not borne out by the record low volumes on bitcoincharts.

100K+btc already  today - it certainly made my Christmas happier
ineededausername
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December 19, 2011, 02:46:42 PM
 #1745

We _will_ see price movements the coming days. The question is, is whether it's going to be up or down. Personally, as I've explaining before, I believe there's a strong chance of it going up =)

Question answered, Mushoz right, indeedausername wrong. ^^


A pleasant surprise Smiley
Gift from Santa Manipulator lol

(BFL)^2 < 0
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December 19, 2011, 02:47:37 PM
 #1746

Thank you Santa Manipulator! Grin
S3052
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December 19, 2011, 06:41:04 PM
 #1747

All downward trendlines have been broken when we bounced off almost perfectly of the upward trendline. Prepare for more upside!

correct. As we expressed many times in the subscriber section, the reversal from the 2 $ is very strong and can lead to mid term upside to 13.5 $ (38.2% retrace), 17 $ (50% retrace) and 20.6 $ (61.8% retrace).

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

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Hawkix
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December 19, 2011, 06:58:08 PM
 #1748

All downward trendlines have been broken when we bounced off almost perfectly of the upward trendline. Prepare for more upside!

correct. As we expressed many times in the subscriber section, the reversal from the 2 $ is very strong and can lead to mid term upside to 13.5 $ (38.2% retrace), 17 $ (50% retrace) and 20.6 $ (61.8% retrace).

For the sake of Bitcoin, I just hope it will not happen. I would prefer steady, slow, continual rise, like 0.1% per day. What we really do not need is another fake bubble. We need time to build services and convince merchant to start using our PRECIOUS BITS.

So, please, do not hurry into rally!



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istar
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December 19, 2011, 07:34:13 PM
 #1749

Another bubble and people would just laugh, its still to early...

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December 19, 2011, 08:26:09 PM
 #1750

All downward trendlines have been broken when we bounced off almost perfectly of the upward trendline. Prepare for more upside!

correct. As we expressed many times in the subscriber section, the reversal from the 2 $ is very strong and can lead to mid term upside to 13.5 $ (38.2% retrace), 17 $ (50% retrace) and 20.6 $ (61.8% retrace).

For the sake of Bitcoin, I just hope it will not happen. I would prefer steady, slow, continual rise, like 0.1% per day. What we really do not need is another fake bubble. We need time to build services and convince merchant to start using our PRECIOUS BITS.

So, please, do not hurry into rally!




As long as the market is the market, it will not listen to wishes of individuals. Markets are driven by psychology of market participants.
People also wish for slow, 5-10% appreciation of stocks every year for decades, but it does not happen very often. There are always mini bubbles, medium bubbles and big bubbles on the way.

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

http://twitter.com/BitcoinAnalyst

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FlipPro
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December 19, 2011, 08:49:41 PM
 #1751

All downward trendlines have been broken when we bounced off almost perfectly of the upward trendline. Prepare for more upside!

correct. As we expressed many times in the subscriber section, the reversal from the 2 $ is very strong and can lead to mid term upside to 13.5 $ (38.2% retrace), 17 $ (50% retrace) and 20.6 $ (61.8% retrace).

For the sake of Bitcoin, I just hope it will not happen. I would prefer steady, slow, continual rise, like 0.1% per day. What we really do not need is another fake bubble. We need time to build services and convince merchant to start using our PRECIOUS BITS.

So, please, do not hurry into rally!




As long as the market is the market, it will not listen to wishes of individuals. Markets are driven by psychology of market participants.
People also wish for slow, 5-10% appreciation of stocks every year for decades, but it does not happen very often. There are always mini bubbles, medium bubbles and big bubbles on the way.

Excellent point S3052. I really enjoy your analysis, thanks for the work that you do.

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molecular
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December 20, 2011, 12:04:24 AM
 #1752

Another bubble and people would just laugh, its still to early...


The second bubble would be different psychologically. After all, bitcoin has survived the first bubble. While that was deflating, a lot of people assumed it would burst bitcoin out of existence. On round 2, most people will probably start speculating at what point the reversal will be and thus the bubble probably wont deflate as far as the first one. It might not even be called a bubble in the end, for exactly that reason.

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netrin
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December 20, 2011, 01:36:05 AM
 #1753

The fourth wave correction will likely be flat in the triple digits.

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proudhon
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December 20, 2011, 04:18:36 AM
 #1754

The fourth wave correction will likely be flat in the triple digits.

I'm not sure I know what that means.
ineededausername
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December 20, 2011, 04:19:05 AM
 #1755

The fourth wave correction will likely be flat in the triple digits.

I'm not sure I know what that means.

proudhon, where do you think bitcoin price will be on Jan 1 2012?

(BFL)^2 < 0
netrin
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December 20, 2011, 05:33:03 AM
 #1756

The fourth wave correction will likely be flat in the triple digits.

I'm not sure I know what that means.



Notice November 2010 (ii) was sharp down, while March 2011 (iv) was sideways? That's typical. Just as June-December has been fairly sharp (II zig-zag(s)), IV a year or so from now will likely be sideways, and well over June's $32 high.

Greenlandic tupilak. Hand carved, traditional cursed bone figures. Sorry, polar bear, walrus and human remains not available for export.
S3052
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December 23, 2011, 08:06:36 AM
 #1757

here is a new chart, comparing bitcoins vs. Gold.
http://www.bitcoinbullbear.com/index.html

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

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slush
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December 23, 2011, 08:25:23 AM
 #1758

Thank you for cool graph, actually I was looking for something like this some time ago. Can you reveal your source for price quotes, please? I'm thinking to add BTC/gold price to Sierrachart as a little hack (downloading btc/usd and gold/usd prices and recombining it to btc/gold graph on the fly), but I didn't find any downloadable quotes for gold. Kitco provides only graphs for free.

S3052
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December 23, 2011, 08:28:51 AM
 #1759

Thank you for cool graph, actually I was looking for something like this some time ago. Can you reveal your source for price quotes, please? I'm thinking to add BTC/gold price to Sierrachart as a little hack (downloading btc/usd and gold/usd prices and recombining it to btc/gold graph on the fly), but I didn't find any downloadable quotes for gold. Kitco provides only graphs for free.

thanks slush.
Unfortunately, I also do not know how to do this automatically, since I created the chart manually (based on monthly prices).

A while ago, I downloaded some data from yahoo.finance

did you try this yet?

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

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mcorlett
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December 26, 2011, 01:11:57 AM
 #1760

Thank you for cool graph, actually I was looking for something like this some time ago. Can you reveal your source for price quotes, please? I'm thinking to add BTC/gold price to Sierrachart as a little hack (downloading btc/usd and gold/usd prices and recombining it to btc/gold graph on the fly), but I didn't find any downloadable quotes for gold. Kitco provides only graphs for free.
Have a look at this I wrote for a bounty contest: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=55492.msg660506#msg660506

It fetches the data from http://drayah.no.de/metals/latest (JSON) and http://services.packetizer.com/spotprices/?f=xml (XML).

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