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Question: Bitcoin Forecast: What do you expect BTC/USD prices to do in the next 4 weeks?
Up
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I don't know

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Author Topic: Bitcoin Forecast, Bitcoin Speculation & Bitcoin Technical Analysis. Up or DOWN?  (Read 504096 times)
zvs
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February 19, 2012, 05:12:49 PM
 #1961

Here is a new bitcoin mid term chart analysis and forecast http://blog.bitcoinwatch.com/

And also, for new people interested (i) to receive bitcoin price forecasts and (ii) trading advice and training:

You can get a -40% trial offer for 3 BTC if you subscribe until Feb 22:
http://bit.ly/qJDsYw





Why would you even charge a fee?   More sheeple in the herd = easier to manipulate to maximum profit.

People have to buy their drugs at some point, though.... and it takes a lot more bitcoins than it used to.

Dacentec, best deals for US dedicated servers. They regularly restock $20-$25 Opterons with 8-16GB RAM & 2x1-2TB HDD's (ofc, usually lots of other good stuff to choose from).  I did a Serverbear benchmark of one of my $20/mo Opteron (June last year), it's here.  Have had about a half dozen different servers with Dacentec, & none have failed to sustain at least 40MB/s (burst higher). My favorite is a 12-month rent-to-own ZT Systems 2XL5520 16GB 2x2TB SATA for $40/month (got lucky with the 'off-brand', haven't seen a RTO 2xL5520 for under $50/mo since -- at least for monthly contracts).  wholesaleinternet.com has some ancient 2-core intel CPUs @ $10/mo sometimes (I got an Intel Core 2 6300 @ 1.86GHz, with a 250GB HDD with 46000 hours on it, LOL. $20 @ Dacentec is much better, if you can grab one). joesdatacenter.com (same location as Wholesale Internet) also occasionally has specials (or if you don't want to wait, it has an AMD Opteron 170 @ $16/mo).
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February 19, 2012, 05:43:00 PM
 #1962

We charge a fee because we work hard on a daily basis and often including the weekend to provide state-of-the art technical analysis. Our purpose is to equip people interested in bitcoin with tools to be on the right side of the market more often than on the wrong side.

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

http://twitter.com/BitcoinAnalyst

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zvs
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February 19, 2012, 06:12:49 PM
 #1963

We charge a fee because we work hard on a daily basis and often including the weekend to provide state-of-the art technical analysis. Our purpose is to equip people interested in bitcoin with tools to be on the right side of the market more often than on the wrong side.

Technical analysis that doesn't hold any meaning really in regards to bitcoins.  Though I will concede that you must have enough followers by now that you're able to sell or buy some stash before issuing your next newsletter, w/ whatever technical indicators best suit your intended position.

But if you want to speak of it as a stock, primary resistance levels would be in the 3.9-4.2 range, many times stronger than any "resistance" in the ~$4.70 area.

Too much emphasis on just a few indicators.

I'm just waiting for a press release about how there are lots of drugs for sale on silk road.

Oh, I guess I should mention that I took a position at ~$4.21-$4.22 several hours ago.

Dacentec, best deals for US dedicated servers. They regularly restock $20-$25 Opterons with 8-16GB RAM & 2x1-2TB HDD's (ofc, usually lots of other good stuff to choose from).  I did a Serverbear benchmark of one of my $20/mo Opteron (June last year), it's here.  Have had about a half dozen different servers with Dacentec, & none have failed to sustain at least 40MB/s (burst higher). My favorite is a 12-month rent-to-own ZT Systems 2XL5520 16GB 2x2TB SATA for $40/month (got lucky with the 'off-brand', haven't seen a RTO 2xL5520 for under $50/mo since -- at least for monthly contracts).  wholesaleinternet.com has some ancient 2-core intel CPUs @ $10/mo sometimes (I got an Intel Core 2 6300 @ 1.86GHz, with a 250GB HDD with 46000 hours on it, LOL. $20 @ Dacentec is much better, if you can grab one). joesdatacenter.com (same location as Wholesale Internet) also occasionally has specials (or if you don't want to wait, it has an AMD Opteron 170 @ $16/mo).
maxll
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February 19, 2012, 07:33:34 PM
 #1964

Where is your 3.5 nao megasuper12yearstrader?


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more than a coin
S3052
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February 19, 2012, 09:07:48 PM
 #1965

The forecast we issued today and yesterday to subscribers is fully on track.

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

http://twitter.com/BitcoinAnalyst

Subscribe here
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February 19, 2012, 09:18:26 PM
 #1966

The forecast we issued today and yesterday to subscribers is fully on track.

There wasn't a private forecast today for subscribers, correct?

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February 19, 2012, 09:21:36 PM
 #1967

The forecast we issued today and yesterday to subscribers is fully on track.

There wasn't a private forecast today for subscribers, correct?

There was one on his site. =/

S3052, I think you should email subscribers when you update your site/twitter.

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February 19, 2012, 09:24:38 PM
 #1968

I meant the two updates to subscribers from Feb 18. Sorry for the confusion.

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

http://twitter.com/BitcoinAnalyst

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maxll
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February 19, 2012, 10:02:21 PM
 #1969

It is all about 18feb-secret-charts.


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sturle
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February 21, 2012, 11:36:58 AM
 #1970

There are some bots on mtgox continously executing microtrades (often less than 0.01 BTC).  Either buying or selling to make sure last price is either to the upside or to the downside of spread.  Those may manipulate the charts, depending on how you make them.  Will your charts be influenced by such bots, or do you take care to remove those microtrades before generating the charts?

Using a bot to manipulate technical analysis, and play mind games on people making trading decisions just from watching the charts, is a neat trick if it works. :-)

Sjå http://bitmynt.no for veksling av bitcoin mot norske kroner.  Trygt, billig, raskt og enkelt sidan 2010.
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February 21, 2012, 12:00:43 PM
 #1971

There are some bots on mtgox continously executing microtrades (often less than 0.01 BTC).  Either buying or selling to make sure last price is either to the upside or to the downside of spread.  Those may manipulate the charts, depending on how you make them.  Will your charts be influenced by such bots, or do you take care to remove those microtrades before generating the charts?

Using a bot to manipulate technical analysis, and play mind games on people making trading decisions just from watching the charts, is a neat trick if it works. :-)

They don't manipulate technical analysis. The spreads are often very tiny, so the price won't change more than a few pips by this strategy. They also don't generate any meaningful volume to influence certain indicators. So they aren't a problem at all. Besides, using technical analysis, bars represent a lot longer time frame than a few seconds, so you won't see the movements caused by those micro trades either.

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February 21, 2012, 07:47:13 PM
 #1972

There are some bots on mtgox continously executing microtrades (often less than 0.01 BTC).  Either buying or selling to make sure last price is either to the upside or to the downside of spread.  Those may manipulate the charts, depending on how you make them.  Will your charts be influenced by such bots, or do you take care to remove those microtrades before generating the charts?

Using a bot to manipulate technical analysis, and play mind games on people making trading decisions just from watching the charts, is a neat trick if it works. :-)

They don't manipulate technical analysis. The spreads are often very tiny, so the price won't change more than a few pips by this strategy. They also don't generate any meaningful volume to influence certain indicators. So they aren't a problem at all. Besides, using technical analysis, bars represent a lot longer time frame than a few seconds, so you won't see the movements caused by those micro trades either.

Thanks Mushoz, you are right, this does not influence at all the technical analysis.

In fact, the bitcoin market has been quite straightforward to predict over the past 1.5 years - as it displays great "textbook-like" patterns.

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

http://twitter.com/BitcoinAnalyst

Subscribe here
Crypt_Current
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February 21, 2012, 08:19:02 PM
 #1973

There are some bots on mtgox continously executing microtrades (often less than 0.01 BTC).  Either buying or selling to make sure last price is either to the upside or to the downside of spread.  Those may manipulate the charts, depending on how you make them.  Will your charts be influenced by such bots, or do you take care to remove those microtrades before generating the charts?

Using a bot to manipulate technical analysis, and play mind games on people making trading decisions just from watching the charts, is a neat trick if it works. :-)

They don't manipulate technical analysis. The spreads are often very tiny, so the price won't change more than a few pips by this strategy. They also don't generate any meaningful volume to influence certain indicators. So they aren't a problem at all. Besides, using technical analysis, bars represent a lot longer time frame than a few seconds, so you won't see the movements caused by those micro trades either.

Thanks Mushoz, you are right, this does not influence at all the technical analysis.

In fact, the bitcoin market has been quite straightforward to predict over the past 1.5 years - as it displays great "textbook-like" patterns.


Do you think Economics professors might use examples from the Bitcoin network in their teachings?   Grin  Might be a win-win, since these are such "textbook" patterns.  I wonder, what other commodities / markets have shown such textbook-like patterns in the past?

10% off at CampBX for LIFE:  https://campbx.com/main.php?r=C9a5izBQ5vq  ----  Authorized BitVoucher MEGA reseller (& BTC donations appreciated):  https://bitvoucher.co/affl/1HkvK8o8WWDpCTSQGnek7DH9gT1LWeV5s3/
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February 21, 2012, 08:45:26 PM
 #1974

Here's where the bots matter:

http://www.badalgo.com/

Great Twitter feed - some wild sub-1s activity showing HFT activities, especially quote-stuffing. There's no stopping this kind of activity and it's so far beyond anything regulators can handle that the only solution is to adapt and compete.
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February 21, 2012, 08:59:33 PM
 #1975

Here's where the bots matter:

http://www.badalgo.com/

Great Twitter feed - some wild sub-1s activity showing HFT activities, especially quote-stuffing. There's no stopping this kind of activity and it's so far beyond anything regulators can handle that the only solution is to adapt and compete.

All sorts of kick ass links in the twitter
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February 21, 2012, 10:48:22 PM
 #1976

There are some bots on mtgox continously executing microtrades (often less than 0.01 BTC).  Either buying or selling to make sure last price is either to the upside or to the downside of spread.  Those may manipulate the charts, depending on how you make them.  Will your charts be influenced by such bots, or do you take care to remove those microtrades before generating the charts?

Using a bot to manipulate technical analysis, and play mind games on people making trading decisions just from watching the charts, is a neat trick if it works. :-)

They don't manipulate technical analysis. The spreads are often very tiny, so the price won't change more than a few pips by this strategy. They also don't generate any meaningful volume to influence certain indicators. So they aren't a problem at all. Besides, using technical analysis, bars represent a lot longer time frame than a few seconds, so you won't see the movements caused by those micro trades either.

Thanks Mushoz, you are right, this does not influence at all the technical analysis.

In fact, the bitcoin market has been quite straightforward to predict over the past 1.5 years - as it displays great "textbook-like" patterns.


Do you think Economics professors might use examples from the Bitcoin network in their teachings?   Grin  Might be a win-win, since these are such "textbook" patterns.  I wonder, what other commodities / markets have shown such textbook-like patterns in the past?

not  a bad idea.

In fact, the triangle I was predicting is currently almost perfectly forming. even though I was predicting it, I could not believe my eyes how mass bitcoin psychology really works so perfectly

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

http://twitter.com/BitcoinAnalyst

Subscribe here
molecular
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February 21, 2012, 11:21:18 PM
 #1977

Here's where the bots matter:

http://www.badalgo.com/

Great Twitter feed - some wild sub-1s activity showing HFT activities, especially quote-stuffing. There's no stopping this kind of activity and it's so far beyond anything regulators can handle that the only solution is to adapt and compete.

lmao. "quote stuffing". 120000 quotes, 0 trades. lol. strange world.

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February 21, 2012, 11:26:45 PM
 #1978

There are some bots on mtgox continously executing microtrades (often less than 0.01 BTC).  Either buying or selling to make sure last price is either to the upside or to the downside of spread.  Those may manipulate the charts, depending on how you make them.  Will your charts be influenced by such bots, or do you take care to remove those microtrades before generating the charts?

Using a bot to manipulate technical analysis, and play mind games on people making trading decisions just from watching the charts, is a neat trick if it works. :-)

They don't manipulate technical analysis. The spreads are often very tiny, so the price won't change more than a few pips by this strategy. They also don't generate any meaningful volume to influence certain indicators. So they aren't a problem at all. Besides, using technical analysis, bars represent a lot longer time frame than a few seconds, so you won't see the movements caused by those micro trades either.

Thanks Mushoz, you are right, this does not influence at all the technical analysis.

In fact, the bitcoin market has been quite straightforward to predict over the past 1.5 years - as it displays great "textbook-like" patterns.


Do you think Economics professors might use examples from the Bitcoin network in their teachings?   Grin  Might be a win-win, since these are such "textbook" patterns.  I wonder, what other commodities / markets have shown such textbook-like patterns in the past?

not  a bad idea.

In fact, the triangle I was predicting is currently almost perfectly forming. even though I was predicting it, I could not believe my eyes how mass bitcoin psychology really works so perfectly

Which update contains the triangle you're talking about? I can't seem to be able to find it. Or are you talking about the triangle in the attachment, which was send in a separate email on February the 18th? To checking if I'm looking at the correct one Smiley Thanks!

Edit: Hmm, wait. That triangle isn't valid anymore. Which triangle are you talking about? Could you help me out please? Thanks! Smiley

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February 21, 2012, 11:38:48 PM
 #1979

There are some bots on mtgox continously executing microtrades (often less than 0.01 BTC).  Either buying or selling to make sure last price is either to the upside or to the downside of spread.  Those may manipulate the charts, depending on how you make them.  Will your charts be influenced by such bots, or do you take care to remove those microtrades before generating the charts?

Using a bot to manipulate technical analysis, and play mind games on people making trading decisions just from watching the charts, is a neat trick if it works. :-)

They don't manipulate technical analysis. The spreads are often very tiny, so the price won't change more than a few pips by this strategy. They also don't generate any meaningful volume to influence certain indicators. So they aren't a problem at all. Besides, using technical analysis, bars represent a lot longer time frame than a few seconds, so you won't see the movements caused by those micro trades either.

Thanks Mushoz, you are right, this does not influence at all the technical analysis.

In fact, the bitcoin market has been quite straightforward to predict over the past 1.5 years - as it displays great "textbook-like" patterns.


Do you think Economics professors might use examples from the Bitcoin network in their teachings?   Grin  Might be a win-win, since these are such "textbook" patterns.  I wonder, what other commodities / markets have shown such textbook-like patterns in the past?

not  a bad idea.

In fact, the triangle I was predicting is currently almost perfectly forming. even though I was predicting it, I could not believe my eyes how mass bitcoin psychology really works so perfectly

Which update contains the triangle you're talking about? I can't seem to be able to find it. Or are you talking about the triangle in the attachment, which was send in a separate email on February the 18th? To checking if I'm looking at the correct one Smiley Thanks!

Edit: Hmm, wait. That triangle isn't valid anymore. Which triangle are you talking about? Could you help me out please? Thanks! Smiley

Over the past several days a symmetrical triangle pattern has been forming. Here's my sketch:
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February 21, 2012, 11:43:59 PM
 #1980

Which is a continuation pattern, correct? Which means down, down, down? Weird that I missed it in the update though. Thanks for posting!

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