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Question: When will we see a new ATH?
2023 - 56 (21.5%)
2024 - 105 (40.2%)
2025 - 75 (28.7%)
2026 - 4 (1.5%)
2027 - 2 (0.8%)
After 2027 - 5 (1.9%)
Never - 14 (5.4%)
Total Voters: 261

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26119296 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (170 posts by 5 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Last of the V8s
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December 26, 2019, 05:39:10 PM
Merited by xhomerx10 (1), d_eddie (1)

bastards
i mean plustoken scammers yes of course
but mostly chainalysis. bet they're lapping all this up. oh we can prove blockchain things
no you can't now eff and let me digest in peace
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December 26, 2019, 05:43:23 PM

I want to see 8000 this year.

Me too... Cheesy

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December 26, 2019, 05:45:36 PM

It the price has been negatively affected due to this Plustoken scam then surely they haven’t got much more ammo & we can start climbing back upwards when they’ve run dry?
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December 26, 2019, 05:53:04 PM
Merited by Arriemoller (1)

I must have been good this year; Santa got me some good stuff Smiley



 Currently listening to https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UX1cdPqW5M8
(just checking out the full frequency response of course  Wink)
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December 26, 2019, 06:27:15 PM

wow well I could 'listen' to that a lot Cheesy
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December 26, 2019, 06:32:24 PM
Last edit: December 26, 2019, 06:44:12 PM by micgoossens

I must have been good this year; Santa got me some good stuff Smiley



 Currently listening to https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UX1cdPqW5M8
(just checking out the full frequency response of course  Wink)


Nice, now they can leave you in peace while making some HATs and stuff  Grin
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December 26, 2019, 06:35:07 PM

Weekend PUMP ahead while waiting for Liverpool vs Leicester 😀
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December 26, 2019, 06:35:23 PM
Merited by Hueristic (1), JayJuanGee (1)

Conclusion: Yes, plustoken scam is keeping the bitcoin price down.

https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/2-billion-plustoken-scam-driving-down-price-bitcoin#comment_stream
"According to Chainalysis, PlusToken conspirators have already sold 25,000 bitcoins, and it's believed another 20,000 (worth nearly $142 million at current prices). The coins are spread across some 8,700 anonymous bitcoin wallets."
80,000 BTC, 6,400,000 ETH, 111,000 USDT and 53 OMG associated with Plus Token. (from Chainalysis and BTC-Echo)
They dropped already a lot, so 35,000 Bitcoin left ? If they have sold over 45,000 Bitcoins ?

This is probably why Binance is not accepting from Wasabi although i don't really know how they can tell.

Quote
Real-time tracing

Binance contracts with third-party service providers like Chainalysis to help it trace crypto transactions. These crypto-sleuths develop hefty tools to track asset movements; Chainalysis’ “Know-Your-Transaction” (KYT) software does so in real time.

Wasabi transactions have a “pretty unique” identifier that makes it “very easy to identify them in numerous ways,” according to Wasabi developer Bálint Harmat. But he insisted that his mixer, and others, are not inherently illegal. He also noted that Wasabi has reached out to Binance and Chainalysis to clarify the situation and prevent future issues.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg53445591#msg53445591
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December 26, 2019, 06:38:31 PM

I looked at the last 4-5 years on btc vs SP500 and it looks like they are getting more in-tune, plus btc swings vs SP500 are abating.
All data from Dec 31 prior year to Dec 31 next year:

2015-2016  SP500 +9.5%
2016-2017  SP500 +19.4%
2017-2018  SP500 -6.2%
2018-today SP500 +29%

vs

2015-2016  BTC +123.6%
2016-2017  BTC +1368.5%
2017-2018  BTC -73.6%
2018-today BTC +96%

It looks to me that we simply amplify (in the last 4-5 years) the SP500 move.
Judging by the prior statistics, after at least 20% move (yearly) in SP500, there is at least one more consequently positive SP500 year.

Prediction: we would roughly triple or quadruple SP500 gain in 2020.
7-10% gain in SP500 would result in about 30% gain in BTC, therefore the target for BTC next year (12/31/2020) is about 10K+/-1K (9k-11K range).
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December 26, 2019, 07:00:11 PM

I looked at the last 4-5 years on btc vs SP500 and it looks like they are getting more in-tune, plus btc swings vs SP500 are abating.
All data from Dec 31 prior year to Dec 31 next year:

2015-2016  SP500 +9.5%
2016-2017  SP500 +19.4%
2017-2018  SP500 -6.2%
2018-today SP500 +29%

vs

2015-2016  BTC +123.6%
2016-2017  BTC +1368.5%
2017-2018  BTC -73.6%
2018-today BTC +96%

It looks to me that we simply amplify (in the last 4-5 years) the SP500 move.
Judging by the prior statistics, after at least 20% move (yearly) in SP500, there is at least one more consequently positive SP500 year.

Prediction: we would roughly triple or quadruple SP500 gain in 2020.
7-10% gain in SP500 would result in about 30% gain in BTC, therefore the target for BTC next year (12/31/2020) is about 10K+/-1K (9k-11K range).
I looked at the percentage of bitcoin price growth for the last 5 years and realized that I love him not for the rapid growth of his price, but for what he is...  Cheesy

Although the price is certainly a nice bonus, too.  Grin
Owning a deflationary asset is still a pleasant bonus.
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December 26, 2019, 07:01:21 PM

Conclusion: Yes, plustoken scam is keeping the bitcoin price down.

https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/2-billion-plustoken-scam-driving-down-price-bitcoin#comment_stream
"According to Chainalysis, PlusToken conspirators have already sold 25,000 bitcoins, and it's believed another 20,000 (worth nearly $142 million at current prices). The coins are spread across some 8,700 anonymous bitcoin wallets."
80,000 BTC, 6,400,000 ETH, 111,000 USDT and 53 OMG associated with Plus Token. (from Chainalysis and BTC-Echo)
They dropped already a lot, so 35,000 Bitcoin left ? If they have sold over 45,000 Bitcoins ?

This is probably why Binance is not accepting from Wasabi although i don't really know how they can tell.

Quote
Real-time tracing

Binance contracts with third-party service providers like Chainalysis to help it trace crypto transactions. These crypto-sleuths develop hefty tools to track asset movements; Chainalysis’ “Know-Your-Transaction” (KYT) software does so in real time.

Wasabi transactions have a “pretty unique” identifier that makes it “very easy to identify them in numerous ways,” according to Wasabi developer Bálint Harmat. But he insisted that his mixer, and others, are not inherently illegal. He also noted that Wasabi has reached out to Binance and Chainalysis to clarify the situation and prevent future issues.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg53445591#msg53445591

Thanks I was googling other shit.  Smiley

And buying cheap Monero. Tongue
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December 26, 2019, 07:07:25 PM
Last edit: December 26, 2019, 07:25:15 PM by Last of the V8s

 Roll Eyes
such desperate very shilling sad


entirely unconnectedly, this also just happened to come past my feed  Roll Eyes
Example - A perfectly private donation

On the other hand, here is an example of somebody using bitcoin to make a donation that is completely anonymous.

    The aim is to donate to some organization that accepts bitcoin.
    You run a Bitcoin Core wallet entirely through Tor.
    Download some extra few hundred gigabytes of data over Tor so that the total download bandwidth isn't exactly blockchain-sized.
    Solo-mine a block, and have the newly-mined coins sent to your wallet.
    Send the entire balance to a donation address of that organization.
    Finally you destroy the computer hardware used.

As your full node wallet runs entirely over Tor, your IP address is very well hidden. Tor also hides the fact that you're using bitcoin at all. As the coins were obtained by mining they are entirely unlinked from any other information about you. Since the transaction is a donation, there are no goods or services being sent to you, so you don't have to reveal any delivery mail address. As the entire balance is sent, there is no change address going back that could later leak information. Since the hardware is destroyed there is no record remaining on any discarded hard drives that can later be found. The only way I can think of to attack this scheme is to be a global adversary that can exploit the known weaknessness of Tor.


finally and admittedly connectedly, I wish people would stop saying 'taint analysis'. It disturbs me on many levels.
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December 26, 2019, 07:27:16 PM

Roll Eyes
such desperate very shilling sad....

Nope, just truth.


Wanna bet?
bitserve
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December 26, 2019, 07:46:30 PM

It the price has been negatively affected due to this Plustoken scam then surely they haven’t got much more ammo & we can start climbing back upwards when they’ve run dry?

Hope so. The uncertainty is IF it really was caused by them selling a BUNCH of BTC and also how many more they still got to keep selling. But if it were the case, yes, it should start recovering afterwards.

This is fine Wink
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December 26, 2019, 07:54:19 PM

wow well I could 'listen' to that a lot Cheesy

Those shuffle dancers are hypnotic aren't they? I could even 'listen' to them with the sound turned off.

P.S.: Uh, no, I just tried... they look retarded that way lol

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December 26, 2019, 08:28:16 PM

wow well I could 'listen' to that a lot Cheesy

Those shuffle dancers are hypnotic aren't they? I could even 'listen' to them with the sound turned off.

P.S.: Uh, no, I just tried... they look retarded that way lol

Yeah, weird how they lose all their cool with no sound.

Also weird how that dance has been 'in' for is it 30 years?

Anyway who doesn't like a bouncing bosom
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December 26, 2019, 08:31:11 PM
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (2)

I think this is exactly what drives him.
I am ashamed to admit if I had the money he had when 24, I would have retired to some exotic places or relentlessly travelling the world.
He’s instead running two of the most disruptive firm in the world working 80 hours week.


I’m not ashamed to admit that I would have retired too.

Some people need to be on the go all the time, it’s what keeps him relatively sane probably.

I wonder if I really could retire if (when) BTC hits $100K. It's a nice dream, and I'm sure it'd be nice for a while. But I'm pretty sure I'd go nuts unless I found some kind of project/job to take on.

Designing and building my own house could be one such project. Always quite fancied that... Grand Designs has a lot to answer for.
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December 26, 2019, 08:47:56 PM

I feel friday's ominous approach. Roll Eyes

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December 26, 2019, 08:51:29 PM

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December 26, 2019, 09:01:03 PM

My friend is looking for a funny video/meme, its a black guy dancing while he enters a store/bar . He has dreadlocks, a hat and does some very funny moves. Im sure if you have seen it, the description matches.

Someone can help me out??
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