Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[Biodom]

Apparently there's 2.1BTC hidden in this picture:



Source Don't forget about me whoever finds it

I saw ETH and XRP and eyes glazed over. fuck that shit.

Dude, this is a puzzle (with imaginary Satoshi face) to get 2.1 BTC, who gives what words are there?

[JayJuanGee]

I have a dream, that the next time we cross $9,000, it will be the last time we ever see Vegeta memes.

I still expect a flash dip under $9K (which could go as low as $8K but most probably only to 8.5K-8.8K) when we go attack (and fail) $10K for the first time this year. But, if everything goes well, THAT will be the last time.

The more we retest all these levels setting solid higher lows, the better in the long run.

You are surely turning into a bit of an optimist.     

[bitserve]

I have a dream, that the next time we cross $9,000, it will be the last time we ever see Vegeta memes.

I still expect a flash dip under $9K (which could go as low as $8K but most probably only to 8.5K-8.8K) when we go attack (and fail) $10K for the first time this year. But, if everything goes well, THAT will be the last time.

The more we retest all these levels setting solid higher lows, the better in the long run.

You are surely turning into a bit of an optimist.      

Ok, guilty as charged.

I forgot to say that is my most optimist (yet reasonable) scenario. Ie: In case Bitcoin were straight to test $10K during the next couple of weeks.


P.S.: At least I am not a completely delusional fool like this one: https://beincrypto.com/bitcoin-will-reach-400000-after-halving-history-dictates/

[vapourminer]

Imagine how disappointed they'll be when they figure that they neither have privacy nor their money anymore lol

Well shit I owe you a merit for this.

i gotcha

[exstasie]

Food for thought:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5218374.msg53633657#msg53633657
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5196072.msg53633250#msg53633250

Apparently there's 2.1BTC hidden in this picture:



Source Don't forget about me whoever finds it

First part of the puzzle solved: https://twitter.com/o_lalonde/status/1217931522008850434

The rest of it still goes straight over my head though....

[kurious]

Brilliant, but it seems it sailed over most heads here... shame on 'em

[JayJuanGee]

Well, I had to cash out an entire bitcoin yesterday for expenses and such. This is why it's going over 9k.

Because the universe rotates around me, and the universe enjoys fucking with me :-)

So moon time! Every time I sell one that is one bitcoin I will never see again. Blah!

First sell yourself on the streets or something, if the juices or completely gone there.... then start selling corns

Anyone who earns an income in bitcoin will have to sell some bitcoin.  That is risk management 101.

Each person needs to maintain balance, and lightfoot has previously described that periodically he receives some income in BTC.

[Biodom]

Nice...had to check "codpiece".

Well, I had to cash out an entire bitcoin yesterday for expenses and such. This is why it's going over 9k.

Because the universe rotates around me, and the universe enjoys fucking with me :-)

So moon time! Every time I sell one that is one bitcoin I will never see again. Blah!

First sell yourself on the streets or something, if the juices or completely gone there.... then start selling corns

Anyone who earns an income in bitcoin will have to sell some bitcoin.  That is risk management 101.

Each person needs to maintain balance, and lightfoot has previously described that periodically he receives some income in BTC.

well, some peeps here might want to indulge in some mining activity...it's not that difficult and makes income in BTC, lol.

[JayJuanGee]

I was staring at my DCA chart as I always do everyday , I realized, since 2016, I doubled my BTC amount every year.  

I can only double one more time that's if I go all in.  

Don't get caught up on unrealistic pie in the sky goals.

Consider your prudence, and you don't need to double each year in order to be employing the correct tactics.  

In other words, if you start to prioritize meaningless goal posts, you will end up screwing up a system that you have built and figured out to work.

In other words, tweaks to your system should be based on incremental changes rather than throwing darts at walls when you might not be as good of a shooter as you believe yourself to be, then you end up getting fucked up the ass because you accidentally (or should we say recklessly?) poked ur lil selfie in the eye ball.    

I probably bought my last fucking dip a week ago.

From now on unless there happens to be a huge ass percentage drop, I'll just keep throwing potatoes (DCA'ing) till it hits my target price.

There is never a straight up, so maybe if you are employing "buy on dip," you are not getting as much BTC, but you still cannot really count on losing dip buying opportunities.

Yeah, I understand that many of us here in WO thread have a kind of bullish, never to return to low prices theory, yet historically, it seems that those kinds of opportunities do still tend to come...

Maybe we could analogize from 2016, and yeah after a certain point, it became really difficult to obtain sub $500 coins.. and surely similar dynamics might exist in 2020.. trying to get sub $10k coins... I understand the dilemma and the urge to front load, and I have no problem with the employment of some front loading based on those kinds of ideas.  I did it myself.  I front loaded a bit in the three digits, but I was still always worried about front loading too much and getting caught in some kind of pickle...

Yeah, of course, I left some money on the table in 2015 and 2016, but I don't have any regrets because I really feel that I had front loaded as much as I had felt comfortable at that time, and I cannot go around kicking myself and say that I should have bought more - because buying more was just NOT prudent when I had already sufficiently thought about the situation and sufficiently frontloaded my BTC investment.  There is only so much that you can do and there is only so much money that you can reasonably get a hold of without putting yourself too much at jeopardy if matters were to go sour.. and my lack of regret even goes to the fact that I could have pulled some money out of my 401k.... it was my money.. but I chose not to do it, and the 401k money performed way worse than BTC.. but I don't care because I had already considered both the UPs and DOWNs and I made my then choices about what was then prudent..  No regrets, here.

[jojo69]

P.S.: At least I am not a completely delusional fool like this one: https://beincrypto.com/bitcoin-will-reach-400000-after-halving-history-dictates/

That is just absurd.  Obviously we are only going to experience an 11,000% increase this time around peaking at $343,453.

[JayJuanGee]

Edit:  By the way my sub $9k incremental sell orders just filled, next ones at $9,200-ish.... easy peasy... little by little.. sell, sell, sell as the price goes up, but only a little.  That's the mindless system that always attempts to stay ahead of the price moves... The price comes to your sell/buy orders, you do not go to the price..  It's making money in your sleep (kind of), as long as the underlying asset ultimately goes up..

Mines too. Now putting some buy orders at around $8.5-8.6K for the same amount.

Same as you, this has nothing to do with where I do think the price is going next. Scalping needs no feelings. It only needs some (almost unpredictible) sideways volatility.

Yep.. in these order settings, we are attempting to take advantage of BTC's almost inevitable short-term volatility like unemotional bots in regards to setting our orders.. [...]  

By the way, when i started doing this, at $250-ish [...]

Hey JJG, serious question. Could you give some insights in this obviously well thought through strategy you are having? And have extensively shared numerous times? As well for the potential new people entering because of the recent positive price action.


What percentage if your bitcoin holdings, perhaps calculated into today's fiat value, did you lose because of having your bitcoins on an exchange or hot wallet (exchange hacks, sim swaps, etc)

versus

Your gains applying this strategy?

I lost more than I gained.

[Biodom]

I was staring at my DCA chart as I always do everyday , I realized, since 2016, I doubled my BTC amount every year.  

I can only double one more time that's if I go all in.  

Don't get caught up on unrealistic pie in the sky goals.

Consider your prudence, and you don't need to double each year in order to be employing the correct tactics.  

In other words, if you start to prioritize meaningless goal posts, you will end up screwing up a system that you have built and figured out to work.

In other words, tweaks to your system should be based on incremental changes rather than throwing darts at walls when you might not be as good of a shooter as you believe yourself to be, then you end up getting fucked up the ass because you accidentally (or should we say recklessly?) poked ur lil selfie in the eye ball.    

I probably bought my last fucking dip a week ago.

From now on unless there happens to be a huge ass percentage drop, I'll just keep throwing potatoes (DCA'ing) till it hits my target price.

There is never a straight up, so maybe if you are employing "buy on dip," you are not getting as much BTC, but you still cannot really count on losing dip buying opportunities.

Yeah, I understand that many of us here in WO thread have a kind of bullish, never to return to low prices theory, yet historically, it seems that those kinds of opportunities do still tend to come...

Maybe we could analogize from 2016, and yeah after a certain point, it became really difficult to obtain sub $500 coins.. and surely similar dynamics might exist in 2020.. trying to get sub $10k coins... I understand the dilemma and the urge to front load, and I have no problem with the employment of some front loading based on those kinds of ideas.  I did it myself.  I front loaded a bit in the three digits, but I was still always worried about front loading too much and getting caught in some kind of pickle...

Yeah, of course, I left some money on the table in 2015 and 2016, but I don't have any regrets because I really feel that I had front loaded as much as I had felt comfortable at that time, and I cannot go around kicking myself and say that I should have bought more - because buying more was just NOT prudent when I had already sufficiently thought about the situation and sufficiently frontloaded my BTC investment.  There is only so much that you can do and there is only so much money that you can reasonably get a hold of without putting yourself too much at jeopardy if matters were to go sour.. and my lack of regret even goes to the fact that I could have pulled some money out of my 401k.... it was my money.. but I chose not to do it, and the 401k money performed way worse than BTC.. but I don't care because I had already considered both the UPs and DOWNs and I made my then choices about what was then prudent..  No regrets, here.

front loading is so 2014-2015ish.
It's difficult to imagine a serious frontloading at almost 9K (vs 200-500 back then).
It is closed to most, but the fiat 1% now, soon to be 0.1%.
That said, i believe that the next 5-6 mo is the last frontloading opportinity of the next few years.

[kurious]

P.S.: At least I am not a completely delusional fool like this one: https://beincrypto.com/bitcoin-will-reach-400000-after-halving-history-dictates/

That is just absurd.  Obviously we are only going to experience an 11,000% increase this time around peaking at $343,453.

Indeed, that is a way more sensible figure. Some people are so ridiculously unrealiistic.

[Searing]

Well, I had to cash out an entire bitcoin yesterday for expenses and such. This is why it's going over 9k.

Because the universe rotates around me, and the universe enjoys fucking with me :-)

So moon time! Every time I sell one that is one bitcoin I will never see again. Blah!

First sell yourself on the streets or something, if the juices or completely gone there.... then start selling corns

Anyone who earns an income in bitcoin will have to sell some bitcoin.  That is risk management 101.

Each person needs to maintain balance, and lightfoot has previously described that periodically he receives some income in BTC.

met that hurdle in 2018...in full HODL mode in 2019..(no sell, no mine, ate income from other crypto sources with monthly income, rather than pay taxes with crypto income)

so 2019 ...all HODL no pain for above..if it cracks the ATH in 2020 though...I might also crack like an egg and then your analogy applies!

(weak-willed I shall be around the ATH...I suspect hidden cowardice and HODL slippage...alas!)

Anyway..I gained more than I lost by HODL mode in 2019...we will see if I can pull that off in 2020!

[skysblu]

All btc bears tonight...

[JayJuanGee]

I was staring at my DCA chart as I always do everyday , I realized, since 2016, I doubled my BTC amount every year.  

I can only double one more time that's if I go all in.  

Don't get caught up on unrealistic pie in the sky goals.

Consider your prudence, and you don't need to double each year in order to be employing the correct tactics.  

In other words, if you start to prioritize meaningless goal posts, you will end up screwing up a system that you have built and figured out to work.

In other words, tweaks to your system should be based on incremental changes rather than throwing darts at walls when you might not be as good of a shooter as you believe yourself to be, then you end up getting fucked up the ass because you accidentally (or should we say recklessly?) poked ur lil selfie in the eye ball.    

I probably bought my last fucking dip a week ago.

From now on unless there happens to be a huge ass percentage drop, I'll just keep throwing potatoes (DCA'ing) till it hits my target price.

There is never a straight up, so maybe if you are employing "buy on dip," you are not getting as much BTC, but you still cannot really count on losing dip buying opportunities.

Yeah, I understand that many of us here in WO thread have a kind of bullish, never to return to low prices theory, yet historically, it seems that those kinds of opportunities do still tend to come...

Maybe we could analogize from 2016, and yeah after a certain point, it became really difficult to obtain sub $500 coins.. and surely similar dynamics might exist in 2020.. trying to get sub $10k coins... I understand the dilemma and the urge to front load, and I have no problem with the employment of some front loading based on those kinds of ideas.  I did it myself.  I front loaded a bit in the three digits, but I was still always worried about front loading too much and getting caught in some kind of pickle...

Yeah, of course, I left some money on the table in 2015 and 2016, but I don't have any regrets because I really feel that I had front loaded as much as I had felt comfortable at that time, and I cannot go around kicking myself and say that I should have bought more - because buying more was just NOT prudent when I had already sufficiently thought about the situation and sufficiently frontloaded my BTC investment.  There is only so much that you can do and there is only so much money that you can reasonably get a hold of without putting yourself too much at jeopardy if matters were to go sour.. and my lack of regret even goes to the fact that I could have pulled some money out of my 401k.... it was my money.. but I chose not to do it, and the 401k money performed way worse than BTC.. but I don't care because I had already considered both the UPs and DOWNs and I made my then choices about what was then prudent..  No regrets, here.

front loading is so 2014-2015ish.
It's difficult to imagine a serious frontloading at almost 9K (vs 200-500 back then).
It is closed to most, but the fiat 1% now, soon to be 0.1%.
That said, i believe that the next 5-6 mo is the last frontloading opportinity of the next few years.

Of course, if we have been in BTC for a decently long time, we are already done with our frontloading, because we largely already established our positions.

However, there are other kinds of people out there.  For example:

1) if you are you just learning about bitcoin, you might want to front load

2) if you have never really been able to reach your investment goals in terms of quantity invested into bitcoin and cash flow limitations, you might want to front load

I understand that each person has to consider his/her own situation, so it might be quite difficult to front load or even to feel that you have sufficiently front loaded because each person has to be able to food and shelter himself/herself and also prepare for emergencies that might come up.

I also understand that it is more difficult to feel that you are able to front load if you are chasing the price up, and maybe that is part of the reason to frontload, yet the main risk of front loading does not seem to be so much from chasing the price on the way up, but instead NOT having any money to buy on dips because you frontloaded and then the price goes flying down and you don't have jack shit dry powder to be able to buy and maybe even start to feel that you want to sell some BTC in order to buy lower, and that is where those people can get fucked if they frontloaded too much and the price goes down instead of up.

I guess, in sum, I think that there are always opportunities to frontload and there are always opportunities to DCA... and none of us really know, exactly where BTC prices are going, but still seems that if we are just getting in, then we should try to strive for a 4-6 year investment window, and even if we have been in bitcoin for a while, we should still be considering a 4-6 year investment window with any new BTC that we buy... so we should really not be cashing out BTC that is younger than 4-6 years in our holdings... even though we have the right and the discretion to do whatever we like with our investments, I am still trying to refer to best practices in terms of long term investing into BTC that will likely give the best bang for the buck.. even though each person has to decide for himself/herself.

[Searing]

P.S.: At least I am not a completely delusional fool like this one: https://beincrypto.com/bitcoin-will-reach-400000-after-halving-history-dictates/

That is just absurd.  Obviously we are only going to experience an 11,000% increase this time around peaking at $343,453.

I agree he is a delusional fool...however, one does not have to believe in "Peter Pan", to secretly have the desire for Peter Pan and NeverLand to exist!

So he can be as frigging 'delusional' as he wants to be, I sure hope he is right, on this fricking $400k BTC price after halving, however!

(Ah daydreams...how I stay sane!) (Also makes my odds much better to become Natalie Portman's Love Puppet!..you mean there is a chance?)

[Biodom]

P.S.: At least I am not a completely delusional fool like this one: https://beincrypto.com/bitcoin-will-reach-400000-after-halving-history-dictates/

That is just absurd.  Obviously we are only going to experience an 11,000% increase this time around peaking at $343,453.

I agree he is a delusional fool...however, one does not have to believe in "Peter Pan", to secretly have the desire for Peter Pan and NeverLand to exist!

So he can be as frigging 'delusional' as he wants to be, I sure hope he is right, on this fricking $400k BTC price after halving, however!

(Ah daydreams...how I stay sane!) (Also makes my odds much better to become Natalie Portman's Love Puppet!..you mean there is a chance?)

Those mighty sells/withdrawals would be hard.
Personally, i still don't exactly grasp how it could be done, even if btc comes from an exchange and everything is documented.
Apart from anecdotes from one obvious person here, i never heard about the upper limit of wire/ACH from Coinbase (Pro or regular) and gemini (Gemini does not tell you what the limit is outright). Therefore, even if i wanted, i wouldn't know what limit to ask for. Obviously with these crazy numbers (300-400K/btc), withdrawal limits have to be very high in $$. I am afraid that it could become a bottleneck later on when millions of people start bombarding them with such requests.

[rdbase]

I have a dream, that the next time we cross $9,000, it will be the last time we ever see Vegeta memes.

I like Vegeta memes. But I'm with you on this one. I want moon memes.

Did you mention moon memes?
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-01-12/japanese-billionaire-looking-for-love-to-take-on-musk-moon-trip

This you JJG?

https://twitter.com/yousuck2020/status/1216272633248903168

[dragonvslinux]

Price is looking like a textbook bull flag on 1hr/4hr charts, target for a breakout above the 200 Day MA would line upto around $9,850.



Might be time to put on the moon boots soon.