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Question: When will we see a new ATH?
2023 - 56 (21.5%)
2024 - 105 (40.2%)
2025 - 75 (28.7%)
2026 - 4 (1.5%)
2027 - 2 (0.8%)
After 2027 - 5 (1.9%)
Never - 14 (5.4%)
Total Voters: 261

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26119289 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (170 posts by 5 users with 9 merit deleted.)
becoin
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December 30, 2019, 10:00:16 PM

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Good to hear from you, tell us where we heading at  Grin

Firstly to Year 2020 and secondly to the Moon!
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El duderino_
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December 30, 2019, 10:05:04 PM

^
Good to hear from you, tell us where we heading at  Grin

Firstly to Year 2020 and secondly to the Moon!


Good enough for me, 2020 will come shortly, moon comes when it’s time, that’s the main thing we BTC’ers must now...

I do love planB but still remember it can go much faster it can go a bit slower, but we will get there anyway as long as BTC survives !

We can not only have believe in one or two models that some guys say predict.... they are reasonable and contain some healthy hopium Cheesy
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December 30, 2019, 10:15:03 PM

The halvening can't be priced in. If the halvening is priced in, is the next halvening priced in too? How about the next 25 halvenings? It's impossible to price in halvenings. The halvening is like a change in physics.

https://twitter.com/RedditBTC/status/1211697573658058759?s=20
I think Plan B answered this paradox many times

In my thread Stock To Flow Model: Modeling Bitcoin's Value with Scarcity there are a few hints about this...

It is interesting that he admits that the model would break sometime in the next three cycles, yet it cannot be priced in, I agree.
I am a bit confused about numbers, as what you attributed to planB is 50K, followed by 400K, followed by a VERY large number that is probably meaningless.
However, lately I saw 100K, followed by 1000K. I think that he tweaked his model later on.
also, what is interesting is the fact that we always exceed theoretical value both going up and down during oscillations, so, I guess, it is entirely possible to go to, say, 150-160K on the upside and back down to 30K on the back slope of that "mountain" in 2022-2023.
Wekkel
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yes


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December 30, 2019, 10:22:54 PM

I believe the ‘Masterluc’ scenario is also still in play?
fillippone
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December 30, 2019, 10:25:15 PM

The halvening can't be priced in. If the halvening is priced in, is the next halvening priced in too? How about the next 25 halvenings? It's impossible to price in halvenings. The halvening is like a change in physics.

https://twitter.com/RedditBTC/status/1211697573658058759?s=20
I think Plan B answered this paradox many times

In my thread Stock To Flow Model: Modeling Bitcoin's Value with Scarcity there are a few hints about this...

It is interesting that he admits that the model would break sometime in the next three cycles, yet it cannot be priced in, I agree.
I am a bit confused about numbers, as what you attributed to planB is 50K, followed by 400K, followed by a VERY large number that is probably meaningless.
However, lately I saw 100K, followed by 1000K. I think that he tweaked his model later on.
also, what is interesting is the fact that we always exceed theoretical value both going up and down during oscillations, so, I guess, it is entirely possible to go to, say, 150-160K on the upside and back down to 30K on the back slope of that "mountain" in 2022-2023.

Yeah, he admits that having a bitcoin worth multi millions USD is meaningless: probably this means USD has broken as an unit of measure, losing too much value, transferring this function to bitcoin (if a bitcoin is 3 millions USD, how much is a l’iter of milk, btw?)

Yes, he tweaked the models and numbers a few times, so you might have seen slightly different numbers. Those you posted are not dramatically different. Keep in mind S2F don’t provide trading targets, but some model value around which market price can swing widely. Well, I might add the marked moved up from model 300%, but down only 50%: the model then can be considered underestimating the actual market price.
Last of the V8s
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December 30, 2019, 10:25:55 PM
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (2), xhomerx10 (1), Biodom (1), bitserve (1), VB1001 (1)

F@k me 2020 in 26 hours, who'd a thought?


sorry for poor quality, anyone got a better please?
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December 30, 2019, 10:26:36 PM

I believe the ‘Masterluc’ scenario is also still in play?

The one with broad strokes that predicted the surge to 13-14K following by decline to 6.5, then to 72K (by the tip of the arrowhead)?
Obviously, yes, of course, but I think that he might want to flesh it out for 2020-2021 a bit, although if we get to that tip, I would be perfectly happy.
LFC_Bitcoin
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#1 VIP Crypto Casino


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December 30, 2019, 10:27:02 PM

F@k me 2020 in 26 hours, who'd a thought?


sorry for poor quality, anyone got a better please?


Fucking Merit whore.

Happy New Year you glorious bastard.
Last of the V8s
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Be a bank


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December 30, 2019, 10:34:14 PM

Ah, 'tis a noble profession.
Globb0
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Free spirit


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December 30, 2019, 10:46:31 PM

Beggars coin talk
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December 30, 2019, 11:13:08 PM

El duderino_
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December 30, 2019, 11:31:17 PM



Sooooooo sorry but I can’t figure out the meaning of this one  Lips sealed

Though it’s nice made ....

What is it I see BoB’s card and posts but but Huh
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December 30, 2019, 11:36:43 PM
Merited by Globb0 (2)

I will shortly go into watching the Witcher after short watching into HODLsleep cause

Tomorrow I will wake up not to late, have a work out, enjoy the last day of 2019—-> eat and drink myself among friends right into 2020 I hope everyone will enjoy his last 2019 day and entrance into 2020

Cheers
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Self made HODLER ✓


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December 30, 2019, 11:36:50 PM



What kind of fuckery that is?  Huh


Oh, and HAPPY BIRTHDAY RAJA!!
El duderino_
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December 30, 2019, 11:38:36 PM

BTW


via Imgflip Meme Generator

 Cheesy Roll Eyes Tongue
Icygreen
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December 31, 2019, 12:02:45 AM


Ooo, Lala, fancy work there homie, have you just torched our secret admirer's art or BLB? That's not how you  play Pokemon, er, is it. Taking custom requests I hear Wink
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1/21000000 , the only math you need to know


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December 31, 2019, 01:10:29 AM



wait

what the fuck?
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December 31, 2019, 01:14:42 AM

wait

what the fuck?

Looks like a wank rag but he values it so much he squirts into the pot instead.

I'd be very honoured if I were Bob.
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1/21000000 , the only math you need to know


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December 31, 2019, 01:17:43 AM

BLB wank rag

must have WO accessory
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December 31, 2019, 01:42:29 AM

What is ETH & LTC engines?

Dunno, rumors have it, that they're somewhat boosters/fuel tanks for the BTC rocket.
Here, something like this:



I think the 3rd one was something called Dash. Tongue


Wonder if I roll my eyes three times for that one?



Or this level of exacerbation is enough:

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