Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[El duderino_]

$11000 by the end of the day. 87% probability   

.87 isn't best of hope 

[Lambie Slayer]

I think one large candle this weekend or Monday at the latest is gonna put us over 11k.

Our King will save the thousand dollar candles for 17-20k in April.

Wow from bargainz to über bullish.....

Bargain Boyz wanted and bought cheap coins bc they understood Bull Season was approaching.  

Bullish Propaganda Mode has been activated.

[bitcoinPsycho]

$11000 by the end of the day. 87% probability   

.87 isn't best of hope 

Fixed

[bitcoinPsycho]

I'm not fooled by big walls

[Lambie Slayer]

Its gonna be fun watching all the newbs across the world witness the glory and power of the Halvening and King Bitcoin.

Amen.

 via Imgflip Meme Generator

via Imgflip Meme Generator

via Imgflip Meme Generator

via Imgflip Meme Generator

via Imgflip Meme Generator

via Imgflip Meme Generator

via Imgflip Meme Generator

via Imgflip Meme Generator

via Imgflip Meme Generator

via Imgflip Meme Generator

via Imgflip Meme Generator

via Imgflip Meme Generator

via Imgflip Meme Generator

[Last of the V8s]

https://twitter.com/MorlockP/status/1228086074871865345?s=20

So it seems that

* efforts at containment of covid-19 have failed
* it's out of China and will soon be everywhere
* r0 may be at the higher end of the range: ~ 5 +
* lethality may be much higher than we hoped

so : feces hitting the fan, medium hard

>>>
#preppertalk

+thread

16/

I have very low confidence in my thoughts.

I ** KNOW ** that I don't know.

Basically I'm looking for hedges in case stuff is bad, not PREDICTING that it is

But...my best guess?

* undeniable "outbreak" in US in < 6 weeks
* r0 of 4-5
* lethality 2%

[Ibian]

r0 is apparently around 5-6 with no special precautions. Even in china with everything they have done, locking people in their homes and gassing and quarantining, it´s still at like 2-3.

This thing can't be stopped. Unless it burns itself out faster than it can spread, it's going global for sure.

Oh and in regards to lethality: Calculate deaths/(deaths+cured).

Don't know why people keep using total number of infected. It makes no sense. Some of those people are going to die.

[Phil_S]

11k ceiling would be hard to break through...

Eventually we will, but not in February.

But but would you have thought to revisit 10k as fast as we just did?

Yes. But 10k was not the ceiling. 11k is the ceiling.

So breaking through 10k was not that hard. 11k will be much harder.

[Last of the V8s]

Further useful threads
https://twitter.com/Scholars_Stage/status/1228362910185000960?s=20

The game is up

"None of Japan's new coronavirus patients had direct China links

First death raises fear that virus is quietly spreading"

https://twitter.com/unorthodoxxxy/status/1228424265252212738?s=20

This was my trigger point for Phase 2 pandemic preparation.

(Phase 1 was lay in a few weeks of extra groceries.)

In Phase 2, all unnecessary trips from home are henceforth cancelled.

Pandemic Planning for Normie Moms:

1. Go buy a month of food, toiletries, paper goods and cold medicines. 

Save your receipt.

If all this turns out to be overkill, donate it to a homeless shelter before 12/31/20 and then write it off on your taxes as a charitable donation.

[Lambie Slayer]

The people who catch it first are the lucky ones. They will get the best treatment available. After a small percent of the population gets it the hospital beds and medical staff will quickly be at full capacity in every country.

Take the U.S. for example. With about 100,000 ICU beds in the whole country that means there is only about 1 ICU bed per 3300 people.

There are about 600,000 hospital beds total in the U.S., which means one bed for every 550 people, but if your condition is critical, you will need an ICU bed or most likely you will die.

Lets also remember a huge chunk of those beds already have people dying of the typical things that kill people when people arent busy dying from possible Communist Bioweapons.

As the hospitals fill up with Aids Flu patients the other sickly non coronavirus patients will inevitably catch it too and since they are already weak, they are the most likely not to make it.

TLDR

Buy and or Hodl Bitcoin. Defunding irresponsible governments is the best prevention for shitshows like we are now seeing.

[mindrust]

TLDR

tldr; Be an early adopter even if it is the flu you are buying.

Being an early adopter always pays the most.

[VB1001]

https://imgur.com/SV4bE3w

We might have to be submerged for a while, if so, better do it in optimal conditions.

[Ibian]

Bunkers are actually a bad idea. After a bunch of people die and things return to normal you will emerge from your underground lair. And then you get sick anyway cause people are carrying it now. Just get sick quick and hog a bed and hope you develop immunity.

[VB1001]

^
The bad idea is not to have one.

[Lambie Slayer]

Bunkers are actually a bad idea. After a bunch of people die and things return to normal you will emerge from your underground lair. And then you get sick anyway cause people are carrying it now. Just get sick quick and hog a bed and hope you develop immunity.

Yes, getting sick right now in a major city in a first world country means you will get a team of the some of the best specialists on the planet working round the clock to keep you alive bc....

a. Many will want to make a name for themselves and be part of history. This is like landing on the moon for a doctor to help save the first cases in their nation. Think book deals, movie deals, speaking engagements, oprah, national news appearances etc.

b. The CDC will send experts to assist the docs attending to you. You wont even be billed for this as they are publicly funded.

c. They will have instant ability to cut through red tape and get you the best experimental Aids medicine available if you get close to death. They desperately want to keep you alive to stop this from gaining a foothold in your country and also to avoid the panic causing headlines of first death in America, or Germany or Canada, etc.


Just go to Chinatown and shake the hand of everyone you see, rub the doorknobs, never wash your hands, and eat out as much as often at a large variety of restaurants. Buffets are best, rub all the serving utensil handles and touch your mouth and nose as often as possible.

[bitserve]

^

LOL

But yeah, what doesn't kill you makes you stronger!!

[BitcoinGirl.Club]

Good afternoon WO!
Observing @ $10,240 and happy to be back in my place.

What have I missed? @JS

[klintay]

r0 is apparently around 5-6 with no special precautions. Even in china with everything they have done, locking people in their homes and gassing and quarantining, it´s still at like 2-3.

This thing can't be stopped. Unless it burns itself out faster than it can spread, it's going global for sure.

Oh and in regards to lethality: Calculate deaths/(deaths+cured).

Don't know why people keep using total number of infected. It makes no sense. Some of those people are going to die.

isn't this like the virus lottery though??? I mean most flu viruses just mutate themselves out of existence?

[LFC_Bitcoin]

https://imgur.com/SV4bE3w

We might have to be submerged for a while, if so, better do it in optimal conditions.

I’ve wanted an underground bunker ever since I saw the move, 10 Cloverfield Lane.

[hisslyness]

https://twitter.com/MorlockP/status/1228086074871865345?s=20

So it seems that

* efforts at containment of covid-19 have failed
* it's out of China and will soon be everywhere
* r0 may be at the higher end of the range: ~ 5 +
* lethality may be much higher than we hoped

so : feces hitting the fan, medium hard

>>>
#preppertalk

+thread

16/

I have very low confidence in my thoughts.

I ** KNOW ** that I don't know.

Basically I'm looking for hedges in case stuff is bad, not PREDICTING that it is

But...my best guess?

* undeniable "outbreak" in US in < 6 weeks
* r0 of 4-5
* lethality 2%

So I had one of those cheap industrial/workshop mask, and decided to put it on to hopefully filter some of the air i am surrounded by.

The one thing i know for sure, my breath fucking stinks!...