El duderino_
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Activity: 2632
Merit: 12887
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
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El duderino_
Legendary
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Activity: 2632
Merit: 12887
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
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May 10, 2020, 10:47:50 AM |
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I will merit when I have replenished again |
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AlcoHoDL
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Activity: 2492
Merit: 4592
Addicted to HoDLing!
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May 10, 2020, 10:50:11 AM |
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It's so sad to see that guy still has followers who actually believe what he says... Flat earth, anyone? |
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toknormal
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Activity: 3066
Merit: 1188
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May 10, 2020, 10:55:38 AM |
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For those of you arguing about CV19 "severity", take a look at Iceland. You now have a full set of statistics there in terms of recovery vs non-recovery since they've reached the end of their bell curve quicker than everywhere else. Conclusion: 98.5% recovery and in fact looks like ending up over 99% once all cases are concluded. Also this is only looking at actual infections, not the population as a whole. For population as a whole the death rate is 0.004 of one percent (0.004%) with a relaxed lockdown policy, stricter than Sweden's but not as strict as UK. Also bear in mind that UK policy is largely based on Imperial college "model" which is currently being shredded as we speak by the online "nerd" community. |
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HairyMaclairy
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Activity: 1414
Merit: 2174
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
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May 10, 2020, 11:09:21 AM
Last edit: May 10, 2020, 11:27:26 AM by HairyMaclairy Merited by JayJuanGee (1) |
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Iceland has extremely aggressive testing so its data is among the best in the world.
Iceland has 10 deaths, 18 active cases and a total case load of 1,801. None of the 18 active cases are critical, so let us assume all recover.
That gives us a case fatality rate of 0.55% with no load on the health system.
Iceland has a population of 364,000. If half catch C19, a 0.55% fatality rate would be 2,000 deaths.
New York has a population of 18,800,000. If half of NY catch C19 with a CFR of 0.55%, then the death rate would be 103,000 people, which is four times the current deaths of 26,000. Working backwards from a CFR of 0.55% suggests that, at most, 4.7 million New Yorkers have caught C19 which is nowhere near enough for herd immunity. It’s probably significantly less due to excess deaths from hospital overloading and poor care in nursing homes.
Applied to the US population of 384 million, a CFR of 0.55% yields a death rate of just over a million people if only half the US population catches C19. In reality, many US hospitals will collapse if we get close to those numbers, pushing the CFR up.
Please note that the CFR rate says nothing about people who are permanently crippled by C19 even if they live. I have not seen good numbers on this, so this is just speculation based on papers written by Wuhan doctors.
The Imperial College model is quickly becoming less important now that we are starting to get real world data to work with.
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LFC_Bitcoin
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Activity: 3654
Merit: 10205
#1 VIP Crypto Casino
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May 10, 2020, 11:09:43 AM |
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Fucking do it yourself! + 20  |
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HairyMaclairy
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Activity: 1414
Merit: 2174
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
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He always was a lazy sod that V8. Never done a honest days work.
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V8s Road Warrior
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Activity: 90
Merit: 44
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May 10, 2020, 11:24:05 AM |
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Thank you gentlemen and Hairy.  |
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vapourminer
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Activity: 4452
Merit: 3977
what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?
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May 10, 2020, 11:28:49 AM |
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it's annoying. I'm not a bot !
Protip: You would not want to be. Speaking from experience? #justfunninya i think their algorithms are still figuring this part out. |
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LFC_Bitcoin
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Activity: 3654
Merit: 10205
#1 VIP Crypto Casino
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May 10, 2020, 11:30:25 AM |
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Thank you gentlemen and Hairy. Quoted for visibility noob |
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virasog
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Activity: 3094
Merit: 1169
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
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May 10, 2020, 11:45:52 AM Merited by JayJuanGee (1) |
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Hey moron, if you could read you could tell that was 2 months ago, long closed those, my shorts started at 10010 2 days ago
Throughout all these years I've seen hundreds like you on this thread trying to make money shorting bitcoin. Sooner than later they lose all their money and never come back.You're just the next loser!  |
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FIFA worldcup
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May 10, 2020, 11:51:50 AM Merited by JayJuanGee (1) |
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At this point, I encourage tourists not to visit Greece this year.
Stay home and wash your hands.
We cannot afford your stupidity.
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vapourminer
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Activity: 4452
Merit: 3977
what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?
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May 10, 2020, 12:13:03 PM |
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At this point, I encourage tourists not to visit Greece this year.
Stay home and wash your hands.
We cannot afford your stupidity.
are the citadels there in that point? guess im too poor to be on the citadel short list:( |
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criptix
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Activity: 2464
Merit: 1145
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May 10, 2020, 12:45:29 PM |
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Huh? What makes their feats more impressive is just how different the countries are. Greece, for example, is in Europe — one of the world’s coronavirus hotspots — but managed to escape the worst despite receiving large numbers of tourists and a busy Easter holiday.
Total.bullshit. Hot spot? Since for ever. Tourists? WTF is that? Hm? Europe is a corona hotspot. Tourism makes 10% of the greece gdp so it was expected that they would also get hit heavy by corona. You should read the whole article. |
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rolling
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May 10, 2020, 12:53:32 PM |
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222 blocks to go. 37 hours...
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JSRAW
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Activity: 2282
Merit: 1543
Up to 300% + 200 FS deposit bonuses
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May 10, 2020, 01:15:01 PM |
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bitserve
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Activity: 1834
Merit: 1477
Self made HODLER ✓
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May 10, 2020, 01:45:37 PM |
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I said healthy people who die, take a long time to die. It takes them 45 - 60 days to drown in their own lung fluid as they fight every step of the way. Outbreak on Diamond Princess ship occurred 3 months ago. Yet no significant increase in the last month or so, right? I know you will say that the passengers were probably old and fat. And I will say the crew members were probably NOT old and fat. Was testing of all passengers and crew done on the Diamond Princess? If we don’t know the denominator, then the Case Fatality Rate is just guesswork. The only data I can find is 712 cases and 13 deaths giving a CFR of 1.8% Yup. Diamond Princess is the best isolated example we do have about this virus. Take into account that the "population" tends to be a bit older than average so... you get a less than 1% death rate. Probably 0.5% is a usable figure for the average of the population. |
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BitcoinGirl.Club
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Activity: 2898
Merit: 2768
Bitcoingirl 2 is downloading 💓
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May 10, 2020, 01:48:38 PM |
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Good afternoon WO!
Observing @ $8,778
ALL good!
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hv_
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Activity: 2534
Merit: 1055
Clean Code and Scale
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May 10, 2020, 01:51:11 PM |
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At this point, I encourage tourists not to visit Greece this year.
Stay home and wash your hands.
We cannot afford your stupidity.
And a point is a singularity .. sigh. Now show who defending the states / territories by man power  |
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hodl_2015
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Activity: 371
Merit: 57
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May 10, 2020, 02:05:49 PM |
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How many of those 40% are actually interested in working day and night, not spending all of it, and taking risk? Not saying luck and inheritance does not play a role but some people are trying very hard to not get rich. And then complain about it. Not being able to afford education is no excuse anymore, wikipedia+youtube can teach you more than the average university or book. |
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