Bitcoin Forum
November 28, 2022, 12:36:21 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 23.0 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Poll
Question: Did we reach the bottom already?
Yes - 60 (50%)
No, it's coming later this year - 44 (36.7%)
No, it's coming next year or after - 16 (13.3%)
Total Voters: 120

Pages: « 1 ... 30378 30379 30380 30381 30382 30383 30384 30385 30386 30387 30388 30389 30390 30391 30392 30393 30394 30395 30396 30397 30398 30399 30400 30401 30402 30403 30404 30405 30406 30407 30408 30409 30410 30411 30412 30413 30414 30415 30416 30417 30418 30419 30420 30421 30422 30423 30424 30425 30426 30427 [30428] 30429 30430 30431 30432 30433 30434 30435 30436 30437 30438 30439 30440 30441 30442 30443 30444 30445 30446 30447 30448 30449 30450 30451 30452 30453 30454 30455 30456 30457 30458 30459 30460 30461 30462 30463 30464 30465 30466 30467 30468 30469 30470 30471 30472 30473 30474 30475 30476 30477 30478 ... 31618 »
  Print  
Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 25870744 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (170 posts by 5 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Paashaas
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3210
Merit: 3584



View Profile
March 15, 2022, 08:07:00 PM
Last edit: March 15, 2022, 08:29:15 PM by Paashaas
Merited by El duderino_ (5), JayJuanGee (2)

Bitcoin and Models
I have created 3 models using Power Law and DPC Model whose data was provided to me by @DeFi_initiate.

This below chart contains the prediction of all these models (2021-2026):
1. Power Law
2. DPC Model
3. AVGPD - Average of Power Law and DPC Model
4. AVGD2 - Average of DPC Model and AVGPD
5. AVGALL - Average of Power Law, DPC Model, AVGPD and AVGD2.

Lowest BTC Price by All these Models for 2022-2026:
Power Law: $35,099
DPC: $18,334
AVGPD: $33,123
AVGD2: $25,944
AVGALL: $31,382

Highest BTC Price by All these Models for 2022-2026:
Power Law: $217,776
DPC: $389,245
AVGPD: $267,594
AVGD2: $328,420
AVGALL: $282,801



A 2 year gaslight data model... Undecided

Bitcoin is sitting on the 9 year old support line, it never broke it.
1669638981
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1669638981

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1669638981
Reply with quote  #2

1669638981
Report to moderator
1669638981
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1669638981

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1669638981
Reply with quote  #2

1669638981
Report to moderator
1669638981
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1669638981

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1669638981
Reply with quote  #2

1669638981
Report to moderator
There are several different types of Bitcoin clients. The most secure are full nodes like Bitcoin Core, but full nodes are more resource-heavy, and they must do a lengthy initial syncing process. As a result, lightweight clients with somewhat less security are commonly used.
Advertised sites are not endorsed by the Bitcoin Forum. They may be unsafe, untrustworthy, or illegal in your jurisdiction.
1669638981
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1669638981

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1669638981
Reply with quote  #2

1669638981
Report to moderator
1669638981
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1669638981

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1669638981
Reply with quote  #2

1669638981
Report to moderator
moneystery
Jr. Member
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 55
Merit: 12

₿itcoin.. the only real money


View Profile WWW
March 15, 2022, 08:21:32 PM

Saudi Arabia considers accepting Yuan instead of dollars for Chinese oil sales

Quote
Saudi Arabia is in active talks with Beijing to price its some of its oil sales to China in yuan, people familiar with the matter said, a move that would dent the U.S. dollar’s dominance of the global petroleum market and mark another shift by the world’s top crude exporter toward Asia.

The talks with China over yuan-priced oil contracts have been off and on for six years but have accelerated this year as the Saudis have grown increasingly unhappy with decades-old U.S. security commitments to defend the kingdom, the people said.

They are idiots. They should price their oil in crypto. Any fiat is pointless.   Grin  Grin

they are still blinded by fiat, they haven't realized the value of fiat is just a manipulation, it takes a hard hit to make them realize.
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1638
Merit: 1464


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
March 15, 2022, 09:01:30 PM


Explanation
JayJuanGee
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3178
Merit: 7462


ESG, KYC & AML are attack vectors on Bitcoin


View Profile
March 15, 2022, 09:24:53 PM
Merited by AlcoHoDL (2)

Saudi Arabia considers accepting Yuan instead of dollars for Chinese oil sales

Quote
Saudi Arabia is in active talks with Beijing to price its some of its oil sales to China in yuan, people familiar with the matter said, a move that would dent the U.S. dollar’s dominance of the global petroleum market and mark another shift by the world’s top crude exporter toward Asia.

The talks with China over yuan-priced oil contracts have been off and on for six years but have accelerated this year as the Saudis have grown increasingly unhappy with decades-old U.S. security commitments to defend the kingdom, the people said.

They are idiots. They should price their oil in crypto. Any fiat is pointless.   Grin  Grin

The only idiot is uie poo-ie.

Imagine:

Saudi - seller - "We are going to price this oil in "crypto."

Oil buyer - "what the fuck is that?"  


Bitcoin and Models
I have created 3 models using Power Law and DPC Model whose data was provided to me by @DeFi_initiate.

This below chart contains the prediction of all these models (2021-2026):
1. Power Law
2. DPC Model
3. AVGPD - Average of Power Law and DPC Model
4. AVGD2 - Average of DPC Model and AVGPD
5. AVGALL - Average of Power Law, DPC Model, AVGPD and AVGD2.

Lowest BTC Price by All these Models for 2022-2026:
Power Law: $35,099
DPC: $18,334
AVGPD: $33,123
AVGD2: $25,944
AVGALL: $31,382

Highest BTC Price by All these Models for 2022-2026:
Power Law: $217,776
DPC: $389,245
AVGPD: $267,594
AVGD2: $328,420
AVGALL: $282,801



That's nice. It looks like there will be a great opportunity to BTFD on 01/01/2023. Got to make sure I load Kraken with a good amount of funny money (a.k.a. fiat) before then.

Looks to me like the listed models (which are two rather than three and than figuring out if there is better data by averaging the averages of the models) are retarded, and you are retarded too, AlcoHoDL .. to follow such consensus forming "down before up" nonsense models... or the rendition of such models by someone who seems to be filled with persistent and ongoing DOWNity hopenium and to have few clues about other variations of models that actually exist in bitcoinlandia.... #nohomo

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy









I appreciate that you AlcoHoDL were likely toying with such retarded "enlightened-lackening" wishenings, rather than really taking such nonsense seriously...
savetherainforest
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 1736
Merit: 607


Plant 1xTree for each Satoshi earned!


View Profile
March 15, 2022, 09:58:22 PM

Saudi Arabia considers accepting Yuan instead of dollars for Chinese oil sales

Quote
Saudi Arabia is in active talks with Beijing to price its some of its oil sales to China in yuan, people familiar with the matter said, a move that would dent the U.S. dollar’s dominance of the global petroleum market and mark another shift by the world’s top crude exporter toward Asia.

The talks with China over yuan-priced oil contracts have been off and on for six years but have accelerated this year as the Saudis have grown increasingly unhappy with decades-old U.S. security commitments to defend the kingdom, the people said.

They are idiots. They should price their oil in crypto. Any fiat is pointless.   Grin  Grin

The only idiot is uie poo-ie.

Imagine:

Saudi - seller - "We are going to price this oil in "crypto."

Oil buyer - "what the fuck is that?"  


^ This won't age well.  Roll Eyes  Roll Eyes
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1638
Merit: 1464


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
March 15, 2022, 10:01:21 PM


Explanation
Hueristic
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3276
Merit: 3705


Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it


View Profile
March 15, 2022, 10:50:19 PM
Merited by JimboToronto (1), d_eddie (1)

Sad.


Much as we like screen captures (which are OK), we like links a lot more.

I'd like to know exactly how they "seized" the bitcoin. Trudeau set up a successful 51% attack? Not likely. Perhaps replies explain this, perhaps not. Without a link, we will not know.

My guess is  the retards used an exchange address.
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1638
Merit: 1464


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
March 15, 2022, 11:01:22 PM


Explanation
gallianooo
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 658
Merit: 323


View Profile
March 15, 2022, 11:34:08 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (4), vapourminer (1), JayJuanGee (1)

Bitcoin and Models
I have created 3 models using Power Law and DPC Model whose data was provided to me by @DeFi_initiate.

This below chart contains the prediction of all these models (2021-2026):
1. Power Law
2. DPC Model
3. AVGPD - Average of Power Law and DPC Model
4. AVGD2 - Average of DPC Model and AVGPD
5. AVGALL - Average of Power Law, DPC Model, AVGPD and AVGD2.

Lowest BTC Price by All these Models for 2022-2026:
Power Law: $35,099
DPC: $18,334
AVGPD: $33,123
AVGD2: $25,944
AVGALL: $31,382

Highest BTC Price by All these Models for 2022-2026:
Power Law: $217,776
DPC: $389,245
AVGPD: $267,594
AVGD2: $328,420
AVGALL: $282,801



These models seem like bullshit for me. If we really got the TOP in November 2021 for this 4years cycle (so only X3.5 of the 2017 ATH), why we should make more (X5 X6) as written in your models on the next one?

Look like just another casino game prediction.

Biodom
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3220
Merit: 2721



View Profile
March 15, 2022, 11:55:18 PM

Bitcoin and Models
I have created 3 models using Power Law and DPC Model whose data was provided to me by @DeFi_initiate.

This below chart contains the prediction of all these models (2021-2026):
1. Power Law
2. DPC Model
3. AVGPD - Average of Power Law and DPC Model
4. AVGD2 - Average of DPC Model and AVGPD
5. AVGALL - Average of Power Law, DPC Model, AVGPD and AVGD2.

Lowest BTC Price by All these Models for 2022-2026:
Power Law: $35,099
DPC: $18,334
AVGPD: $33,123
AVGD2: $25,944
AVGALL: $31,382

Highest BTC Price by All these Models for 2022-2026:
Power Law: $217,776
DPC: $389,245
AVGPD: $267,594
AVGD2: $328,420
AVGALL: $282,801



These models seem like bullshit for me. If we really got the TOP in November 2021 for this 4years cycle (so only X3.5 of the 2017 ATH), why we should make more (X5 X6) as written in your models on the next one?

Look like just another casino game prediction.



Not necessarily. If 69K is/was THE top, it is still more than 20X from the bottom (X22.25 for accuracy).
Therefore, if the bottom was (or would be in case of a double bottom) 29K (roughly), then even a half of prior rise (from the bottom) is 11.1X or $321K

TL;DR It's possible if you count from the bottom, not from the top.
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1638
Merit: 1464


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
March 16, 2022, 12:01:26 AM


Explanation
gallianooo
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 658
Merit: 323


View Profile
March 16, 2022, 12:05:28 AM

Bitcoin and Models
I have created 3 models using Power Law and DPC Model whose data was provided to me by @DeFi_initiate.

This below chart contains the prediction of all these models (2021-2026):
1. Power Law
2. DPC Model
3. AVGPD - Average of Power Law and DPC Model
4. AVGD2 - Average of DPC Model and AVGPD
5. AVGALL - Average of Power Law, DPC Model, AVGPD and AVGD2.

Lowest BTC Price by All these Models for 2022-2026:
Power Law: $35,099
DPC: $18,334
AVGPD: $33,123
AVGD2: $25,944
AVGALL: $31,382

Highest BTC Price by All these Models for 2022-2026:
Power Law: $217,776
DPC: $389,245
AVGPD: $267,594
AVGD2: $328,420
AVGALL: $282,801



These models seem like bullshit for me. If we really got the TOP in November 2021 for this 4years cycle (so only X3.5 of the 2017 ATH), why we should make more (X5 X6) as written in your models on the next one?

Look like just another casino game prediction.



Not necessarily. If 69K is/was THE top, it is still more than 20X from the bottom (X22.25 for accuracy).
Therefore, if the bottom was (or would be in case of a double bottom) 29K (roughly), then even a half of prior rise (from the bottom) is 11.1X or $321K

TL;DR It's possible if you count from the bottom, not from the top.

Got it, but from my opinion not relevant. Seems logical to dip less (prorata) if we don't top so high (only x3.5 2017 -> 2021). Can be a possibility to have less volatility (not going to -80/-85% dip from the top), but at the same time no x10 / x20 from previous ATH to the new one. Big range. Boring. Less Blood. Less Lambo.

d_eddie
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1960
Merit: 2053



View Profile
March 16, 2022, 01:01:18 AM
Merited by JimboToronto (1), JayJuanGee (1)

Sad.


Much as we like screen captures (which are OK), we like links a lot more.

I'd like to know exactly how they "seized" the bitcoin. Trudeau set up a successful 51% attack? Not likely. Perhaps replies explain this, perhaps not. Without a link, we will not know.

My guess is  the retards used an exchange address.

I was hoping for an answer from the OP himself, possibly after he'd done some research on twitter ;-)
Unfortunately, said individual was busy concocting multiple price models for us.

But yes, I agree that's the most likely explanation.

I can imagine the treasurer trucker searching "crypto" while dreaming of magical internet money donations or something like that, and falling into the hands of the first exchange to be listed by google.
Toxic2040
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1498
Merit: 3447



View Profile
March 16, 2022, 01:04:55 AM

the evening wall report


A mostly sideways day as bitcoin slips another point today, rallying back late in the session to close at $39,260.70   Still trading within a range on moderate volume.

steady on and see how the market reacts tomorrow        tho i dont give a rats ass what is said really...still cant have my coins  




nothing to see here  Shocked   long flats of span B with price shadowing span A
dyor
4h


butting up against that 40k resistance as this daily twist starts...something will give soon im thinking
D

stronghands
DaRude
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2605
Merit: 1646


In order to dump coins one must have coins


View Profile
March 16, 2022, 01:15:47 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (2), vapourminer (1), JimboToronto (1), Hueristic (1), d_eddie (1)

Sad.


Much as we like screen captures (which are OK), we like links a lot more.

I'd like to know exactly how they "seized" the bitcoin. Trudeau set up a successful 51% attack? Not likely. Perhaps replies explain this, perhaps not. Without a link, we will not know.

My guess is  the retards used an exchange address.

I was hoping for an answer from the OP himself, possibly after he'd done some research on twitter ;-)
Unfortunately, said individual was busy concocting multiple price models for us.

But yes, I agree that's the most likely explanation.

I can imagine the treasurer trucker searching "crypto" while dreaming of magical internet money donations or something like that, and falling into the hands of the first exchange to be listed by google.

Quote
Although 14.6 bitcoin, which was worth around $630,000 then, were distributed to the truckers by then, the police came to NobodyCaribou’s home on Feb. 28 and took 0.28 bitcoin (worth about $15,000), stored in a wallet NobodyCaribou co-controlled with Tamara Lich and Chris Barber, members of a trucker-affiliated nonprofit who were previously arrested. According to court documents, NobodyCaribou claimed he was about to transfer the funds to an escrow agent when police compelled him to surrender his wallet under a search warrant.

The seizure of a censorship-resistant digital asset might sound odd at first, but all it’s referring to is a string of 12 words known as a seed phrase. If not held on a centralized crypto exchange like Coinbase, Bitcoin is self-custodial by design, which means one can only access their bitcoin if they type those 12 words in an exact order. According to NobodyCaribou, police compelled him to reveal his seed phrase.
...
“I wanted to give the bitcoin to truckers. A court order was issued for the bitcoin that had not yet been distributed, so regardless of what I ‘want,’ I’m not going to break the law and get arrested,” NobodyCaribou told Motherboard. “The basis for the claim on those funds is to be determined by courts. Until then, they are safely held in escrow.”
https://www.vice.com/en/article/jgmnpd/the-freedom-convoy-bitcoin-donations-have-been-frozen-and-seized

Looks like someone acting as an escrow got a visit from your friendly police
Hueristic
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3276
Merit: 3705


Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it


View Profile
March 16, 2022, 01:25:41 AM

Sad.


Much as we like screen captures (which are OK), we like links a lot more.

I'd like to know exactly how they "seized" the bitcoin. Trudeau set up a successful 51% attack? Not likely. Perhaps replies explain this, perhaps not. Without a link, we will not know.

My guess is  the retards used an exchange address.

I was hoping for an answer from the OP himself, possibly after he'd done some research on twitter ;-)
Unfortunately, said individual was busy concocting multiple price models for us.

But yes, I agree that's the most likely explanation.

I can imagine the treasurer trucker searching "crypto" while dreaming of magical internet money donations or something like that, and falling into the hands of the first exchange to be listed by google.

Quote
Although 14.6 bitcoin, which was worth around $630,000 then, were distributed to the truckers by then, the police came to NobodyCaribou’s home on Feb. 28 and took 0.28 bitcoin (worth about $15,000), stored in a wallet NobodyCaribou co-controlled with Tamara Lich and Chris Barber, members of a trucker-affiliated nonprofit who were previously arrested. According to court documents, NobodyCaribou claimed he was about to transfer the funds to an escrow agent when police compelled him to surrender his wallet under a search warrant.

The seizure of a censorship-resistant digital asset might sound odd at first, but all it’s referring to is a string of 12 words known as a seed phrase. If not held on a centralized crypto exchange like Coinbase, Bitcoin is self-custodial by design, which means one can only access their bitcoin if they type those 12 words in an exact order. According to NobodyCaribou, police compelled him to reveal his seed phrase.
...
“I wanted to give the bitcoin to truckers. A court order was issued for the bitcoin that had not yet been distributed, so regardless of what I ‘want,’ I’m not going to break the law and get arrested,” NobodyCaribou told Motherboard. “The basis for the claim on those funds is to be determined by courts. Until then, they are safely held in escrow.”
https://www.vice.com/en/article/jgmnpd/the-freedom-convoy-bitcoin-donations-have-been-frozen-and-seized

Looks like someone acting as an escrow got a visit from your friendly police

Guys obviously a moron just by looking at the fees they paid on the wallets so no surprise he didn't take any precautions and rolled over.
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1638
Merit: 1464


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
March 16, 2022, 02:01:21 AM


Explanation
suchmoon
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3234
Merit: 8344


https://bpip.org


View Profile WWW
March 16, 2022, 02:17:20 AM

Did China unban Bitcoin?

Loading...
proudhon
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2114
Merit: 1246



View Profile
March 16, 2022, 02:23:09 AM

Did China unban Bitcoin?

Loading...

No. Just market noise according to my models. It's cliche to say that there's nothing to see here, but sometimes a cliche is appropriate.
Copetech
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 340
Merit: 311


View Profile
March 16, 2022, 02:34:13 AM

Did China unban Bitcoin?

Loading...

No. Just market noise according to my models. It's cliche to say that there's nothing to see here, but sometimes a cliche is appropriate.


OMG! Bullish!
Pages: « 1 ... 30378 30379 30380 30381 30382 30383 30384 30385 30386 30387 30388 30389 30390 30391 30392 30393 30394 30395 30396 30397 30398 30399 30400 30401 30402 30403 30404 30405 30406 30407 30408 30409 30410 30411 30412 30413 30414 30415 30416 30417 30418 30419 30420 30421 30422 30423 30424 30425 30426 30427 [30428] 30429 30430 30431 30432 30433 30434 30435 30436 30437 30438 30439 30440 30441 30442 30443 30444 30445 30446 30447 30448 30449 30450 30451 30452 30453 30454 30455 30456 30457 30458 30459 30460 30461 30462 30463 30464 30465 30466 30467 30468 30469 30470 30471 30472 30473 30474 30475 30476 30477 30478 ... 31618 »
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!