Something is up:
https://www.bitrawr.com/difficulty-estimatorLatest Block: 768892 (13 minutes ago)
Current Pace: 89.5644% (797 / 889.86 expected, 92.86 behind)Previous Difficulty: 34244331613176.18
Current Difficulty: 35364065900457.12
Next Difficulty: between 31694164642176 and 32944125841500
Next Difficulty Change: between -10.3775% and -6.8429%
Previous Retarget: last Monday at 10:12 AM (+3.2698%)
Next Retarget (earliest): January 3, 2023 at 11:02 AM (in 8d 20h 31m 30s)
Next Retarget (latest): January 4, 2023 at 1:21 AM (in 9d 10h 50m 18s)
Projected Epoch Length: between 15d 0h 50m 7s and 15d 15h 8m 56s
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92.86 blocks off pace
and a few hours ago
Latest Block: 768879 (32 minutes ago)
Current Pace: 90.0211% (784 / 870.91 expected, 86.91 behind)Previous Difficulty: 34244331613176.18
Current Difficulty: 35364065900457.12
Next Difficulty: between 31856206087395 and 33081691380605
Next Difficulty Change: between -9.9193% and -6.4539%
Previous Retarget: last Monday at 10:12 AM (+3.2698%)
Next Retarget (earliest): January 3, 2023 at 9:32 AM (in 8d 22h 11m 5s)
Next Retarget (latest): January 3, 2023 at 11:26 PM (in 9d 12h 5m 41s)
Projected Epoch Length: between 14d 23h 20m 10s and 15d 13h 14m 45s
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...
86.91 blocks off pace
a few days ago
Quote
Latest Block: 768665 (a few seconds ago)
Current Pace: 95.2601% (570 / 598.36 expected, 28.36 behind)Next Difficulty Change: between -4.6480% and -2.3121%
please note all diff numbers are from here
https://www.bitrawr.com/difficulty-estimatorand my diff thread here
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5378628.028.36 off pace
to go from 28.36 behind to 86.91 behind is over 20% drop
and we now dropped more.
So this really looks like a major mining capitulation.
Of course it is Christmas and a lot of people are off work but this is a big diff shift.
Very often large difficulty drops if sustained push the price down.
Be ready to a price drop into the 15k range. maybe the elusive 13/14k is in sight.