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Author Topic: ⚽UEFA EURO 2020 Discussion Thread | Winner: ITALY!  (Read 31320 times)
buwaytress (OP)
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July 02, 2021, 12:06:16 PM
 #3721

I'm looking for the strongest percentage at the moment, can this be used as a guide this time based on the percentage, which is obtained for the four clubs.

What in the upcoming semi-finals.
Italy will meet Spain and England will meet Denmark.

If so my idea is the same, at least it's a good premonition for the UEFA EURO 2020 championship.

That's just the percentage ESPN used in an article I read, roughly based not on their strengths but their flaws, which I actually also agree at this level, is what will cause teams to lose. Everyone seems to have a good solution at offence (except England who won't use it for some reason) but it's the defence and closing down and shutting down that ALL the teams seem to be facing (except, again, England).

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July 02, 2021, 12:08:27 PM
 #3722

Switzerland vs Spain

5.8 - 3.95 - 1.63

The odds for Spain to win in regulation time are pretty good, but in my opinion this is a risky bet as Switzerland may well play indoor football and achieve a draw.

Belgium vs Italy

3,25 - 3,10 - 2,43

Both teams in this tournament look very good and I would rate their chances as equal. Therefore, in this pair, the rate on Belgium looks like an underestimated one.

I dont think Switzerland will play closed football against Spain. They didnt defend against France so i think they will even attack Spain in this match. Spain for me is an easy win today but with this EURO you never know what can really happen.

Belgium vs Italy for me is both teams to score. Hopefully this will be a good match to watch

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July 02, 2021, 12:14:42 PM
 #3723

in my humble opinion, my dear.. italy go to win
because italy is more strong than belgium, is more team than belgium..

I'm not saying this because I'm Italian

in any case you can never know, see Switzerland: D

Even though you are Italian but if your country team is not good enough compared to other team then I bet you will never want to bet on them if you want to bet. Belgium is a strong opponent, but Italy may be much better and count towards reaching the final. For today I just want the match to be interesting to watch, I might hope there is extra time to determine who the winner is.

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July 02, 2021, 01:00:04 PM
 #3724

in my humble opinion, my dear.. italy go to win
because italy is more strong than belgium, is more team than belgium..

I'm not saying this because I'm Italian

in any case you can never know, see Switzerland: D

Even though you are Italian but if your country team is not good enough compared to other team then I bet you will never want to bet on them if you want to bet. Belgium is a strong opponent, but Italy may be much better and count towards reaching the final. For today I just want the match to be interesting to watch, I might hope there is extra time to determine who the winner is.

Yes in the end i am not interested if italy win or not the euro cup

the thing that interests me is the fun
I want to see fun games and if my team loses, I don't care, I enjoyed it
Smiley
of course is my philosophy

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July 02, 2021, 01:10:52 PM
 #3725

Switzerland vs Spain and Belgium vs Italy for tonight.

These will be a very interesting matches to watch. I predict that Spain and Belgium will advance to the next round. They have a better squad, the starting eleven and the bench. Goal feast might happen in both matches.
I personally don't believe in this quarter-final there will be many goals, when they compete at the group stage some teams play boringly with few goals scored. Like Switzerland in the group stage lost 3-0 by Italy and so is Spain, only drawing in the first two games makes me doubt it. But in the last match of the group stage and round of 16, these two teams made a surprise with many goals made. Therefore, I think in the quarter-finals there may be changes that make the game more careful and defensive, who knows.

I thought the same about the Last 16 too if we are being honest,,, and yet we got so surprised and saw an amazing number of goals even in regular time (not counting extra time) I believe the average was above 2.5 which is impossible to get even in normal leagues.

Rewards for offensive I hope but they will look at Spain and France and realize 2 goals cushion is NOT enough.

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July 02, 2021, 01:29:39 PM
 #3726

Switzerland vs Spain and Belgium vs Italy for tonight.

These will be a very interesting matches to watch. I predict that Spain and Belgium will advance to the next round. They have a better squad, the starting eleven and the bench. Goal feast might happen in both matches.
I personally don't believe in this quarter-final there will be many goals, when they compete at the group stage some teams play boringly with few goals scored. Like Switzerland in the group stage lost 3-0 by Italy and so is Spain, only drawing in the first two games makes me doubt it. But in the last match of the group stage and round of 16, these two teams made a surprise with many goals made. Therefore, I think in the quarter-finals there may be changes that make the game more careful and defensive, who knows.

I thought the same about the Last 16 too if we are being honest,,, and yet we got so surprised and saw an amazing number of goals even in regular time (not counting extra time) I believe the average was above 2.5 which is impossible to get even in normal leagues.

Rewards for offensive I hope but they will look at Spain and France and realize 2 goals cushion is NOT enough.
Indeed, it would be better to keep scoring more goals because of course that would make it safer when keeping the lead. But unfortunately, when a team can score a lot of goals, at the same time it is also very possible that the team does not have a solid defense. Therefore, playing with a counter-attack strategy would be a good option but somehow, I'm sure in this quarter-final match they will play more cautiously.

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July 02, 2021, 01:37:28 PM
 #3727


in my humble opinion, my dear.. italy go to win
because italy is more strong than belgium, is more team than belgium..

I'm not saying this because I'm Italian

in any case you can never know, see Switzerland: D


I am from Belgium but I also think Italy will win  Tongue. Personally, both teams haven't really played so good but for Belgium it will really depend if De Bruyne and Hazard will play. I do expect some goals and there is quite some value in over 2.5 goals (@2.4).



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July 02, 2021, 01:54:54 PM
 #3728


in my humble opinion, my dear.. italy go to win
because italy is more strong than belgium, is more team than belgium..

I'm not saying this because I'm Italian

in any case you can never know, see Switzerland: D


I am from Belgium but I also think Italy will win  Tongue. Personally, both teams haven't really played so good but for Belgium it will really depend if De Bruyne and Hazard will play. I do expect some goals and there is quite some value in over 2.5 goals (@2.4).

is it 100% sure that Kevin De Bruyne will play today? if he is 100% fit again then Belgium would be my favourite tonight.
but I think that Italy will play a big game today and win against Belgium with 3:2. the Italian coach Roberto Mancini knows Lukaku very well from the Italian league.
that could be a very big advantage for Italy in my opinion. tonight or tonight at 11 p.m. we will know more. unless it comes to an extension and a penalty shootout.

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July 02, 2021, 02:02:17 PM
 #3729



Belgium vs Italy

3,25 - 3,10 - 2,43

Both teams in this tournament look very good and I would rate their chances as equal. Therefore, in this pair, the rate on Belgium looks like an underestimated one.


I agree, both Belgium and Italy played very well this tournament, with 50/50 chances in the first 90 minutes, isn't it the mostly likely that it will go into over time? Both teams are very motivated and since in the other groups only England seems really strong, the winner of this match could easily make it into the finals. I will bet on overtime on this match. And for the tournament it will likely be the winner of this match.


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July 02, 2021, 02:18:29 PM
 #3730



Belgium vs Italy

3,25 - 3,10 - 2,43

Both teams in this tournament look very good and I would rate their chances as equal. Therefore, in this pair, the rate on Belgium looks like an underestimated one.


I agree, both Belgium and Italy played very well this tournament, with 50/50 chances in the first 90 minutes, isn't it the mostly likely that it will go into over time? Both teams are very motivated and since in the other groups only England seems really strong, the winner of this match could easily make it into the finals. I will bet on overtime on this match. And for the tournament it will likely be the winner of this match.


I agree with that odds because both team play well and more favorite Italy to qualify on semifinal, but I think both team will play draw because other and previous match Italy have going on to extended time to get win last match, maybe this game will have result score 0-0 and better choose both team playing draw or choose under 2 goal  Grin Grin

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July 02, 2021, 02:22:15 PM
 #3731

Dont underestimate Switzerland as they showed that they can for sure playing well and acting as powerfull team.
I would be not surprised if they beat Spain and win there game today.

On the Italy match against Belgium i also guess that Italy will make it .
Would be a surprise if another big Team will get kicked out here today again.

We have to admit that it was beautiful, two more, of the big ones in Europe, are coming to this Euro2020.
If Spain and Italy leave the competition today, it will be a historic Euro2020!

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July 02, 2021, 02:27:29 PM
 #3732

Belgium vs Italy

3,25 - 3,10 - 2,43

Both teams in this tournament look very good and I would rate their chances as equal. Therefore, in this pair, the rate on Belgium looks like an underestimated one.
It will be a tight and balance match. Do you think of a secret weapon of Italy, a former bank staff, Gianni Vio?

Italy’s secret weapon is Gianni Vio, a former banker who created the 4,830 set-piece routine for Euro 2020.
He has many weird, creative set-piece routines for Italian players.


I think there are a lot of strategists on the Belgian side as well who come up with different combinations.

in my humble opinion, my dear.. italy go to win
because italy is more strong than belgium, is more team than belgium..


I'm not saying this because I'm Italian

in any case you can never know, see Switzerland: D

 Grin Even if that were the case, have you seen how many favorites have already been destroyed by weaker teams?

I dont think Switzerland will play closed football against Spain. They didnt defend against France so i think they will even attack Spain in this match. Spain for me is an easy win today but with this EURO you never know what can really happen.

Belgium vs Italy for me is both teams to score. Hopefully this will be a good match to watch

Maybe I'm wrong, but usually Spain has problems playing against a team that is playing entirely on defense. Therefore, it makes sense to try this option against them.

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July 02, 2021, 02:47:31 PM
 #3733

Next Match Odds Comparison:

Switzerland vs Spain (Quarter finals)
02 Jul 2021 at 16:​00 UTC


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July 02, 2021, 02:54:35 PM
 #3734


is it 100% sure that Kevin De Bruyne will play today? if he is 100% fit again then Belgium would be my favourite tonight.
but I think that Italy will play a big game today and win against Belgium with 3:2. the Italian coach Roberto Mancini knows Lukaku very well from the Italian league.
that could be a very big advantage for Italy in my opinion. tonight or tonight at 11 p.m. we will know more. unless it comes to an extension and a penalty shootout.



It is still a mystery! I don't think that he will start but expect Martinez to bring him and Hazard in for the second half. Also looking forward to the match of Switzerland vs Spain, could be a more close match than that most people anticipate.



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July 02, 2021, 03:03:01 PM
 #3735

EURO 2020 Quarter-finals is here! I'm going with Switzerland and Italy. Spain didn't face strong country still at this point. They've opportunity to go through however Swiss will not let them easily to get the win, indeed an intense match is coming.  Italy one of my favorite pick, i want Italy will win so Belgium are going to be disappointed this evening.

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July 02, 2021, 03:08:31 PM
 #3736

EURO 2020 Quarter-finals is here! I'm going with Switzerland and Italy. Spain didn't face strong country still at this point. They've opportunity to go through however Swiss will not let them easily to get the win, indeed an intense match is coming.  Italy one of my favorite pick, i want Italy will win so Belgium are going to be disappointed this evening.

The Swiss players have performed exceptionally well in previous matches. If they can do the same kind of performance against Spain, they will undoubtedly win the match. But don't forget Spain's coach Luis Enrique. He will not let Switzerland win the match easily. The match between Italy and Belgium is unpredictable. Belgium is a good enough team. 

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snipie
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July 02, 2021, 03:15:52 PM
 #3737

It's going to be an interesting matches today! Hopefully Spain will punish Switzerland for the French!  Cheesy
But making a prediction about Belgium vs Italy is very difficult for me! I like the style of game of both teams, but it's impossible to tell which one is stronger! Still, I think the Italians will go ahead...
Spain to get the revenge from Switzerland over beating the French team, that sounds easy but it is not. Odds are way better for Spain, starting eleven in both teams are settled and 1 hour to go. Wonder know if Switzerland could make another surprise again Wink

SquallLeonhart
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July 02, 2021, 03:20:53 PM
 #3738

I'm doing a simple parlay today, but I might actually do live betting, as soon as a team leads, I'm backing the trailing team. If just 1 out of those bets hit should hedge all the others.

ESPN probabilities of progress:
Spain -72%
England - 71%
Denmark - 66%
Italy - 53%

So if you get odds on progress matching that = value.
I do not understand how they calculated any of this. Giving Denmark a better possibility then Italy? I mean I suppose that is because Denmark will be playing against Czech Republic which is an easier opponent compared to Italy playing Belgium which will be one of the hardest matchups for them. However I would still say that the team that has been unbeaten for how many games now (close to 30 games right?) should have a higher percentage for sure.

Plus Spain faces an easy opponent as well so I get it, but I believe England is playing an easier opponent as well and Spain hasn't been really that great, I know they have come thus far but they haven't played like they used to and I believe England has a better chance. It is football anyway, they just gave some numbers that are totally made up and "according to them" thing, so there is nothing wrong with it.

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July 02, 2021, 03:24:25 PM
 #3739

You are right. This is due to the presence of extra star players in the squad. All players want to score for themselves. And wants to increase his self-esteem. Mbappe took a lot of useless shots. Moreover, the midfielders did not cooperate properly. The coach should have coordinated the players before arranging a good squad. Then maybe France could have won the title.

Not a fan of Mbappe here but I did watch the matches and highlights and I have to say the argument that Mbappe should pass more is a bit crazy, he did his best and he assisted when he felt it was right. Not every team should play tiki taka and sometimes you can get frustrated that everyone is waiting for the best moment.

As a striker, Mbappe SHOULD be selfish and take a lot of chances.

They were in a bad formation to Swiss, that's all. And unlucky. And Swiss played so well.

I watched the whole match. Mbappe has taken many wrong shots in the match. Which were far from the goalposts. He could have passed to any other player. However, if he had been able to score from those shots, we would all be applauding him now, but players have to be careful when playing against strong teams. Missing any chance increases the chances of losing the match.

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July 02, 2021, 03:27:15 PM
 #3740

Both Spain and Switzerland are two selections that, before the end of the group phase, seemed to be one step away from elimination. Luis Enrique's Roja, after two disappointing games against Sweden and Poland, was forced to play a final against Slovakia. Vladimir Petkovic's Swiss, on the other hand, was lucky enough against the Turks, in order to hope to remain among the best third teams and get the ticket for the round of 16.
This is not the Spain it used to be a few years back, many of his players are fading away and Swiss doesn't look like a phenomenal contestant.
Still, I believe that experience will prevail and that Spain will proceed forward.

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