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Author Topic: Test Cricket Prediction and Discussion Thread [self - mod]  (Read 125759 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (6 posts by 1+ user deleted.)
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July 30, 2023, 07:10:49 PM
 #15821

There is rain once again and Aussies won't mind whether it's rain or clear skies. A draw here (due to rain) will result in series win for Australia while a win by England will result in series draw. Right now the way Aussies openers are batting, it will be an easy win for Australia. England bowling is usual, it's Aussie openers that are too good in batting today.
Rain here actually helping England. After wicketless sessions and 100+ runs opening partnership. English bowlers could use a break and come back later for another push.
Atm pitch is not offering any assistance for the seamers, they would love it if some reverse swing comes into play but it would depend on ball conditions as well. Spin doing some tricks but they can't completely rely on Moeen and Root only.
The fourth match was completely under England's control. But England could not win the match due to rain. In the end the match was a draw and the Australian team was leading the series 2-1. England batted well in the second innings. But the way Australia's two openers Warner and Usman Khawaja are batting, it seems that Australia will easily win the match. Australia need only 249 runs to win. The match is being delayed due to rain. Even if this match is a draw, England will suffer. Maybe they don't have to lose this match. But Australia will win the series.
I think Rain gods have really been against England this time, a winning match in the previous test for England went into the trash can after rains. Once again today went into vain after rains and as I can see the forecast, tomorrow looks like a washed day as well, so it's bad luck this time that is going to cause England the whole series I believe.

There is a chance of rain tomorrow too. And more importantly, Australia has yet to lose a single wicket. However, collecting 249 runs is not a difficult task for Australia. However, Australia's target will be to draw the match. Because they can win the series only if they are able to draw the match. Luck is probably not with England. Now maybe the match will be a draw or England will lose. England's chances of winning are slim. The series is likely to be England's to lose.

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July 30, 2023, 07:11:07 PM
 #15822

I think if Australian oppner khawaja and Warner play long continuously tomorrow then possiblity of thier victory will goes high, as because they just required 249 with a 10 wicket in hand, while thier opening pair scored more than 130 runs partnership with half century of both of thier player which is not really good for England because they are already behind by 2-1 and this defeat will not only push them down but will cause of ashes defeat too, so now the only solution for England Bowler is to broke the ongoing partnership in order to avoid the danger and for next few overs should focus on taking quick wickets to get into the game .

It looks like English team is in danger as game is going in favour of Australia. The only result England want is a win here, England already 2-1 down in the series. 4th day play was halted because of rain. On such surface its difficult to bat on but both Australian openers are batting comfortably. First session of tomorrow play is important for England, if they weren't able to pick wickets then its over and out for them.
I think England was also not expecting how good Australia will start second inining. 384 is good target on this patch as all first two ininings both team unable to score three hundred. now Australia will be happy with this condition. only one day game remains and Australia already on top with 2-1 leads. after winning this match they will lead 3-1. If match drawn due to rain, Australia will still in benefits and they will win the series.

as you says, england should make strong strategy tomorrow to pick up wickets of these two well sets batsmen to put pressure. now this match become like low scoring game and most of the times its happen that team all outs. Winning odds for England is now less than 30%.

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July 30, 2023, 08:57:07 PM
Last edit: August 04, 2023, 05:55:04 PM by RewFrew
 #15823

Australia's two opening batsmen will have a great chance to win against England with this great performance of Australia today. England bowling performance is not a very good one as the bowling is completed till 38 overs but no wickets fall. England team must win with bowling performance to ensure victory because Chris Woakes has done great bowling performance at the moment so he should bowl more. But there are many bowlers who have scored massive runs that should be kept between breaks for now.
Australia's game quality is still very good and they are yet to lose a wicket and complete 135 runs they need only 249 runs to win.  I guess they can manage this run.  Australia have played 4 matches with England before, in those matches England won only 1 time and Australia won 2 times and 1 match was drawn.  However, coming to the 5th match, Australia has a lot of chances to win this time.  David Warner and Usman Khawaja continue to play without getting out.  They will cross 150 runs very quickly and even if they get out after that, there will be no problem as the rest of the players can manage the rest of the runs
Actually Australian team are very strong. Their game quality is fantastic. Their need to only 249 run to win. I think it will be very easy for Australian cricket team. Two opener till now bot out. Usman and warner are playing well. Usman dwarn 69 runs and warnar did 58 runs. England bowling line Performance is now well i think. If England team want to come back they need improve bowling line. And also batting line need improve for win next match. And Australia continue this quality i think Australia will be win. I wish for both team.

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July 30, 2023, 09:06:08 PM
 #15824

Australia's two opening batsmen will have a great chance to win against England with this great performance of Australia today. England bowling performance is not a very good one as the bowling is completed till 38 overs but no wickets fall. England team must win with bowling performance to ensure victory because Chris Woakes has done great bowling performance at the moment so he should bowl more. But there are many bowlers who have scored massive runs that should be kept between breaks for now.
Australia's game quality is still very good and they are yet to lose a wicket and complete 135 runs they need only 249 runs to win.  I guess they can manage this run.  Australia have played 4 matches with England before, in those matches England won only 1 time and Australia won 2 times and 1 match was drawn.  However, coming to the 5th match, Australia has a lot of chances to win this time.  David Warner and Usman Khawaja continue to play without getting out.  They will cross 150 runs very quickly and even if they get out after that, there will be no problem as the rest of the players can manage the rest of the runs
Actually Australian team are very strong. Their game quality is fantastic. Their need to only 249 run to win. I think it will be very easy for Australian cricket team. Two opener till now bot out. Usman and warner are playing well. Usman dwarn 69 runs and warnar did 58 runs. If Australia continue this quality i think Australia will be win. I wish for both team.
Australia team had opened the innings really well. For a run chase close to 400 runs solid opening is the must. Australia have got the same in this match. Next thing is the middle order performance to stand wicket if there falls few quick wickets. When the team is able to execute this perfectly, then the team can easily reach the target. More 249 runs required with a day's play of 98 overs left and 10 wickets in hand seems a win for Australia. Lets see if the England bowlers can make some miracles.

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July 31, 2023, 12:03:35 AM
 #15825

There is a chance of rain tomorrow too. And more importantly, Australia has yet to lose a single wicket. However, collecting 249 runs is not a difficult task for Australia. However, Australia's target will be to draw the match. Because they can win the series only if they are able to draw the match. Luck is probably not with England. Now maybe the match will be a draw or England will lose. England's chances of winning are slim. The series is likely to be England's to lose.

To my surprise, the Australian opening pair have collected 135 runs and they have not lost any wickets. David Warner playing on 58 and Usman Khawaja on 69 not out, look perfect to chase down this total but the only threat to them is the rain on the fifth and final day of this test match. Australia will be hoping that there is no rain and I am sure that they will chase this target easily.

On the other hand, if this match is also become affected by the rain, even then Australia will be the one will be the Ashes 2023 winner. So, either way, it will be a joyous moment for them, although they would want to win this match too.

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July 31, 2023, 03:10:21 AM
 #15826

90 overs remaining, and Australia needs another 249 runs, with 10 wickets in hand. Now the equation seems more in favor of Australia, when compared to the one we had yesterday (180 overs, 384 to win with 10 wickets in hand). I would still be cautious rather than saying that Australia is having the upper hand here. Biggest obstacle that stands between England and a win here is the fact that the Poms doesn't have a quality spinner for the 5th day. Joe Root can do a lot of damage, but there is no one who could provide support from the other end.

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July 31, 2023, 05:27:18 AM
 #15827

What a comeback by Australia! Warner finally converted a decent start into something more meaningful while Khawaja is playing well too on the other end. However, I still think it's 50-50 at this point.

I just hope rain doesn't interfere and screw another test since this one looks like it will be a cracking match till the end.

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July 31, 2023, 07:29:22 AM
 #15828

Usman Khawaja and David Warner are batting with great skill as they put on a 135-run opening partnership. England's bowlers have become helpless against these two batsmen. Australia marching towards victory. They need 249 runs to win again. Play is temporarily suspended due to rain. Hopefully the rain won't stop play for long. There are still 48 overs left in the fourth day's play. The game of cricket is unpredictable. If England fail to dismiss the Australian batsmen,they will lose the match. England need to take 4 wickets today to move on to victory. According to me both teams have a chance to win.
The result of the last match may not go in England's favor as Australia are still in the driving position of the fifth Test. England must do well on the fifth day because if they don't pick up some wickets quickly then the result of this match will surely go against England. Still the result of this match can go in favor of any team as many runs are still needed to win if the Australian batsmen do not make mistakes then Australia has more chances to win this match. But if England can pick up a few wickets early on the fifth day, the match will once again be a tight affair. England must win this match to level the series in the fifth Test match.

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July 31, 2023, 08:00:24 AM
 #15829

What a comeback by Australia! Warner finally converted a decent start into something more meaningful while Khawaja is playing well too on the other end. However, I still think it's 50-50 at this point.

I just hope rain doesn't interfere and screw another test since this one looks like it will be a cracking match till the end.
Today 5th day is very important for Australia as today three sessions Australia need to perform well and collect 249 runs. On the other hand, England have to be bowled out before 249 runs.  As Australia are doing better in their second innings than the first innings, it will be very difficult for England to get all out. David Warner 58* and Usman Khawaja 69* started the innings brilliantly and they are unbeaten so far.
Rain is now acting as an important factor in this final Ashes Test. As the 4th Test was drawn due to rain, now in the 5th Test also that rain stopped play on the fourth day.  However, if today's fifth day is not played due to rain interruption, Australia will win the series by 2-1.

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July 31, 2023, 08:23:10 AM
 #15830

90 overs remaining, and Australia needs another 249 runs, with 10 wickets in hand. Now the equation seems more in favor of Australia, when compared to the one we had yesterday (180 overs, 384 to win with 10 wickets in hand). I would still be cautious rather than saying that Australia is having the upper hand here. Biggest obstacle that stands between England and a win here is the fact that the Poms doesn't have a quality spinner for the 5th day. Joe Root can do a lot of damage, but there is no one who could provide support from the other end.

There is Moeen Ali also who has picked 201 wickets in test cricket. Moeen Ali wasn't given ball in first innings but now he is bowling in second innings. Nothing has worked for England bowlers so far as both Usman Khawaja and Warner are in lethal mood and scoring runs all around. There are little hopes for England as batsmen like Smith and Marnus Labuschagne still to come.
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July 31, 2023, 10:33:47 AM
 #15831

England finally managed to pick up David Warner's wicket early in the fifth day's game against Australia. This wicket was very important for England as David Warner and Usman Khawaja were gradually becoming menacing on the wicket and finally the England bowlers were able to break this crucial opening partnership. There is no option for England to pick up a few more wickets very quickly if they are to get back into this match. Usman Khawaja is still unbeaten on 72 wickets and needs to be dismissed as soon as possible. At this moment, if Australia can build a good partnership again, then England will completely walk away from this match.
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July 31, 2023, 10:45:28 AM
 #15832

See I told you guys that this break will help the English bowler.

6 overs in the morning and they got both the openers in quick succession. Now Poms are back in the game and they should maintain the pressure on the Marnus -Smith duo and try not to give easy runs to this pair.


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July 31, 2023, 11:06:23 AM
 #15833

England finally managed to pick up David Warner's wicket early in the fifth day's game against Australia. This wicket was very important for England as David Warner and Usman Khawaja were gradually becoming menacing on the wicket and finally the England bowlers were able to break this crucial opening partnership. There is no option for England to pick up a few more wickets very quickly if they are to get back into this match. Usman Khawaja is still unbeaten on 72 wickets and needs to be dismissed as soon as possible. At this moment, if Australia can build a good partnership again, then England will completely walk away from this match.

Australia has two new batsmen in the middle. This is a rebuilding state for Australia. I did predict that Australia is going to lose the open hours quickly on the 5th day. Now it will be interesting to see if Australia can form a good partnership. Right now Australia need 231 runs from 91.2 overs. Australia will have to make sure that they do not lose quick wickets. If they have wickets in hand this total is going to be very much achievable for them. On the other hand, England is going to try to pick up wickets as regularly as possible. England cannot let any Australian batsmen get set in the middle.

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July 31, 2023, 11:18:29 AM
 #15834

Australia has two new batsmen in the middle. This is a rebuilding state for Australia. I did predict that Australia is going to lose the open hours quickly on the 5th day. Now it will be interesting to see if Australia can form a good partnership. Right now Australia need 231 runs from 91.2 overs. Australia will have to make sure that they do not lose quick wickets. If they have wickets in hand this total is going to be very much achievable for them. On the other hand, England is going to try to pick up wickets as regularly as possible. England cannot let any Australian batsmen get set in the middle.

England got important wicket of Marnus Labuschagne also. England have done right thing by picking 3 quick wickets. Steven Smith is batting along with Travis Head. Still 209 more runs to get and if England can get important wicket of Stege Smith then it will be very difficult for Australia to win this game. England need to get rid of Smith as quickly as possible.
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July 31, 2023, 11:27:39 AM
 #15835

Australia are failing to hold on to their wickets. At the start of the fifth day's play Australia lost 3 crucial wickets to add just 29 runs. The match is going to be exciting. England needed just 7 wickets to win and Australia needed 199 runs to win. Smith and Head are there at the crease but it remains to be seen how long they can last. These two have to put up a 150+ run partnership then Australia will be able to win the match. If these two players play 40+ overs,it will be a big obstacle for England to win. Hopefully the rain will not be a hindrance.
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July 31, 2023, 11:49:37 AM
 #15836

Australia are failing to hold on to their wickets. At the start of the fifth day's play Australia lost 3 crucial wickets to add just 29 runs. The match is going to be exciting. England needed just 7 wickets to win and Australia needed 199 runs to win. Smith and Head are there at the crease but it remains to be seen how long they can last. These two have to put up a 150+ run partnership then Australia will be able to win the match. If these two players play 40+ overs,it will be a big obstacle for England to win. Hopefully the rain will not be a hindrance.

Australia lost their first wicket for 140 runs and the team lost 3 wickets to collect 169 runs. But now Steven Smith and Travis Head are batting responsibly. Australia team has already collected 210 runs. Australia lost only three wickets. But Australia still need 174 runs to win. Collecting 174 runs will not be an easy task for Australia. If England can pick up the wickets of Smith and Travis Head quickly, Australia will be under a lot of pressure. I think both teams have chances to win this match now. The match cannot be said to be under Australia's control. Such Test matches are very exciting and enjoyable.

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July 31, 2023, 12:07:07 PM
Last edit: July 31, 2023, 12:31:11 PM by JSRAW
 #15837

Very nice of SONY to show only the last 5 balls every over.  Grin

Every time there is a boundary on the first ball. I see that only in the replay. Using JIO so maybe their ads are messing up with the feed.

Head is looking good, won't be a bad idea if he plays the role of aggressor and Smith stays there as an anchor.


Edit

Woah!! What a big moment. Another interesting take, Stokes wasn't in control and dropped the ball.

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July 31, 2023, 12:30:44 PM
 #15838

70 more overs to go but Australia need 147 runs to secure victory. If there is only one hindrance, the match is likely to be a draw, but it is impossible to say whether that rain is likely to happen. Australia have two more sessions to go but need only 147 runs to score. Steven Smith and Travis Head remain unbeaten with 39 and 31 respectively. England have no chance but to go all out. But it is impossible for England to all out Australia so quickly.

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July 31, 2023, 01:10:36 PM
 #15839

70 more overs to go but Australia need 147 runs to secure victory. If there is only one hindrance, the match is likely to be a draw, but it is impossible to say whether that rain is likely to happen. Australia have two more sessions to go but need only 147 runs to score. Steven Smith and Travis Head remain unbeaten with 39 and 31 respectively. England have no chance but to go all out. But it is impossible for England to all out Australia so quickly.
Lunch Break, Australia scored 238 runs for the loss of 3 wickets. Australia need 146 runs to win with 7 wickets in hand. David Warner was out for 60 runs, Usman Khawaja was out for 72 runs, Marnus Labuschagne was out for 13 runs. If both Travis Head and Steven Smith play well, Australia will have more chances. Steven Smith play well in Tests, scored 70 runs in 1st innings, so far unbeaten with 40 runs in 2nd innings, his average run rate in Tests is 58 plus. England did not bowl well, Chris Woakes took 2 wicket, Mark Wood took 1 wickets. I think Australia is more likely to win.
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July 31, 2023, 01:31:06 PM
 #15840

Australia put in a great batting performance today and there is no doubt that they will reach the target set by England. The match is currently suspended due to rain, play will be suspended until the rain ends. On the fifth day, Australia put in a good batting performance towards their win but England have yet to perform as well as Australia. So far Australia have scored 238 runs for the loss of 3 wickets and they are showing a great game today. Still Australia have enough wickets and not too many runs to reach their target of victory, 146 runs will help them to reach the target of victory. At the moment two Australian batsmen Travis Head and Steven Smith are batting well, surely they will score runs for the team brilliantly.

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