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Author Topic: Test Cricket Prediction and Discussion Thread [self - mod]  (Read 189686 times)
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July 29, 2023, 04:11:18 PM
 #15721

England are playing well with both the bat and ball and truly deserve to win this finale. They got really unlucky in the last test thanks to rain since they could have won this series if they win this ongoing test.

Overall, another great Ashes which was almost perfect!
Had the fourth Test not been rained out, England would have won and the Tests would have been tied. The winner and loser of the fifth test was decided by the team that did better in batting and bowling.
But the way England is batting aggressively in ODI style, then it can be safely said that England is batting aggressively to defeat Australia. By the last update of England's second innings, England had scored 277 runs and managed to take a lead of 265 runs.
England did not play that well in the first innings but on the other hand Australia also managed to collect only a few runs more than England in the first innings.  Coming to the second innings England are playing very well they scored 327 runs and lost only 4 wickets.  This suggests that they can score more than 450 runs.  Although Australia is a good team but if England can score above 450 runs in the second innings then Australia will be under a lot of pressure and it will be very challenging to win the match.

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July 29, 2023, 04:30:17 PM
 #15722


By the end of the first innings for both the England and Australian teams, the match was almost evenly poised and it now all depends upon the second innings of both the teams that will decide the fate of this test match.

Right now I will favor the England team as they have started well in the 2nd innings and scored 87 runs with a loss on only one wicket. They lose their first wicket just now when Ben Duckett was out making 42 runs. Zak Crawley is also looking good at 40 runs and above all, the England team is looking aggressive and wants to score quickly. The more they score without losing wickets, the more pressure on the Australian team will increase.

England are right on the top at the moment as they have scored 336 runs for the loss of 5 wickets. England are scoring runs with 5 runs per over. Joe Root was victim of nervous 90's,  he got out at 91 runs. Still 20 more overs to be bowled today and England will definitely take the lead to 400 before stumps of day 3. It will not be easy to chase a target of 400 runs against in form English team that's desperate to draw Ashes.

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July 29, 2023, 05:00:35 PM
 #15723

ENG 364/6 with a lead of 352, putting themselves in a strong position to win the 5th test. If ENG do level the series and win the 5th test it’d be a real shame because rightfully they should have won The Ashes. Only rain would have helped AUS retain them because ENG were battering them in the 4th test before rain intervened. It’ll be interesting to see how the final test plays out.

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July 29, 2023, 05:22:14 PM
 #15724

ENG 364/6 with a lead of 352, putting themselves in a strong position to win the 5th test. If ENG do level the series and win the 5th test it’d be a real shame because rightfully they should have won The Ashes. Only rain would have helped AUS retain them because ENG were battering them in the 4th test before rain intervened. It’ll be interesting to see how the final test plays out.

England's batsmen did not play well in the first innings, but they did not make any mistakes in the second innings. England's batsmen have batted well. Especially England's top order played very well. Every batsman had a good strike rate in the Test match as well. England collected 375 runs in 77 overs. England team will probably be able to provide a target of 380-390 runs. And on such a pitch it is a very good target. England's chances of winning are high if the bowlers are able to bowl controlled bowling from the beginning of the innings. The series is likely to end at 2-2.

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July 29, 2023, 05:31:43 PM
 #15725

ENG 364/6 with a lead of 352, putting themselves in a strong position to win the 5th test. If ENG do level the series and win the 5th test it’d be a real shame because rightfully they should have won The Ashes. Only rain would have helped AUS retain them because ENG were battering them in the 4th test before rain intervened. It’ll be interesting to see how the final test plays out.
England also played very well in the 4th match but that match ended up being a draw.  However, in the first match, England started well in the second innings, but in the end, they did not seem to be able to sustain their good performance.  Their current score of 340/9 is not a very good score. I think Australia can easily overcome it. With just one wicket to go, England look unlikely to cross 400 as their best batsmen are already got out.

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July 29, 2023, 05:37:42 PM
 #15726

ENG 364/6 with a lead of 352, putting themselves in a strong position to win the 5th test. If ENG do level the series and win the 5th test it’d be a real shame because rightfully they should have won The Ashes. Only rain would have helped AUS retain them because ENG were battering them in the 4th test before rain intervened. It’ll be interesting to see how the final test plays out.
That's the game of cricket. Weather always is a barrier in literally every format of the game, but it especially is horrendous in tests. Australia got really lucky here for sure, but England got lucky in the past too.

Remember the 2019 controversial ODI WC final? NZ got screwed by England in a similar fashion.

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July 29, 2023, 06:26:02 PM
 #15727

ENG 364/6 with a lead of 352, putting themselves in a strong position to win the 5th test. If ENG do level the series and win the 5th test it’d be a real shame because rightfully they should have won The Ashes. Only rain would have helped AUS retain them because ENG were battering them in the 4th test before rain intervened. It’ll be interesting to see how the final test plays out.
England also played very well in the 4th match but that match ended up being a draw.  However, in the first match, England started well in the second innings, but in the end, they did not seem to be able to sustain their good performance.  Their current score of 340/9 is not a very good score. I think Australia can easily overcome it. With just one wicket to go, England look unlikely to cross 400 as their best batsmen are already got out.

At the end of the third day, the England team collected 389 runs. And they managed to take a lead of 377 runs. And I think that's enough to win. However, Australia's two bowlers, Mitchell Starc and Todd Murphy, bowled brilliantly. Starc managed to pick up 4 wickets and Murphy 3 wickets. However, the outcome of the match will depend on the performance of Australia's batsmen. It is difficult to bat well in the last innings. It is not an easy task to score 400 runs in the last innings on such a pitch. I think England will win this match. But still the chances of both teams winning are 50-50.

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July 29, 2023, 06:50:29 PM
 #15728

At the end of the third day, the England team collected 389 runs. And they managed to take a lead of 377 runs. And I think that's enough to win. However, Australia's two bowlers, Mitchell Starc and Todd Murphy, bowled brilliantly. Starc managed to pick up 4 wickets and Murphy 3 wickets. However, the outcome of the match will depend on the performance of Australia's batsmen. It is difficult to bat well in the last innings. It is not an easy task to score 400 runs in the last innings on such a pitch. I think England will win this match. But still the chances of both teams winning are 50-50.

England have a lead of 377 runs and they may or may not able to add 10 to 15 runs tomorrow since they have only one wicket left. England lost the track when Joe Root got out and after that wickets kept falling. The lead must be over 400 runs at the end of 3rd days play. I dont think England are in safe zone if they give a target of 380 runs tomorrow as Australians have a strong batting line and they are capable of chasing such totals quite easily.

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July 29, 2023, 07:18:01 PM
 #15729

At the end of the third day, the England team collected 389 runs. And they managed to take a lead of 377 runs. And I think that's enough to win. However, Australia's two bowlers, Mitchell Starc and Todd Murphy, bowled brilliantly. Starc managed to pick up 4 wickets and Murphy 3 wickets. However, the outcome of the match will depend on the performance of Australia's batsmen. It is difficult to bat well in the last innings. It is not an easy task to score 400 runs in the last innings on such a pitch. I think England will win this match. But still the chances of both teams winning are 50-50.

England have a lead of 377 runs and they may or may not able to add 10 to 15 runs tomorrow since they have only one wicket left. England lost the track when Joe Root got out and after that wickets kept falling. The lead must be over 400 runs at the end of 3rd days play. I dont think England are in safe zone if they give a target of 380 runs tomorrow as Australians have a strong batting line and they are capable of chasing such totals quite easily.
Believe it or not it's v
ENG 364/6 with a lead of 352, putting themselves in a strong position to win the 5th test. If ENG do level the series and win the 5th test it’d be a real shame because rightfully they should have won The Ashes. Only rain would have helped AUS retain them because ENG were battering them in the 4th test before rain intervened. It’ll be interesting to see how the final test plays out.
England also played very well in the 4th match but that match ended up being a draw.  However, in the first match, England started well in the second innings, but in the end, they did not seem to be able to sustain their good performance.  Their current score of 340/9 is not a very good score. I think Australia can easily overcome it. With just one wicket to go, England look unlikely to cross 400 as their best batsmen are already got out.

At the end of the third day, the England team collected 389 runs. And they managed to take a lead of 377 runs. And I think that's enough to win. However, Australia's two bowlers, Mitchell Starc and Todd Murphy, bowled brilliantly. Starc managed to pick up 4 wickets and Murphy 3 wickets. However, the outcome of the match will depend on the performance of Australia's batsmen. It is difficult to bat well in the last innings. It is not an easy task to score 400 runs in the last innings on such a pitch. I think England will win this match. But still the chances of both teams winning are 50-50.
From here it's not even 50-50 chasing target of more than 350 is impossible no matter which track you are on. Also England bowling was pretty good in the first innings as well so i don't see any chance for Aussies in this match now. I belive best bet for Aussies might be to bat as slow and carefully as possible to make it closer to a draw.
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July 29, 2023, 08:33:30 PM
 #15730

At the end of the third day, the England team collected 389 runs. And they managed to take a lead of 377 runs. And I think that's enough to win. However, Australia's two bowlers, Mitchell Starc and Todd Murphy, bowled brilliantly. Starc managed to pick up 4 wickets and Murphy 3 wickets. However, the outcome of the match will depend on the performance of Australia's batsmen. It is difficult to bat well in the last innings. It is not an easy task to score 400 runs in the last innings on such a pitch. I think England will win this match. But still the chances of both teams winning are 50-50.
England have a lead of 377 runs and they may or may not able to add 10 to 15 runs tomorrow since they have only one wicket left. England lost the track when Joe Root got out and after that wickets kept falling. The lead must be over 400 runs at the end of 3rd days play. I dont think England are in safe zone if they give a target of 380 runs tomorrow as Australians have a strong batting line and they are capable of chasing such totals quite easily.
Although Stuart Broad and James Anderson are known as bowlers, They can also perform good batting. Stuart Broad has a Test batting career high score of 169 to his name. On the other hand James Anderson has a good innings record of 81 runs. So expecting 10 to 15 runs from their partnership is not impossible. If they can be set on the pitch then the score will be more. Australia is a good team and in their favor it is not too difficult to score according to the target.

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July 29, 2023, 09:32:39 PM
 #15731

Chasing 377+ runs looks daunting in 4th inning but we still have full 2 days left in this match. A small shower could play into England's hand.

Ofc, England will have to search for 10 wickets but this could be tricky as well because when the opposition has more than enough time to bat, then anything is possible. A fair amount of teams had done this in the past on rank turners or spicy seam-bouncy wickets.

This wicket seems to have enough purchase for batters and looks like it's becoming easy to bat on, at least the scorecard pointing towards it.   

First inning - 283
second inning - 295
Third inning -377 and counting

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July 29, 2023, 11:14:50 PM
 #15732

Once again England have got an opportunity to win the match. We don't know how far this is gonna happen in favour of England, because they've been experiencing bad luck unable to win the match which is completely in their hands. Already 377 runs leading and we can expect this to reach a maximum of 400 runs as Anderson and Broad were on the crease. Very few chases have taken place crossing 400+ runs and with two complete days left Australia will try to win the match and win the series.
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July 29, 2023, 11:53:07 PM
 #15733

England is again back into the match and they played a much better innings in their second innings where their entire batting line up contributed to the score except Harry Brook and from conceding a lead in the first innings, now they are on the process of setting Australia a target of around 400 runs which is an impossible task for them to defend for the next two days and i really doubt whether they will be able to chase them down.
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July 29, 2023, 11:57:33 PM
 #15734

England is again back into the match and they played a much better innings in their second innings where their entire batting line up contributed to the score except Harry Brook and from conceding a lead in the first innings, now they are on the process of setting Australia a target of around 400 runs which is an impossible task for them to defend for the next two days and i really doubt whether they will be able to chase them down.
Of course England is in driven seat.
But England's score could have been a little bigger but we were very surprised by their T20 and ODI style of Test playing. Every England player has batted in ODI style only to set a big target. However, England's lower order batsmen did not achieve much success rather they got out very quickly and set England back from a big target.
Two lower-order batsmen, Stuart Broad and James Anderson, remain unbeaten for the fourth day but their unbeaten streak will not be very likely. In this case, Australia will get a chance to bat for two whole days. If Australia can continue their batting for two days then it will be easy for Australia to win this match. On the other hand, for England to win this match, Australia will have to go all out. However, the target of 377+ runs in front of Australia is by no means small but a challenging one.

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July 29, 2023, 11:59:51 PM
 #15735

England is again back into the match and they played a much better innings in their second innings where their entire batting line up contributed to the score except Harry Brook and from conceding a lead in the first innings, now they are on the process of setting Australia a target of around 400 runs which is an impossible task for them to defend for the next two days and i really doubt whether they will be able to chase them down.
The recent highest score chase happened in the year 2021 against Bangladesh by West Indies (395/7). In the chase a strong scoring should come from few players or the entire team should have their contribution. In such chase te top order should provide the right start and the middle order should accelerate and keep the score coming. However the weather conditions need to favour and with this chasing can be made easier, but this doesn't happen as the team will be with added pressure in the last innings.
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July 30, 2023, 01:08:07 AM
 #15736

Two days remain for the 5th and final Ashes test, which means that even if there is some rain interruption we should get a result. The only thing that may deny England a win is the fact that they don't have a quality full-time spinner. Joe Root have been fantastic with the ball so far in this series, but he never received any support from the other end (especially from Moeen Ali, who seems to be injured). Also, James Anderson has been in poor form. In this test also, he has picked up only one wicket, and that too at the cost of 67 runs. 

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July 30, 2023, 05:09:08 AM
 #15737

First inning - 283
second inning - 295
Third inning -377 and counting

There is still one wicket left and England would like to make as many runs as possible and there would be no hurry to declare as there are still full 2 days left in this test match and it is enough time for either England to get 10 wickets or for the Australians to chase around 400 runs in the final innings.

Stuart Broad announced his retirement yesterday and this would be his last test match. Man, wouldn't he wish to win the last test for this team?
Remember he bowled 20 overs and took 2 wickets in the first innings when Australians were batting.

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onecall123
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July 30, 2023, 05:40:10 AM
 #15738

A fantastic day for England but slightly discolored by a late collapse. However, England remain a strong contenders and most likely to get victory. Anyway, Australia's defensive approach quite alarming, and a bit of disappointing. It will be interesting to see how they will play for the remaining two days of the test match. England just needs to maintain their concentration! Even if they manage a draw, they should still be proud. So good to watch last two days match.
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July 30, 2023, 06:36:36 AM
 #15739

England are playing well with both the bat and ball and truly deserve to win this finale. They got really unlucky in the last test thanks to rain since they could have won this series if they win this ongoing test.

Overall, another great Ashes which was almost perfect!
Had the fourth Test not been rained out, England would have won and the Tests would have been tied. The winner and loser of the fifth test was decided by the team that did better in batting and bowling.
But the way England is batting aggressively in ODI style, then it can be safely said that England is batting aggressively to defeat Australia. By the last update of England's second innings, England had scored 277 runs and managed to take a lead of 265 runs.
England saved many series in a similar fashion. I remember a few, in recent memory, it was against India in Nottingham (1st test-2021 India tour of England-). India needed just 150 runs and had 9 wickets in the bank and then it rained. The series ended with a 2-2 scoreline.

The point is it happens to everyone and we should just move on.


Even if England fail to win the series against Australia, they may be able to save themselves from losing this series. Australia is leading by 377 runs in the second innings. When the fourth day's play begins, England may go back into batting as they still have one wicket left in their hands. If the runs scored by England so far and the current score is a target for Australia then England will be way ahead of Australia in this match. It will be very difficult for Australia to win by 378 runs against a team like England. I initially think that England will win this match and the result of this Test series will remain undecided.

R


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July 30, 2023, 10:47:20 AM
 #15740

Stuart Broad announced his retirement from all forms of Cricket after this final test. He hit a six at the end in style. I don't like his personality one bit, but I will miss his bowling in tests.

Am expecting Woakes or Broad to remove Warner as usual. This final test might go down to the wire, but England will still probably end up winning.

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