Donetsk, Kharkov, Lugansk - way to Russia.

[Nemo1024]

50th humanitarian aid convoy delivered to Donbass!

Video from Graham Philips:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X5WicrSTWRI&list=TLfiQvAd0r7KcyOTAzMjAxNg

[bryant.coleman]

50th humanitarian aid convoy delivered to Donbass!

Time to stop these convoys and start some productive activity in the Donbass. The Russian government should help the LNR and DNR to repair and renovate the factories and mining units. This will provide the local inhabitants with jobs and wages, and the local authorities will also benefit in the form of increase in tax revenues.

[Nemo1024]

50th humanitarian aid convoy delivered to Donbass!

Time to stop these convoys and start some productive activity in the Donbass. The Russian government should help the LNR and DNR to repair and renovate the factories and mining units. This will provide the local inhabitants with jobs and wages, and the local authorities will also benefit in the form of increase in tax revenues.

Well, Russia does that - a large portion of those convoys are the construction material for the rebuilding.

The problem is, Kiev is still gradually intensifying the military activity, and peace is needed before any serious rebuilding can take place - otherwise you rebuild something today, and get a Grad barrage tomorrow.

I can recommend the following article by Rostislav Ishchenko. (Ukrainian politologist in exile, President of the Centre for System Analysis and Prognosis)

https://cont.ws/post/237534

It's in Russian (use Google translate).

The gist: Kiev needs an all out war to postpone the inevitable demise, and to get at least some money from the West. Small provocations fail to draw Russian response (even downing of Russian jet by Turkey didn't draw a military response - only a diplomatic one), so Kiev may go for an all-out large-scale provocation, which Russia may not be able to ignore.

[bryant.coleman]

The problem is, Kiev is still gradually intensifying the military activity, and peace is needed before any serious rebuilding can take place - otherwise you rebuild something today, and get a Grad barrage tomorrow.

The Minsk agreement itself was a failure. The frontline must have been pushed back further to the west before declaring the ceasefire. Right now the line of control runs through the western suburbs of both Donetsk city and the Lugansk city, making these two population centers extremely vulnerable to grad bombardment from the Kiev Nazis.

[Rizla2345]

The problem is, Kiev is still gradually intensifying the military activity, and peace is needed before any serious rebuilding can take place - otherwise you rebuild something today, and get a Grad barrage tomorrow.

The Minsk agreement itself was a failure. The frontline must have been pushed back further to the west before declaring the ceasefire. Right now the line of control runs through the western suburbs of both Donetsk city and the Lugansk city, making these two population centers extremely vulnerable to grad bombardment from the Kiev Nazis.

So, it´s essentially a stalemate. How long can that go on? Same for Crimea. If there´s supposed to have been violations of International Law, why haven´t those that claim the violations brought this before the International Court of Justice? It has been two years. Maybe they feel that they don´t really have a case.

[bryant.coleman]

The problem is, Kiev is still gradually intensifying the military activity, and peace is needed before any serious rebuilding can take place - otherwise you rebuild something today, and get a Grad barrage tomorrow.

The Minsk agreement itself was a failure. The frontline must have been pushed back further to the west before declaring the ceasefire. Right now the line of control runs through the western suburbs of both Donetsk city and the Lugansk city, making these two population centers extremely vulnerable to grad bombardment from the Kiev Nazis.

So, it´s essentially a stalemate. How long can that go on? Same for Crimea. If there´s supposed to have been violations of International Law, why haven´t those that claim the violations brought this before the International Court of Justice? It has been two years. Maybe they feel that they don´t really have a case.

The situation in Donbass is different from that in Crimea. In Crimea, the Russian-Ukrainian border is clearly delineated, and there is no violence. Also, the border regions are sparsely populated and there are no major urban centers nearby. But the border situation is very volatile in Donbass and there is frequent shelling.

[galdur]

....."Americans prepared very seriously and thoroughly for their entrance into Crimea, - said a member of the Federation Council Committee on defense and security, Dmitry Sablin. - A year before the events on Maidan in Kiev, they made repair estimates of a number of buildings in Sevastopol and in Simferopol, where they planned to house the headquarters and intelligence units. Military airfields and garrisons, which then belonged to Ukraine, they considered as their own military installations and even sent instructions for their conversion to NATO standards. In the plans of the U.S. military April 2014 was the start time of upgrades in Crimea. It seemed to them that the issue has been settled. But the referendum had thrown off their plans, and on March 18, Crimea became Russian again, where the overseas guests were no longer welcome. Americans later themselves acknowledged that the Russians outplayed them on all counts. Well, and from helplessness [they] imposed sanctions — as a revenge for Crimea".

Even Western experts, who could not be accused of friendliness to Russia, say that Americans planned to create a powerful military base in Crimea. And if you consider the fact that 2017 was the deadline for an agreement with Ukraine on the lease of the Russian fleet of Sevastopol as a naval base, the U.S. would have gained complete dominance in the Black sea. From the territory of Crimea, Voronezh and Moscow can be easily targeted, and, if necessary, even ... Turkey.

"After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Turkey once again began to consider Crimea as part of the Turkic world. Today Ankara openly supports the part of the Crimean Tatar Mejlis, which organizes events for the blockade of Crimea, financing the armed formations on the territory of Kherson region who organize provocations on the Russian-Ukrainian border, says the head of the Crimean research center of the Institute of Oriental studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Alexander Vasiliev. But here Turkey, as a NATO country, has a conflict of interest with the "big brother" - the USA. Americans prefer to act independently in the Black sea and would unlikely let Turkey "steer" in Crimea, except on the conditions of confrontation with the Russian part of the population of the peninsula. It is possible that Ankara could even break relations with Washington, because it nourishes the sole claim to Crimea". ....

http://www.sott.net/article/314886-Retrospective-How-Russia-ruined-US-plans-in-Crimea

[Rizla2345]

Uh, oh better start digging the trenches before Moscow, the big summer offensive is being planned....

Turchinov says that Russia would not last four days in a war with Ukraine

Alexander Turchinov, Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, has responded to the statement by the Speaker of the State Duma of Russia Sergei Naryshkin, who said that if Russia were to enter into a military conflict with Ukraine, it wouldn't last four days.
On his social network page Turchynov wrote that fighting with a country like Ukraine, Russia would not last four days.
Recall that in July last year, the chairman of the State Duma Naryshkin noted that Russia is not involved in the conflict in Ukraine. According to him, there are no Russian troops on the territory of Donbass, regardless of what the Kiev authorities are trying hard to convince the world community.
In March 2016, Petro Poroshenko said that during the armed conflict ten thousand Ukrainians died in the Donbass. The press secretary of the Russian president, Dmitry Peskov, said that there is no reason to trust information on victims from Kiev.
According to official figures from the Office of the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, in the south-eastern Ukraine, 9 thousand 167 people have been killed in two years. Almost 22 thousand were injured. These figures include "civilians, Ukrainian soldiers, and members of armed groups."

[Nemo1024]

Project ‘Ukraine’. Documentary by Andrei Medvedev (with English subtitles)

More info here:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=894692.msg14490432#msg14490432

I used some of the materials from that documentary in some of the discussions in this thread.

[Rizla2345]

Project ‘Ukraine’. Documentary by Andrei Medvedev (with English subtitles)

More info here:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=894692.msg14490432#msg14490432

I used some of the materials from that documentary in some of the discussions in this thread.

Interesting. I wasn´t aware of this thread. Will follow. Thanks.

[Nemo1024]

French TV channel ITELE for the first time ever aired a map of Novorossia, in which they included: Donetsk, Lugansk, Zaporozhie, Kharkov, Dnepropetrovsk, Odessa, Nikolaev and Kherson oblasts:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SbjLwb7TCSQ

[Nemo1024]

Poroshenko Prepares New War in Donbass? Why US, EU and OSCE are Blind and Deaf?
https://futuristrendcast.wordpress.com/2016/04/12/poroshenko-prepares-new-war-in-donbass-why-us-eu-and-osce-are-blind-and-deaf/

DNR and LNR military officials have been warning of the possibility of Kiev renewing its offensive on the republics as soon as the weather turns warm enough. Poroshenko can’t afford not to restart Donbass war amid worsening of the economic and social situation and in order to distract Ukrainians’ from political crisis, per analysts’ opinion.

DNR and LNR are warning that Kiev amassed 90,000 troops on the border and that attack is coming soon.

I agree that Poroshenko and a some others in Kiev are itching to re-start a war. But as I had told you all before, I don’t believe Poroshenko has the guts to authorize an offensive. First, he gets huge pressure from EU to stay within Minsk framework; EU won’t like it if he broke peace agreement that blatantly. EU/Merkel/Hollande , in turn, get pressure from Russia to pressure Poroshenko. Obama administration/Democrats also get pressure from Merkel and Russia. But besides that they have lots on internal pressure due to the upcoming elections. One wrong move and any hope for Hillary is gone. And Poroshenko/Kiev are bound to make lots of wrong moves.

...

If Kiev can’t attacks directly, what can Ukraine do? Instead, they are attempting to provoke DNR and LNR. To accomplish that they continuously shell peaceful citizens and villages near frontline. The idea is to anger the republics so much that they lose their cool and begin retaliating, thus breaking Minsk 2 agreement. After that Kiev, US and EU get to blame DNR/LNR and, of course, Russia in violating cease-fire. If that should happen, Kiev and US will immediately demand new sanctions against Russia and attempt to vilify Russia and Putin yet again.

This is why DNR/LNR can’t respond to obvious provocations. The especial cruelty of the situation is in the fact that innocent people and animals suffer under shellings, with no recourse. All villagers normally keep a lot of animals, who are also forced to suffer under bombings. Those who left to escape the horrors of war were forced to leave their animals behind!

When will these poor people and innocent animals get justice? Why is the so-called ‘civilized’ world blind and deaf? Where are US/UK/Canada/Australia and EU when obvious violations of human rights are perpetuated by Kiev, Poroshenko, nationalists and ukro-nazis in power? How do they justify their continued political, financial and ideological support of war criminals in Kiev and Ukraine army, while the international tribunal is what they truly deserve?

This is the latest from Donbass, near frontlines…

Citizens of Zaitsevo village, located near frontline, are among many on DNR/LNR side who complain that as soon as OSCE monitoring mission moves to Ukraine side, Kiev army renews the shelling. In other words, Kiev military is quiet, seemingly observing the cease-fire while OSCE mission is on DNR or LNR side. Then, monitors call Ukrainian command to advise that they are leaving DNR/LNR controlled territory to inspect the other side. As soon as their cars leave, Ukraine army and ukro-nazis begin shelling residential areas, schools, churches and hospitals with renewed vigor.

Villagers all around DNR and LNR have been complaining about this devious scheme since the beginning of the truce. It appears, finally OSCE is beginning to pay attention. Head of OSCE mission in Donbass Alexander Hug announced that they would install a 360 view camera in Zaitsevo.

On video below a local DNR commander says that he has had a camera installed for a while, and this camera has registered violations by Kiev. But OSCE doesn’t seem to accept local video proof.

...

Videos below show how terrible this violent spring is in Donbass. It’s especially striking when you see destroyed houses and schools next to the blossoming trees. Videos are in English and Russian.

Zaitsevo local: They’ll begin shelling as soon as you leave. This man says that very few people are still left in the village. He miraculously still has water, but no gas and no electricity:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LBTtyNdj4M8

Shelling begins as soon as OSCE has left. April 12, 2016:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dhlmCgdEzkE

Old lady to OSCE’s Hug: We are preparing for Paskha (Russian Easter) but don’t know if we’ll survive till then:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oUNNRgQqTpM

OSCE plan to install a camera in Zaitsevo:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3bKJQqWGdV0

Read the complete article at: https://futuristrendcast.wordpress.com/2016/04/12/poroshenko-prepares-new-war-in-donbass-why-us-eu-and-osce-are-blind-and-deaf/

[bryant.coleman]

Turchinov says that Russia would not last four days in a war with Ukraine

Normally I have sympathy for mentally retarded people. However, Oleksandr Turchynov took lunacy to an entirely different level. If there occurs a full-fledged war between Russia and Ukraine, then the entire Ukraine will be over-run in less than 12-hours time. There will be just three major battles. In the morning, the battle for Dnipropetrovsk will start. By noon, the Battle of Kiev will commence. The invasion will be completed in the evening, with the battle of Lvov.

[Balthazar]

There won't be any battle because the locals will overthrow this joke government in the matter of hours. Most of ukrainian people are afraid to oppose the government, but they will smash it in case of 100 % confidence in its helplessness.

By the way, 135th regiment was able to give Saakashvili a proper lesson. It looks like Turchinov wants to become Saakashvili ver. 2.0.

[Nemo1024]

Some moderately gloomy, yet sound, predictions from Rostislav Ishenko, based on the current situation in Ukraine:

(In Russian:)
https://cont.ws/post/247850

In summery: Given that Yats is out and Poroshenko's (Valtsman's) crony from the Vinnitsa mafia, Groisman is in as a new PM, the situation will spin even more out of control. Before everything could be blamed on Yats. Now, Poroshenko/Groisman will be getting the brunt of the blame. They only have a few months when they can push the blame on the previous PM, but after that they would either need to resign or to create a big distraction - war in Donbass. As the things stand, a suicidal Ukrainian offensive can materialise between mid-June and the end of August.


Btw, the situation in Donbass is different now from what it was in 2014 on another level. A large portion of the population of Donbass have received Russian passports during the last 2 years. Now if Kiev tries an assault, it will lead to invocation of article 61 of the Russian Constitution - protection of the Russian Citizens abroad. The precedent in the world practice is there - when USA sent troops to Panama to protect US citizens there.


Also:
https://cont.ws/post/248730

The situation in Trans-Carpathia is interesting too. The governor of Trans-Carpathia asked the Ukrainian court to invalidate the results of the 1991 Trans-Carpathian referendum on autonomy, which were recognised as legitimate, though never ratified by Rada. If this motion passes through, it will set a precedent which can potentially be used to invalidate the results of the simultaneous 1991 referendum on the independence of Ukraine.  

Oh, and in addition to Rusins (Russians) of Trans-Carpathia, who refuse to be viewed as "Ukrainians", there also live Romanians, Hungarians, Poles, who hold passports of those respective counties. The parallel with Donbass is complete (minus the shelling of the residential areas which is still regularly performed bu Ukro-nazis)

[Nemo1024]

A fragment from
SPRING 2016 UKRAINE REPORT! Nuclear Disaster, Elenovka Tragedy, War Against Memory, What Russia Wants
https://futuristrendcast.wordpress.com/2016/04/29/spring-2016-ukraine-report-elenovka-tragedy-war-against-monuments-nuclear-disaster-warning-how-putin-outplayed-them/

...
The Elenovka tragedy

This happened two days ago. Kiev’s brutal bombing and provocation against peaceful civilians shocked many in Donbass and Ukraine. Six people were killed, including a pregnant woman, and scores wounded, in Elenovka village. These people were sitting in their cars near border control post between DNR and Ukraine, waiting in line to cross to the other side. Some of them were retirees forced to drive to Ukrainian side to get pensions, since Kiev refused to distribute pensions on the DNR side; others – were on their way to visit families or tend to their fields stuck on the other side.

Because Kiev continues shutting down border crossings, more and more have to use the same crossing, resulting in long lines. People sometimes have to spend the night in their cars waiting for their turn to cross. Just before the shelling, locals reported hearing a Ukrainian drone right above them, and shortly after, the Minsk-2 banned heavy Ukrainian artillery began shelling cars with sleeping people inside.

Link to video with the aftermath of the Elenovka tragedy. Warning! It’s very graphic!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oIsq4qP_wK4

...

This new provocation falls in line with Kiev tactics of trying to provoke DNR/LNR into retaliating. Poroshenko is desperate. He is being pressured by EU, and now even by US due the election year, to start fulfilling Minsk agreement’s demands. He can’t do that because his own Rada will tear him apart. His only choice is to re-start armed conflict in Donbass to delay Minsk-2 fulfillment. This is why provocations, targeting peaceful civilians, will continue.

My prediction is that the Elenovka tragedy won’t go as planned by Kiev. The plan to provoke DNR into retaliating is needed to distract Ukraine’s public from internal problems, to re-ignite animosity against Russia, to delay the implementation of Minsk 2, to blame the republics for breaking the truce, and to instigate renewed sanctions against Russia in the wake of EU gearing up for their removal. However, all this will backfire.

Instead, the brutal killing of innocents will serve as yet another clear international proof of Kiev breaking the Minsk agreements. This event will put yet another nail in the coffin of the Kiev junta and its support by the West (many more nails still required, but it’s a start). If not, then EU, US, Canada, IMF and NATO will publicly demonstrate to all that they condone the slaughter of innocent civilians. Before some crucial referendums and elections, and in view of recent EU and US criticisms, this won’t look good.

...

[bryant.coleman]

The situation in Trans-Carpathia is interesting. But I am confused, as the pro-Nazi parties regularly win more than 80% of the votes there during the elections. Also, the Hungarians are only around 10% to 12% of the total population (mostly concentrated around Beregovo). Their numbers are not that significant, to provoke an intervention from Hungary.

[Nemo1024]

Two years after: Bird level view on Donetsk Airport
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QV8QcB8yw6A

Ukro-nazi artillery did a thorough destructive job. A sad sight.  

[bryant.coleman]

Two years after: Bird level view on Donetsk Airport
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QV8QcB8yw6A

Ukro-nazi artillery did a thorough destructive job. A sad sight.  

Reminds me of the scorched earth tactics practised by the Iraqi troops, when they were forced to withdraw from Kuwait in 1990. The Iraqis destroyed most of the infrastructure, and they set fire to the Kuwaiti oil wells. In the end however, it didn't worked out very well for the Iraqis. They were forced to pay hundreds of billions of USD in compensation to Kuwait.

[Nemo1024]

There is a marked shift for the worse in the Ukrainian genocide of Donbass. Whereas the last year saw mostly clashes between the self-defence forces and the Ukro-Nazi battalion (like Aidar and Azov) using small arms and mortars, now Ukrainian army pulled large-calibre artillery to Donetsk - on direct orders from Kiev. We are talking about 122mm and 152mm calibres here - which is forbidden by MNisnk-2, so in reality Minsk-2 is now void.

Video of the consequences of tonight's shelling of Donetsk:
http://rusvesna.su/news/1465629520

Gorlovka is left without gas (pipeline destroyed), and 20 residential homes are destroyed in Zaicevo by Kiev's heavy artillery shelling which started at 21:00 and lasted until 5 in the morning:
http://rusvesna.su/news/1465634679

Donbassgas says they will start repair works to restore gas supplies to Gorlovka later today.