[BET] Trump or not Trump 2020, eddie13 vs suchmoon

[squatz1]

You are spot on with the odds. Neither will be tested but it would not surprise me if both Biden and Trump are taking some sort of drugs, the same goes for Pence and Harris.

If they were on some sort of drugs thinking they might have some sort of edge over the other in public debates, I wonder what would happen those drugs were replaced with a placebo.

I mean if Biden is on some sort of drugs, I think it'd be highly possible that Trump is taking adderals and such to stay focused. That (and Cocaine) are pretty common among the ultra wealthy so they have some sort of edge. I know there were some allegations that Trump was taking them cause he passed the 'sniff test' according to some journalists.

Odds? 0. Neither is going to be tested.

This is literally just the Roger Stone campaign advising way of throwing out the craziest stories to the media and hoping that some of it ends up sticking. Crazily enough it has worked for sometime.

Yeah I don't really think the risk to reward ratio is there for feeding drugs to your candidate. What if they have some sort of side effect with it while they're on stage?

I've always thought the same about a secret earpiece. Imagine having one of those in your ear and it starts to malfunction and ring constantly in your ear for no reason. That'd literally make no fucking sense, you'd be risking an average debate performance with a fucking massive political scandal.

But back onto the thread here. I do think that the speed with which Trump recovers from COVID is going to change the poll numbers. If it's fast, he can point to the fact that it's just like the FLU and blah blah blah. If it's not, well he can't really sweep this under the rug anymore. Hard to hide this stuff when you're being sent to the hospital.

[1714192731]

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[vapourminer]

But back onto the thread here. I do think that the speed with which Trump recovers from COVID is going to change the poll numbers. If it's fast, he can point to the fact that it's just like the FLU and blah blah blah. If it's not, well he can't really sweep this under the rug anymore. Hard to hide this stuff when you're being sent to the hospital.

he got early access to experimental drugs and has 7 or 8 MDs (offhand count i did when his MD gave the briefing an hour ago or so) looking after him. so hes got the entire resources of the usa looking after him. and he is still in the hospital

more importantly, hes not tweeting 100 times a day or whatever his regular rate is or doing phone meetings. even i can do that with a nasty flu and im ancient and lazy af. he must be pretty down.

even trump could have a problem spinning this as a minor thing. but since he is such a bigly healthy strongly geniusly person maybe he will.

[TwitchySeal]

Polls are widening in favor of Biden, almost time for Russia to drop the Biden version of 'her emails'.  I'm guessing Hunter will be involved - although, the topic backfired on him in the debate and got him impeached, so they might take a different route.

[JollyGood]

Can you imagine if there were secret earpieces and if a malfunction really did happen - live on national television to a broadcast of millions only to then be shared multi-millions of times on social media 

Well, Trump has recovered from COVID-19 and is back in the White House. Has that affected the way potential voters view him?

Yeah I don't really think the risk to reward ratio is there for feeding drugs to your candidate. What if they have some sort of side effect with it while they're on stage?

I've always thought the same about a secret earpiece. Imagine having one of those in your ear and it starts to malfunction and ring constantly in your ear for no reason. That'd literally make no fucking sense, you'd be risking an average debate performance with a fucking massive political scandal.

But back onto the thread here. I do think that the speed with which Trump recovers from COVID is going to change the poll numbers. If it's fast, he can point to the fact that it's just like the FLU and blah blah blah. If it's not, well he can't really sweep this under the rug anymore. Hard to hide this stuff when you're being sent to the hospital.

[squatz1]

Can you imagine if there were secret earpieces and if a malfunction really did happen - live on national television to a broadcast of millions only to then be shared multi-millions of times on social media 

Well, Trump has recovered from COVID-19 and is back in the White House. Has that affected the way potential voters view him?

Yeah I don't really think the risk to reward ratio is there for feeding drugs to your candidate. What if they have some sort of side effect with it while they're on stage?

I've always thought the same about a secret earpiece. Imagine having one of those in your ear and it starts to malfunction and ring constantly in your ear for no reason. That'd literally make no fucking sense, you'd be risking an average debate performance with a fucking massive political scandal.

But back onto the thread here. I do think that the speed with which Trump recovers from COVID is going to change the poll numbers. If it's fast, he can point to the fact that it's just like the FLU and blah blah blah. If it's not, well he can't really sweep this under the rug anymore. Hard to hide this stuff when you're being sent to the hospital.

Yeah that'd be a MAJOR problem. Some sort of ringing in your ear would totally nuke you and cause a major problem. Plus like, if it was so noticeable to others that something was happening YOU POTENTIALLY could  reveal the fact that you have an earpiece in which is totally going to end your campaign right in its tracks.

But in regards to the whole Trump COVID thing, I do think that is going to be rough on the campaign. Not a good look when you're currently combating a bad debate performance. There isn't that much time for Trump to turn this around as there is only like, 20 something days left until the election. There will probably be another October surprise.

I'll have to say though, I am FUCKING TIRED of this circus.

[JollyGood]

Trump saying badly wants to stay in power via a re-election just as any incumbent would but saying that getting COVID-19 was a blessing from God is a direct message to his evangelical supporters. You cannot blame him for trying to capitalise on his recovery in the run-up to the election next month but he really is beginning to make even more absurd comments than before.

Yeah that'd be a MAJOR problem. Some sort of ringing in your ear would totally nuke you and cause a major problem. Plus like, if it was so noticeable to others that something was happening YOU POTENTIALLY could  reveal the fact that you have an earpiece in which is totally going to end your campaign right in its tracks.

But in regards to the whole Trump COVID thing, I do think that is going to be rough on the campaign. Not a good look when you're currently combating a bad debate performance. There isn't that much time for Trump to turn this around as there is only like, 20 something days left until the election. There will probably be another October surprise.

I'll have to say though, I am FUCKING TIRED of this circus.

[suchmoon]

LOL even McConnell is throwing Trump under the bus... I wonder if Trump could withdraw the SC nomination if his feelings get hurt.

https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/520205-mcconnell-says-he-hasnt-visited-white-house-in-two-months-due-to-coronavirus

Speaking in Kentucky, McConnell said that while he talks to President Trump frequently, he hasn't been to the White House in person since Aug. 6.

"Because my impression was their approach to how to handle this was different from mine and what I insisted we do in the Senate, which was to wear a mask and practice social distancing," McConnell told reporters.

Of course it's a pot-kettle situation - three GOP senators got COVID-19 recently.

[eddie13]

It seems that I may have just scored a new job that will have me constantly flying places across the country, for quite long/unknown periods of stay.. I had my 3rd interview with them yesterday and the regional manager said he is going to write up my formal job offer for me to either accept or decline.. If the numbers in the formal offer are the same or similar to what we have discussed then I will be accepting the offer and going on a hell of an adventure for pretty damn good money

So I am going to have to take my cold storage access with me incase the snowballs chance in hell I lose these bets, or if I get caught with my pants down and don’t have access to my coins for a little while, don’t freak out immediately because I WILL pay up on it..

[suchmoon]

So I am going to have to take my cold storage access with me incase the snowballs chance in hell I lose these bets, or if I get caught with my pants down and don’t have access to my coins for a little while, don’t freak out immediately because I WILL pay up on it..

NP. Best of luck with the new job.

[DaveF]

Was skimming the thread for the 1st time. Never really read it before.
Was the funding supposed to stay in the addresses posted in the 1st page. eddie13 moved his, didn't see in mentioned anywhere in the 37 pages but I might have missed it.
Guess for some reason I was expecting a 3rd party escrow.

Either way, interesting to see how this plays out in the next few weeks.

-Dave

[suchmoon]

Was skimming the thread for the 1st time. Never really read it before.
Was the funding supposed to stay in the addresses posted in the 1st page. eddie13 moved his, didn't see in mentioned anywhere in the 37 pages but I might have missed it.
Guess for some reason I was expecting a 3rd party escrow.

Neither one of us wanted escrow so what's the point. And I didn't expect that we both would keep the funds untouched, I just left mine there so that I don't spend it all on a Lambo.

If eddie13 decides to scam me for 0.1 BTC I'll take the worst insults from Trump's tweets and put them in a red trust rating

[DaveF]

Was skimming the thread for the 1st time. Never really read it before.
Was the funding supposed to stay in the addresses posted in the 1st page. eddie13 moved his, didn't see in mentioned anywhere in the 37 pages but I might have missed it.
Guess for some reason I was expecting a 3rd party escrow.

Neither one of us wanted escrow so what's the point. And I didn't expect that we both would keep the funds untouched, I just left mine there so that I don't spend it all on a Lambo.

If eddie13 decides to scam me for 0.1 BTC I'll take the worst insults from Trump's tweets and put them in a red trust rating

Don't think either one of you were going to run out over .1, just noticed it and thought about the lack of escrow in general.

-Dave

[Gyfts]

New Harris Poll. Biden 50, Trump 45.

https://thehill.com/hilltv/what-americas-thinking/520381-what-americas-thinking-october-9-2020

Maybe an outlier poll? Or is Trump not as down as people think? Perhaps both? This is wildly different from CNN's poll that had Biden up like 14 points so maybe it's not all death and gloom on the Trump campaign.

[eddie13]

Idk, I can’t believe the amount of huge Biden banners I’m seeing out in the countryside.. Not feeling super confident tbh..

Makes me think they must be sending them for free to whoever will put one up though.. I doubt all these people are buying them...

Btw $11,000x0.12 isn’t all that small to me.. It’s not ridiculous but definitely not insignificant..
Kinda curious to see how many bitcoin-days it destroys to move it..

[sirazimuth]

suchmoons odds .... etc

https://www.vegaselectionodds.com/

[suchmoon]

suchmoons odds .... etc

https://www.vegaselectionodds.com/

Boring. This is more exciting - 2024:

https://www.bovada.lv/sports/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2024


Edited 2020-11-30 to fix a broken image

But no Trump on it.

[squatz1]

suchmoons odds .... etc

https://www.vegaselectionodds.com/

Boring. This is more exciting - 2024:

https://www.bovada.lv/sports/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2024



But no Trump on it.

AOC as the frontrunner in 2024 --- come on really? The fuck is vegas thinking.

Then again once I think about that, many people are going to buy those odds and then just lose their money cause there's no shot you can guess someone out this far. That's why the odds look amazing from a bettors perspective, when they're really not.

I'm assuming Harris will be the frontrunner if Biden wins. She'll literally be in the perfect spot to takeover the held of the admin. I don't personally think Biden will serve two terms if he is elected. Shit though, I thought the 2020 election was far out and we're literally here now.

[sirazimuth]

....
Boring. This is more exciting - 2024:
...

Oh come on now sm ...that's more exciting than the .1btc  you are more than likely going to win?
It would be even sweeter if a certain poster didn't go awol.
Rub in face etc....

(seriously, I know you would never do that)

[suchmoon]

Oh come on now sm ...that's more exciting than the .1btc  you are more than likely going to win?
It would be even sweeter if a certain poster didn't go awol.
Rub in face etc....

(seriously, I know you would never do that)

Meh. It's just money.

And there's going to be plenty of rubbing.

Ok, that didn't come out right.

I'm assuming Harris will be the frontrunner if Biden wins.

I don't think that's a given (the Harris thing). Four years is a long time and VPs aren't really the most exciting political figures. I'm still hoping that both parties will push someone less-Beltway next time, like Pete Whatshisname, and whoever that could be on the Republican side... please tell me it's not Ted Cruz LOL.

[TwitchySeal]

2021 could be one hell of a hangover for Republicans.