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1941  Economy / Economics / Dedollarisation fails before starting, Russia and India halt rupee trade on: May 07, 2023, 02:18:06 PM
Over the past months, we have been bombarded with articles about the global de-dollarisation, how countries will quit using the USD, how the petrodollar is doomed, how the entire US economy is doomed once the usd is dropped, how the Zimbabwean dollar, the Argentian peso, the bolivar, the Iranian rial and other, can we even all them currencies? will definitely replace the dollar for trade settlements. And, if you're not so bright, it makes perfect sense, the evil greenback is holding the economies of emergent countries down, it's not corruption, it's not stupidity, it's not the lack of planning, the one who is to blame is the $.

So, some  leaders have come up with the idea, let's trade in our currency and prosper! Except for the fact that when you leave the realm of politics and propaganda for your voters and you enter the realm of economy, well, shit happens!
https://www.businesstoday.in/latest/in-focus/story/we-need-to-use-this-money-russia-says-it-is-unable-to-utilise-billions-of-indian-rupees-380345-2023-05-07

And the whole thing is pretty simple:
- there is no perfect trade balance between two countries, one will run a trade deficit with the other so one will end with a ton of useless monopoly money
- in order to use the monopoly money to trade with country C it would need to either convert them to a hard currency that everyone wants like the $,  or to the other country's fiat but at this point, you would have to trick them into accepting your surplus useless currency and who would want that?

Anyone who has read a bit of history would know about the Weimar inflation, it was caused mainly because Germany printed monopoly money to exchange them for $, and thus their own currency failed, because nobody wanted the Papiermark. And this is where we arrive to exactly the bilateral India-Russia trade:

Quote
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov on Friday said that Russia has accumulated billions of rupees in Indian banks which it can’t use. This is a problem, Lavrov told reporters in Goa on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) meeting, reported Bloomberg.
“We need to use this money. But for this, these rupees must be transferred in another currency, and this is being discussed now,” he said, as per the report.

Simple as that, ruble-rupee trade is good until you need to use all those money, and for the use, you have to exchange it into a trustable currency, at which point you realize nobody is taking monopoly money India can print unrestrained for good old $!

The chances of more countries using their useless fiat in order to settle trades?
Just as much as every single one of you denying a Bitcoin payment and choosing to be paid in PooGrow, which is an actual coin, btw!
1942  Economy / Economics / Re: Coinbase CTO lose his 1million bet on: May 07, 2023, 01:55:20 PM
The CTO isn't stupid either.

He might not be stupid but this was beyond stupid.
And his statement is just as cringy:
Quote
"I just burned a million to tell you they're printing trillions,

No, what you've managed to do in the eyes of the neutral ones, not the crypto and not pro banks users who read this is making a fool of you and making people think crypto lovers are just people who have their pockets full of cash and can afford to throw money left and right because they make more out of tricking others with their doomsday cries. That's all he has managed to do with this!
Remember McAfee? Th same thing, all that was left was just ridicule!

Do you remember the joke Tarantino told in Desperado about the bet with the bartender? Look it up if you don't.


This has more to do with the guy from 4 Lions entering a shawarma place to blow up the infidels!

This money is an absolute pittance to the CEO and is more likely to be some subversive free advertising - that probably worked and will be repeated many times by different news sites, each time featuring Coinbase as a prominent word. They probably spend much more on advertising and theoretically he could put this through the company accounts as such, with some rather creative accounting. Coinbase is a money generating machine, especially with all the recent peer to peer exchanges shutting down. They have less competitors now and the price of Bitcoin has been trending up a bit lately. They are also one of the few biggest exchanges who have a genuine US stock listing.

Tiny problem with your theory!
The guy is a former CTO of Coinbase, he left Coinbase 4 years ago!
1943  Economy / Economics / Re: U.S dollar almost equal to Euro on: May 07, 2023, 01:26:43 PM
Truth is USD has gained value over most currencies in the past year and at its peak the exchange rate from USD to EUR was about 0.99 and USD had gained about 14% over the euro in the past year alone. So in a way holding USD was an "investment" if you held it and traded some of your USD into EUR like I did but this is only useful if you have EURO bank account and plan on using that money.

You should really check the dates of the OP in a topic before replying, maybe things have changed dramatically from when this topic was opened.
The dollar has lost ground against the Euro in the last year, so in a yoy period the euro is 6.25% against the usd!



So next time, put more effort into double-checking what you post, rather than making sure how much mandatory text you post!

But this topic is quite nice, after pages of enthusiasm about the Euro dying, now that is back at the same value, the panic is gone, and the EU is not freezing or crumbling the whole topic has gone empty. And there were so many marvelous predictions here about how it will become useless...
1944  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin reaches record high # of daily transactions on: May 07, 2023, 01:11:50 PM
~
That's because last I checked block time has nothing to do with number or transactions, or even MBs of transactions, it's purely to do with hash rate and mining difficulty. Increasing hash rate decreases the block-time, but then the difficulty adjusts every two weeks to effectively return the block time time to 10 minutes.

Are you really lecturing me on this?  Roll Eyes

You completely missed the point of my remark.
It was about the record number of traction in a day, if in a day you have only 120 blocks it will be nearly impossible to make a record in the number of transactions even if you cherry-pick them by size and deny sanctions over 10 inputs/outputs. At the same time because when there were 170 blocks mined there were only huge transactions mainly consolidation because of the low fees, you couldn't break it either.

So yeah, block time does directly influence the number of tx in a day, and no, it's not a perfect correlation to the actual hash rate, and quite a bit of luck and variance. For example in the last 24 hours, we only have only 124 blocks mined, you think 15% of the miners have shut down their gears cause it's Sunday?

Quote
even if more transactions in the mempool means that miners get slightly higher rewards from the transaction fee, it's pretty negligible compared to the 6.25 BTC reward per block of transactions.

Really? Last block mined:
https://mempool.space/block/000000000000000000035434a80dd8e575f113f6bde1f42d5a2640e280d01ac5

Quote
Total fees   ‎2.106 BTC$60,676
Subsidy + fees   ‎8.356 BTC$240,751

Negligible???  Grin

1945  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why is the transaction fee and mempool congestion increasing ? on: May 06, 2023, 04:23:44 PM
I got that bookmark but don't know what's the minimum sat/vB that viabtc accepts. because I have been trying 5 sats/10 sats in the last 2 weeks but it still not getting accepted.
10 sats/byte. Note that it is per raw byte, not per virtual byte.

ViaBTC is simply annoying with this fork war thing they are still mad about, they are probably the only service left with this kind of counter, so the 10sat/vb is actually closer to 20, if you want to save to the last satoshi to go above the limit and you have a ton of inputs and output you're in for a major headache., so better go to a tx size counter before broadcasting or RBF one!
But ironically, Viabtc is also the only true accelerator left.

None of that is going to help at present as just now I tried to make a payment using 20sats/byte on Electrum, and the servers rejected my transaction due to the mempool being completely full.

Huh? Try broadcasting it directly in services like Viabtc!
I see no reason why nodes refusing on one over 20sat/b, not even the default mem size nodes are dropping those, and there are plenty with more, mine still has room.
 

1946  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin network fee, worrying sign? on: May 06, 2023, 04:10:58 PM
There's no clog, only a lot of people trying to outbid each other for the first block transaction.

Ok, let's not play with words and try to make it look like it's nothing.
There is a clog! The moment you pay a fee x10 smaller than the top and you see that you're going to wait days for it that's the definition of a clog!
It's Saturday afternoon when usually you could send 1sat/b tx and have them confirmed and we see the last block with a min 114sat/b 260k transactions in the mempool and not even a full day of no tx will manage to clear the backlog now sitting in the mempool.
It's a clog!

The NFT hype is already over or at least have drastically decreased.

Where do you see this drastically decrease cause for sure it's not in the mempool, it's not in the numbers of brc20 tokens minted and I see no sign of it going away.

Many users have already declared NFTs as a scam.

So? Let's ask around the forum in the sections where only hardcore bitcoins post what ETH is!
The answers will be shitcoin, centralized scam coins, useless smart contracts, NFT garbage, and so on!
Some right here in this forum should understand that the general consensus here doesn't apply to the outside world and this community is just a tiny fragment, labeling NFT as a scam, shitty, useless, a waste of time, waste of money here might not mean a thing to the majority of crypto users.


1947  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Bitcoin core tx stuck for more than 24 hours on: May 05, 2023, 08:03:36 AM
If there is no fee, the mempool will completely be congested.

Exactly, and I could do that with a few hundred dollars in satoshis, how would miners then prioritize transactions to avoid spam?
Go back to blacklisting and turning Bitcoin into Bank of America?
Fees are the necessary evil unfortunately!

But maybe profit is possible as people will pay higher transaction fee.

Not a maybe, it's for sure.
https://bitinfocharts.com/comparison/bitcoin-fee_to_reward.html#3m
Right now fees are around 10% overall but with peaks reaching 1.82BTC, closer to one-quarter of the reward for small intervals.
1948  Economy / Economics / Re: Western Alliance shares on: May 05, 2023, 07:50:21 AM
What do you think, will we face more banks, more difficulties, or has the worst already happened?

Are you serious?  Grin
You're asking on bitcointalk bitcoin users if banks will face more difficulty and you think you will get a single nonbiased to the core answer who won't point at the banks disappearing by June, the fiat system collapsing and lemurs in Madagascar paying with bitcoins their mortgage?
This is the epicenter of the doomsayer's lair, banks are gone bruh!!! Don't ask silly questions! They are doomed!
Meanwhile, thousands wire money in and out of Binance to get their profits in shitty dollars!

1949  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Bitcoin core tx stuck for more than 24 hours on: May 05, 2023, 07:31:56 AM
Fees are not necessary for the processing of the transaction on Bloakchcain but it gives extra priority to incentivize miners for processing transactions faster in the block.

Fees are necessary!
Imagine how the mempool would look right now if we didn't have fees!

More transactions => larger data size => more workload. Imo, when the network is congested and over-loaded, miners have to work extra hard to include each of those transactions in the block and for that we need to pay more  fees to help them cover the cost.

There is no such thing, a miner will do the same amount of work for an empty block and a full block, there is this misconception with the transactions numbers or size or fees require something extra from the miners when it's not the case. Also, it's a bit silly, what "extra" work would miners have to do for this and how would they even do it?

1. I just want to know if they are already getting reward in the form of bitcoin they why there is additional fee we have to pay for every transaction?

To prevent spam.
If it weren't for fees you could split one bitcoin into 100 000 outputs with zero fees and then consolidate and split again occupying all the blocks that day without paying a cent, rendering the network useless, with a fee it will always cost the attacker a ton of coins to do so and you could always outbid him if it's something urgent while he must do this continuously.
Later on, it will be of use to incentivize miners to keep mining as fees grow in % vs the reward but we're not there yet in normal low fee times.

1950  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why is the transaction fee and mempool congestion increasing ? on: May 03, 2023, 08:13:48 PM
im more concerned about the storage space needed for running the full node.  it will keep increasing due to ordinals and make it harder for people to run a full node. 

The single block size is still 1MB, nobody is going to run out of storage space with such an amount added each day, put in a 1TB drive and you're set for a few years.
As for the ram needed to host the mempool you can limit that from the settings, most have a 300MB limit already and it's not affecting too much, it just drops low-fee tx which would anyhow never confirm, all you need is to rebroadcast it again when times are more favorable.

So basically, people realize that the Bitcoin chain is more secure compared to other networks to print their NFT, which is why they are fine with paying 30 sat/vbyte now?

The ones minting brc20 tokens are not giving a damn about security, they've smelled another hype and are trying to make some money, that's all. These people would create tokens on any clone of a shitcoin of an altcoin if it were profitable, I'm willing to bet quite a few of them don't even know BTC is not GPU minable.





1951  Economy / Economics / Re: Russian Gas ban - A problem for Europe or suicide for Russia? on: May 03, 2023, 07:55:51 PM
P.S. Another US oil tanker (Niovi) was just seized. This time it is a much bigger one with a capacity of about 2 million barrels of oil... lol

This was just like that F35 the Iranian army downed only to find out in the morning they've killed 150 Iranian passage on board a civilian plane, right?
So let's go over the FACTS (you know, those things you really dislike) about what happened

- US seizes an Iranian oil tanker in the Indian Ocean
- Iran tries to flex its muscles and seizes an oil tanker - Advantage Sweet which is owned by a Chinese company and kidnaps 23 Indian crew members and a one Russian
https://apnews.com/article/iran-oil-tanker-advantage-sweet-seized-40b8f90bc0484fcd626903eef5faf64c
- One Iranian tanke goes boom
- Iran tries to impress its citizens by seizing another oil tanker, and again owned by a company based in Liberia and operated by A greek company

Of course, the impotent US Navy was just watching, they could move a muscle while they were rolling on the floor thinking how many blowjobs the great Buttaholla is going to have to give Xi to forgive him for his stupidity.

US has confirmed that Iran had captured its second oil tanker within a week.

How could have the US confirmed the capture of its tanker when it was Chinese owned!?Huh
My god what propaganda does to some!

Oh, and back to the subject which is not the US, not Iran, not the great buttaholla, and the European gas which hit another low, and US delivered LNG which is again 6 euros cheaper than Russian gas.
So excluding the Covid period when everything went near zero, if we look at longer data
Russian gas was 21.242 5 years ago and 26.320 10 years ago.
US LNG delivered to Western Europe right now is trading at 32.359.

So a huge 22% , lol!!!!! , increase in gas prices in 10 years. Disaster!
Oh, I forgot to mention that the deposits are refiling already and have passed 60%?
You know, facts!  Roll Eyes
1952  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Darknet hackers are selling crypto accounts for as low as $30 a pop on: May 03, 2023, 08:20:48 AM
But I am thinking what will be the legit reason to be using a bought account?

A legit reason to buy a stolen account? Hardly!
The only one you could claim as legit from a moral point of view was mentioned before, as being a citizen of a banned country and you have no other way of dealing with exchanges, but you still
- use someone else identity and might land him in trouble
- break the rules of the said exchange.

So, no, there is no such thing, forget the exchange itself, you're stealing someone's identity and using it, which is a crime.

First of all buying hacked account is useless because even if the hacker can provide the login credentials on an exchange account you still can't login without authorisation link which will be sent to the email you used for registration and this security feature is called login shield which prevents logging in from new device until we give authorisation.

Almost all of those hacked accounts are clear, everything has been replaced, thieves even sell more expensive verified accounts, with full F2A enabled, and new email address access. Do you really think all those darknet sellers and buyers are that stupid?
If everything would have been a scam, do you think you would still have darknet marketplaces with thousands of users?

Anyhow, a ton of those accounts are not even hacked, they are simply accounts created with stolen IDs, far easier and cheaper, with everyone throwing their documents at every scam requiring KYC the price for a full set has gone down you can buy it for pennies.
1953  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: [May 2023] Fees not low! Wait for opportunity to Consolidate your small inputs on: May 03, 2023, 07:12:05 AM
I didn't follow the ordinals ponzi hype, but are they really paying that much for their huge transactions? If it's 100kb at 100 sat/b, they're paying a thousands of dollars per transaction. Is that madness profitable enough for that kind of money?

Eh, it's not really ordinals as the previous ones but brc-20 tokens, and everyone is still calling them ordinals so I did the same.
Those are really small in size, almost like any other transaction
https://blockstream.info/tx/bc7d958993ee372c307364db37cd01ba572c67c4db3182c7438c0c16128e5543

We even have services for minting your own tokens, pretty cheap at current rates
Total: ~39221 sats ~$11.23, for a batch of inscribing 10 000 sat at a 137sats/vB fee.

Last 24 hours:
92,159 minted
+14,405,820 JAKE, +18,708,000 fuck, +89,760 subC, +430,100,000,000 sats, +9,552 data, 36,112 other
https://brc-20.io/

Is starting to look like coinmarketcap with that many! Only 9054    right now!
1954  Economy / Speculation / Re: FEAR + GREED & BITCOIN - Doesn't add up in 2019 on: May 02, 2023, 06:05:41 PM
What?
What is Fear and Greed had to do with the Bitcoin Price pump?

It's an indicator and indicators can be used on speculation, nobody says that the scenario will repeat itself but that's what speculation is about, people try to guess patterns, nothing wrong with it. As for your other advice, I have a story about the pot and kettle for you.  Wink

Why was F&G so low (fear) after a pump. It would suggest the sentiment was to buy?

It's a pretty normal thing, a lot except after a sudden pump a correction, check the graph, the fear index went down far faster than the price, and not just once, it does it quite regularly especially when the price is near a round number or what trades perceive as resistance.

BTW, OP, move this to speculation, it fits better there.
1955  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Robbing bitcoins from a bitcoiner on: May 02, 2023, 04:25:29 PM
If bitcoin can be robbed like banks or any type of robbery, how can we be safe with this like more tips for security excluding writing key phrase on paper, etc.

100% safe? There is no such thing!

After all Bitcoin or in this case the access to the coins, be it a wallet, a seed phrase, or an encrypted file is still a property that they can get to it or force you to give up, It's a thing of determination and what kind of thieves are you dealing with!
Are you getting mugged in the street and the thief runs with your phone? Simple encryption would help, then you rush home and use your back-up to move the coins to a safe new address! You have 1000BTC, a gang has found that out, and they are ready to kidnap and torture you? Then, just like any other of your possessions, there is no way of keeping them safe. They will torture you till you give them the keys or they will lose patience and shoot you!
Basically, it's almost the same as other valuables, it's easier to hide from a casual burglar, and you can hide the keys far easier than a 10 square feet painting or a 1 ton of sculpture but if we talk about ransom, that's it.

Probably the best method is to keep your holdings secret, avoid KYC on shady websites so a database leak won't show the whole world your balance and home address, avoid talking and bragging about Bitcoin on social media, and so on, in short, use common sense!
1956  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: [Apr 2023] Fees quite low! Use this opportunity to Consolidate your small inputs on: May 02, 2023, 04:02:11 PM
Wow, I hadn't needed to send Bitcoin out for a while and today took me by complete surprise. No way I would be paying the suggested 66 sats or so, so I thought, yeah, let me just send 1 sat/byte and see how long it takes. I can always RBF.

That 66sat/b  took me by surprise and I watched the mempool daily, it was around 10-15 sat/b for days and it just went up since morning, but holly*** 112!!!! sat/b in the last block, this is a new one. Anyhow, if the fomo on tokens doesn't go down yours will probably going to be dropped from the mempool at 1sat/b, the purging data on mempool.space might not be completely accurate but most nodes will soon start dumping a ton of transactions if this goes on like this.

Funnily enough, just this morning I was wondering what happened to ordinals, is that possibly part of the cause?

yeah, 100% caused by them.


1957  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: I asked Chat GPT what topics can help me earn merits on: May 02, 2023, 02:21:46 PM
Don't you think it is worth trying? Why will you? You got your rank when Merits never excisted. I have nothing to say but such bullying is a disgrace if you know what it means.

1. o_e_l_e_o wasn't Legendary when merits were introduced
2. Bringing his earned rank into the discussion is just ridiculous, he has earned enough merits to make him Legendary 14 times
3. The answers ChatGPT gave were actually really bad, so starting a discussion on those topics has a slim chance of getting merit
4. Remember that merit is earned from users, so lashing out at other members only diminishes your chances of success

The end statement made me realize that everything is not that easy. You still need to do a lot of research before creating any topics to earn merits.

Why not create a topic you find interesting and see if it gets merits, rather than creating a topic for merits with content you might not even care about?
Anyhow, your keyboard, your topics, just prepare to be disappointed later!
1958  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: I have Traveled on all Thailand and Spending only Crypto! on: May 02, 2023, 02:11:26 PM
That title is pretty misleading. I thought this is a thread about OP traveling to Thailand and spending cryptocurrencies everywhere in Thailand and it must be some interesting story and how everyone in Thailand accepts cryptocurrencies as payment for goods and services, it was disappointing to find out after opening the thread that it's nothing more than an advertisement.

Complete letdown so the title is like 100% off!
OP didn't even spend crypto in one single place, or at least he's not talking about it, all he did was found a guy and exchange some cryptos for cash which is like the non-event of the century. Not to mention that suddenly the exact seller coming one day later and starting to advertise more his service doesn't look at all fishy /s
What's even more annoying is that he promotes a service for usdt>fiat, not even bitcoin, so another wave of disappointment.

But this customer didn't spend any fiat from his bank account of cash that he bring with him from the home country.

You're so sure of what he's doing in Thailand and finances, it almost sounds like you're talking about your own account  Wink
1959  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Binance sees a large uptick in the amount of BTC held on their exchange on: May 02, 2023, 01:57:26 PM
Reading the article, one thing everyone ignored :

Quote
"We have seen legacy wallets that have not been used for 10 years suddenly awaken and transfer bitcoin. This could be a sign that long-term holdings are thinking prices might be capped around $30,000," Thielen added.

I think a lot overestimate how much can some really hold coins, at one point when you're sitting with 10-20 million in your wallet you're probably wondering should I sell it now and enjoy life without headaches or should I still hold it for another 5-6 years to get 100 million but hope I would still not need blue pills to have fun.
Not every investor is 18 yo and can wait another decade, for some $30k-40k means enough to have a comfy life, why bother anymore?
As for the EARN program on Binance being another trigger, people never learn, do they?

If you look at Bitcoin exchange balance for Binance (scroll down, select exchange) you will see there was also also a massive spike back in November last year at around $16K, very much near the lows.

Those spikes were caused by Binance moving coins around for their "proof of reserves" and then for their so-called audit, it wasn't caused by people depositing or withdrawing money but simply by Binance's new addresses not being counted, like those mysterious 120k bitcoins that are of course #safu  Wink
1960  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Highest Record Bitcoin Transactions, What does this indicate? on: May 02, 2023, 01:32:54 PM
This indicates that bitcoin has been under DDOS attack for several months

DDOS? lol

Fortunately Luke Dashjr has created a patch that allows (if you wish) to refuse ordinal transactions in the mempool of your node.

Has he done this after or before securing his coins and blaming the protocol for his losses?
Luke was one of the champions of censorship, he claimed almost was spam, of course not his own transactions, satoshi dice > spam, mixers > spam, batching transactions > spam, the thing that he opposes this much ordinals and he's already on with his censorship makes me think ordinals are not that bad after all.

Oh, and you can do whatever you want with your node, as long as the biggest mining pools accept them any community actions are useless.

This mean nothing, other than the fact that more and more people are discovering and adopting bitcoin, there are those who are also buying strategically in preparation for next year's halving event, as almost every bitcoin investor have come to believe that a bull run happens after every bitcoin halving, and 2024 halving won't be an exception.

No, it doesn't mean that at all.
If it were like this you would have normal transactions going up in numbers, besides it will be far more of a linear growth and not something like this:
https://bitinfocharts.com/comparison/bitcoin-transactions.html#3m
Besides, one user can do 1000 transactions and 10 users 10, the overall number is hardly an indicator of anything.
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