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2081  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: Looks like some of the big pools in china are having DNS problems on: November 26, 2021, 01:55:41 AM
My rigs  kept mining, everything looked good, until I rebooted my wireless, then every one 'could not resolve host name"

Wondering if yours continue to mine, and if they really are mining?


Do you mean you rebooted your router? Well if you did so then it explains why they can not connect anymore as explained in my first post.

Yup except for the 2 gears that rebooted the rest kept mining with no issues, in fact the app worked for a while a few mins back and the hashrate was showing pretty normal.
2082  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: Looks like some of the big pools in china are having DNS problems on: November 25, 2021, 09:54:40 PM
Probably by the time you read this it will all be fixed, but its been going on for a while now, not sure how much its affecting mining or just access to the web sites.

To most folks, it's probably just the website, out of nearly 200 gears I got running on Viabtc only 2 switched to the secondary pool because they were rebooted by awesomeminer for having "sick asics", the rest are unaffected and 0 seconds time on the backup pools.

The miners that switched to the secondary pools now showing Viabtc "dead", it will probably go away if I reboot them but I want to see what happens, so my guess is that if the miner wasn't rebooted during these DNS issues -- no issues, someone who runs a pool like Kano probably knows what could have been the problem, why are the previously connected miners running fine, and the ones that are negotiating for a new connection aren't.

Anyway, one should always be prepared for such a scenario, the back pool needs to be in a different geographical location.
2083  Bitcoin / Mining support / Re: Explain to me how to start mining in the newbies way. on: November 25, 2021, 09:04:59 PM
Your question is very general, nobody has the answer for such a question, the general information is available on Google, you need to at least spend a few hours reading about mining and then once and if you have a very specific question -- come here and ask.
2084  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2021, time for a new general & diff speculation thread... on: November 25, 2021, 01:29:41 PM
I will share it when its ready, and if its allowed here. Any thoughts?

Not that the decision is mine, but to me, as long as the main focus is on BTC difficulty then it deserves to be here, if NotFuzzyWarm doesn't agree (which I doubt given how reasonable he has been in managing this topic) you can always start your own topic.

2085  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2021, time for a new general & diff speculation thread... on: November 24, 2021, 10:08:33 PM
...
P.S. My post got deleted, I dont know why, I'm new here but I'm open for guidance on what I did wrong.
Considering I have not yet needed to delete any posts in this thread (my thread and self-moderated) it had to be one of the Forum mods that did it.

What did you post: Clickbait links? Suspicious links? Duplicates of posts in other threads? Any of those will attract the attention of the Forum mods.
As Phil said, ja this thread and area is primarily for discussion of only BTC but--I have no problems with posts regarding shitcoins as long as the primary focus of the post deals with BTC.

I am pretty sure a BTC maximalist reported it and the mod didn't bother reading the whole post and simply deleted it for containing words such as "ETH", although anyone who read the whole post would see that the main focus of that post was regarding BTC, the idea is this "altcoins like ETH keep breaking ATH in terms of diff, BTC's diff isn't, so it's likely that gear manufacturers are focused on making alt gears which is why bitcoin diff isn't spiking as fast as it could/should", I believe his post is

1- Good quality.
2- Right on topic.

But ya, shit happens, if you want to know "why" was your post deleted you can always post in meta, here, I found your deleted post thanks to LoyceV > https://loyce.club/archive/posts/5851/58515243.html
2086  Bitcoin / Mining support / Re: some errors on my m32s miners on: November 24, 2021, 12:16:11 AM
another question...
how can i remove miner log or pool log?

What do you mean by "remove"? you can clear the log by rebooting the miner, but then it will start filling based on the current status of the miner, the miner logs resets at every reboot, the pool log stays there forever until you reset the miner or/and flash a new firmware.
2087  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2021, time for a new general & diff speculation thread... on: November 23, 2021, 09:58:16 PM
Is it possible that this is due to their better efficiency in making usd/kwh, and that there is actually a greater power shortage than chip shortage? This goes in line with opinion that ASICs are actually siting idle, rather than being scarce.

I believe it's a combination of both, your theory is valid tho and phill has pointed that out a while back, altcoins mining gears make a lot more money than BTC mining gears when power is the only factor, but this can't be the only reason, because even the manufacturers that are not known to be making altcoins mining gears and focused mainly on BTC gears aren't making enough gears.

Power shortage is real and people are having a hard time getting their gears hosted, just to give you an example, in one of the major hosting groups today, I saw a few folks looking for 1MW+ hosting, the total is around 23MW, in return, only 11MW was offered, price is 6.25c per KWw, when I saw that I was like damn that's cheap, but then he said "customer pays capex" which means you need to pay for the transformer, container, and all the wiring and whatnot, so ya, finding a place to host your gears is pretty damn hard.
2088  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Hosts are dropping like flies... or at least dropping me on: November 22, 2021, 01:09:07 AM
Sorry to hear the bad news that was brought to you.

Guess that's just the nature of the business. But when I made the investment in the miners I did not consider the fact that if profitability goes up too far, these hosts will drop you as soon as possible so they can utilize their own capacity. And once you get dropped, good luck finding any place to host your 1 gen old miners in a bull market.


I admire your knowledge, I have always been skeptical about the hosting business for many reasons, this one you mentioned being on the top of my list, and then you got nearly the whole world facing power shortage and increased gas/oil prices, it makes things even worse.

By the way, this isn't just you, it has been the "trend" on telegram, many people are facing issues with various hosts all over the globe, I saw someone looking for a new home for a 1000 miners he had somewhere in Russia which the host can't host anymore.


Quote
I'm already researching immersion cooling since I know the noise will be an issue.

That sounds like a plan, maybe someone should start an " immersion cooling" dedicated topic where we all can collectively collect information about suppliers, the Dos and Don'ts of immersion cooling, and whatnot, something like the difficulty topic we have, let me know what you think.
2089  Bitcoin / Mining support / Re: Antminer S19j Pro 104TH/s --- not reachable on: November 22, 2021, 12:34:27 AM
Finally it's Hashing!! It is indeed funny but network cable was the damn problem or maybe my IQ was. Thanks Mikeywith

Gave your first forum merit for reporting back, since most people just vanish after getting their issues fixed.

I know it's funny, it's too basic that I myself almost always forget to check it, sometimes we go as far as changing PSU/Control board before checking something so simple like a network cable or a loose ribbon cable, I don't think this has anything to do with your IQ, it's just how human beings are, we over complicate small matters way too often.
2090  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2021, time for a new general & diff speculation thread... on: November 21, 2021, 09:56:58 PM
wander if an honorable judge will declarer who Satoshi is in the near future

I think you are talking about Craig Wright case, many "fools" believe that the judge will declare him as Satoshi and that BSV will overtake BTC and all the hashrate will move there, what most people don't know is that case has nothing to do with the identity of Satoshi, the judge will either make CW pay Kleiman half of the alleged 1.1M BTC (which we all know he has no access to), or the judge will dismiss the case and the Kleiman family loses, regardless of which way it goes, no judge will declare who is/isn't Satoshi.

Besides, the only way for anyone to declare himself Satoshi would be to sign a message using the address from the Genesis block, even if every judge in the world declared someone as Satoshi -- it will change exactly nothing, and bitcoin and its mining won't be affected by all of that nonsense.


Anyway, to follow up on my previous post, here are some interesting reads


https://thediplomat.com/2021/11/kazakhstans-power-shortages-crypto-miners-and-geopolitics/
https://eurasianet.org/kazakhstan-to-restrict-crypto-miners-amid-power-shortages
https://cointelegraph.com/news/we-are-the-number-two-crypto-miner-in-the-world-and-we-see-practically-no-financial-return-says-kazakhstan-president-tokayev

Kazakhstan is the second-largest mining hub according to the latest Cambridge study, with 18% of the total hashrate, many Chinese moved there after the ban in China, sadly for them (luckily for the rest) the country started facing some serious power shortage and everyone is blaming the "foreign miners" for that, the president demanded for more regulation, and there have been some moves against those who mine illegally.

a few days ago they confiscated 4,500 miners and are still hunting for the other illegal operations, so probably many illegal miners have shutdown before the police identify their locations.

Now it's also very likely that the tariff on power for mining will get another spike, the president said

Quote
"We are the number two crypto miner in the world, and we see practically no financial return"

So, you have a power shortage crisis, the majority of the income goes to foreign miners "mostly Chinese", you export coal at a premium and now you have to burn it to avoid blackouts, so it's a -lose-lose situation, how do you recover that? shut down all the illegal miners and tax the heck out of the ones who mine legally, if they stay -- you make more money, if they leave -- you use less coal and get to sell it to China.

This whole mess is a net positive as far as the difficulty is concerned.

2091  Bitcoin / Mining support / Re: Antminer S19j Pro 104TH/s --- not reachable on: November 21, 2021, 09:27:31 PM
I recently purchased an Antminer S19j Pro 104TH/s from Bitmain.

I scanned my router to get the IP because IP scanner wasn't able to detect anything with the physical IP button on the miner.

Miner is connected via ethernet and in the list it says device: unknown, static.

When I try to reach the miner with its IP it doesn't connect, says 'host unreachable', tried ping but same result.

Please help me out here.

First of all, let's just say that the IP report button is pretty useless as far as what you are trying to do is concerned, in fact, it could create issues for you, so stop pressing it, if you bought the miner brand new then it comes with DHCP enabled, meaning that the miner will negotiate with your router and will be given a certain IP within the DHCP table range set on your router.

A good tool to use would be "angry ip scanner" to scan for all devices on the network, if that still doesn't solve your issue, it probably means the miner is configured on static settings which is almost impossible if you bought it directly from Bitmian, but either way, you can just reset the miner and will go back to DHCP.

Also, it's funny to say but please, make sure your network cable is good and that your router has DHCP enabled.
2092  Bitcoin / Mining support / Re: S9 not hashing after replacing fan. Fault light solid on. on: November 20, 2021, 11:53:00 PM
It seems like your fan5 is weak

Quote
driver-btm-c5.c:2990:check_fan_beforeInit: get fan[5] speed=4560

also for some reason it completely stops at some point, could be a low-quality fan, is fan 5 the front or the back fan? can you switch them and make sure they both are facing the same direction (blowing air into the same direction in is where the LAN port is).
2093  Economy / Speculation / Re: Summer dip?!, December price outcome? ---> JOIN and guess the price GO! on: November 20, 2021, 10:43:48 AM
Anyhow, I do remain somewhat confused

I said it is very unlikely we pass 75k this year, you thought that me thinking that btc has some sort of price limits was wrong, so if 75k isnt the limit and i turn out to be wrong, we might go a lot higher levels, That will make me "richer" at the expense of being "wrong" which I'll gladly accept.
2094  Economy / Speculation / Re: Summer dip?!, December price outcome? ---> JOIN and guess the price GO! on: November 19, 2021, 10:28:18 PM
yes.. you are probably wrong..

Better rich than right.

2095  Economy / Speculation / Re: Summer dip?!, December price outcome? ---> JOIN and guess the price GO! on: November 19, 2021, 09:08:31 PM
mikeywith - can you tell me where to generate this chart?

TradingView, search for BLX which has the longest data on BTC/USD, the timeframe used here is 2 weeks, and the rest is just the drawing tools which are available for free on Tradingview.

Thanks for reminding me about this, might be a good time to update it.




Again, as before, the yellow and red areas are levels that usually Bitcoin doesn't spend a lot of time at, every time it goes there, it's either prior to a blow-off top before a crash or a crash before anything else.

I have divided the lower bound into two parts, dark green and light green, the light green is areas where bitcoin usually bottoms after a bear market or a large correction, you can also see that despite the fact that we made a new ATH this month, we didn't go past the green area unlike the previous ATH in march, which means we still have more room to grow, which also proves that the slower we move up the more we can sustain the price, for an example if we get to 100k anytime before April of next year, we are likely going to crash fast and hard, if we go to a 100k in say June of next year we will still be in the green with more room to the upside.

The bottom of the light green channel sits at roughly 19.5k, which means it's almost nearly impossible to ever see 19.5k regardless of when the bear market starts, the upper bound of the dark green on Dec 30 sits at 75k, which means we are highly unlikely going to pass 75k this year, a very sad opinion, but well, I hope I am wrong.
2096  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2021, time for a new general & diff speculation thread... on: November 19, 2021, 08:31:52 PM
Given how expensive S9s and the other old mining gears are, there is a good possibility that many miners were actually affected by this relatively small correction, I have always said that most folks in this business don't have a clue about what they are doing, almost all the members here including newbies know a lot more about mining than most folks who spend most of their time on Facebook.

Can you imagine that people are asking questions like "why did my payouts drop compared to last week, should I change the mining pool"? I swear, there are folks that literally don't understand that their payouts will go down when the difficulty goes up, they don't even know about the difficulty aspect altogether, heck, I am willing to bet that many of them don't even realize that they are mining at a loss until enough time has passed.

Anyway, I believe the sudden drop in hashrate was also to do with the power outages in Kazakhstan, I saw a few miners who have their gears hosted there talk about this earlier, also the government there is cracking down on the illegal mining farms that don't declare themselves as mining operations to avoid paying the 15% or whatever the tariff on electricity used for mining is.

2097  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2021, time for a new general & diff speculation thread... on: November 18, 2021, 12:06:58 AM
I figure my return for 2021 will have 100+ pages of info.

my return for 2020 was about 40 pages

The state should pay you for writing those pages, Grin jokes aside, it seems like a lot of work needs to be done to prepare your tax files, I am really so glad I don't have that here, the only time I have to report income is if the business is owned by a company of mine and sells stuff to the government, however, if the business is personal-owned and doesn't sell anything to the government, I am free to do whatever I want with my income.

of course, in return, we don't have fancy highways and a perfect health care system and whatnot, but with the almost free power rate I have, I prefer that things stay this way for as long as possible.

Now back to mining, I have already started negotiating for a 1MW facility, hopefully, by the Q2-Q3 next year it will be ready, and then eventually the plan will be 10-15 ph in S9s and a few a bit more effienct gears, but because I want to spend more time with my family, this time around I will have someone to manage the whole farm and share with them a handsome percentage of the profit, this mining game is addicted and I can't seem to stop, but this 10-15ph will be it for me, and from there on, just mine and hodl.

2098  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: Binance pool dropping payouts too fast. on: November 17, 2021, 10:47:22 PM
However if the difficulty increase is linear all miners whether are old new or acquired for free will be useless unless they run on free energy, which doesn't exist unless is stolen.
And with a steady increase of 10% a month is going to be soon.

So the only hope for the industry is a sharp decline in hashrate/price.

The difficulty will only go up, but it can't keep doing 10% every month forever, as you are aware 10% of 150 isn't the same as 10% of 300, the higher the difficulty the harder the move, and then because shit happens we have been mining at a lower difficulty than we did 6 months ago (because of the China ban), so many things can happen.

You should also be aware of the fact that bitcoin price will also not maintain the crazy gains, if you compare all the previous cycles you will notice that with every cycle the gains shrink, it's called "diminishing returns", eventually running a mining business will be as difficult as running any other business, you will need the right resources and power price to compete.

And, you are wrong about "free energy has to be stolen", the world doesn't revolve around the U.S or a few other countries you know, where I live power is either free or almost free (below half a cent) depending on the place/capacity and a few other factors, eventually you will need to have that free power or a technology edge like owning a mining gear that is more effienct than the rest, or you won't be able to mine, but until that happens all you need to do is pick the right time to buy your mining gears, don't jump in at the peak of the cycle as most people do.

2099  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2021, time for a new general & diff speculation thread... on: November 17, 2021, 09:37:52 PM
The single one we purchased was purchased with cash not btc.

That doesn't change the fact that when buying a mining a gear that mines bitcoin you are essentially buying bitcoin in the future, you could have used that amount of cash to buy BTC and your total BTC holdings compared to what the miner has generated so far is obviously more, but you have a good point about the tax thing "which I am not aware about since we pay no taxes for both buying/selling bitcoin and mining gears".

Bifa also brought up a good point, it all depends on whether your ROI is based on the amount of BTC or just fiat, am not saying there is a wrong or right way, but to me, if it can't ROI in BTC why even bother? holding BTC is a lot less risk, less effort, no power bills, no maintenance, cleaning, downtime, and whatnot, and if the value of that BTC drops against fiat, it also means the income in fiat from the miner has dropped.

To me, mining easily beats both BTC and cash when we are in the sideway market right after a major crash, when the price isn't doing much for a year or two, mining generates passive income in BTC and miners usually make a lot more BTC than just holding btc or fiat, mining also isn't all bad in a bear market, but it fails big time in a bull market when measured against holding just btc.

But again, it all depends on everybody's goals and risk tolerance, there is no right or wrong way of doing this, everyone should be study the market from their own perspective and decide what works best for them, heck, it's hard enough to tell people to invested or not invest in BTC, let alone mining BTC.

2100  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2021, time for a new general & diff speculation thread... on: November 17, 2021, 02:19:04 AM
People that bought s19s when they were first released have already ROIed and are now making lots of BTC.

I remember those S19s pro were first selling for $2633 when BTC price was about $7150 back on 15th April 2020 (got all these info saved), with U.S taxes and shipping the total cost was $3500 which means those guys paid 0.48BTC for a single S19 pro which they received on June (after the halving), the difficulty went from 14T to 25T back to 13T and had all kind of ups and downs.

So if we say the average diff has been somewhere in between at 19.5T, then for the duration of 534 days since they received the miner they would have made 0.367 BTC before the power bill (using Viabtc online calculator), even if we were to use 15T as the average diff that would still be a total profit of 0.475BTC without counting the power bill.

Even for someone who didn't have to pay the U.S tax and doesn't have free power, it's unlikely that they have ROIed long ago, maybe they just hit that point or about to, of course, you could add about 0.15BTC for the current gear value.

Keep in mind that this bad looking ROI would have been a lot worse if China didn't ban mining and we didn't have this chip shortage going on, if not for all of that, all those who rushed to buy the S19 pro when it landed wouldn't be even close to halfway to ROI, of course, this doesn't to always have to be the case, but it's gives a good indication that  ROI is usually far more extended than what it looks like.

I totally agree with the stuff you mentioned about chip shortage, but we know that have been a major factor in helping those who bought the expensive S19s and that help alone wasn't good enough, not even with China banning mining, so unless the shortage gets more serious which I doubt, chances are nothing is going to change in terms of the ROI terms, but hey, I am more often wrong than right, so. Roll Eyes
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