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781  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling schools importance on: August 23, 2022, 11:00:47 PM
A gambling educational course would be too short to fit into a standard school curriculum. There wouldn't be enough background exposition and information to need an entire school year to cover it. It should only take a few weeks to get the basics down. Then the rest of the education and training would focus on fundamentals such as mental discipline. And recognizing the difference between logical choices and emotional choices. Each loss would have to be rationalized and broken down to figure out which errors were made. It couldn't be covered by daily education. It would be more like a sports coaching gig.

I do not think that most gamblers are interested in scrutinizing their gambling habits closely enough to consistently be successful at it. For many its an escape. Its a means of coping. Its something that gives them hope. Its a social thing. There are reasons they gamble aside from wanting or needing to be successful at it. And that's perfectly ok.
782  Economy / Economics / Re: Consequences and effects of inflation | Financially and Mentally on: August 22, 2022, 04:47:04 PM
How are you currently coping? Do you believe that we'll see any kind of improvement in the next few months/years? What coping mechanisms have you developed?



I expected our current era of inflation and doom and gloom for the last 20+ years.

Everything people are depressed and anxious about now. Are things I was depressed and anxious about more than a decade ago. Thankfully, I've had time to think and rationalize everything. Eventually got over most of the negative thoughts and sentiments surrounding it. Like the stereotypical memes say, things do get better over time. People can adapt.

Learning more about the problems we face definitely helped in my case. Feelings of powerlessness stem from not knowing or understanding the motives, history and fundamental forces behind things. This is a dual edged sword as defining the problem can also exacerbate negative feelings, in terms of recognizing the enormity of the issues faced. Which can result in greater demoralization.

The worst is still yet to come. I hope the crisis brings out the best in people and teaches us the importance of things which many of us take for granted.



783  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Ongoing - Hackers manage to steal crypto from customers of General Bytes ATMs on: August 22, 2022, 04:25:21 PM
Historically.

There have always been rumors of ATMs being designed and manufactured by shell companies with ties to organized crime. There have been a number of articles and journalistic pieces published on this topic that I've seen over the years. One way credit card numbers are stolen could be through compromised ATMs which scan the numbers.

In Kevin Mitnick's book The Art of Deception it was claimed more than 80% of electronic attacks are inside jobs. Current employees or former disgruntled employees are typically the number #1 suspects.

There have been a large number of similar hacks over the past 10 years. Enough for it to be called a trend or pattern. If you put the pieces together, what do you get? It would appear that its increasingly more important to vet the people running the operation today. Moreso than it was in past years.
784  Economy / Economics / Re: Google leads corporate blockchain investment race on: August 22, 2022, 03:56:31 PM
It is known that google's ad revenue is declining. This negative trend began in 2020.

Quote
Google’s ad revenue falls 8% for 1st decline in 26-year history

July 31, 2020

https://www.marketingdive.com/news/google-ad-revenue-falls-1st-decline-in-26-year-history/582661/

Google's declining revenue is blamed on the COVID pandemic.

However there is another angle present. The quality of google search results has significantly declined. To a point where many no longer use google but prefer instead to use other search engines which provide better search results.

With google's main business and source of income no longer being viable. It makes sense for them to search out other sources of revenue. Blockchain is a ripe area for growth.

Of course there is always the possibility google could combine their indexing and search technology with blockchain. To create something new. There have been several proposals along these lines for many years. Ranging from blockchain based voting systems to blockchain based ledgers.
785  Economy / Economics / Re: Satellite data finds landfills are methane 'super emitters' on: August 21, 2022, 03:00:28 PM


well its all about numbers
take https://www.worldometers.info/co2-emissions/co2-emissions-by-country/

1    China                10,432,751,400    
2    United States     5,011,686,600

everyone shouts out that china is bad..
yet. you got to put numbers in prospective



A large chunk of american carbon and greenhouse gas emissions are US military.

Quote
Report: The U.S. Military Emits More CO2 Than Many Industrialized Nations

A new report from Brown University has estimated that since the invasion of Afghanistan in 2001, the U.S. military has emitted 1,212 million metric tons of greenhouse gases. In 2017 alone, CO2 emissions added up to 59 million tons - more than many industrialized nations including Sweden and Switzerland.

BP's Statistical Review of World Energy records carbon dioxide emissions in different countries and in 2017, total estimated CO2 emissions in Sweden came to 48 million tons by comparison. The U.S. military also produced more greenhouse gases than Morocco, Peru, Hungary, Finland, New Zealand and Norway. According to the research from Brown University, the Pentagon would be the world's 55th largest CO2 emitter if it was a country.

War and preparation for it are fossil fuel intensive activities and along with being the single largest consumer of energy in the U.S., the Department of Defense is the world's single largest institutional consumer of petroleum. 70% of all energy gets consumed by moving and utilizing troops and equipment around the world, involving the burning of vast quantities of jet fuel and diesel. Military equipment is not known for its fuel efficiency and it is estimated that the country's remaining fleet of 60,000 humvees only gets four to eight miles per gallon of diesel. Military real estate also leaves a considerable carbon footprint and in FY2017, the Department of Defense spent $3.5 billion heating, cooling and providing electricity to 560,000 buildings at 500 installations.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/niallmccarthy/2019/06/13/report-the-u-s-military-emits-more-co2-than-many-industrialized-nations-infographic/

I wonder which US sectors have the largest CO2 emissions, if a breakdown was made.

There is certainly no push to refit M-1 Abrams tanks with diesel engines that offer better fuel economy and lower greenhouse gas emissions. Its typical for US military vehicles to have the lowest range and worst fuel economy of any vehicle in their class. One element I've always disliked about its composition. Not only does it translate to greater carbon emissions but is also a disadvantage in eras like the present where fuel becomes a scarce commodity.
786  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [ BOXING POLL ADDED ] The Unification Fight: FURY vs USYK on: August 21, 2022, 02:45:24 PM
What happened to Tyson Fury wanting an exhibition fight with UFC heavyweight champion Francis Ngannou?

Usyk pushes a high pace with his elusive head movement, angles and defense. But I think Tyson Fury is too big, has too much reach and is too savvy a boxer to have trouble landing punches on Usyk the way that Anthony Joshua did. Fury throws more punches per round than Joshua. Inactivity was one of Joshua's biggest failings. AJ took too many rounds off as rest rounds. He tired quickly. Even though he only threw around 10 punches in some rounds. Usyk will have a harder time outworking Fury to win on points.

Its interesting to see modern day heavyweight boxers throw low volumes of punches. The athleticism and endurance of boxers appears to have significantly declined. When Mike Tyson, Lennox Lewis and the other greats were still competing, boxing was a much more action packed and exciting sport.
787  Economy / Economics / Re: Market speculation caused the recent Bitcoin fall on: August 21, 2022, 02:41:29 PM
Market prices in stocks, bonds, gold, silver and bitcoin. None of them have made logical sense in a long time.

Gold and silver weren't appreciating in value during eras of inflation concern, the way most expected them to. There were reports of COVID shutting down factories in china for weeks in 2020. Before the affects were finally felt in US stocks. Bitcoin price trends haven't made sense in awhile. Even commodities prices aren't making a ton of sense.

The history of this dates back at least a decade. Back to coca cola complaining about aluminum prices affecting beverage can manufacturing. Aluminum suppliers were able to create artificial scarcity in markets by delaying shipments of alu. Which would in turn elevate the price. The opposite is also true. Artificial excess can be created by flooding markets.

Since then speculation has become rampant. Bitcoin was ignored by speculators for a time. But once large institutional investors got in the game, things have definitely changed.

788  Economy / Economics / HSBC, Citigroup and the End of Global Banking on: August 20, 2022, 03:28:30 PM
Quote
August 16, 2022

Twenty years ago, as they returned from summer vacations, staff at HSBC Holdings Plc began moving into their gleaming new global headquarters in London’s Canary Wharf. Designed by Norman Foster, the building was one of two new towers to spring up on the skyline east of the City. The other was home to Citigroup Inc., whose employees had moved in a few months earlier. At the time, these were jointly the second-tallest buildings in the UK. They reflected the confidence of their occupants: each vying to be the biggest, most imposing bank in the world.

Two decades later, the buildings now stand as monuments to a bygone age. The global ambitions of both HSBC and Citigroup have been pared back, replaced by a narrower focus on core markets. HSBC has reduced the number of countries and territories in which it operates to 64 from 88. Its largest shareholder, China’s Ping An Insurance (Group) Co., has been agitating for a spinoff of its Asia operations. Last year, Citigroup announced its exit from 13 consumer markets across Asia, Europe and the Middle East and is trying to sell its Mexican business, Banamex.

The shift in strategy of the two banks tracks the arc of globalization.

Back in 2002, HSBC coined the tagline “the world’s local bank” to describe its strategy. In the prior 10 years, it had made a series of acquisitions – in the UK, Brazil, US, France and Mexico – as part of a “three-legged stool” strategy to build a presence across Asia, North America and Europe.

Founded in Hong Kong in 1865, it outgrew its domestic market and began to invest excess capital abroad. The strategy was the brainchild of Michael Sandberg, its chairman between 1977 to 1986. “If you stand still these days you are in fact moving backwards,” he said.

The strategy followed the path laid by Citi. In 1967, Citi promoted Walter Wriston, head of its overseas business, to president. Wriston had already made clear his ambitions at a dinner a few years earlier: “The plan in the overseas division was first to put a Citibank branch in every commercially important country in the world. The second phase was to begin to tap the local deposit market by putting satellite branches or mini-branches in a country. The third phase was to export retail services and know-how from New York.”

Like HSBC, the bank deployed capital all over the world. It does business in 160 countries and jurisdictions. (The United Nations currently has 193 member states).

By the time they moved into their new offices, HSBC and Citi were the most globally diversified of the major international banks. “We fought like cats and dogs,” said William Purves, who succeeded Sandberg as chairman, “but in some ways we were quite close.” As global trade ballooned, the banks benefited as financial intermediaries, riding the coattails of the post-Cold War global economic integration.

But with the global financial crisis in 2008, the prevailing model of globalization began to unwind. As countries turned inwards and regional trading blocs became more dominant, the expansion of global value chains slowed. Having risen in a straight line from 29% of global gross domestic product in 1993, goods trade – the sum of merchandise imports and exports – peaked at 51% in 2008. (In 2021, it was down to 46%.)

As with many important turning points, the shift wasn’t initially obvious. Citi promoted a strategy to become an “urban bank, serving customers in the top 100 cities around the world.” Its post-crisis CEO, Vikram Pandit, argued that “people in these bigger cities have much more in common as customers than they do necessarily by nationality: from a banking perspective, Săo Paolo has more in common with London than it does with San Juan.” HSBC continued to plaster its “world’s local bank” slogan across jet bridges at major airports until 2016.

But as profitability in their outposts declined and the cost of managing far-flung organizations grew alongside stricter post-crisis regulations, the banks began to shed their global aspirations. Pandit’s successor as CEO, Mike Corbat, exited a number of consumer markets and his successor, Jane Fraser, doubled down, exiting several more, including Mexico, Citi's largest standalone consumer franchise outside the US.

HSBC was similarly withdrawing from multiple markets. Last year, it sold its French business to private equity firm Cerberus Capital Management for 1 euro. Hong Kong is back to contributing 30% of its loan book, a level not seen in over 20 years.

Now the group faces its biggest test: a call to dismantle what’s left of its “three-legged stool.” Ping An reckons spinning off its Asian business could release $8 billion of capital and create between $25 billion and $35 billion of additional market value. At its interim results presentation earlier this month, HSBC countered that “structural change risks diluting the economics of our international business model.”

But with globalization in retreat, the value of an international banking network is diminished. From its global headquarters in Canary Wharf, HSBC’s global strategy is a throwback to a different age.


https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-08-17/hsbc-citigroup-and-the-end-of-global-banking


....


According to this piece, HSBC and citigroup are reversing their expansionist trend. They're reducing the number of nations they have a presence in. Perhaps due to lack of expected economic growth. The motives behind the move aren't entirely clear. No mention on who might step in to fill the vacuum created by the departure of big banks from regions they currently operate in. I wonder if growing market share of 3rd party payment apps like paypal and apple pay are cutting into their global market share. Crypto could also be gobbling up markets that banks traditionally occupied.

Even if crypto currently isn't well suited towards providing support for home, car, business and student loans. There are still so called remittance markets, mobile payments and other areas where they can be competitive.

Other articles published over the last 2 years claimed the end of banking could be near. Suggestions were made for people to prepare for a post banking world. I'm not certain what that means. It could refer to CBDC (central bank digital currencies). It could also refer to a type of cashless society. There are a number of options available which could fill the vacuum left behind by banks reversing expansionist trends.

Its not often that large publications like bloombergs publish content claiming banks could come to an end.

Maybe this will make for a good discussion topic?

789  Economy / Economics / Re: Google Executives Warn Employees About Layoffs: 'There Will Be Blood On Streets' on: August 20, 2022, 02:41:06 PM
For those who remember JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon's comments on BTC years back.

Was the credibility level of his crypto commentary, greater than what we might expect from a janitor sweeping floors?

Sorry. Couldn't resist asking this. Although I know its 100% an irrelevant point to most.

Think of all the CEOs who commented on crypto. Was there any intelligent content published by any of them. Aside from a scant few like apple co founder Steve Wozniak?
790  Economy / Economics / Re: fear you lose its called fud now 2022 whole geopolitical situation is for whales on: August 20, 2022, 02:19:04 PM
focus on just money



How to focus on money in a way that grows wealth, faster than 8% inflation diminishes it?

Even if you're doing well and living comfortably. Your local community may not. How to cope with rising violence, crime and theft. All of which usually occur in eras of economic recession and high inflation? Do you allocate a percentage of your income towards defense, personal protection and surveillance? How do you defend your family if guns are illegal in your country? Do you buy a taser, crossbow, machete or samurai sword? Do you try to move closer to where extended family resides for better protection and defense? Maybe move to more sparsely populated rural areas where crime might be less frequent?

Focusing solely on money is a somewhat centralized approach. Does this mean you do not subscribe to diversification investment strategies or decentralized finance?

Could it also be worthwhile to move to another country or region of the world that is better suited towards coping with these types of crisis. If so where would you go?
791  Economy / Economics / Re: 2022—The Year the Hydrogen Economy Launched? on: August 20, 2022, 01:39:28 PM
Your username makes the title look like a joke Smiley

Crypto and NFTS could also be used to subsidize in favor of hydrogen fuel.
This makes no sense.

I recently read about Shell building a hydrogen electrolyser hooked to an offshore wind turbine farm. The weird part is that the factory is far from the wind park.
I didn't know it's a challenge to run electrolyers with varying power supply, but that could be the holy grail of wind power and peak shaving. An economic incentive lasts a lot longer than subsidies. Talking about subsidies: they applied, but started building before it's approved.



No relation between my username and the impending hydrogen economy, thankfully.  

Maybe the world will someday see a hydrogen coin used to subsidize the expansion of hydrogen based economy.

(The NFT part of that was a joke. Its all good. NFTs will replace quantum computers someday.)

I think the majority of hydrogen fuel in the world is produced through steam reformation. Electrolysis is similar to ethanol. Corn that is grown as a food product is fermented into ethanol fuel. Which is a mandated fuel additive in most countries. Electrolysis requires electricity to generate hydrogen fuel. While steam reformation may be a more efficient process. Off the top of my head, that's what I remember. Although I could be in error there.

I'm certain they know what they're doing and will get the details ironed out.

What will be interesting is Elon Musk's response. He may have underestimated the viability of hydrogen. I was watching tests of hydrogen fuel canisters pulled by 18 wheelers. They shot the fuel tank of a hydrogen big rig with a gun and it didn't rupture, catch on fire or explode. In future tests, they planned to ram the hydrogen fuel tank with a train to prove its safety. I think shipping and cargo hauling is the ideal scenario for hydrogen power. That's the area its best able to compete with EVs which may not be well suited for the role.
792  Economy / Economics / Re: Effect Of Delayed Gratification On Investment Outcome. on: August 20, 2022, 01:27:07 PM
Risk and reward are strongly correlated in finance, business and investment. Strong potential, short term, profits trend with elevated risk. These generalizations are usually accurate within the profile of investments and opportunities. Its uncommon to find an investment opportunity with high potential, short term, gains that is a low risk venture.

The role of an investor and buisnessman concerned with profits could be one of mitigating risk. Balancing potential gains versus risk assessments.

There's a common saying in markets that the best time to buy is when there's blood in the streets. Pro, high volatility, trading. High risk, high potential reward. Those who play that game usually have advantages over other traders in order to profit consistently.

For the average person. It can be beneficial to prioritize long term stability and gains with a lower risk curve. Don't get caught up in the gold fever and swell of emotions which correlates with a flatlining of account balances.

Its well worth it to search for good opportunities and develop perception in separating the good from the bad. Rather than try to take off on every new wave that rolls in.
793  Economy / Economics / Russia May Have Passed Peak Oil on: August 19, 2022, 05:11:49 PM
Quote
Russia’s oil production is unlikely to recover to pre-coronavirus levels, according to a government strategy document cited by Kommersant.

In a strategy document outlining prospects for Russia’s critical oil and gas industry, the government said its “base case” — or most likely — scenario, is that Russia’s oil production will never again hit the record levels recorded in 2019.

In the last full year before the pandemic, Russia produced 560 million tons of oil — equivalent to 11.3 million barrels a day. But output dropped for the first time in more than a decade in 2020 as Russia agreed significant production cuts with Saudi Arabia and other members of the OPEC cartel in a bid to support oil prices at the start of the pandemic — pushing production down 9% to 10.3 million barrels per day.

In the scenario labelled most probable, the Energy Ministry predicts Russia’s oil output will grow over the rest of the decade — but fail to hit the record output of 2019, with production hitting a post-coronavirus peak of 11.1 million barrels a day in 2029 before decreasing to to 9.4 million barrels a day by 2035.

Russia vies with Saudi Arabia to be the world’s second-largest oil producer, behind the world-leading U.S. The Russian economy remains heavily dependent on energy exports, with revenues in pre-pandemic years accounting for more than a third of the government’s total budget and all extractive industries — covering oil, gas and other commodities — accounting for almost 40% of Russian GDP, according to the country’s statistics agency Rosstat.

In its most optimistic scenario, the Energy Ministry expects production to pass pre-coronavirus levels, peaking in 2030 at 12.8 million barrels a day before starting to decline. In every scenario presented, the Energy Ministry said Russian oil production had either already peaked, or would hit its maximum level within the next decade, Kommersant reported.

Russia remains poorly positioned to take advantage of the global energy transition to cleaner and renewable sources of energy, experts say. While countries in Europe and the U.S. have put clean energy at the center of their post-coronavirus economic stimulus and investment packages, Russia is reportedly planning to cut state spending on green energy. Analysts estimate that if every project currently in development is completed in time, Russia’s electricity generation from renewable sources, excluding hydro power, will be just 1% by 2024.

“While international oil [majors] are falling over themselves in their business transformation potential to become ‘clean,’ Russians are unlikely to compete with them in this renewables drive,” VTB Capital’s deputy head of oil and gas research Dmitry Loukashov said in a research note last week.

He does believe, however, that the Russian oil and gas industry could capitalize on so-called transition fuels, like hydrogen or ammonia, as well as take a leading role in investment and research into carbon capture technology.

The Energy Ministry strategy outlines that government tax cuts to high-potential oil fields, such as those in the Arctic region, will be crucial in helping the country maximize the potential of the vast energy resources it still sits on.

If oil prices lag, it estimates that only a third of Russia’s proven reserves will be profitable to extract, while even in the most optimistic scenario, with higher global oil prices, only two-thirds of Russia’s recoverable reserves will be taken out of the ground.




https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2021/04/12/russia-may-have-passed-peak-oil-output-government-a73558


....


Should peak production of oil have been reached. It could be defined as a deflationary commodity. Similar to bitcoin's reward halving. Every successive year would be defined by average decreases in production. Accompanied by rising scarcity of resources.

What would the expected performance of such a trend resemble?

It also appears that russia is poorly situated to transition to green and renewable sources of energy. With a whopping 1% or less of its electricity generation being derived from low carbon footprint sources. Putin it seems does not approve of environmentally friendly, sustainable and renewable power.

Peak oil has been a hot topic since the 1970s. Our last era of inflation and high fossil fuel costs. Some analysts conclude that too much of our lifestyle is built upon fossil fuels for them to be replaced. Others claim the opposite is true. Today we can synthesize organic waste products into fossil fuels and manufacture plastics from soybeans and other sources. Perhaps we have better alternatives today. But at one time the peak oil debate was one of a doomsday scenario. Where peak oil was correlated with peak civilization and all humanity could expect afterward would be a decline.

794  Economy / Economics / 2022—The Year the Hydrogen Economy Launched? on: August 19, 2022, 04:46:03 PM
Quote
Among the technological visions that seem perpetually futuristic (think commercial nuclear fusion and maglev trains), the hydrogen economy has always been tantalizing. Hydrogen produced from renewable energy or nuclear power, with minimal greenhouse-gas emissions, could be piped or transported pretty much anywhere, using mostly existing infrastructure. It could power trucks, cars, planes, and ships and generate electricity, either in fuel cells or combustion turbines. In short, it could do anything fossil fuels do now, but with substantially reduced climate impact.

Now, after decades of false starts and overly optimistic projections, several factors are giving an unprecedented lift to clean hydrogen. In the United States, sweeping legislation capped a series of moves by the country’s Department of Energy (DOE) over the past year to drive down the cost of low-carbon hydrogen and stimulate demand for the fuel. And in Europe, a looming fossil-fuel crisis has sent officials scrambling to find alternatives to the 155 billion cubic meters of Russian natural gas that EU countries imported in 2021.

“I’ve been working in hydrogen for 20 years, and this is absolutely the most exciting time, the busiest time,” says Keith Wipke, manager of the Fuel Cell and Hydrogen Technologies Program at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) in Golden, Colo. “There’s just so much activity.”

The U.S. legislation, known as the Inflation Reduction Act, was signed into law by President Joe Biden on 16 August, after being passed in Congress along party lines earlier in the month. It prescribes new spending of US $437 billion over 10 years, of which some $370 billion is directed toward a sprawling range of renewable-energy, electric-vehicle, and other greenhouse-gas reduction measures. But it was the low-carbon-hydrogen provisions that raised eyebrows, for a couple of reasons. One is that they are more generous than many analysts were expecting. The other is that the hydrogen provisions are technology-neutral, meaning that there is no distinction between hydrogen produced by electrolysis with electricity from, for example, a wind farm or a nuclear power plant.

The bill provides tax credits to producers of low-carbon hydrogen at a rate that depends on how much carbon is emitted during production, among other factors. At the lowest emission rate—0.45 kilograms of carbon dioxide emitted per kilogram of hydrogen produced—producers are eligible for a credit of up to $3 per kilogram of hydrogen, making the cost cheaper, in some instances, than that of ordinary “gray” hydrogen, which is derived from natural gas through a process called steam reforming. Production of gray hydrogen creates from 8 to 12 kilograms of CO2 per kilogram of hydrogen produced. Costs of gray hydrogen vary but are roughly $2/kg in the United States.

Nearly all of the hydrogen made in the United States, some 10 million tonnes last year, is produced this way. China, the world’s largest producer of hydrogen at upwards of 25 million tonnes a year, derives 62 percent of its total from coal, which creates 18 to 20 kg of CO2 per kilogram of hydrogen. In both the United States and China, production of “green” hydrogen, created by electrolysis using a renewable energy source, makes up less than 1 percent of total output.

The DOE has established goals of getting the cost of low-carbon hydrogen, without incentives, down to $2/kg by 2026, and to $1/kg by 2031. Says Wipke, referring to the top $3/kg credit in the Inflation Reduction Act, “if today’s hydrogen is about $5 a kilogram through electrolysis, clean electrolysis, and you’re able to take $3 off of that, and go from $5 down to $2, well, essentially, you have met, with the incentives, our 2026 goal of $2 a kilogram. Now, technically, you’ve done it through incentives, but the impact is the same. You’re rapidly getting the cost of hydrogen down to where it is very competitive—and in many cases cheaper—than the fossil alternative. So that’s why the community is so excited.”

As compelling as the production credit may prove to be, the provisions are just the most recent of a series of government moves aimed at bolstering clean hydrogen. A year ago, for example, the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) pledged $8 billion to establish up to eight regional “hydrogen hubs” in the country. These would be facilities where low-carbon hydrogen would be produced, stored, used, and transported elsewhere.

“I think the combination, the one-two punch of the IIJA hydrogen hubs and the IRA's production tax credit, can help build the full value chain,” says Alex Kizer, senior vice president of research and analysis at the Energy Futures Initiative. “And I wouldn't underestimate the other hydrogen-adjacent funding opportunities in the IRA, because hydrogen is going to need manufacturing, it's going to need fueling, it's going to need distribution…. There’s opportunity up and down the hydrogen value chain. That, in addition to the PTC [production tax credit], is what has me most excited.”

In mid-August there were already some 22 prospective hubs being touted around the country, though a formal announcement of a “funding opportunity” from the DOE wasn’t expected until September or October. Around that time, site preparation is expected to begin on a $2.65 billion project in Delta, Utah, where a consortium of companies led by Mitsubishi Power Americas and Magnum Development will install turbines capable of generating 840 megawatts by burning a mix of hydrogen and natural gas. Backed by a half billion dollars in loan guarantees from the DOE, the Intermountain Power Project, as it’s known, will also have solar-photovoltaic generators and a 220-megawatt electrolysis system to produce hydrogen on site, along with facilities to store up to 300 gigawatt-hours of the gas in underground salt domes.

In Europe, too, a hydrogen-hub plan was hurriedly approved by the European Commission in late July. It sets aside €5.4 billion to fund 41 projects to develop technologies ranging from basic R&D to industrial deployment. A small hub near Hamburg, Germany, is already under construction, and a larger hub is being built at the Port of Rotterdam in the Netherlands. “Rotterdam is basically showing the world how to become a hydrogen port,” says Robert Hebner, an IEEE Fellow and director of the Center for Electromechanics at the University of Texas at Austin, where he helps coordinate R&D on hydrogen. “They have signed agreements with companies to operate hydrogen terminals there,” he notes. “They’re working out agreements with Portugal, [under which] Portugal will make hydrogen from wind power and transport it into the Port of Rotterdam. They’ve announced that they’ll use hydrogen-powered trucks to distribute this through Central Europe. They’re thinking holistically about how to get hydrogen to the port and then how to get it redistributed to where it’s needed.”

But any notion that clean-hydrogen production could be ramped up quickly enough to help mitigate the looming loss of Russian natural gas on the continent is quickly dispelled by analysts. According to Bernd Heid, a senior partner in the Cologne office of McKinsey & Co., “hydrogen is not helping Europe in the current energy crisis.” Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, in May, he added, “but in the medium- and long-term we see more momentum for hydrogen use. It will come faster because conventional energy such as oil and gas will become scarcer and more expensive.”

So are we finally witnessing the beginnings of an actual hydrogen economy? “I think, yes, it’s going to happen,” says Hebner. “The Hydrogen Council has over 100 multinational corporations investing billions of dollars a year into making the hydrogen economy real, and they’re making those investments where governments will help them, but this is not government-led. This is industry-led. It’s industries that see a way that they can make money. When I saw that, I said, this one may be real.”



https://spectrum.ieee.org/hydrogen-economy-inflation-reduction-act


....


The united states is introducing massive subsidies for hydrogen based incentives. Europe also appears to have plans for scaling in favor of hydrogen based transportation.

There is at least one area hydrogen based vehicles carry large advantages over electric vehicles (EVs). That is shipping and cargo hauling industries. Electric vehicles rely upon low drag aerodynamics and driving at the speed limit to achieve their rated range. Due to the nature of battery packs having greatly reduced energy density and capacity in contrast to fossil fuels. The range of electric vehicles falls sharply when hauling loads. Recently the electric ford lightning was tested and found to have its range severely diminished when towing a trailer.

Quote
Tow No! The Ford F-150 Lightning Struggled in Our Towing Test

Before you hitch an Airstream to your electric truck and set out to circumnavigate the country, you need to understand this: With the largest available battery pack, a fully charged 2022 Ford F-150 Lightning electric truck has less energy onboard than a regular F-150 with four gallons of gas in its tank.

Consider how far a combustion-powered F-150 would tow at max capacity on four gallons of regular unleaded. Thirty five miles? Maybe 40 if you drive slowly?

Now that you understand where we're starting from, you won't be as surprised to learn that the towing range of the electric F-150 is dismal. In MotorTrend testing, an F-150 Lightning Platinum saddled with a camper that nearly maxed out its 8,500-pound towing capacity couldn't even cover 100 miles. Range improved when we hooked up a significantly lighter trailer, but not by as much as you might expect.

https://www.motortrend.com/reviews/ford-f150-lightning-electric-truck-towing-test/

There is definitely one area where hydrogen powered trucks will have advantages over EVs. If the cost of hydrogen fuel can be subsidized and reduced.

Main concern atm is hydrogen power developing similar to ethanol.

Crypto and NFTS could also be used to subsidize in favor of hydrogen fuel. Although Elon Musk might not like that very much, I'm thinking.
795  Economy / Economics / Re: Google Executives Warn Employees About Layoffs: 'There Will Be Blood On Streets' on: August 19, 2022, 03:13:59 PM
So yes, you are right, the training, intelligence and ability that the person who cleans the WC of the company has is the same as that of the CEO.


CEOs like Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos engage in specialized roles which are difficult to duplicate.

In the majority of cases, most CEOs carry out general administrative tasks. The CEO position in a corporation is very similar to being the principal of a school. The job doesn't go to the most talented, hard working or smartest person in the room. There are an entirely different set of criteria for who will be appointed to the role. Which have nothing to do with the work CEOs do being outside the qualifications of the janitor sweeping the floor.

MBAs are a fast track to executive and CEO positions. They're known to not do the best job covering the basics. Recently there have been recommendations made to avoid MBAs as they trend towards producing CEOs who don't understand many of the key points of what happens in the company they're head of.

Some CEOs are paid upwards of $10,000 an hour. Which is the same as paying 1,000 employees $10 an hour or 500 employees $20 an hour. Unless someone will claim CEOs do as much work as 500 to 1,000 employees. I think we have to agree that they are overpaid.

796  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Politics: Rent a House for Free and Earn on: August 18, 2022, 11:53:28 PM
There have been recent experiments with timesharing and subdivision of single rooms for rental purposes.

The way it works is, a single room could have 2 bunk beds to accommodate 4 people. If the room would normally cost $500/month to rent. Divide by 4 comes out to $125 per person. With there being 4 different safes for people to store personal items.

I guess it is similar to life in stalinist russia where people were crammed into apartments like sardines. For those whose working condition and lifestyle are suited towards paying reduced rent. It could be a good format.

The book neuromancer took this a step further. Where renters would lease a sleeping space the size of a coffin. I think japan experimented with this. Although it was completely unnecessary with japan's shrinking population making living space far less of a concern.
797  Economy / Economics / Re: Entrepreneurship and women on: August 18, 2022, 11:46:03 PM


As a result of the difficult economic times, do you consider that there will be more women entrepreneurs competing with men in this field which it so looks like they currently dominate?



I think men gravitate towards numbers and statistics. While women trend towards being more emotional and intuitive. Different mentalities and tendencies spanning genders have their pros and cons.

The biggest obstacle for women being successful entrepreneurs is the lack of peer support. The closest thing to positive reinforcement most women have are lamebrained memes that tell them to follow their passion in business. Most women never see the hours entrepreneurs put in to be successful behind the scenes.

Women love action. The mundane reality of sitting for hours discussing vaporware theories of business, finance and economics is something they might find boring. There aren't many women who would find those types of discussions interesting. Most men thoroughly enjoy that type of debate. The way that they enjoy analyzing and arguing over statistics in sports.

Men's natural tendencies make it easier for them to pursue a future in business. Women have some advantages over men. But I think it could be safe to say most women get bored with the technical side of things.

798  Economy / Economics / Re: Pros/cons of deflation? on: August 18, 2022, 11:10:09 PM
Quote
Examples of deflation are limited edition artwork. Collectible comic books. Serialized collectible coins and sports memorabilia. Exotic sports cars. Deflation definitely has its place where its well suited towards producing long term value.

This isn't deflation. This is scarcity and the market law of supply and demand. Deflation is the process of increasing the value of paper money by reducing their quantity. It has nothing to do with rare items.

Quote
Examples of inflation could be the number of automobiles tesla produces every year rising significantly. Which contributes towards the value of EVs declining over the long term. The value of lithium batteries could decline under inflation as production ramps up. Inflation can also produce long term value for consumers and markets. Albeit in a different fashion.

This isn't inflation.


If 100 limited edition ferraris are manufactured. Over time, some will be destroyed in accidents. Or left to rust in junk yards. The number of limited edition units will decrease over time. The way that bitcoin rewards decrease. It is an example of deflation. This precedent applies to every item I listed.

Inflation essentially says increasing the supply of something, reduces its value. The opposite of deflation. It has pros and cons. Inflation in the money supply makes it easier to produce liquidity and credit. While deflation has the opposite effect. This is part of why cash works well for loan markets. While deflationary bitcoin typically does not. Gold, silver and precious metals while not being deflationary in a hard sense. Also could be considered less desirable for use in loan markets for similar reasons. The limited supply makes it harder to produce credit and liquidity.

799  Economy / Economics / Re: Google Executives Warn Employees About Layoffs: 'There Will Be Blood On Streets' on: August 17, 2022, 03:28:29 PM

- if multi-billion companies are that stupid to ruin everything because of a stupid CEO who knows shit, how are those multi-billions companies still up and running, and more importantly how have they got so big in the first place and why others have failed

Hideo Kojima was no CEO and you can read why he left Konami on like every newspaper out there.


Hideo Kojima built a name and reputation as a rockstar developer for konami when it had sound leadership and a competent CEO.

At some point konami's good CEO was replaced by a bad CEO. Most if not all of the talented and smart developers and staff fled the company.

This is a common theme in the business world.

You asked how multi billion dollar companies are still up and running. Hideo Kojima and other talented employees fleeing konami is a prime example. Once a large corporation is established and gains market share, its much easier to maintain. Than it is to initially found a small business and build it up into a large business.

Most businesses have smart leadership when they're small. And somehow gain terrible leadership when they become large and successful.

This is only one of the exposition answers I posted in response to your questions. But rest assured the other questions I posted answer your questions, if you dig a little into their background.
800  Economy / Economics / Re: How micro payments can help to alleviate global poverty on: August 17, 2022, 03:19:27 PM
We (1st world countries) should find ways to make payments on Bitcoin easier and more user friendly, so that payment on ALL phones can be possible. (not just fancy smart phones)  Roll Eyes



Flip phones may lack the computational capacity to decrypt seeds and execute basic operational security for a mobile wallet. Which could make even a barebones wallet difficult to implement.

I think it would be better to deploy a new minimalist crypto token specifically designed for flip phones. The processing load normally distributed to end user smartphones, could be shifted to the server. Allowing similar functionality on a flip phones reduced hardware specs.

Multiple users time sharing a single smartphone could be another approach.

Smartphone donations to africa might be a project worth pursuing?
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