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Author Topic: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread  (Read 648433 times)
tyKiwanuka
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October 12, 2020, 09:32:34 PM
 #9401

Do you know why Düren has to play in the Allianz Arena?

They don't have to, they chose to Wink Just like 90% of all the other teams from lower divisions in first round as I posted already here back then. It's due to all the Corona hygiene requirements, which cost some money and you only have very few spectators allowed to attend, if any. So no revenue from ticket sales and you would probably even sit at a loss overall. This is quite an issue for all these small teams this year, for whom even 50k profit is a lot.

The markets didn't price the change of home advantage in and most teams beat the HC. Kiel won 7-1 and Leverkusen 7-0, so it was 6 bets won, 2 lost, one push.

In Bayern odds it's maybe priced in, but not sure tbh, there are just too many uncertainties with Bayerns squad to judge correctly.

.....wie die Zeit fliegt.....
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October 13, 2020, 06:49:26 PM
 #9402

~snip~

Totally forgot that this match is scheduled for this week ... I don't think it's really worth to bet on that match at all. As you said, usually this match will only go one way. Even Bayerns amateur team is 2 leagues higher than Düren.

But nevertheless is this whole situation probably the best that could've happen to Düren. Bayern is missing half of their team, a lot of players seem exhausted or tired lately and the completely mixed starting eleven never really had the chance to play together. Perfect conditions for a football miracle actually  Grin And the first round match of SV Drochtersen/Assel against Bayern in 2018 could be a good boost for their morale. Back then Bayern only won 1-0 with a late goal by Lewandowski. And this time they Bayern won't have a Lewandowski ....
tyKiwanuka
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October 13, 2020, 08:14:49 PM
 #9403

Totally forgot that this match is scheduled for this week ...

Even the bookmakers seem to have forgotten about this match - still no HC's available. Scam books 1xbet/Melbet have them and the -4.5 already went down and at these odds it's not really worth to bet on it. Maybe inplay Wink



Some funny scenes in Osnabrück from 2. Bundesliga take place. They had two positive players and now 19 players have to quarantine ordered by local health authorities in Lower Saxony. They are scheduled to play against Darmstadt on Sunday and odds for the team from Hesse have dropped quite a lot already. So far the DFL didn't cancel/postpone the game and as of now it looks like it is taking place according to schedule. So if anyone wants to jump in, Darmstadt is still 2.20+ in some places.

But be careful, since local authorities might lift the order (none of the quarantined players is positive and/or showing any symptoms) and then it's just the preparation, which is affected a bit; this 2.20+ has no value then. Better not overstake initially Wink In the end this will get postponed I think.....

.....wie die Zeit fliegt.....
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October 13, 2020, 09:43:11 PM
Last edit: October 13, 2020, 10:54:10 PM by Lafu
 #9404

Would be nice to know what Team will plays against Schalke now in the Cup.
For now there are no solution or deciding who will it be.
I would be not surprised if they dont know this to the next playing date and make it public 1 or 2 Days before.

About Düren i guess they will getting lose there match against Bayern with 3 Goals !

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October 14, 2020, 09:26:17 AM
 #9405

Would be nice to know what Team will plays against Schalke now in the Cup.
For now there are no solution or deciding who will it be.
I would be not surprised if they dont know this to the next playing date and make it public 1 or 2 Days before.

Yeah, that's right. Actually, the draw for the second round was supposed to take place tomorrow. The match against Schalke was to take place on 3rd or 4th of November. Everything must be settled by then. That's quite a hassle. The draw should take place on November 8th.
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October 14, 2020, 09:52:50 PM
 #9406

Yeah, that's right. Actually, the draw for the second round was supposed to take place tomorrow. The match against Schalke was to take place on 3rd or 4th of November. Everything must be settled by then. That's quite a hassle. The draw should take place on November 8th.
From was is see and found for now its already shows the Schweinfurt Team.
But guess thats from the past as they was playing against them.
Anybody has done some bets for Bayern Munich vs Düren ?

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October 15, 2020, 08:12:56 AM
 #9407

Anybody has done some bets for Bayern Munich vs Düren ?

Do you have any interesting bets?

What makes me more happier ist that the next playday will be start in two days. And there will be a few interesting games. First against second for example (Augsburg – Leipzig). Let's see if Heiko Herrlich will see a victory like the 2:0 against Dortmund after his return on the coach's bench.
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October 15, 2020, 02:26:04 PM
 #9408

Anybody has done some bets for Bayern Munich vs Düren ?

Do you have any interesting bets?

What makes me more happier ist that the next playday will be start in two days. And there will be a few interesting games. First against second for example (Augsburg – Leipzig). Let's see if Heiko Herrlich will see a victory like the 2:0 against Dortmund after his return on the coach's bench.

the game tsg hoffenheim vs. borussia dortmund also becomes interesting
will hoffenheim, after the bayern lost there, also win against bvb?

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October 15, 2020, 02:43:19 PM
 #9409

Anybody has done some bets for Bayern Munich vs Düren ?

Do you have any interesting bets?

What makes me more happier ist that the next playday will be start in two days. And there will be a few interesting games. First against second for example (Augsburg – Leipzig). Let's see if Heiko Herrlich will see a victory like the 2:0 against Dortmund after his return on the coach's bench.

the game tsg hoffenheim vs. borussia dortmund also becomes interesting
will hoffenheim, after the bayern lost there, also win against bvb?

Yes of course. That will be interested too. Hoffenheim hasn't lost the last 5 games against Dortmund.

Another interesting game: Freiburg – Bremen. Bremen won against Schalke and Bielefeld and Freiburg lost the last game with 0:4 against Dortmund.
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October 15, 2020, 06:01:08 PM
 #9410


Another interesting game: Freiburg – Bremen. Bremen won against Schalke and Bielefeld and Freiburg lost the last game with 0:4 against Dortmund.

Freiburg isn't on the same level as Bielefeld and Schalke imho. I see Freiburg as the favourite in that match. I am sure everyone in Bremen is happy that they won against Bielefeld and Schalke. These two matches were probably a must-win against the direct competition when it comes to avoiding relegation.

Sure, Freiburg played poorly against Dortmund but Bremen isn't nearly as good as Dortmund. And if they manage to play the same way they did against Stuttgart during the first half (or first 60 minutes) or Wolfburg in the second half, they should take that 3 points.

 
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October 15, 2020, 09:07:39 PM
 #9411

Not everything is about the run a team is on and there is a big deal about the difference between the teams as well, I do not really see that as a big deal if a team has momentum, they will lose eventually anyway and why not against a better team.

This week looks like a good multi week, Dortmund and Bayern could win in my book, I know Dortmund had a terrible run so far against hoffenheim but the difference is big and Dortmund should be capable of beating them very easily, Bayern should be winning against anyone honestly, anytime they lose is surprising. So, those two could make a good bet, add in bremen in there and you got yourself a great multi just on bundesliga and we have other leagues coming back as well, you can combine some matches from them as well.

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October 15, 2020, 09:46:20 PM
 #9412

Looks like Choupo-Moting arrived fully with 2 goals in his i guess first game and match for Munich !
Was thinking that Bayern will win this match about Düren with 3 or 4 Goals , sadly i havnt bet on it .

Yeb looking also forward to the coming weekend when the League starts again with playing.
There are some nice games coming with it.

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October 16, 2020, 07:14:27 AM
 #9413

There were some new players in the game at Bayern Munich. But that was to be expected. I also liked Choupo-Moting very much. He had no big problem finding a place in the game. Also Musiala and Costa. That was very nice to look at.
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October 16, 2020, 07:50:04 AM
 #9414

Choupo-Moting is one of football's biggest mysteries.
I really struggle to understand how a striker who can't score goals (or provide anything other than some physicality) ends up playing with Neymar, Mbappe and Lewandovski.

Fair play to the guy though, he'll end his career as a Ligue 1 and Bundesliga winner.

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October 16, 2020, 09:36:04 AM
 #9415

Choupo-Moting is one of football's biggest mysteries.
I really struggle to understand how a striker who can't score goals (or provide anything other than some physicality) ends up playing with Neymar, Mbappe and Lewandovski.

Fair play to the guy though, he'll end his career as a Ligue 1 and Bundesliga winner.
Feel like he could fit better in Man City Roll Eyes
Tomorrow Hoffenheim - Dortmund (x3.95 / x1.81) and M'Gladbach - Wolfsburg (x1.86 / x4.1) could be tricky and may have some surprises. For the other games there is also one favourite but the odds aren't encouraging except maybe for Hertha and Freiburg games.

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October 16, 2020, 09:41:54 AM
 #9416

Choupo-Moting is one of football's biggest mysteries.
I really struggle to understand how a striker who can't score goals (or provide anything other than some physicality) ends up playing with Neymar, Mbappe and Lewandovski.

Fair play to the guy though, he'll end his career as a Ligue 1 and Bundesliga winner.

Haha, very well put, I think he works very hard & he’s happy to just sit on the bench & not be the number one striker at the club he’s at. But yeah, he really needs to start finding the net when he’s selected.

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October 16, 2020, 09:55:46 AM
 #9417

I just did a quick check to the standings of the Bundesliga and I think it is one of the few times where I really see a  very well balanced standings table.Bayern is not yet in the top with a big number of points difference and Leipzig is playing very well so far.It should be an interesting Bundesliga this year although deep inside I know Bayern will win this year too.

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October 16, 2020, 10:54:08 AM
 #9418

Choupo-Moting is one of football's biggest mysteries.
I really struggle to understand how a striker who can't score goals (or provide anything other than some physicality) ends up playing with Neymar, Mbappe and Lewandovski.

Fair play to the guy though, he'll end his career as a Ligue 1 and Bundesliga winner.

I read irony.  Grin
But he said that himself. He is looking forward to playing the rest of the time when he is substituted for Lewandowski and if he can play with him at the same time sometime, he would be very happy.
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October 16, 2020, 11:28:49 AM
 #9419

and it happened again. two players of tsg hoffenheim are infected with the corona virus.
they were travelling with their team on international matches and probably got infected there.
another player is in quarantine because a family member is infected with corona.
therefore these 3 players are missing for the match on the weekend against borussia dortmund. at this match in hoffenheim 6030 fans are admitted at the moment.
if this number does not change until the beginning of the match  Wink there are still more than 24 until the kick-off. in this time there can also be some changes in the corona time
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October 16, 2020, 11:51:26 AM
 #9420

and it happened again. two players of tsg hoffenheim are infected with the corona virus.
they were travelling with their team on international matches and probably got infected there.
another player is in quarantine because a family member is infected with corona.
therefore these 3 players are missing for the match on the weekend against borussia dortmund. at this match in hoffenheim 6030 fans are admitted at the moment.
if this number does not change until the beginning of the match  Wink there are still more than 24 until the kick-off. in this time there can also be some changes in the corona time

This is bad. But according to https://www.sportschau.de/regional/swr/swr-positive-corona-tests-bei-der-tsg-hoffenheim-story100.html they haven’t had any contact to other players or Staff from Hoffenheim. But the third player could be a risk for the team if they have had contact.
It will be interesting to see how the odds change when key players will be tested positive.
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