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Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 62

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26370892 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
JayJuanGee
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November 01, 2016, 02:28:50 AM

I'm getting that late-2013 feeling again. ATH on its way at the end of November again?


History does not repeat itself, but it rhymes.


 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy     Wink
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marcus_of_augustus
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Eadem mutata resurgo


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November 01, 2016, 03:29:45 AM

200,000 BTC less mined since halving ... supply starting to tighten considerably now, 2 more months and the halving will be getting close to "priced inGrin
spooderman
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November 01, 2016, 03:52:38 AM

200,000 BTC less mined since halving ... supply starting to tighten considerably now, 2 more months and the halving will be getting close to "priced inGrin

buuut... do we have stats on how many miners sell their coins?
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November 01, 2016, 05:02:29 AM

200,000 BTC less mined since halving ... supply starting to tighten considerably now, 2 more months and the halving will be getting close to "priced inGrin

buuut... do we have stats on how many miners sell their coins?

no, but self-mined coins are no different than bought ones. so if miners get now less BTCs than 6 months ago they have to buy additional BTC to get the same result.

or in other words if BTCs are entering the market through miners makes no difference as there is no difference between bought and self-mined coins.
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November 01, 2016, 07:25:20 AM

 Shocked
Ted E. Bare
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Bear with me


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November 01, 2016, 07:31:58 AM

Hodllll
Elwar
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November 01, 2016, 08:14:08 AM

200,000 BTC less mined since halving ... supply starting to tighten considerably now, 2 more months and the halving will be getting close to "priced inGrin

buuut... do we have stats on how many miners sell their coins?

If it is X% of miners selling their coins. That number is still cut in half. X% of miners selling half the previous amount of coins.
JayJuanGee
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November 01, 2016, 08:14:25 AM

Hodllll

Yep... this is certainly some decent price action going on.  I should be sleeping, but it is difficult to sleep during, times of exciteeeeeeee!!!!! 

I mean in fact, when we are touching the $720s and beyond, we are pretty much at a 5 month high and maybe even a you could say a 33 month high (except for about two weeks in June 2016 in which prices were higher), and there were only less than 11 weeks in late 2013 and early 2014 in which BTC prices were higher than these $720s price points  -

I think those are decent feelings to get these in the range of $720 price pressures and seemingly pushing into the $720s and above.   

It is starting to seem possible that we are soon going to have a test of the resistance in the upper $700s, maybe? Maybe this week? or otherwise such a test could be coming relatively soon?
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November 01, 2016, 08:30:08 AM


We seem to be heading for the great 5180 - out of the handle at speed and volume.
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November 01, 2016, 08:41:32 AM


We seem to be heading for the great 5180 - out of the handle at speed and volume.


What do you think will happen? Will we be able to break the resistance? Hear alot of people about a retrace to ~4500 CNY after hitting 5150 CNY.
I think that might be true.
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November 01, 2016, 08:42:13 AM


Hear alot of people about a retrace to ~4500 CNY after hitting 5150 CNY.
I think that might be true.

Why ?
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November 01, 2016, 08:45:15 AM

I'm far from sure, but we seem to be moving up quite fast now without actual retracements. A big correction could become reality.
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November 01, 2016, 08:46:08 AM


I'm far from sure, but we seem to be moving up quite fast now without actual retracements.

There've been plenty of retracements.
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November 01, 2016, 08:52:41 AM

I hope youre right. So you think we'll break 5180 soon?
toknormal
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November 01, 2016, 08:54:34 AM


What about this ? Isn't this a retracement ?


Scofield
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November 01, 2016, 09:00:55 AM

Yes, but that was months ago. I'm talking about a more short-term correction. But pretty much like the one you mention, except I don't think it will be that harsh. To many green candles in a row tend to scare me.  Cheesy
toknormal
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November 01, 2016, 09:03:53 AM


I hope youre right. So you think we'll break 5180 soon?

Well look at it this way:

1. The great 2-year cup and handle formation is complete.

2. You are supposed to need a big volume ramp-up to break out of the cup segment of the formation - what do we have here ?...

3. You need some fundamentals justification to support the technicals: = Yen devaluations, Bitcoin didn't collapse due to limited blocksize, scaling technologies imminent and continued adoption growth (Basically it has got through the next "rights of passage" phase)

4. Other stuff





JayJuanGee
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November 01, 2016, 09:04:13 AM


What about this ? Isn't this a retracement ?




You could be correct toknormal about no retracement, but it gets very tempting for meaningful corrections to take place (surely a  correction is not absolutely needed), but bitcoin is more mature than it had been in the past (late 2013 and before that), which seems to make it more likely that we would experience some kind of meaningful retracement, especially before surpassing mid-$800s.

The fact of the matter (and the current situation) is that we have not experienced any kind of meaningful retracement since $610-ish (which is nearly a 20% price appreciation with no correction).  This most recent retracement of about 5% does not seem to be sufficiently significant or enough in order to provide sufficient fuel in order to keep going up - especially if we were to go up another 15% from here into the lower $800s price territory d ... so I am not convinced that we are going to be realistically able to shoot beyond mid$800s without some kind of meaningful - even if short term correction, even though it is possible (but seemingly less likely) that such a non-retracement scenario could play out.
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November 01, 2016, 09:10:52 AM

All valid points toknormal, I agree the future looks bright.  Wink

There seems to be another cup and handle forming though, on the 1W chart. Starting in June, till about now. If this pattern forms, we'll need a handle (correction) before really breaking out, right?
JayJuanGee
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November 01, 2016, 09:12:33 AM


I hope youre right. So you think we'll break 5180 soon?

Well look at it this way:

1. The great 2-year cup and handle formation is complete.

2. You are supposed to need a big volume ramp-up to break out of the cup segment of the formation - what do we have here ?...

3. You need some fundamentals justification to support the technicals: = Yen devaluations, Bitcoin didn't collapse due to limited blocksize, scaling technologies imminent and continued adoption growth (Basically it has got through the next "rights of passage" phase)

4. Other stuff








It seems pretty unreliable to rely upon trade volume involving Chinese exchanges.
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