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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26776933 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Ibian
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March 05, 2020, 08:17:40 AM

It's infuriating that all the worlds supposed experts are calculating the death rate wrong.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Recovered compared to infected. A 56% recovery rate. So a 44% mortality rate. And that is just as valid as what they are doing.

The correct calculation remains deaths/(deaths+cured). This is important.

Most of the people who got cured were never tested or diagnosed, so there is little value to worldometers stats. Everybody notices a death.

Nobodies notices or will ever know about the likely 100s of thousands of people who caught it, never had a symptom or just thought they had a cold, and were cured without any medical help. The immune system is the greatest doctor anyone has.
Or the people who die at home and are not counted, in china especially, or the people who are counted as dying from a hundred other issues, or, or and so on.

As long as the official stats are what everyone is quoting, then we should at least calculate those numbers correctly.
OutOfMemory
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March 05, 2020, 08:22:51 AM

It's infuriating that all the worlds supposed experts are calculating the death rate wrong.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Recovered compared to infected. A 56% recovery rate. So a 44% mortality rate. And that is just as valid as what they are doing.

The correct calculation remains deaths/(deaths+cured). This is important.

Most of the people who got cured were never tested or diagnosed, so there is little value to worldometers stats. Everybody notices a death.

Nobodies notices or will ever know about the likely 100s of thousands of people who caught it, never had a symptom or just thought they had a cold, and were cured without any medical help. The immune system is the greatest doctor anyone has.

True.
Actually people don't die because of the virus, but because of their immune reactions consequences.
If you have a weak system, it will over-react to the virus. If you have a strong system, it will react less or quicker.
A few exceptions to this rule, but it's mostly correct, imo.

I myself have a hyperreactive kind of immune response. I catch a small cold and feel ill for like a week or two, without fever. Don't know what that means in terms of health risk with nCoV, but my lungs and organs are healthy. And i'm within the "safe" age band, below 70yrs.
Children seem to get infected less or develop less severe symptoms, is this still true and what do the virologists say?

nutildah
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March 05, 2020, 08:24:52 AM

Nutildah puts his dog hat back on... Bullish!

The hat is really well done and detailed, the finer points of which are lost on the avatar-size version. so I'm posting the original, full-size image here in all its glory.


OutOfMemory
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March 05, 2020, 08:28:23 AM

Nutildah puts his dog hat back on... Bullish!

The hat is really well done and detailed, the finer points of which are lost on the avatar-size version. so I'm posting the original, full-size image here in all its glory.


You can bring out some more detail by adjusting the resizing parameters.
I suggest pre-sharpening (strong) before reducing size with dithering set to "preserve details"-like settings (presets in photoshop and the likes will do fine).
The current version is f*cking blurry.
Lambie Slayer
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March 05, 2020, 08:29:57 AM

It's infuriating that all the worlds supposed experts are calculating the death rate wrong.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Recovered compared to infected. A 56% recovery rate. So a 44% mortality rate. And that is just as valid as what they are doing.

The correct calculation remains deaths/(deaths+cured). This is important.

Most of the people who got cured were never tested or diagnosed, so there is little value to worldometers stats. Everybody notices a death.

Nobodies notices or will ever know about the likely 100s of thousands of people who caught it, never had a symptom or just thought they had a cold, and were cured without any medical help. The immune system is the greatest doctor anyone has.
Or the people who die at home and are not counted, in china especially, or the people who are counted as dying from a hundred other issues, or, or and so on.

As long as the official stats are what everyone is quoting, then we should at least calculate those numbers correctly.

We have enough samples outside of China where we can be more certain the dead are counted properly. We only have one sample in the entire globe where an entire population was tested and we know what their mortality rate is. Thats the Diamond Princess. We know the rate of death for the 700 infected was .85 percent, and we know that this population was about 20 years older than a normal population of people bc cruise passengers skew much older.

This is the best evidence on the planet for a true mortality rate ceiling. Meaning the true mortality rate is no higher than .85, and almost certainly much lower in a normal aged group of people.

Until an entire town or village is tested, regardless of symptoms, or just a very large random population sample is tested, the Diamond Princess will remain the scientific gold (Bitcoin Smiley ) standard for a true mortality estimate.

Hopefully the money printers dont read WO and figure these secrets out or they will stop panicking and turn off the money printers.

  
Lambie Slayer
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March 05, 2020, 08:30:41 AM

Nutildah puts his dog hat back on... Bullish!

The hat is really well done and detailed, the finer points of which are lost on the avatar-size version. so I'm posting the original, full-size image here in all its glory.



9000 here we come.
nutildah
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March 05, 2020, 08:30:46 AM

Nutildah puts his dog hat back on... Bullish!

The hat is really well done and detailed, the finer points of which are lost on the avatar-size version. so I'm posting the original, full-size image here in all its glory.


You can bring out some more detail by adjusting the resizing parameters.
I suggest pre-sharpening (strong) before reducing size with dithering set to "preserve details"-like settings (presets in photoshop and the likes will do fine).
The current version is f*cking blurry.


OK thanks, I'll try that. Do you see the transparent version or the white background version? I just changed it. I tried to make the background transparent and may have mucked it up in the process.
Lambie Slayer
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March 05, 2020, 08:39:29 AM

It's infuriating that all the worlds supposed experts are calculating the death rate wrong.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Recovered compared to infected. A 56% recovery rate. So a 44% mortality rate. And that is just as valid as what they are doing.

The correct calculation remains deaths/(deaths+cured). This is important.

Most of the people who got cured were never tested or diagnosed, so there is little value to worldometers stats. Everybody notices a death.

Nobodies notices or will ever know about the likely 100s of thousands of people who caught it, never had a symptom or just thought they had a cold, and were cured without any medical help. The immune system is the greatest doctor anyone has.

True.
Actually people don't die because of the virus, but because of their immune reactions consequences.
If you have a weak system, it will over-react to the virus. If you have a strong system, it will react less or quicker.
A few exceptions to this rule, but it's mostly correct, imo.

I myself have a hyperreactive kind of immune response. I catch a small cold and feel ill for like a week or two, without fever. Don't know what that means in terms of health risk with nCoV, but my lungs and organs are healthy. And i'm within the "safe" age band, below 70yrs.
Children seem to get infected less or develop less severe symptoms, is this still true and what do the virologists say?



Children are barely affected by this. Most have little to no symptoms and not a single death for the 9 and under group. Thats why canceling schools is just panic and hysteria. A better prevention tactic would be to restrict all children from visiting nursing homes and advising elderly and children to avoid each other in general until this blows over.

The panic is so extreme with this disease bc the power brokers of society are all old as hell and they would rather shut down society than risk meeting their maker a few months ahead of schedule. Have you ever seen bipartisan money get approved so fast in the U.S. Its bc all of the Senate, the House, and the President are old as hell. All the billionaire owners of the msm are old as hell too so they are directing their outlets to pump hysteria, bc they are scared themselves.

This is gonna play into Bitcoins hands as we know that old elites print money to attempt solving every problem they have ever encountered. This doomsday hysteria will be no different.
Ibian
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March 05, 2020, 08:40:13 AM

It's infuriating that all the worlds supposed experts are calculating the death rate wrong.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Recovered compared to infected. A 56% recovery rate. So a 44% mortality rate. And that is just as valid as what they are doing.

The correct calculation remains deaths/(deaths+cured). This is important.

Most of the people who got cured were never tested or diagnosed, so there is little value to worldometers stats. Everybody notices a death.

Nobodies notices or will ever know about the likely 100s of thousands of people who caught it, never had a symptom or just thought they had a cold, and were cured without any medical help. The immune system is the greatest doctor anyone has.
Or the people who die at home and are not counted, in china especially, or the people who are counted as dying from a hundred other issues, or, or and so on.

As long as the official stats are what everyone is quoting, then we should at least calculate those numbers correctly.

We have enough samples outside of China where we can be more certain the dead are counted properly. We only have one sample in the entire globe where an entire population was tested and we know what their mortality rate is. Thats the Diamond Princess. We know the rate of death for the 700 infected was .85 percent, and we know that this population was about 20 years older than a normal population of people bc cruise passengers skew much older.

This is the best evidence on the planet for a true mortality rate ceiling. Meaning the true mortality rate is no higher than .85, and almost certainly much lower in a normal aged group of people.

Until an entire town or village is tested, regardless of symptoms, or just a very large random population sample is tested, the Diamond Princess will remain the scientific gold (Bitcoin Smiley ) standard for a true mortality estimate.

Hopefully the money printers dont read WO and figure these secrets out or they will stop panicking and turn off the money printers.  
Again, a country is different from a ship. Besides nobody is talking about the "critical" category yet. What is their death rate? Things have yet to play out long enough to get a clear picture.

We know the rate of death for the 700 infected was .85 percent,
No. You are doing it wrong. It's about 3%, even in the artificial conditions of a ship where people can be controlled and are getting the best care their deep wallets can buy.

Again, SK is likely the best actual country to look at at the moment. Their death rate is over 28% at the moment.

And this is just the beginning stages, before the system gets completely overwhelmed. It's almost certain to get much worse.
Lambie Slayer
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March 05, 2020, 08:51:26 AM

It's infuriating that all the worlds supposed experts are calculating the death rate wrong.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Recovered compared to infected. A 56% recovery rate. So a 44% mortality rate. And that is just as valid as what they are doing.

The correct calculation remains deaths/(deaths+cured). This is important.

Most of the people who got cured were never tested or diagnosed, so there is little value to worldometers stats. Everybody notices a death.

Nobodies notices or will ever know about the likely 100s of thousands of people who caught it, never had a symptom or just thought they had a cold, and were cured without any medical help. The immune system is the greatest doctor anyone has.
Or the people who die at home and are not counted, in china especially, or the people who are counted as dying from a hundred other issues, or, or and so on.

As long as the official stats are what everyone is quoting, then we should at least calculate those numbers correctly.

We have enough samples outside of China where we can be more certain the dead are counted properly. We only have one sample in the entire globe where an entire population was tested and we know what their mortality rate is. Thats the Diamond Princess. We know the rate of death for the 700 infected was .85 percent, and we know that this population was about 20 years older than a normal population of people bc cruise passengers skew much older.

This is the best evidence on the planet for a true mortality rate ceiling. Meaning the true mortality rate is no higher than .85, and almost certainly much lower in a normal aged group of people.

Until an entire town or village is tested, regardless of symptoms, or just a very large random population sample is tested, the Diamond Princess will remain the scientific gold (Bitcoin Smiley ) standard for a true mortality estimate.

Hopefully the money printers dont read WO and figure these secrets out or they will stop panicking and turn off the money printers.  
Again, a country is different from a ship. Besides nobody is talking about the "critical" category yet. What is their death rate? Things have yet to play out long enough to get a clear picture.

We know the rate of death for the 700 infected was .85 percent,
No. You are doing it wrong. It's about 3%, even in the artificial conditions of a ship where people can be controlled and are getting the best care their deep wallets can buy.

Again, SK is likely the best actual country to look at at the moment. Their death rate is over 28% at the moment.

And this is just the beginning stages, before the system gets completely overwhelmed. It's almost certain to get much worse.

Your death rate calculations are useless bc you dont know about the vast numbers of uncounted infected. You wont know this till they take a very large random sample of the population and test it, or test an entire village or town.

Whats the point of your incomplete stats. They tell us practically nothing except how likely you are to die if you get really sick and go to the hospital.

The Diamond Princess had 6 deaths out of 700. Highly unlikely anyone else dies out of that 700 bc the time of infection has been too long. .85 percent mortality is the ceiling based on best available evidence. The stats from countries who just test a few sick people are inferior and borderline useless for finding a true mortality rate or "death rate".

Its a cool way to spin it and try an trick low iq people into thinking this is super deadly though, so I guess its not totally useless. Wink

The more people get tricked, the more hysteria and money printing we get so I encourage you to continue. I doubt many here will be fooled though.
Ibian
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March 05, 2020, 08:53:56 AM

It's infuriating that all the worlds supposed experts are calculating the death rate wrong.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Recovered compared to infected. A 56% recovery rate. So a 44% mortality rate. And that is just as valid as what they are doing.

The correct calculation remains deaths/(deaths+cured). This is important.

Most of the people who got cured were never tested or diagnosed, so there is little value to worldometers stats. Everybody notices a death.

Nobodies notices or will ever know about the likely 100s of thousands of people who caught it, never had a symptom or just thought they had a cold, and were cured without any medical help. The immune system is the greatest doctor anyone has.
Or the people who die at home and are not counted, in china especially, or the people who are counted as dying from a hundred other issues, or, or and so on.

As long as the official stats are what everyone is quoting, then we should at least calculate those numbers correctly.

We have enough samples outside of China where we can be more certain the dead are counted properly. We only have one sample in the entire globe where an entire population was tested and we know what their mortality rate is. Thats the Diamond Princess. We know the rate of death for the 700 infected was .85 percent, and we know that this population was about 20 years older than a normal population of people bc cruise passengers skew much older.

This is the best evidence on the planet for a true mortality rate ceiling. Meaning the true mortality rate is no higher than .85, and almost certainly much lower in a normal aged group of people.

Until an entire town or village is tested, regardless of symptoms, or just a very large random population sample is tested, the Diamond Princess will remain the scientific gold (Bitcoin Smiley ) standard for a true mortality estimate.

Hopefully the money printers dont read WO and figure these secrets out or they will stop panicking and turn off the money printers.  
Again, a country is different from a ship. Besides nobody is talking about the "critical" category yet. What is their death rate? Things have yet to play out long enough to get a clear picture.

We know the rate of death for the 700 infected was .85 percent,
No. You are doing it wrong. It's about 3%, even in the artificial conditions of a ship where people can be controlled and are getting the best care their deep wallets can buy.

Again, SK is likely the best actual country to look at at the moment. Their death rate is over 28% at the moment.

And this is just the beginning stages, before the system gets completely overwhelmed. It's almost certain to get much worse.

Your death rate calculations are useless bc you dont know about the vast numbers of uncounted infected. You wont know this till they take a very large random sample of the population and test it, or test an entire village or town.

Whats the point of your incomplete stats. They tell us practically nothing except how likely you are to die if you get really sick and go to the hospital.

The Diamond Princess had 6 deaths out of 700. Highly unlikely anyone else dies out of that 700 bc the time of infection has been too long. .85 percent mortality is the ceiling based on best available evidence. The stats from countries who just test a few sick people are inferior and borderline useless for finding a true mortality rate or "death rate".

Its a cool way to spin it and try an trick low iq people into thinking this is super deadly though, so I guess its not totally useless. Wink

The more people get tricked, the more hysteria and money printing we get so I encourage you to continue. I doubt many here will be fooled though.

You, yourself, are using official numbers. Don't just shift the goalpost according to your own whims. And you are still calculating it wrong. This is a waste of time.
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March 05, 2020, 08:55:52 AM

https://www.businessinsider.com/princess-cruise-passenger-dies-coronavirus-ship-heads-for-san-francisco-2020-3

We will be getting another sample soon for true mortality rate. I expect every single person on this ship will be tested in short order. Hint: most will survive. In fact, probably about 99.15 percent will make it, just like on the Diamond Princess, even though they are on average about two decades older than the general population.
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March 05, 2020, 08:56:16 AM

Just figured it out:

Lambie Slayer
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March 05, 2020, 09:05:03 AM

It's infuriating that all the worlds supposed experts are calculating the death rate wrong.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Recovered compared to infected. A 56% recovery rate. So a 44% mortality rate. And that is just as valid as what they are doing.

The correct calculation remains deaths/(deaths+cured). This is important.

Most of the people who got cured were never tested or diagnosed, so there is little value to worldometers stats. Everybody notices a death.

Nobodies notices or will ever know about the likely 100s of thousands of people who caught it, never had a symptom or just thought they had a cold, and were cured without any medical help. The immune system is the greatest doctor anyone has.
Or the people who die at home and are not counted, in china especially, or the people who are counted as dying from a hundred other issues, or, or and so on.

As long as the official stats are what everyone is quoting, then we should at least calculate those numbers correctly.

We have enough samples outside of China where we can be more certain the dead are counted properly. We only have one sample in the entire globe where an entire population was tested and we know what their mortality rate is. Thats the Diamond Princess. We know the rate of death for the 700 infected was .85 percent, and we know that this population was about 20 years older than a normal population of people bc cruise passengers skew much older.

This is the best evidence on the planet for a true mortality rate ceiling. Meaning the true mortality rate is no higher than .85, and almost certainly much lower in a normal aged group of people.

Until an entire town or village is tested, regardless of symptoms, or just a very large random population sample is tested, the Diamond Princess will remain the scientific gold (Bitcoin Smiley ) standard for a true mortality estimate.

Hopefully the money printers dont read WO and figure these secrets out or they will stop panicking and turn off the money printers.  
Again, a country is different from a ship. Besides nobody is talking about the "critical" category yet. What is their death rate? Things have yet to play out long enough to get a clear picture.

We know the rate of death for the 700 infected was .85 percent,
No. You are doing it wrong. It's about 3%, even in the artificial conditions of a ship where people can be controlled and are getting the best care their deep wallets can buy.

Again, SK is likely the best actual country to look at at the moment. Their death rate is over 28% at the moment.

And this is just the beginning stages, before the system gets completely overwhelmed. It's almost certain to get much worse.

Your death rate calculations are useless bc you dont know about the vast numbers of uncounted infected. You wont know this till they take a very large random sample of the population and test it, or test an entire village or town.

Whats the point of your incomplete stats. They tell us practically nothing except how likely you are to die if you get really sick and go to the hospital.

The Diamond Princess had 6 deaths out of 700. Highly unlikely anyone else dies out of that 700 bc the time of infection has been too long. .85 percent mortality is the ceiling based on best available evidence. The stats from countries who just test a few sick people are inferior and borderline useless for finding a true mortality rate or "death rate".

Its a cool way to spin it and try an trick low iq people into thinking this is super deadly though, so I guess its not totally useless. Wink

The more people get tricked, the more hysteria and money printing we get so I encourage you to continue. I doubt many here will be fooled though.

You, yourself, are using official numbers. Don't just shift the goalpost according to your own whims. And you are still calculating it wrong. This is a waste of time.

Of course Im using official numbers that arent from a lying communist regime. The point was never about who had official numbers or not.  

The difference is Im using the only sample so far where an entire large population group was tested, regardless of symptoms.

Your core stats are most likely accurate.

Its your extrapolations that are futile because none of the nations tested entire populations regardless of symptoms. Rather they just tested mostly sick people or people known to be in direct contact with sick people.

This is guaranteed to miss tons of infected people with mild or no symptoms, making mortality rates based of these core stats utterly and completely useless no matter how hard anyone tries.


Luckily we have one sample group from the Diamond Princess that was different, bc every single person except 14 who got off early, were tested and we found that out of the 700 infected, only 6 died. Their is a small chance one more could pass away, but its highly unlikely at this point with the amount of time that has passed.

.85 percent mortality rate for a group of people 20 years older than average citizen is the best number we have so far. True mortality rate is probably half that at most for a normal age sample.
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March 05, 2020, 09:12:01 AM

via Imgflip Meme Generator

Bernie Bros completely rekt. https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3633/Who-will-win-the-2020-Democratic-presidential-nomination

Now we dont have to worry about a Bitcoin hostile communist idealogue in the White House for 4 years. Bullish as hell, even the stock market loved it.
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March 05, 2020, 09:28:13 AM

first! it's over 9000!
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March 05, 2020, 09:30:06 AM

Good morning WO!
Observing @ $ 9,030

It seems we are going to $10K again?
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March 05, 2020, 09:30:13 AM

first! it's over 9000!

This is so nice I'm not even mad you beat me to it Wink
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March 05, 2020, 09:30:29 AM

first! it's over 9000!

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March 05, 2020, 09:31:21 AM

We did it! Cheesy
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