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Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 41 (71.9%)
<$60,000 - 16 (28.1%)
Total Voters: 57

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26353695 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Ibian
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March 01, 2020, 07:35:42 PM

How many here are into stocks anyway? I never had the means pre-bitcoin but also no interest, especially now.
"Bitcoin: the cutting edge of begging technology." -- Giraffe.BTC
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March 01, 2020, 07:37:05 PM

I still think BTC could be around 10-12K before the halving... but those dreams about $100K any time soon (ie in 1-2 years) still look to me to me just like that: Dreams.

Hope they do realise some day though.

$100k might be not possible in 1-2 years, but touching $50,000 at least once by the end of 2021 still looks quite possible to me.
Last of the V8s
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March 01, 2020, 07:38:21 PM

https://www.reddit.com/r/China_Flu/comments/fbt49e/the_who_sent_25_international_experts_to_china/

a lot of new info here

Quote
The most common symptoms are fever (88%) and dry cough (68%). Exhaustion (38%), expectoration of mucus when coughing (33%), shortness of breath (18%), sore throat (14%), headaches (14%), muscle aches (14%), chills (11%) are also common. Less frequent are nausea and vomiting (5%), stuffy nose (5%) and diarrhoea (4%). Running nose is not a symptom of Covid.
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March 01, 2020, 07:40:02 PM

A pack of lies.
bitserve
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March 01, 2020, 07:42:01 PM

I still think BTC could be around 10-12K before the halving... but those dreams about $100K any time soon (ie in 1-2 years) still look to me to me just like that: Dreams.

Hope they do realise some day though.

$100k might be not possible in 1-2 years, but touching $50,000 at least once by the end of 2021 still looks quite possible to me.

That sounds way more reasonable yeah. Wouldn't be surprised at all if that were to happen even if it is still just a "dream" to me.

And I am not saying $100K is not possible in 1-2 years. Of course it is. It just seems improbable to me. Hope to be wrong though.
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March 01, 2020, 07:47:04 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (2)

Corona virus
the newest chinese export
now all over earth

What gives, one might think
while some others panicking
bitcoin doesn't care

#doublehaiku

Nothing else to say atm.
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March 01, 2020, 08:15:37 PM

I still think BTC could be around 10-12K before the halving... but those dreams about $100K any time soon (ie in 1-2 years) still look to me to me just like that: Dreams.

Hope they do realise some day though.

So what is your prediction? 10-12K at the time of halving what about 2021-2022? Sideways?  Grin
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March 01, 2020, 08:42:16 PM
Merited by ivomm (1)

I still think BTC could be around 10-12K before the halving... but those dreams about $100K any time soon (ie in 1-2 years) still look to me to me just like that: Dreams.

Hope they do realise some day though.

So what is your prediction? 10-12K at the time of halving what about 2021-2022? Sideways?  Grin

No, it could reasonably be $50K. Maybe more, maybe less. I just say that $100K is probably too much to consider as a reasonable probability. Again, not impossible, depending if Bitcoin is able to regain something similar to 2017 FOMO, but even if that were the case I would not take $100K for granted.

In fact I would prefer a more organic and sustainable $50K than a "fomo" peak to $100K.
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March 01, 2020, 08:49:16 PM

$120K is totally baked in this cycle

don't sell yourselves short guys
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March 01, 2020, 09:04:45 PM
Merited by Gyrsur (1)

We are at critical support right now at the weekly 20 MA middle Bollinger Band. If the 20 MA does not hold we are headed down to $7000. I don't really see a new ATH until at least a year from now, possibly earlier if the coronavirus is brought under control with a vaccine. If we do go down when weekly RSI is below 30 that would present a lower risk entry.

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March 01, 2020, 09:16:58 PM


https://twitter.com/BonnieSilkman/status/1233956200032526336?s=20
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March 01, 2020, 09:44:11 PM
Last edit: September 10, 2023, 01:57:50 PM by dragonvslinux

There is very little left for Bitcoin Halving, and the world with a developing Fundamental like Coronavirus, gold loses 7%, great opportunity to buy and Hodl now more than ever.

Quote
#Bitcoin  halving 2 months to go .. 2 more blue dots, then REDCohete

For new followers:
- Original S2F model article (22/3/2019):
https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/modeling-bitcoins-value-with-scarcity-91fa0fc03e25
- S2F model and EMH article (17/1/2020):
https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/efficient-market-hypothesis-and-bitcoin-stock-to-flow-model-db17f40e6107


Source: https://twitter.com/100trillionUSD/status/1234105954930741250
So you really think bitcoin will reach $100k this year or the next one?  Shocked You're serious?  Cheesy

A little under $100K specifically. But why not? It's on track still.
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March 01, 2020, 10:21:23 PM

There now follows an important message from the Swedish handball team https://imgur.com/gallery/8ZryRqR
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March 01, 2020, 10:24:03 PM

Its happening Gents.  Smiley Prepare for more money printing than ever before. Coronavirus=Bullish

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/while-everyone-waits-powell-heres-what-wall-street-thinks-will-happen-next

"Finally, courtesy of Macrohive's George Concalves, here is a twitter thread describing where the Fed finds itself and what its options are:

Many investors are expecting Fed (coordinated or not) to do something soon (perhaps before futures open). There has been a lot of debate that CB easing can't resolve health issues, but they can help sentiment. Here's what may happen next.

Backdrop1: Long gone is the façade the Fed will ignore sliding financial conditions (regardless of driver). Its not much, but the Fed has some flexibility on rate policy side but more importantly can come up w/some creative solutions in its use of the powers granted under 13 (3)

Backdrop2: One of the reasons why the Fed needs to be preemptive is because some of its crisis fighting abilities have been damped post GFC due to Federal Reserve Act section 13(3) revisions per DFA. That said, from what I understand they could still launch ABC facilities.

Backdrop3: In the early days of GFC the Fed resorted to tweaks versus all out easing measures or launching new facilities. In August 2007 it cut the discount rate and not the FF rate and in Jan-2008 did a 75 bp intra-meeting ease (followed by another 50bp at the meeting).

Old School Fed: I found this Min-Fed posting (see tinyurl.com/rgyeklr) as a good historical review of potential Fed crisis fighting usage of section 13(3), also see link at the end “Lender of more than last resort” for how the discount window evolved, more later…

Old Fed playbook1: In the '02 Bernanke report on deflation (see tinyurl.com/qmyto8g) he provides a laundry list of what they can do to stimulate the economy/markets. We have pretty much done all of them except for buying foreign bonds. Meanwhile Fed can buy munis too.

Old Fed playbook2: Since September 2019 the Fed has been providing liquidity with TOMO repo operations and TRM bill purchases (ie notQE). At a minimum the Fed will be inclined to keep these programs for a while longer (and abort tapering repo) while introducing new tools.

New Fed playbook1: In my view there is a risk of an intra-mtg ease (as early as today vs allowing mkts to freefall). First off this is a public health concern, but COVID disruptions run the risk of hitting biz CF/working capital. The Fed can encourage discount window use.

New Fed playbook2: Given JPM & Quarles want to break the DW stigma (see tinyurl.com/qqpbkzx) Fed could announce it reduces the DW rate to 25bp or even 0 over FF (vs 50) for large banks, maybe further for smaller banks if funds are used to help industries hit by COVID

New Fed playbook3: 17 days is a long time to wait for levered investors, so expect FF rate to come down 50bps too (would make DW rate cut be 75-100bp). The Fed could gauge how these measure work as well as monitor COVID into 3/18 where it could always do more if needed.

DEFCON1: Its too early to forecast COVID's eco-impact and if there is multiple waves. But Fed is on track to move to DEFCON1 in table (see tinyurl.com/sq65skd) if so they will end up with new ABCs, ZIRP (with tiering) eventual YCC, & credit easing (MBS, CP, & munis)."
Last of the V8s
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March 01, 2020, 10:31:19 PM


booom
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March 01, 2020, 11:31:11 PM
Merited by JimboToronto (1), Biodom (1)

I still think BTC could be around 10-12K before the halving... but those dreams about $100K any time soon (ie in 1-2 years) still look to me to me just like that: Dreams.

Hope they do realise some day though.

$100k might be not possible in 1-2 years, but touching $50,000 at least once by the end of 2021 still looks quite possible to me.

Pish. $50K is the post FOMO blowoff top crash nadir price.
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March 01, 2020, 11:47:12 PM

I didn't expect this, not before Super Tuesday at least.

Buttigieg is ending his presidential bid

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/03/01/politics/buttigieg-campaign/index.html

I still think BTC could be around 10-12K before the halving... but those dreams about $100K any time soon (ie in 1-2 years) still look to me to me just like that: Dreams.

Hope they do realise some day though.

$100k might be not possible in 1-2 years, but touching $50,000 at least once by the end of 2021 still looks quite possible to me.

Pish. $50K is the post FOMO blowoff top crash nadir price.

TBH, I think we'll probably top around $48000-$49000. Tongue
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March 02, 2020, 12:13:57 AM
Merited by OutOfMemory (1)

I am bored, more than scared, by the news on CoronaVirus.
I am in the middle of a region where this is going hyperbolic.
I have contingency plans for the most relevant persons in case things start rolling South.

I needed something a little bit light hearted.

So this is to let you knwo I wrote a little guide on how to setup a "notification machine" for the forum:
#meritislife: how to be notified on a smartband of merits and mentions

Basically a guide on how to forward Giammangiato's bot notification to a smartband, so to be immediately notified of merits and mentions.

Shall I activate also for #Coronavirus twitter handle? Constant Notification nightmare?
 
2020VISION
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March 02, 2020, 12:18:55 AM

How many here are into stocks anyway? I never had the means pre-bitcoin but also no interest, especially now.

max satoshi keiser?  Grin Cool Kiss

===>

" battle for hash power "
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SJkWLwJ2Hro
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March 02, 2020, 12:33:48 AM

I still think BTC could be around 10-12K before the halving... but those dreams about $100K any time soon (ie in 1-2 years) still look to me to me just like that: Dreams.

Hope they do realise some day though.

So what is your prediction? 10-12K at the time of halving what about 2021-2022? Sideways?  Grin

No, it could reasonably be $50K. Maybe more, maybe less. I just say that $100K is probably too much to consider as a reasonable probability. Again, not impossible, depending if Bitcoin is able to regain something similar to 2017 FOMO, but even if that were the case I would not take $100K for granted.

In fact I would prefer a more organic and sustainable $50K than a "fomo" peak to $100K.
I would prefer a real growth to $20k lol  Cheesy
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