Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[JimboToronto]

I love guinness, but never out of a bottle. The only way its meant to be drunk is draught from a keg. Or at least a can with one of those little balls.

Cheers.

Nonsense. That pseudo-draught widget can bullshit is just a scam.

It isn't real live draught. Its pasteurized canned beer with a CO2 injection system. Not only that, it's only 4.2% alc/vol as is a real keg of Guinness draught.

Guinness Extra Stout varies from 5-7% alc/vol depending on where it's brewed. I prefer 5%.

Guinness is brewed all around the world. If I'm in Ireland I'll drink Irish-brewed Guinness. In Ontario, I'll drink Guinness brewed with Ontario water.

[jojo69]

jesus jimbo

when do you sleep man?

[kirreev070]

[El duderino_]

jesus jimbo

when do you sleep man?

junglemen don't sleep

[El duderino_]

12288$$$$

12/10/2018 IntroVert
15/10/2018 explorer
18/10/2018 Searing
26/10/2018 kurious
09/11/2018 fabiorem
15/11/2018 bitserve
20/11/2018 Globb0
22/11/2018 Last of the V8s
01/12/2018 Alexander_Z
07/03/2019 CoinCube
15/04/2019 Spaceman_Spiff_Original
20/06/2019 bitebits
13/12/2019 nikauforest
10/04/2020 yefi
05/09/2020 samson   
23/06/2021 fortune143             


and another falls off ........................ only 15 left on this one

[El duderino_]

24777 $$$$

28/08/2018 bitserve
15/10/2018 Yefi
05/11/2018 mikenz
31/12/2018 melman2002
01/01/2019 Spaceman_Spiff_Original
12/02/2019 FractalUniverse
21/04/2019 gentlemand
20/02/2020 romneymoney
18/12/2021 luckygenough56


only 8 left in here .....

[LFC_Bitcoin]

24777 $$$$

28/08/2018 bitserve
15/10/2018 Yefi
05/11/2018 mikenz
31/12/2018 melman2002
01/01/2019 Spaceman_Spiff_Original
12/02/2019 FractalUniverse
21/04/2019 gentlemand
20/02/2020 romneymoney
18/12/2021 luckygenough56


only 8 left in here .....

Maybe only the last 2 have a chance to win? Well, it saves you money any way

[El duderino_]

^
doesn't save me anything .... when we hit the price, i have too send BTC and i think we will be hitting 24777 in a foreseeable future. 
i can only be sure that that piece of BTC will be hodled untill then

[kirreev070]

24777 $$$$

28/08/2018 bitserve
15/10/2018 Yefi
05/11/2018 mikenz
31/12/2018 melman2002
01/01/2019 Spaceman_Spiff_Original
12/02/2019 FractalUniverse
21/04/2019 gentlemand
20/02/2020 romneymoney
18/12/2021 luckygenough56


only 8 left in here .....

What is it? I often saw it here, but I do not understand what it is

[LFC_Bitcoin]

doesn't save me anything .... when we hit the price, i have too send BTC and i think we will be hitting 24777 in a foreseeable future.  

I hope we hit $24,777 ASAP but it might take a while (2 years or so). The thing is with bitcoin though it moves unexpectedly. I remember when we were going sideways at about $150 for what seemed like a long time. I invested thousands & thousands at approx $600 & I thought it was my worst investment EVER. Mentally I’d given up but I HODLED & HODLED & then shit went crazy.

Now I know to never panic & worry, I just HODL because I’m pretty certain we’ll hit north of $40,000 after the next halving.

Nothing good ever comes without hard work & patience.

Never, ever panic about the price. We all know that since the first block was mined, bitcoin over time goes in one direction - UP!

[El duderino_]

24777 $$$$

28/08/2018 bitserve
15/10/2018 Yefi
05/11/2018 mikenz
31/12/2018 melman2002
01/01/2019 Spaceman_Spiff_Original
12/02/2019 FractalUniverse
21/04/2019 gentlemand
20/02/2020 romneymoney
18/12/2021 luckygenough56


only 8 left in here .....

What is it? I often saw it here, but I do not understand what it is

some BTC give away guess lists..... for the moment 4 are running 2 in here and 2 in there own thread.....
but when they start, there always a date when listing ends, so when one of the 4 are ending i create something NEW.
@newyear 2 will be ending cause they are date related, those are the games not in this thread , and in the future ik will always make a thread not in here, cause some didn't like it in herelittle bit of SPAM maybe

every game is a amount like    0.125,   0.15 , 0.25 or something too win (just freerolls for who joins)

[kirreev070]

[Majormax]

BTC’s price will be:  First column in 2-3 years    Second column in 6-7 years

Below $1k =             Less than 3%      Less than 1.5%

$1k to $3k =              8% to 12%              7% to 9%

$3k to $5k =             10% to 15%      8% to 12%

$5k to $10k =              10% to 15%      8% to 12%

$10k to $19k =              15% to 18%      12% to 15%

$19k to $30k =             15% to 18%      15% to 18%

$30k to $50k =             15% to 18%      15% to 18%

$50k to $100k =             12% to 15%      15% to 18%

$100k to $500k =              5% to 10%      10% to 15%

$500k to $1mill =              2% to 4%      10% to 15%

More than $1mill =             Less than 1%      Less than 5%


...we cannot rule out extremely bearish or extremely bullish scenarios, even though the probabilities seem to be on a kind of upwardly skewed bell curve.

That is a fair way of putting it, and yes, I would broadly agree with those 'guesstimates'.

'upwardly skewed bellcurve'   : I also like that term !   It can be termed bullish, even though there are very significant probabilities of loss in the next few years.

[goldkingcoiner]

I love guinness, but never out of a bottle. The only way its meant to be drunk is draught from a keg. Or at least a can with one of those little balls.

Cheers.

Nonsense. That pseudo-draught widget can bullshit is just a scam.

It isn't real live draught. Its pasteurized canned beer with a CO2 injection system. Not only that, it's only 4.2% alc/vol as is a real keg of Guinness draught.

Guinness Extra Stout varies from 5-7% alc/vol depending on where it's brewed. I prefer 5%.

Guinness is brewed all around the world. If I'm in Ireland I'll drink Irish-brewed Guinness. In Ontario, I'll drink Guinness brewed with Ontario water.

Actually its nitrogen. The exact same gas they use in kegging systems. As far as I know only the foreign export has 5%. And the original draught is 4.2%

[BotanicKilt]

Vegas.

«Bitpay for room, gift shop, Coney Island hotdog, Steak House (not going to try to spell it) and Diner. Also sister property Gold Spike will accept BTC.»

[StartupAnalyst]

[d_eddie]

The little spike triggered my safety stop, so I gained 10% less than I could have if I'd closed at the local bottom. Not going to open another short for the moment.

Call me paranoid, but it was so quick and sharp that it looks just like stop hunting.

[ivomm]

I appreciate your outlining of scenarios that you believe to be probable and most probable, but really it seems to me that you are not really accounting for the vast array of BTC price scenarios – even if you are attempting to stay in the middle of the road – and you are not putting your scenarios into a kind of probability range – which certainly each of us are going to frame these probabilities a bit differently.  Furthermore, it seems that even your optimistic scenario ends up with John McAfee eating his dick on TV.

I am going to attempt to elaborate on your scenarios by adding more scenarios and assigning probabilities to them.  By the way, I do agree with any premise that BTC’s performance in 6-7 years will partly depend upon how it performs in the next 2-3 years.

BTC’s price will be:  First column in 2-3 years    Second column in 6-7 years

Below $1k =             Less than 3%      Less than 1.5%

$1k to $3k =              8% to 12%              7% to 9%

$3k to $5k =             10% to 15%      8% to 12%

$5k to $10k =              10% to 15%      8% to 12%

$10k to $19k =              15% to 18%      12% to 15%

$19k to $30k =             15% to 18%      15% to 18%

$30k to $50k =             15% to 18%      15% to 18%

$50k to $100k =             12% to 15%      15% to 18%

$100k to $500k =              5% to 10%      10% to 15%

$500k to $1mill =              2% to 4%      10% to 15%

More than $1mill =             Less than 1%      Less than 5%


I’m kind of pulling the above estimates out of my ass (straight); however, my point still remains that each set of circumstances has probabilities, even though in the end, we are going to arrive at ONLY one spot once we get there.  Nonetheless, from our current perspective, we cannot rule out extremely bearish or extremely bullish scenarios, even though the probabilities seem to be on a kind of upwardly skewed bell curve.

In other words you believe the price will stay below 3K with probability 15% and below 5K with 30% probability for the next 3 years? I wouldn't give that much - 1-2% tops. The most important question is when the effect of mass adoption (including Wall Street companies) is about to happen? I don't think we are near that event. Not even close. So the price will continue to follow its previous pattern. For the last 4 years we had 100 fold increase between the lowest point and the ATH in 2017. It is logical that the same increase will happen in a similar time frame unless the mass adoption is near completition. But let's say that it goes much slower, say 1/4 of the speed of the previous pattern. In other words 6K->600k/4=150k is achievable price within 4 years. But let's say it is not highly probable. Then again, I think that 40K is absolutely normal price in the next 4 years.

[elrippos friend]

BTC’s price will be:  First column in 2-3 years    Second column in 6-7 years

Below $1k =             Less than 3%      Less than 1.5%

$1k to $3k =              8% to 12%              7% to 9%

$3k to $5k =             10% to 15%      8% to 12%

$5k to $10k =              10% to 15%      8% to 12%

$10k to $19k =              15% to 18%      12% to 15%

$19k to $30k =             15% to 18%      15% to 18%

$30k to $50k =             15% to 18%      15% to 18%

$50k to $100k =             12% to 15%      15% to 18%

$100k to $500k =              5% to 10%      10% to 15%

$500k to $1mill =              2% to 4%      10% to 15%

More than $1mill =             Less than 1%      Less than 5%


...we cannot rule out extremely bearish or extremely bullish scenarios, even though the probabilities seem to be on a kind of upwardly skewed bell curve.

That is a fair way of putting it, and yes, I would broadly agree with those 'guesstimates'.

'upwardly skewed bellcurve'   : I also like that term !   It can be termed bullish, even though there are very significant probabilities of loss in the next few years.

Bullish, bullish, bullish 

[TReano]

BTC’s price will be:  First column in 2-3 years    Second column in 6-7 years

Below $1k =             Less than 3%      Less than 1.5%

$1k to $3k =              8% to 12%              7% to 9%

$3k to $5k =             10% to 15%      8% to 12%

$5k to $10k =              10% to 15%      8% to 12%

$10k to $19k =              15% to 18%      12% to 15%

$19k to $30k =             15% to 18%      15% to 18%

$30k to $50k =             15% to 18%      15% to 18%

$50k to $100k =             12% to 15%      15% to 18%

$100k to $500k =              5% to 10%      10% to 15%

$500k to $1mill =              2% to 4%      10% to 15%

More than $1mill =             Less than 1%      Less than 5%


...we cannot rule out extremely bearish or extremely bullish scenarios, even though the probabilities seem to be on a kind of upwardly skewed bell curve.

wow this is amazing. So the price is going to be between 1000$ and 1 Million $. Nice guess....