https://www.reddit.com/r/mtgoxinsolvency/comments/4l1iz1/we_can_do_a_first_rough_estimation_of_the_return/As stated in the today's Bankrupcy Proceedings, the total amount of approved MtGox debits is:
45,609,593,503 JPY =~ 414,226,328 USD
Total amount of declared asset (in money) is:
1,064,664,553 JPY =~ 9,669,283 USD
Total amount of declared asset (in BTC) is:
202,185 BTC =~ 91,791,990 USD
That is done using the BTC/USD conversion rate of MtGox bankrupcy proceedings, that results to me 1 BTC =~ 454 USD.
Total assets:
91,791,990 + 9,669,283 = 101,461,273 USD
Percentage of returns as assets / debits:
101,461,273 / 414,226,328 =~ 25%
We can estimate a first rough percentage as 25%, that can obviously change according to claims rejected that will be accepted instead after eventual complaints, and also more expenses during Bankrupcy Proceedings.
I don't think that such percentage will change so much, anyway. So, if you want to know how much you will receive, more or less, you can take your claim and calculate a 25%.
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after all my proposal is to believe what's in your "wallet" after distribution finish
until then you will read many stories that at the end of the day you don't know why some people spend time to write...