RyNinDaCleM
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Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
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June 03, 2016, 04:16:28 AM |
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The bad analisis and the Reality...... ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2F3gRO367.jpg&t=665&c=aTK1IAnIQKqKRg) Dave... Dave... Dave... Don't you pay attention? Of course not... You are a troll! The context is right there in the post you quoted but managed to snip out to make your case seem more justified. This post https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=274613.msg12462173#msg12462173 contains a quote from this post https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=274613.msg11887151#msg11887151 which was posted earlier in July and has a target of what's that? Around 600 or so? No shit! Since you bulls were weak little sissy girls (still are, really), I made that white chart as a sort of "Right now" outlook if the larger B never came to fruition and that $315 high was all you could muster. Now it is FINALLY materializing, and my outlook still isn't changing. My view remains that this is still the same suckers rally in a larger bear market. Now, it may not get to $73, but it will go down again. When it does, do I get to scour your post history for "great" calls? Nah, I wouldn't do that. I'm bigger than that and have more productive things to do with my time. We'll see who has the last laugh though. Don't claim victory in a battle you haven't yet won. ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif)
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btc4lifer
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Activity: 57
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June 03, 2016, 10:22:27 AM |
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Don't claim victory in a battle you haven't yet won. ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) * btc4lifer watches RyNinDaCleM drop the mic and walk out of the room
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tabnloz
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Activity: 961
Merit: 1000
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June 12, 2016, 09:14:15 AM |
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I decline to analze this. The multi year Great 3 has been started. ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fpp.vk.me%2Fc629524%2Fv629524561%2F18ff2%2FqtYuZGlo3rE.jpg&t=665&c=ipZIrIi-hpkuRA) Don't know nothing about TA, but thought I'd give the masters thread a bump. Let's hope this is the multi year...
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hdbuck
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Activity: 1260
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June 12, 2016, 03:51:28 PM |
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from: https://btctrading.wordpress.com/2016/06/12/long-term-update-static-resistance/ Long Term update: Static Resistance![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fbtctrading.files.wordpress.com%2F2016%2F06%2Fmonthly.jpg%3Fw%3D1254&t=665&c=ez8yjFA__BVvxA) This is a simple monthly chart since Jan.2012, important facts are: - Accumulation zone #2 is above previous one, #1 in the chart - The static resistance at $680 is also the 50% of the price swing from the all time high down to the 2015 bottom at ~$150 As i explained in past updates the midpoint or 50% it is one of the strongest and most important resistance/support level. The main trend is obviously up (at least so far) because the low around point 2 in the chart is above point 1 thus is legit to expect a new all time high if this market can break above the $680 static resistance.
Furthermore the fact that the two accumulation zones highlighted in the chart never overlap tell us that the underline long term trend is very strong and because of this i expect a new all time high in case of a strong breakout above $680. Forecasting resistances
![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fbtctrading.files.wordpress.com%2F2016%2F06%2Fbtcusd-mn1-simplefx-ltd.jpg%3Fw%3D1254&t=665&c=hjRBQU7e3sPFQw) This is a template i use for long term analysis with metatrader 4 platform, first i compute a price regression with 12 or 24 bars/months with a monthly chart then i compute supports and resistances. Dotted lines represents supports/resistances using the recent volatility of XBTUSD, non-dotted lines are levels computed using twice the value of recent bitcoin volatility. We are exactly at the resistance and this is very interesting because in 1-2 months we will see if bitcoin long term trend is still up or not. I have taken in account the log-normal distribution of price otherwise i’d have had very bad results in computing the levels, usually it is not required but when prices movements are so high you have to. What does it mean? It’s simple, before doing any calculation first compute the natural log of the price, do your stuff and last reexponentiate the data to have back the price chart with a linear scale. This is why i do not recommend to use standard bollinger bands with bitcoin on a long term chart, you would have bad results, sometimes with the lower bollinger band going negative! clearly unrealistic.~LUCIF I SUMMON YOU! COME AND HOLD OUR HANDS IN THE REKKAGE OF THE ATH!
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masterluc (OP)
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Activity: 938
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June 14, 2016, 03:09:51 PM |
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Hello. Some fractals and extrapolation. Good bye. ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2F0SyCA06.png&t=665&c=pQP52XYhEID2IA)
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podyx
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June 14, 2016, 03:15:36 PM |
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Looks good enough
In touch with my 7-8k prediction
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Hunyadi
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Merit: 1000
☑ ♟ ☐ ♚
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June 14, 2016, 03:31:01 PM |
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Hello. Some fractals and extrapolation. Good bye. ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2F0SyCA06.png&t=665&c=pQP52XYhEID2IA) Nice to see you here!
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▂▃▅▇█▓▒░B**-Cultist░▒▓█▇▅▃▂
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megadeth
Sr. Member
![*](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/star.gif) ![*](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/star.gif) ![*](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/star.gif)
Offline
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bagholder since 2013
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June 14, 2016, 03:32:48 PM |
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Luc's back.
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bagholder since 2013 My sig space is not for sale.
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Fatman3001
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Activity: 1526
Merit: 1013
Make Bitcoin glow with ENIAC
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June 14, 2016, 04:05:29 PM |
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Hello. Some fractals and extrapolation. Good bye. ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2F0SyCA06.png&t=665&c=pQP52XYhEID2IA) Hi Luc! Please tell me I'm gonna be rich. Eh.. How does this work? Do I have to rub you or something?
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"I predict the Internet will soon go spectacularly supernova and in 1996 catastrophically collapse." - Robert Metcalfe, 1995
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600watt
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Activity: 2338
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June 14, 2016, 04:39:33 PM Last edit: June 14, 2016, 06:32:12 PM by 600watt |
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Hi Luc! Please tell me I'm gonna be rich.
Eh.. How does this work? Do I have to rub you or something?
rub your local bircoin atm. it works. edit: bitcoin ![Tongue](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/tongue.gif)
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klee
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June 14, 2016, 04:50:07 PM |
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Hi Luc! Please tell me I'm gonna be rich.
Eh.. How does this work? Do I have to rub you or something?
rub your local bircoin atm. it works. Beercoin?
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oda.krell
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Merit: 1007
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June 14, 2016, 05:22:39 PM |
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Happy to see you again, luc. Glad to see you're enthusiastic! To me it looks like a correction is in place first however.
Looks like price could hit $650 to $640 over the next days. As long as it finds support there, that would still allow for a continuation of the rally afterwards (so it's not necessarily incompatible with your prediction).
Anyway, since I don't use EW, the only thing I do is (haphazardly) extrapolate from simple patterns over some low-pass filters I like and track, which is more reactive than predictive usually. In other words: I know precious little about the bigger picture :D
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wlefever
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Activity: 1174
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June 14, 2016, 05:32:21 PM |
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Welp, that about settles it. Strap in from here boys! New ATH ahead. BTC
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600watt
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Activity: 2338
Merit: 2106
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June 14, 2016, 06:33:38 PM |
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Beercoin? [/quote] proof of booze algo.
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jaredboice
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
June 15, 2016, 01:50:54 AM |
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The bad analisis and the Reality...... ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2F3gRO367.jpg&t=665&c=aTK1IAnIQKqKRg) Dave... Dave... Dave... Don't you pay attention? Of course not... You are a troll! The context is right there in the post you quoted but managed to snip out to make your case seem more justified. This post https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=274613.msg12462173#msg12462173 contains a quote from this post https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=274613.msg11887151#msg11887151 which was posted earlier in July and has a target of what's that? Around 600 or so? No shit! Since you bulls were weak little sissy girls (still are, really), I made that white chart as a sort of "Right now" outlook if the larger B never came to fruition and that $315 high was all you could muster. Now it is FINALLY materializing, and my outlook still isn't changing. My view remains that this is still the same suckers rally in a larger bear market. Now, it may not get to $73, but it will go down again. When it does, do I get to scour your post history for "great" calls? Nah, I wouldn't do that. I'm bigger than that and have more productive things to do with my time. We'll see who has the last laugh though. Don't claim victory in a battle you haven't yet won. ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) Shorting since June 3rd (and probably far prior according to his Bearish Sentiment Signature) has done a lot of good for RyNinDaCleM ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif)
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marcus_of_augustus
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Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo
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June 15, 2016, 06:39:32 AM Last edit: June 15, 2016, 06:53:46 AM by marcus_of_augustus |
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Does this have the marking of a "super bubble," taking us into low 6 digit territory by 2017? Or, just a one-off event?
I'm interpretting that masterluc thinks we are at a similar place as early in the April 2013 run which went from ~$15 to $266 ... i.e. x17. So beginning at $420 x17 ~ $7k ... and maybe another mega run (x5 ~ $32k) after that as per Nov. '13 sometime later, say Jan. '17??
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ft73
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
June 16, 2016, 03:52:41 PM |
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742$ now. Feeling healthy correction towards (at least) 650$ is incoming. I was wrong MANY times though ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif)
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sandiman
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
June 16, 2016, 04:16:58 PM |
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742$ now. Feeling healthy correction towards (at least) 650$ is incoming. I was wrong MANY times though ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) I think we may try 800$ before that.
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masterluc (OP)
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June 21, 2016, 01:09:49 PM |
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Daily sma20 hit (650) - good point to get into.
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