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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 916471 times)
coinableS
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September 03, 2015, 04:36:08 AM
 #3661

So, what's next? Wave I ?

It will be a looong story.... 1 I will recognize in running 3. Its a three-five years.

:-) I'm sure it is not possible to keep $230 price for next 3-5 years. I'm also sure we cannot go down. => so we will go up drastically THIS year

Time to put in your longs boys and girls! I'm bullish, but then again I always am. I put in some trades from time to time when the market makes certain patterns. I took a long position 3-4 days ago and I plan to hold it for over a week. I expect we'll be in the $250-260 range this weekend followed by a rise to over $300.

What indicator would lead you to believe this? Outside of some major news item I don't see how we make any significant move as long as the block size boogeyman looms

Morning star candlestick
http://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/121614/how-are-morning-star-patterns-interpreted-analysts-and-traders.asp


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September 03, 2015, 05:04:24 AM
 #3662

So, what's next? Wave I ?

It will be a looong story.... 1 I will recognize in running 3. Its a three-five years.

:-) I'm sure it is not possible to keep $230 price for next 3-5 years. I'm also sure we cannot go down. => so we will go up drastically THIS year

Time to put in your longs boys and girls! I'm bullish, but then again I always am. I put in some trades from time to time when the market makes certain patterns. I took a long position 3-4 days ago and I plan to hold it for over a week. I expect we'll be in the $250-260 range this weekend followed by a rise to over $300.

What indicator would lead you to believe this? Outside of some major news item I don't see how we make any significant move as long as the block size boogeyman looms

Shh... we can't talk talk about fundamentals affecting sentiment here... this thread is for Lucifer's technical analysis only  Tongue

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
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September 03, 2015, 10:23:26 AM
 #3663

I understand none of this and I want to.

Can someone with knowledge and a bit of spare time explain this please? ^^

https://blockchain.info/charts/market-price?showDataPoints=false&timespan=all&show_header=true&daysAverageString=70&scale=1&address=

Historical wave I is from the beginning to january 2013, Historical II from january 2013 to about june 2015, Historical III is running, right?
RyNinDaCleM
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September 03, 2015, 10:34:58 AM
 #3664

I understand none of this and I want to.

Can someone with knowledge and a bit of spare time explain this please? ^^

https://blockchain.info/charts/market-price?showDataPoints=false&timespan=all&show_header=true&daysAverageString=70&scale=1&address=

Historical wave I is from the beginning to january 2013, Historical II from january 2013 to about june 2015, Historical III is running, right?

Wave-I is from  the start of trading in 2010

SmoothCurves
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September 03, 2015, 05:20:18 PM
 #3665

My Guess is peak of Historical Wave III will hit around late 2019.
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September 03, 2015, 07:36:23 PM
 #3666

My Guess is peak of Historical Wave III will hit around late 2019.

I think waves will last longer and longer, when more and more people are involved. Look at Gold, last big bubble was from 1973-1985 and current bubble started 2001 and still not over (I think it's time for the bull trap there).
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September 04, 2015, 11:47:33 AM
 #3667

Did some metrics, looks legit.




We're discussing your wave count in a German Elliott forum. Two users there are still looking for an impulse pattern since c. They believe c will terminate beneath 100.

http://www.dasgelbeforum.net/forum_entry.php?id=368017
idee2013
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September 04, 2015, 12:25:50 PM
 #3668



We're discussing your wave count in a German Elliott forum. Two users there are still looking for an impulse pattern since c. They believe c will terminate beneath 100.

http://www.dasgelbeforum.net/forum_entry.php?id=368017

yes. its clearly the right forum for such questions..lol
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September 04, 2015, 12:28:36 PM
 #3669



We're discussing your wave count in a German Elliott forum. Two users there are still looking for an impulse pattern since c. They believe c will terminate beneath 100.

http://www.dasgelbeforum.net/forum_entry.php?id=368017

yes. its clearly the right forum for such questions..lol

Yes. An Elliott Forum is the right forum for Elliott questions.
cambda
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September 04, 2015, 12:45:17 PM
 #3670



We're discussing your wave count in a German Elliott forum. Two users there are still looking for an impulse pattern since c. They believe c will terminate beneath 100.

http://www.dasgelbeforum.net/forum_entry.php?id=368017

yes. its clearly the right forum for such questions..lol

Yes. An Elliott Forum is the right forum for Elliott questions.

Glad we got that settled. Kerfluffle factor was high on that one.
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September 05, 2015, 04:49:08 PM
 #3671

MA200 is god damn fat elephant  Grin Survives for so much hits since Jan 2015. Besides - it is reversal candlestick picture.


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September 05, 2015, 05:03:23 PM
 #3672

This site is still so useful after so many years, I hope the owner has not completely abandoned it...
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September 05, 2015, 07:31:58 PM
 #3673

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September 05, 2015, 10:16:43 PM
 #3674

This site is still so useful after so many years, I hope the owner has not completely abandoned it...

what site?

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smoothie
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September 05, 2015, 10:31:49 PM
 #3675

MA200 is god damn fat elephant  Grin Survives for so much hits since Jan 2015. Besides - it is reversal candlestick picture.



If you use the MTGOX price data that is missing from Bitstamps "all time" chart to add to that average price picture you get is a price closer to $160-$170 range.


If you remove the giant peak data points as just noise you get a bit lower average price.

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BitcoinNewsMagazine
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September 06, 2015, 01:26:41 AM
 #3676

MA200 is god damn fat elephant  Grin Survives for so much hits since Jan 2015. Besides - it is reversal candlestick picture.



If you use the MTGOX price data that is missing from Bitstamps "all time" chart to add to that average price picture you get is a price closer to $160-$170 range.


If you remove the giant peak data points as just noise you get a bit lower average price.

Good point but since the market is bouncing off the SMA 200 you can make the case that extra data or smoothing would actually not be as meaningful.

masterluc
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September 06, 2015, 01:41:12 AM
 #3677


If you remove the giant peak data points as just noise you get a bit lower average price.

Let me remember.... Mtgox has +$100 and -$100 divergence with others due to liquidity issues for a long time. Then divergences became crazy, then it died. It has not broken price picture at least till ATH. Or may be earlier.

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September 06, 2015, 04:23:12 AM
 #3678

This site is still so useful after so many years, I hope the owner has not completely abandoned it...

what site?
Bitcoincharts
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September 06, 2015, 07:51:43 AM
 #3679

Looks like falling daily upper bb was hit.
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September 06, 2015, 09:59:06 AM
 #3680

Please take the OT discussion elsewhere.   Cry

jeez i've not even seen a chart for three pages.  Undecided

The sooner XT gets its 75% majority the better as far as i'm concerned. we could do with forking bitcointalk and /r/bitcoin while were at it.   Angry

How's that "XT majority" coming along?  How's your attempted fork of our socioeconomic majority working out for you?   Cool


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