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Author Topic: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1)  (Read 175890 times)
execijutiere
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March 11, 2024, 05:35:57 PM
 #24801

PSG-Reims ended in a 2-2 draw. The match was exciting and all the goals came in the first half. Reims scored the first goal of the match, but PSG immediately increased the pressure and took a 2-1 lead. They scored the equalizer towards the end of the first half. There was not much action for the rest of the match. We can say that this point loss is not important for PSG for now because the point difference with their closest rival is 10.
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March 11, 2024, 05:54:32 PM
 #24802

Things are going on just the way Marseille want. Maybe Lens won but Lille and Nice lost points in the meantime. The point gap with the team in the fourth position is only three points. While Marseille are on the rise with their new manager they had better maintain this good form as much as possible. They still have a good chance to join the Champions League as I said before.

I'm curious about what Brest will do in the remaining weeks. They have done a really good work so far. Maybe they lost against Lens the last time but they are still doing just fine at the second position. They are a surprising team to be seen there. As I like their competitive nature this season I hope they can join the Champions League too.  Smiley

Marseille is having their positive outbreaks. They just started another winning streaks of three games in a row, but last time they did it when they recovered from the bad start into the season, it was followed by another few weaker games. But Lens and Lille have shown some weaker games and now I think Marseille is looking at the UEFA competitions again. It was out of the question that they could reach it when they were still at the bottom of the table and nobody understood what was going on with them. But now they have got a good number of games left and I think everything is possible again.

They are still playing against Lille, Nice and Lens, which means they can make these teams drop more points and the Champions League qualification phase position on rank 4 is possible again.
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March 11, 2024, 06:53:27 PM
 #24803

Le Havre had been struggling to win for 6 weeks. Yesterday, Le Havre managed to end their 6-week winless streak with a one-goal victory against Toulouse. Le Havre certainly deserved the win as they played a better game compared to their opponents.
In the meeting of 2 teams in the relegation zone, the winner was Metz. Metz are in a race with their rivals and they want to make the most of their chance to stay in the relegation zone. With this win they managed to take 2 steps ahead of their opponent.
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March 11, 2024, 07:41:43 PM
 #24804

Le Havre had been struggling to win for 6 weeks. Yesterday, Le Havre managed to end their 6-week winless streak with a one-goal victory against Toulouse. Le Havre certainly deserved the win as they played a better game compared to their opponents.
In the meeting of 2 teams in the relegation zone, the winner was Metz. Metz are in a race with their rivals and they want to make the most of their chance to stay in the relegation zone. With this win they managed to take 2 steps ahead of their opponent.

PSG have stood their ground in both good and bad moment, they're doing everything to maintain their balance level in the league. PSG drawed points with Reims and winning streaks is uncertain on mediocre club's ends. This is time to know about France Ligue One, it doesn't seem easy because the average clubs fights so hard to accumulate points which is also deniable on the end of other oppositions. Throwing more concern on La Havre, they've been going through alot, they have been having terrible performance and poor stats in league matches this season.

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March 11, 2024, 07:49:00 PM
 #24805

Monaco won away with a single goal. Strasbourg haven't won for 8 weeks and have fallen into the relegation zone. They now need to do something if they want to stay in the league. Yesterday, Strasbourg lost against Monaco and we can say that we are entering important weeks for Strasbourg. Monaco increased their points tally to 45 with this win and moved up to 3rd place after Lille's draw.
Lille failed to beat Rennes in a tough encounter. The away team Rennes started the match quickly. Rennes scored in the first minute and increased the difference to 2 in the 20th minute. Lille, who entered the last minutes in a stressful way, managed to get a draw by scoring 2 goals with Jonathan David in the last 8 minutes.
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March 11, 2024, 08:05:02 PM
 #24806

Monaco won away with a single goal. Strasbourg haven't won for 8 weeks and have fallen into the relegation zone. They now need to do something if they want to stay in the league. Yesterday, Strasbourg lost against Monaco and we can say that we are entering important weeks for Strasbourg. Monaco increased their points tally to 45 with this win and moved up to 3rd place after Lille's draw.
Lille failed to beat Rennes in a tough encounter. The away team Rennes started the match quickly. Rennes scored in the first minute and increased the difference to 2 in the 20th minute. Lille, who entered the last minutes in a stressful way, managed to get a draw by scoring 2 goals with Jonathan David in the last 8 minutes.
Lille still has a chance to qualify for the Champions League next season, so they will really fight for that until the end of the season. So far there are at least 6 teams still fighting to qualify for the Champions League and that includes Lille, Lens, Nice, Marseille, Brest and Monaco. These teams have a low points gap and they still have a chance to secure a position in the European zone including the Champions League.

PSG is safe to be considered to have qualified for the Champions League, in fact I no longer think PSG will face a real threat of losing their title this season after they managed to lead the standings with a gap of 10 points above Brest. PSG are title favourites, that has allowed them to get better focus on the Champions League this season.

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March 11, 2024, 09:20:35 PM
 #24807

Monaco won away with a single goal. Strasbourg haven't won for 8 weeks and have fallen into the relegation zone. They now need to do something if they want to stay in the league. Yesterday, Strasbourg lost against Monaco and we can say that we are entering important weeks for Strasbourg. Monaco increased their points tally to 45 with this win and moved up to 3rd place after Lille's draw.
Lille failed to beat Rennes in a tough encounter. The away team Rennes started the match quickly. Rennes scored in the first minute and increased the difference to 2 in the 20th minute. Lille, who entered the last minutes in a stressful way, managed to get a draw by scoring 2 goals with Jonathan David in the last 8 minutes.

Strasbourg declined a lot and they are 3 points away from the relegation zone and one point from the relegation play-offs. Such position is unsustainable and they have to start winning again especially against Nantes this week. All their remaining games up to April are against top teams except maybe Toulouse which is a medium one, yet above them.
Monaco and Brest are competing for the second spot while PSG trying to confirm the title before a couple of rounds. There Marseille that are pushing their way up and Nice that lost control totally on their results!

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March 11, 2024, 10:50:16 PM
 #24808

PSG are formidable this season, they are enjoying football in their domestic league because there's no presence of improvement, rather we will continue to watch League Onr over and over again. This is one of the relevant reasons why Les Parisiens is suffering in elite competition, they don't stand the chance. PSG will continue to dominate the France Ligue One because there's no presence of top rivals for the league. The performance of opponents that's clinching on PSG to be on the same level, but these teams are not doing anything possible to achieve this targets.
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March 11, 2024, 11:14:08 PM
 #24809

PSG are formidable this season, they are enjoying football in their domestic league because there's no presence of improvement, rather we will continue to watch League Onr over and over again. This is one of the relevant reasons why Les Parisiens is suffering in elite competition, they don't stand the chance. PSG will continue to dominate the France Ligue One because there's no presence of top rivals for the league. The performance of opponents that's clinching on PSG to be on the same level, but these teams are not doing anything possible to achieve this targets.

Are they formidable? PSG is one of the most expensive teams in Europe, play in one of the weakest teams with no competition at all and so far did not win 9 of their games. To me this doesn't sound like a formidable season. When PSG wins the title, I can't see anything special about it. They had a solid performance in the Champions League round of 16, but other than that it was ok, but nothing special. On top of that they couldn't win three games in a row, which I think is awful for a team like PSG playing in that league... But since it doesn't matter whether they win or not, it still looks as if they were playing so well.
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March 11, 2024, 11:28:56 PM
 #24810

Lille still has a chance to qualify for the Champions League next season, so they will really fight for that until the end of the season. So far there are at least 6 teams still fighting to qualify for the Champions League and that includes Lille, Lens, Nice, Marseille, Brest and Monaco. These teams have a low points gap and they still have a chance to secure a position in the European zone including the Champions League.

PSG is safe to be considered to have qualified for the Champions League, in fact I no longer think PSG will face a real threat of losing their title this season after they managed to lead the standings with a gap of 10 points above Brest. PSG are title favourites, that has allowed them to get better focus on the Champions League this season.
The competition to win a place in the Champions League is more interesting in the Ligue 1, because PSG is too dominant in the race for trophies, a number of competing clubs will not be able to pressure PSG to lead the standings. It's a shame to see Nice, they are now experiencing setbacks after competing with PSG at the start of the season. Brest and Monaco must try to maintain their position in the top three, there are fewer matches remaining and we will see PSG win the trophy again this season.


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March 12, 2024, 04:54:59 AM
 #24811


Well, Nice performed again with bad performance, they suffered a defeat against lower middle class team like Montpellier and this is the result of the match for the umpteenth time which has made many people really doubt Nice.
They performed very well at the start of the season and from some of the previous bad results I thought they could learn and try to perform better but in reality everything is the same and shows that Nice is not team that can be used as favorite.
Nice stability and consistency have been completely destroyed after entering the middle of the season until now and it seems like there will be an opportunity for Nice to face conditions where the decline in standings ranking becomes even worse.
They made mistake which gave Montpellier 1 goal lead and after two minutes Nice were able to put up resistance which made it 1-1 draw but in the end they made another mistake which resulted in penalty.
1 - 2 result lasted until the match was over and this defeat occurred because of the mistake of the Nice players who acted too immeasurably, I think mistakes like this must really be corrected because they are very detrimental to the team if they happen again.

But they will have much more difficult match, namely in the French Cup quarter-finals where they will meet PSG, this will be bad match and could knock Nice out of the competition.
All these small teams without proper investment starts the league and have high and plenty strengths and then they look like King Of the Jungle and when the Jungle gets matured they go into hiding and oblivion. This is the story of OGC Nice whom we thought will be the contenders with PSG. Stumping Nice fell to another loss at home to Montpellier with all goals of this fixture coming in the first half. This shows how porous the defense of this Nice team and how much investment needs to be done in this team.

 With this kind of defense they’ll be seen as the worst team in any European competition talk more of the Elite UCL and I’m glad their hopes of getting to the UCL is getting dim. Nice’s early season promise looks more distant with every game after losing at home to lowly Montpellier 2-1 extended its winless streak to six French league matches on Friday. After leading Ligue 1 in the early part of the season, the club has fallen away in recent weeks.Its last league victory was on Jan, 27 and it has slide to fifth place in the table.

 This win is a major boost for Montpellier as it helps them in their battle out of relegation and it’s a crazy one for Nice as it’s the another bad result. In the QF of the French Cup, they’ll also be knocked out by PSG and this is very bad as they might try to maintain the position or go to 3rd to get a good European competition spot, they're not match for PSG and i don't think the French Giants would want to be kicked out so easily.
Currently there is no team that is really capable of providing significant competition against PSG and for Nice themselves, somehow they are doing it but they really can't be relied on because they often do unexpected things that make them lose and end in draw.
If only this season can be used to learn and improve next season performance then there is possibility that Nice can compete with PSG even though fighting for the title will also be very difficult.
PSG still continues to dominate the Ligue 1 competition and we can see whether PSG development remains stable or not next season when their mainstay player Mbappe actually leaves.

Currently, Nice is in 6th position in the standings and it can be confirmed that it is impossible for Nice to rise to much better position until they have UCL ticket next season.
Only competition they can participate in is the European League and I think this competition is more suitable for Nice because the UCL is also big competition where the strongest team in various leagues will be able to easily get rid of Nice.

Somehow I not so sure that Nice will stay in the French Cup competition because of course PSG will beat Nice and knock them out.
I will say again that this season there are various doubts raised about Nice development.

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March 12, 2024, 05:03:24 AM
 #24812

Speaking of statistics, Jurgen Klopp's streak is heavy. Guardiola's 6 wins against Klopp's 8 in the 21-time encounter between the two legends in English football. Klopp has won 12 times against Guardiola in all forms of football, while Guardiola has won 11 times. Klopp is the only coach against whom Pep still has a winning record of four or more matches.But Guardiola has surpassed Klopp in terms of titles, with the German coach having eight to the Catalan coach's 16. In addition, Klopp's Liverpool lost to Guardiola's Manchester City by just one point twice in the Premier League title race.
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March 12, 2024, 07:50:54 AM
 #24813

PSG is safe to be considered to have qualified for the Champions League, in fact I no longer think PSG will face a real threat of losing their title this season after they managed to lead the standings with a gap of 10 points above Brest. PSG are title favourites, that has allowed them to get better focus on the Champions League this season.
I don't know if this is the reason or not, because the distance between the points is quite far, so PSG is no longer as tough and optimal as before in playing the match. Maybe one of the reasons is to keep the players fit. However, the match in the French League, it is clear, they have no rivals. So whatever they like, it looks like PSG will continue to dominate and excel there. Meanwhile, on the other hand, they have to be more alert and stronger when competing in UCL matches. It seems that the condition is extra contrary to what they usually have.

We can take a look at how PSG played against Reims this time. As usual, PSG really dominates. In fact, there were quite a lot of attacks on them. However, they were not able to win, they were somewhat lacking in the accuracy of their shots at the target. And in fact, 1 PSG goal was OG.

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March 12, 2024, 08:11:20 AM
 #24814

PSG are formidable this season, they are enjoying football in their domestic league because there's no presence of improvement, rather we will continue to watch League Onr over and over again. This is one of the relevant reasons why Les Parisiens is suffering in elite competition, they don't stand the chance. PSG will continue to dominate the France Ligue One because there's no presence of top rivals for the league. The performance of opponents that's clinching on PSG to be on the same level, but these teams are not doing anything possible to achieve this targets.
Indeed, PSG is too strong in first place so that no other team is able to catch up on points because other teams do not have a squad like PSG. In terms of competition to win the league one trophy, PSG has no problems, but in terms of play, he has to admit that PSG is experiencing setbacks. From their last three matches in league one they recorded three consecutive draws, this is not a good sign for a team like PSG, they should be able to be consistent even though league one is in their hands but this must be proven so that they can continue to be consistent so that their mentality becomes stronger when playing in the UCL league.

Currently PSG is trying to get used to the team without Mbappe, but PSG seems to be having difficulty without Mbappe. I'm not sure next season when Mbappe leaves PSG whether they can dominate League One again.

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March 12, 2024, 08:20:03 AM
 #24815

The competition to win a place in the Champions League is more interesting in the Ligue 1, because PSG is too dominant in the race for trophies, a number of competing clubs will not be able to pressure PSG to lead the standings. It's a shame to see Nice, they are now experiencing setbacks after competing with PSG at the start of the season. Brest and Monaco must try to maintain their position in the top three, there are fewer matches remaining and we will see PSG win the trophy again this season.

PSG's position at the top of the standings can no longer be disturbed by other teams in Ligue 1 because by collecting 56 points it can be ascertained that the league trophy and also one Champions League ticket are theirs, the competition at PSG has actually long ended in the fight for rank 1 and as usual PSG remains firmly at the top of the standings, currently an interesting competition only occurs between ranks 2 and 6 in the standings in grabbing the remaining two automatic tickets to qualify for the Champions League and also One playoff ticket.

So far there are still 5 teams competing namely brest (2), monaco (3), lille (4), lens (5), and Nice who are ranked 6, at this time maybe many of us think Nice have been out of competition due to their poor performance in recent weeks, but in fact they are currently still very strong 6th place with 40 points and only 6 points behind brest, I think by being 1 or 2 points apart from one team to another, it is certain that the competition for Champions League tickets is certainly very interesting than seeing PSG run alone towards the championship trophy this season in Ligue 1.

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March 12, 2024, 08:21:06 AM
 #24816

Nice is not only out of the title race, but also they are starting to get out of the competition for European competition because of their position that continues to fall and badly in the last five matches only managed to get one point, it is very sad to see a team that once led the standings but slowly had difficulty in maintaining their appearance. Nice suffered defeat not only when facing a team that is considered strong but the team whose position is below them Nice failed to get points.
The defeat from Montpellier showed that Nice's defense had decreased because they became easier to penetrate with their opponents, is it possible that Nice will get a place in the European competition next season? because Marseille, whose points are not much different from Nice, seems to be experiencing good progress, slowly they can get a lot of points so they can improve their position.

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March 12, 2024, 08:24:03 AM
 #24817


Strasbourg declined a lot and they are 3 points away from the relegation zone and one point from the relegation play-offs. Such position is unsustainable and they have to start winning again especially against Nantes this week. All their remaining games up to April are against top teams except maybe Toulouse which is a medium one, yet above them.
Monaco and Brest are competing for the second spot while PSG trying to confirm the title before a couple of rounds. There Marseille that are pushing their way up and Nice that lost control totally on their results!
That is not too surprising because indeed for the last 2 seasons (this season and last season) it seems that Straburg's performance has experienced a lot of decline in performance which makes their situation and conditions in the standings have decreased a lot and made their position decline drastically even though in the previous few seasons they were quite troublesome and became one of the dark horses in Ligue 1.

The defeat against Monaco added to the long list of Strasbourg's inability to win because in the last 6 matches of all competitions that Strasbourg participated in they have never won back and only won 1 draw against Montpellier last week.

If this continues, it is possible that they will leave Ligue 1 because currently their points are still close to Metz who are in the relegation zone and Nantes who occupy the position for play offs.
There must be a difference that Strasbourg must do if it really wants to have a change for its position but indeed it is not an easy thing with all their limitations from resources and quality players.

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March 12, 2024, 08:28:16 AM
 #24818

PSG are formidable this season, they are enjoying football in their domestic league because there's no presence of improvement, rather we will continue to watch League Onr over and over again. This is one of the relevant reasons why Les Parisiens is suffering in elite competition, they don't stand the chance. PSG will continue to dominate the France Ligue One because there's no presence of top rivals for the league. The performance of opponents that's clinching on PSG to be on the same level, but these teams are not doing anything possible to achieve this targets.
Indeed, PSG is too strong in first place so that no other team is able to catch up on points because other teams do not have a squad like PSG. In terms of competition to win the league one trophy, PSG has no problems, but in terms of play, he has to admit that PSG is experiencing setbacks. From their last three matches in league one they recorded three consecutive draws, this is not a good sign for a team like PSG, they should be able to be consistent even though league one is in their hands but this must be proven so that they can continue to be consistent so that their mentality becomes stronger when playing in the UCL league.

PSG coach Luis Enrique is not worried about winning the Ligue 1 title at the moment. He knows very well that PSG will be able to win the Ligue 1 title very easily. Despite dropping points in their last three matches, PSG are 10 points ahead of second-placed Brest in the table.


Source: Google

Luis Enrique is now experimenting with his squad. He is changing the match strategy. At the same time, PSG's formation has changed several times. He is trying to find the best match strategy for PSG. At the same time, I will say that PSG's performance in Ligue 1 has been erratic, but PSG won both matches against Real Sociedad in the Champions League.


Quote
Currently PSG is trying to get used to the team without Mbappe, but PSG seems to be having difficulty without Mbappe. I'm not sure next season when Mbappe leaves PSG whether they can dominate League One again.

Mbappe will not be with PSG next season it is certain. So Luis Enrique is trying to stabilize PSG's performance without Mbappe. And Enrique is a very experienced coach. I believe he will be able to find a suitable match strategy. PSG can perform well without Mbappe next season. However, adding a young talent like Osimhen or Vlahovic to the squad would boost PSG's performance.

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March 12, 2024, 08:32:35 AM
 #24819

PSG has been getting three draws in a row now and yet nobody is getting even remotely close, this is why PSG becomes champions every year. I mean normally that is 6 points lost in total, and how many points difference between the second place? 10 points. So, this club could basically have equal to 2 losses in 3 games, and the difference still doesn't become single digits.

This is why I believe that they are going to be fine, yeah the results "feels" like that is not what PSG should get, and sometimes feels like they should have won all three, but why would they? Who cares about it really, not like they are going to lose the title, they could finish the rest of the season with just full draws, never a win or loss, and they may still be the title winners. 9 games left, that means 9 points, the difference is 19 points in that case, meaning in 9 games Brest would have to win at least 7, and that is not going to happen.

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March 12, 2024, 09:17:58 AM
 #24820

PSG has been getting three draws in a row now and yet nobody is getting even remotely close, this is why PSG becomes champions every year. I mean normally that is 6 points lost in total, and how many points difference between the second place? 10 points. So, this club could basically have equal to 2 losses in 3 games, and the difference still doesn't become single digits.

This is why I believe that they are going to be fine, yeah the results "feels" like that is not what PSG should get, and sometimes feels like they should have won all three, but why would they? Who cares about it really, not like they are going to lose the title, they could finish the rest of the season with just full draws, never a win or loss, and they may still be the title winners. 9 games left, that means 9 points, the difference is 19 points in that case, meaning in 9 games Brest would have to win at least 7, and that is not going to happen.
I just realized that PSG hasn't won in several of these matches and it seems that it started when PSG faced Rennes at home. I mean, since then Luis Enrique has changed his plans to give Mbappe more rest time and if you remember after that match or more precisely in the next two matches against Monaco and Reims, Mbappe didn't play a full game there. Everything has changed and Luis Enrique doesn't want to be completely dependent on Mbappe because he knows that next season his star player will not stay at PSG.

Your calculations are not wrong and I am sure they are correct, but here it seems like this will not interfere with PSG still being able to win the title. The proof alone is that with these 3 series results they are still far ahead by a point difference from Brest so this will still be maintained even though sometimes the results are less than satisfactory. It is impossible for Brest to beat PSG and if they do then PSG will also realize it again. As I said at the beginning, the problem is not because PSG don't want to win but they want to try a new strategy and even though the results are not optimal, they have to be brave from now on considering that the competition will be fiercer.
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