2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets!

[STT]

BTC is a side issue, perhaps if one party was dead against it but neither are so its not especially pivotal.

Kamala Harris only says like a bot with what we all knew about her

Thats a strength and a weakness, no doubt question and answers were practised a hundred times over.  Also that can result in sounding like a robot and disingenuous, too afraid to leave the script.   An actor but not a great one.  

Somehow Trump has this as a strength, in the midst of his slight chaos and near fantasy accuracy on details such as missing pets; you still dont doubt he means it.   Genuine answers count for so much more then reading off a script of what the spin doctors told you would trigger positive responses, people can tell when you are holding up a facade.

   I dont think Harris is as bad as Clinton was on this, but its a disease in politics to be fake and even worse if your acting lacks spirit.   People spit out what they are being fed like its poison, Harris needs work on being more genuine & is definitely a learner on the job.

[alani123]

The question of what Trump had to offer is a very important one.
Right now Trump needs people from outside his main base to be able to win. So in my view, he has to go back to the basics.

How did he win in 2016? He exposed Hillary Clinton for the crazed warmongering lunatic that she is. Taking advice from the war criminal Kissinger to bomb other nations and destabilize entire regions, endangering the lives of the thousands of American troops stationed abroad.

This is something Trump could repeat with great success with two simple issues.

Set a timeframe for a transition to peace in Ukraine by promoting a deal and promoting new elections in the country after they were halted by Zelensky. Ukraine needs to go back to being a peaceful democracy, its people have become tired of the war the US ushered onto them. They should be given the opportunity to express that in a vote. The Biden administration is promoting a war that can not be won at a great expense to the American and European people.

Secondly, Trump must set a clear deadline for a peace deal Israel has to accept. If they continue massacring babies the us should accept international law and focus on stopping to supply arms to them.

If Trump does these two things he could win in a landslide. But I highly doubt he'll do it. He's actually digging himself in a hole now by saying increasingly unpopular things.

[Gheka]

Trump and Kamala had a debate recently. Kamala's team asked Trump for a second debate after the debate, but he refused. The general consensus is that Kamala did better, but I don't think she can sway the undecided voters. To be honest, I haven't watched the debate yet, but I know that Trump has the ability to shift the ground of the debate with populist rhetoric. It's hard for me to know who will win, but I want Trump to win because maybe then US foreign policy will be less expansionist...

Kamala is an experienced debater thus her win in this debate is not surprised me. More noticeable is that  Taylor Swift urged her fans ^{(BTW, almost 300 millions followers on Instagram)} to vote for Kamala, thus  the Trump's  chances  dropped  to an all-time low. I wonder whether she made a bet,  like me,  gambling  on Kamala with $1000. I think that Taylor Swift  could risk more, even $ 1000 000 is not a money for her.

I watched the debate and I don't think Harris actually win Donald Trump I'm the debate. The debate was quite interesting although I couldn't watch it to the end but I think Donald Trump has higher chances of winning this election. This election could be manipulated, and if that happens then Trump might not get enough votes to win this election. What ever happens after this election, I'll over look it because we could see more females voting for Harris because she's a woman of lies being used by the president. I would rather go for a thousand dollars bet on Trump multiple times than Harris with intention to create unbearable inflation in the future.

Nothing is impossible in this prediction, when you are someone who is skeptical about Harris's chances of winning, Harris is completely capable of turning everything that seems to be disadvantageous for her into her biggest strength, currently this election is extremely hot and fierce but because of the balance as well as the side information posted every day, the possibility of winning is not too much. And this is the joy of the places that accept bets for this election, if it is too easy to predict, it will be a difficult problem in terms of profit, but with the constant rotation, this is also an opportunity to reap a profit on one side.

[cabron]

Trump and Kamala had a debate recently. Kamala's team asked Trump for a second debate after the debate, but he refused. The general consensus is that Kamala did better, but I don't think she can sway the undecided voters. To be honest, I haven't watched the debate yet, but I know that Trump has the ability to shift the ground of the debate with populist rhetoric. It's hard for me to know who will win, but I want Trump to win because maybe then US foreign policy will be less expansionist...

Kamala is an experienced debater thus her win in this debate is not surprised me. More noticeable is that  Taylor Swift urged her fans ^{(BTW, almost 300 millions followers on Instagram)} to vote for Kamala, thus  the Trump's  chances  dropped  to an all-time low. I wonder whether she made a bet,  like me,  gambling  on Kamala with $1000. I think that Taylor Swift  could risk more, even $ 1000 000 is not a money for her.

I watched the debate and I don't think Harris actually win Donald Trump I'm the debate. The debate was quite interesting although I couldn't watch it to the end but I think Donald Trump has higher chances of winning this election. This election could be manipulated, and if that happens then Trump might not get enough votes to win this election. What ever happens after this election, I'll over look it because we could see more females voting for Harris because she's a woman of lies being used by the president. I would rather go for a thousand dollars bet on Trump multiple times than Harris with intention to create unbearable inflation in the future.

Nothing is impossible in this prediction, when you are someone who is skeptical about Harris's chances of winning, Harris is completely capable of turning everything that seems to be disadvantageous for her into her biggest strength, currently this election is extremely hot and fierce but because of the balance as well as the side information posted every day, the possibility of winning is not too much. And this is the joy of the places that accept bets for this election, if it is too easy to predict, it will be a difficult problem in terms of profit, but with the constant rotation, this is also an opportunity to reap a profit on one side.

With the help of the ABC mods, the people are not sure what to believe anymore in the country especially when the reality is being pronounced fake news by authorities.  If they lie about the simplest crimes, you can be assured they lie about the biggest crimes.

When they asked, "Do you want Ukraine to win this war?"  Trump said he wants no one dead anymore but it seems the mods see it like Trump lost it with such an answer. 

[Webetcoins]

I also thought that the US elections weren't my business until Obama attacked and destabilized Libya. This caused an inflow of armed militias into my country causing a rise in criminal activities. I felt the impact of US foreign policy when the price of bread skyrocketed because of the handling of Russia Ukraine war. The attack of Libya, Iraq, and Gaza destabilized oil and gas supply, leading to an increase in the price of goods and services.

When you are from a nation that has a potential to be impacted/attacked, or at least a neighbour country could and impact you as well, then yeah you should care, that's obvious, but I won't because they won't do anything near me at all, only one impacted me was Iraq, and ever since that moment, nothing mattered on whatever president at all.

And talking about PETS, it's clear that Haiti could actually have a culture where they did something like that back in their nation, but STEALING PETS FROM HOMES? We know that is not a common thing at all, even if it happened once or twice, it is not a common thing at all, certainly not something you would like to repeat and be mocked on a presidential debate. Trump has the biggest weakness where people who "love" him could tell him a lie and he will believe, he doesn't fact check at all.

[LUCKMCFLY]

I also thought that the US elections weren't my business until Obama attacked and destabilized Libya. This caused an inflow of armed militias into my country causing a rise in criminal activities. I felt the impact of US foreign policy when the price of bread skyrocketed because of the handling of Russia Ukraine war. The attack of Libya, Iraq, and Gaza destabilized oil and gas supply, leading to an increase in the price of goods and services.

What happens is that Obama was a person who uncovered many things, or rather, he was a person who allowed many things to be uncovered , secrets and everything they could do , from zeroanonymity to being able to do what Snowden did, so in this order of ideas it does not surprise me to bring these things to reality where the political Currents want to protect secrets and such things from humanity , and for the first time in life in the USA they had the feeling of having Attacked a system where they hate privacy and anonymity, something that we always disagree with, now the interests fly , for the events now, who could be hiding things? Secrets ? On one hand a former president who wants to declassify many things, and another who does not want anything to be known , when will the Americans take off the blindfold?

[alani123]

I revamped the OP a little bit so it can be more topical to the current candidates and more recent events.
Not that much time till the election now, hopefully I won't have to change it again.

[stompix]

Well, you have to be a special kind to think this will get you any votes



Seems like he has lost his marbles after he saw a new candidate, failed to deliver anything in the debate he was so sure of he is now throwing a tantrum over a pop singer about which he was posting fake AI pics of her endorsing him, I can easily see Kamala easing to 1.75 with the bookies tonight, already on a downside to 1.8

Meanwhile in swing states:



And more than crypto, Americans really care about gas prices
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-gasoline-prices-set-fall-under-3gallon-election-nears-2024-09-12/

[Hispo]

...

Did she actually share that in his bootleg version of Twitter/X, that is weird, as if that is going to help him at all, it makes him look desperate, almost as if expected Taylor to have a change of heart about endorsing the democrat party and endorse him instead Kamala Harris. Anyways, I don't blame him for throwing a temper tantrum, though; he is pathological narcissist and he probably watched the debate again in private and realized he did not do good enough when faced Kamala Harris, if you also add the fact he could be imprisoned for life (or at least, for a couple of years) if he does not win the race, then I am not surprised at all for all this behavior he is showing.
As it stands now, Kamala is the favorite in the eyes of the bettors, but that could easily change with October surprise.

If nothing meaningful happens by the end of October, then I will be placing my bet by the beginning of November.

Also, If I was Trump I would have never picked Vance as running mate, he does not add anything of worth to his campaign, I would have choaen a republican woman to equilibrate the gender gap there is currently screwing up Trump's chances to win, specially in swing states.

[wheelz1200]

I still haven't laid a bet down on the US elections and the more and more that time goes on I don't think I'm going to.  I usually habe a good grasp on what is happening and what shoukd likely happen but this is the biggest unknown I think we've ever seen in terms of an election.  Kamala can win, trump can win it's a coin flip.  Amd I think will be really surprising come election night to see how the state voting goes.  Will be watching but likely will sit out of this bet.

[jossiel]

I still haven't laid a bet down on the US elections and the more and more that time goes on I don't think I'm going to.  I usually habe a good grasp on what is happening and what shoukd likely happen but this is the biggest unknown I think we've ever seen in terms of an election.  Kamala can win, trump can win it's a coin flip.  Amd I think will be really surprising come election night to see how the state voting goes.  Will be watching but likely will sit out of this bet.

It's good to hear it from someone that does really know what's happening. Both sides think that they're winning but on a perspective of someone neutral, it's actually a good point.

For people like me that just started to follow what's going on with the campaigns and upcoming elections there, it's starting to become the same thing as well but before, it's mostly about Trump because of the assassination attempt.

[STT]

Trump gets another attempt on his life apparently, they caught the shooter alive this time a 58 year old white man.   Trump was playing golf in the open but luckily he nor anyone next to the former president received fatal shots and Ive not heard of any causalities over the incident.   A semi automatic rifle maybe some design near to AK47 + scope, which would explain why it was luckily not accurate perhaps.
   Shots were fired but USSS appear to have been more proactive in this case, Im not sure outside is safe at all for Trump at this point.  

Anyway I guess some other idiot has continued to help Trump with his figures, I dont see how it could hurt his chances at all.  Its bad all round if this is the issue that turns out to be the pivotal part that gets him into office rather then actual policy differences between the two candidates.

[uneng]

The question of what Trump had to offer is a very important one.
Right now Trump needs people from outside his main base to be able to win. So in my view, he has to go back to the basics.

How did he win in 2016? He exposed Hillary Clinton for the crazed warmongering lunatic that she is. Taking advice from the war criminal Kissinger to bomb other nations and destabilize entire regions, endangering the lives of the thousands of American troops stationed abroad.

In 2016 Trump had a very clear advantage: he was an outsider, an inedit figure running for presidency who made big promises to the country. He won and did nothing different from past governments. He created high expectations as a "crazy" man, but at same time a man who would fight the establishment. In the end he showed to be just more of the same (with a populist empty speech).

Now doesn't matter what he says or promises, he isn't an inedit candidate anymore. Everyone already knows the politician Donald Trump. Not that it excites people to vote for Harris too. With the exception of the verbose ideological fools, the average citizen must be feeling hopeless and annoyed by what politics have finally turned. It has never been good, but right now everything is just too absurdly mediocre.

What is the point in developing political strategies after all? It's just a disservice to the nation, since all these promises and strategies are based in lies and propaganda.

[FinneysTrueVision]

Anyway I guess some other idiot has continued to help Trump with his figures, I dont see how it could hurt his chances at all.  Its bad all round if this is the issue that turns out to be the pivotal part that gets him into office rather then actual policy differences between the two candidates.

People keep trying to assassinate Trump because he is such a detestable and loathsome person. I don’t think he will get as much of a bump from this attempt as he did the last time. It’s hard to feel sympathy for somebody propagating the most insane conspiracies demonizing entire ethnic groups. Trump has found an audience for which this rhetoric is appealing or not a deal breaker, but there is a limit to how many people you can attract with that strategy.

The fact that the race is still a toss up speaks to Harris' failure as a candidate. Rather than condemning Israel’s war crimes to try and win voters in heavily Muslim swing states, she promises to send them more bombs and has lawyers trying to kick Jill Stein off the ballots. Third parties are polling well enough that this alienating of crucial demographics might cost her the election. Her embrace of the establishment and upholding the status quo make her campaign broadly unappealing. She is counting on people seeing her as less awful than Trump will be enough to get her in the White House.

[viljy]

The fact that the race is still a toss up speaks to Harris' failure as a candidate. Rather than condemning Israel’s war crimes to try and win voters in heavily Muslim swing states, she promises to send them more bombs and has lawyers trying to kick Jill Stein off the ballots. Third parties are polling well enough that this alienating of crucial demographics might cost her the election. Her embrace of the establishment and upholding the status quo make her campaign broadly unappealing. She is counting on people seeing her as less awful than Trump will be enough to get her in the White House.

If we take into account the past debates, where Trump looked much weaker than Kamala, the killers who will regularly shoot Trump until they shoot him, then it turns out with a high probability that Kamala will become president. If her opponent is just dead... I have no sympathy for any candidate. I'm just reasoning based on real factors.

[davis196]

There was another "assassination attempt" against Trump in Florida. I'm not sure that this attempt is even real. It seems to me that the Republicans are just desperate at this point and they try to boost Trump's popularity by making him look like a victim of the "deep state".
I am 90% sure that Kamala Harris will win the election, unless she makes some stupid mistake until November. Vladimir Putin said that he supports Harris, because she is predictable(and maybe because he wants the USA to have a weak president). Maybe Putin will get what he wants.
I don't support anyone of the candidates and I'm not a US citizen, but the future of the world is going to suck.

[3kpk3]

What is the point in developing political strategies after all? It's just a disservice to the nation, since all these promises and strategies are based in lies and propaganda.

Well said. USA is filled with plenty of great presidential candidates, but the only options were Trump and Biden which was embarassing to say the least. Harris is slightly better than them, but is still not a great presidential candidate.

Am only choosing to support Harris over Trump because she is younger and less inhumane than him. Nothing more, nothing less.

[nullama]

There was another "assassination attempt" against Trump in Florida. I'm not sure that this attempt is even real. It seems to me that the Republicans are just desperate at this point and they try to boost Trump's popularity by making him look like a victim of the "deep state".
I am 90% sure that Kamala Harris will win the election, unless she makes some stupid mistake until November. Vladimir Putin said that he supports Harris, because she is predictable(and maybe because he wants the USA to have a weak president). Maybe Putin will get what he wants.
I don't support anyone of the candidates and I'm not a US citizen, but the future of the world is going to suck.

Yeah, I read it too. It seems that the perpetrator simply flew there and jumped into a gun shop to buy the gun and an armor, then went to try to shoot Trump.

It seems so easy to do it that I'm surprised we haven't seen more of these things happening.

I guess they just stopped talking about the "small shootings" and they only cover the big ones.

[criptoevangelista]

There was another "assassination attempt" against Trump in Florida. I'm not sure that this attempt is even real. It seems to me that the Republicans are just desperate at this point and they try to boost Trump's popularity by making him look like a victim of the "deep state".
I am 90% sure that Kamala Harris will win the election, unless she makes some stupid mistake until November. Vladimir Putin said that he supports Harris, because she is predictable(and maybe because he wants the USA to have a weak president). Maybe Putin will get what he wants.
I don't support anyone of the candidates and I'm not a US citizen, but the future of the world is going to suck.

Yeah, I read it too. It seems that the perpetrator simply flew there and jumped into a gun shop to buy the gun and an armor, then went to try to shoot Trump.

It seems so easy to do it that I'm surprised we haven't seen more of these things happening.

I guess they just stopped talking about the "small shootings" and they only cover the big ones.

The strangest thing is that the agents only find out later. Isn't there some kind of intelligence service to prevent attacks? Because in the incident where the bullet hit the ear, I thought the security agents would get paranoid and significantly increase the former president's security. Or is there someone undercover and wants to eliminate Trump by passing information and sabotaging security? Strange.

[alani123]

It's funny that the person who went on to attack Trump was a very big proponent of supporting the war in Ukraine, even flying to Ukraine supposedly to recruit volunteers.

So it's clear his motivation must've been Trump's anti-war policy. Who knows who was funding the attacker? But I wouldn't be surprised if it was a state sponsored attempt on Trump. It'll be really funny to see revelations like this hit the mainstream. Just more reason to end the war in Ukraine as soon as possible if they're now making attempts on US presidential candidates.