2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets!

[Sithara007]

Next, and only debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris will take place on 10th September, and will be hosted by the ABC Network. The debate will be moderated by David Muir (anchor of ABC World News Tonight) and Linsey Davis (anchor of ABC News Live Prime). But there is some uncertainty as well. Trump supporters have cast doubt regarding the neutrality of the anchors, as well as that of the anchors. They want the debate to be hosted by Fox Network (which is unacceptable for the Democrat nominee).

[STT]

It'll never be on Fox, far too much bias.   If they were objecting to CNN perhaps but ABC is probably the closest to a compromise there is going to be.   If you ask me the whole media is left leaning perhaps just because thats the way they are made.

   Fox goes over the top trying to be right wing and end looking silly sometimes because of it but thats their audience.   Good to hear there will be another debate as theres been alot of changes since the last.

   If Harris hasnt got a lead by the debate I think she will face a loss.   The reason being as stated here and elsewhere the DEM have a popular vote lead which shows in polls also but they need an actual positive advantage to be sure of getting enough states in the electoral college.  As it stands Harris is lacking, its not a secure win by any means.

[stompix]

It is incredibly telling that the media is trying to push this narrative that Harris is beating Trump in the polls while gambling markets are overwhelming telling a different story.

The same gambling markets that gave the 1.4 odds to Hillary, and the ones that were pushing Trump to 1.7 in 2020 right till the votes started coming in swing states?

Anyhow, nobody here got a bet on Biden?
I'm curious if any gambling website would issue a refund for this bet, but I really doubt it.

Meanwhile, on polymarket, someone lost 2 mils
https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/07/22/polymarket-bettors-put-nearly-80m-on-bidens-democratic-chances/

[Julien_Olynpic]

Some researchers and followers of conspiracy theories and esoteric forecasts believe that the animated series about The Simpsons predicted the result of the upcoming presidential elections in America. According to this forecast, Kamalla Harris should win the election. In this series, the post of President of the United States is occupied by a woman after a male president. I don’t know what percentage of successful predictions the animated series about The Simpsons has, but for some reason I consider this prediction quite probable. You will laugh, but there is something in it.
******

[Mate2237]

From news I heard yesterday newspaper and social media platforms, I heard that Kamalla Harris was leading the online prediction because there are some Democrats heavy weight are behind her/supporting her very well but that will not withstand. I still believe that Donald Trump will still will the general election in America. And the way I see it, it is because Joe Biden can't withstand with Trump and that is why Kamalla Harris is projected to face Trump.

As a member of the bitcoin forum I support Donald Trump because e will support bitcoin when win the election.

[Hispo]

Next, and only debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris will take place on 10th September, and will be hosted by the ABC Network. The debate will be moderated by David Muir (anchor of ABC World News Tonight) and Linsey Davis (anchor of ABC News Live Prime). But there is some uncertainty as well. Trump supporters have cast doubt regarding the neutrality of the anchors, as well as that of the anchors. They want the debate to be hosted by Fox Network (which is unacceptable for the Democrat nominee).

Can you blame them? If you look at the story Fox has had (I would not even dare to call that channel "News" , by the way) it is easy to assume they do not actually care to show people in their homes about the reality the country is going through. Granted, Neither CNN would like to be unbiased and neutral, but when comes to Fox, they have proven themselves to go as far as defaming companies and people alike. They settled an historic defamation lawsuit against the voting systems they smeared for months and now they are getting sued by Hunted Biden himself... It is quite funny, because after that pinch they got on their wallet, each time someone (like Trump) is broadcast says the 2020 presidential election was stolen, they need to get a pause and say otherwise.
That is the only way corporate media learns from mistakes, by Lossing enough money to correct course.

[famososMuertos]

Now that Kamala Harris has been confirmed as the POTUS nominee from the Democrat Party, we have numerous opinion polls measuring her chances against that of Donald Trump. Morning Consult, CNN, Economist/YouGov, NPR/PBS/Marist and Yahoo News have released their poll result in recent days. And do you know what is common with all of them? Trump is leading Kamala by a big margin. And then we have the outlier poll from Reuters/Ipsos, which shows Kamala Harris ahead by 2 points.

That is precisely what it is about, the decision, having a new nominee, returns hope... which was completely missing with Biden, the data is rising again, this time with the freshness of "it could be", it is to encourage the vote in discouragement, there is nothing that keeps a politician and his followers alive, like a poll does.

[FanEagle]

Trump definitely still has some chance, but what we need to remember is that Kamala raised like 100+ million total so far, which means that there is some great hype around her, not because Kamala is great or anything, but because she is not Trump, and she is not Biden. That's literally what people wanted, not a "perfect" candidate, just someone who would be better than both these old dudes. If you put in any other candidate from democratic party, they would have been hyped too.

This is more like a "anyone but them" situation, do not consider all of this support towards Kamala as something that Kamala earned, she did not, but people are tired of Trump and Biden, so they just want someone new, and that's where Kamala came in.

Yes, Trump still looks to be favourite, but Kamala isn't even officially running yet, and Kamala doesn't have the VP picked yet, and even with that, she has a better chance than Biden, imagine what will happen when she is officially candidate, picks her VP, and starts campaigning. This is going to get even uglier for Trump, doesn't mean he will lose, but she can make him work harder than Biden could, that's for sure. Biden was easy opponent, Kamala isn't one.

[mindrust]

It is incredibly telling that the media is trying to push this narrative that Harris is beating Trump in the polls while gambling markets are overwhelming telling a different story. Maybe we need to start gambling on all the news events so we can actually get some truth instead of the media pushing their agenda.

They are trying to justify whatever evil shit they have in their mind for the election.

"Look, she won and it is not a surprise because the polls were already saying it!"

Many demrat voters cheered for the Trump shooter, expect the worst.

[Yaunfitda]

I was surprised to see that narrative today, that some media outlet tells that suddenly Harris is ahead in some polls, while there are reports that Trump is still leading and that the gap he had is the same and Harris is not closing any from that lead. So it makes me wonder why? It's obvious though that they have the agenda from behind to at least picture Harris to beat Trump. But as we have said, numbers don't lie and so far we have seen sports bookies put Trump as the favorite to win this US Presidential election and there was no history to be made by Harris in this race. The best thing that Harris can do is to improved and cut that lead, but she doesn't have enough time to do that.

LOL.. mainstream media is trying hard to give a boost to Kamala Harris. But the problem is that there is no boost possible. Apart from one poll by Reuters/Ipsos that was published two days back, I haven't seen any where Harris is leading. Trump is leading by a very healthy margin. Harris is known to be harboring extreme-left ideas and that will turn off a lot of neutral and independent voters. RCP Polling gives a lead of +1.7% for Donald Trump against Kamala Harris. Even the CNN poll has Trump ahead by 3%.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

That is what I'm saying, some media, for their hate or Trump or if they are in the payroll. So for them anything goes, doesn't matter if they can back up with data. But for us, numbers don't lie, even the betting public knows that Donald Trump is ahead by 2-3 points, 46% to 44%. It might be very close, but it's hard to overtake Trump as this point. So we will see if this media who put Harris on top will admit the defeat after the election or not. So let's see if the bookies are wrong here. But definitely, even here our pulse pointed to Donald Trump whether we like it or not.

[Sithara007]

That is what I'm saying, some media, for their hate or Trump or if they are in the payroll. So for them anything goes, doesn't matter if they can back up with data. But for us, numbers don't lie, even the betting public knows that Donald Trump is ahead by 2-3 points, 46% to 44%. It might be very close, but it's hard to overtake Trump as this point. So we will see if this media who put Harris on top will admit the defeat after the election or not. So let's see if the bookies are wrong here. But definitely, even here our pulse pointed to Donald Trump whether we like it or not.

Just 101 days remain for the Presidential elections:
https://days.to/until/election-day-in-us

It will be almost impossible for Kamala to overtake Trump, given the fact that polls always underestimate Trump's strength. If the current trend stays, then there will be a red landslide on November 2024. As they get more and more desperate, the Marxist-Leninist wing of the Democrat party (which consists of individuals such as Kamala Harris, Hillary Clinton and Michelle Obama) may resort to more desperate measures. And this will have unintended consequences for the American economy.

[LUCKMCFLY]

Now that Kamala Harris has been confirmed as the POTUS nominee from the Democrat Party, we have numerous opinion polls measuring her chances against that of Donald Trump. Morning Consult, CNN, Economist/YouGov, NPR/PBS/Marist and Yahoo News have released their poll result in recent days. And do you know what is common with all of them? Trump is leading Kamala by a big margin. And then we have the outlier poll from Reuters/Ipsos, which shows Kamala Harris ahead by 2 points.

That is precisely what it is about, the decision, having a new nominee, returns hope... which was completely missing with Biden, the data is rising again, this time with the freshness of "it could be", it is to encourage the vote in discouragement, there is nothing that keeps a politician and his followers alive, like a poll does.

I see it from a very external point of view, I think that Trump's advantage will continue and will be maintained, I think that the candidate Kamala is another option, but due to the attacks that were made against TRUMP, apart from the attack on his integrity where they almost killed him, that is very decisive in people, because their emotions are on edge, for me that is the only thing that makes him win, I think that any Democratic candidate , whoever it may be, would not have it easy, this will always be a premise, therefore even though I am not American , but if they tell me to bet on someone, I think it would be Trump and I would not change my decision.

[alani123]

Recently I see too many people in forums that are more neutral towards republican being very negative about JD Vance.

I might disagree with his politics nearly 100% but I'm in a position to realize that for what Trump represents Vance is a perfect fit. He's a hardline conservative christian, anti abortion, protectionist, big business supporter, nationalist, hard on crime, anti immigration... He's like a mini me of Trump but also very elowuent and much more younger. If I was Trump he would have been my first pick too because he also fits Trump's tendency to pick people who aren't life long cronies for positions with high responsibilities. Not that this has brought guaranteed results in the past but it's just what Trump does.

[STT]

Present polls are saying a tie between Harris and Trump, this measure of the voters across USA would mean in an electoral college result that Trump most likely wins.   Things can change of course but at this point unless the situation alters alot the most likely outcome is Trump winning, this will surprise many to say the least. 

At the start of the year pre trial it looked like Biden to win for sure and somehow it altered considerably from that outcome through a combination of factors as diverse as the Middle east policy to personal health.  I doubt most bettors included these factors in their bets as being deciding factors.    I would also consider if beyond the horizon there remains even more factors to unfold that we are not currently considering.

[Sithara007]

Present polls are saying a tie between Harris and Trump, this measure of the voters across USA would mean in an electoral college result that Trump most likely wins.   Things can change of course but at this point unless the situation alters alot the most likely outcome is Trump winning, this will surprise many to say the least. 

At the start of the year pre trial it looked like Biden to win for sure and somehow it altered considerably from that outcome through a combination of factors as diverse as the Middle east policy to personal health.  I doubt most bettors included these factors in their bets as being deciding factors.    I would also consider if beyond the horizon there remains even more factors to unfold that we are not currently considering.

From where did you got the tie?

Here is the RCP polling average of all recent opinion polls:
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

Trump is leading by 1.7 points. Out of the 14 recent polls, Trump is leading in 11 of them, Harris in 2 and one poll from Yahoo News predicts a tie. And according to recent polls, Trump is leading even in states such as Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. They were won by Biden in 2020. However some polls have sown Harris leading in New Hampshire and Minnesota.

[uneng]

Present polls are saying a tie between Harris and Trump, this measure of the voters across USA would mean in an electoral college result that Trump most likely wins.

Polls always indicate a technical tie between the candidates. It's actually a phenomenon visible in the whole american continent to say the true. But the tendency is that polls always boost the left wing candidate, as recent history shows us. So I agree with you that Trump is most likely to win, considering this. I think the hype around Kamala is part of a strategical movement from Democrats to give the impression the fact they had to replace Biden by her wasn't a defeat at all.

However, if Kamala were so popular and strong like the media is encouraging people to believe, why wasn't she the first choice of the party as the main candidate for this election? Why would the party have to expose an elder with cognitive decline as first candidate alternative?

[Poker Player]

I must be biased but I hear Kamala talking and I think she is as fake as a 3 dollar bill.

However, if Kamala were so popular and strong like the media is encouraging people to believe, why wasn't she the first choice of the party as the main candidate for this election? Why would the party have to expose an elder with cognitive decline as first candidate alternative?

You never know what's going on behind the scenes. In any case, there are less than 24 hours left until Trump speaks at the Bitcoin Conference in Nashville and I think he can win a lot of votes from people in the cryptocurrency space, from simple holders of modest amounts to big miners.

[BlackBoss_]

Polls always indicate a technical tie between the candidates. It's actually a phenomenon visible in the whole american continent to say the true. But the tendency is that polls always boost the left wing candidate, as recent history shows us. So I agree with you that Trump is most likely to win, considering this. I think the hype around Kamala is part of a strategical movement from Democrats to give the impression the fact they had to replace Biden by her wasn't a defeat at all.

Polls or surveys can not be trusted. A survey design is very important and can affect its result a lot. If design is bad, a survey sample is bad to represent the population in target and result will be inaccurate by many bias factors. Survey results can be considered as references but many things can be changed in reality, it's a first big problem, and as said surveys can have many bias factors and inaccurate results that are not represent the population.

Not yet to say, media in the USA. under the current Presidency has been skewed towards Democrats, with many faked and cooked news.

However, if Kamala were so popular and strong like the media is encouraging people to believe, why wasn't she the first choice of the party as the main candidate for this election? Why would the party have to expose an elder with cognitive decline as first candidate alternative?

There is other new sources that say Kamala Harris is one of worst women politicians, not belong to best women politicians in the nation. Some people said about Kamala like this and I am not impressed with here, honestly. She luckily inherited foundations from President Joe Biden but I believe it won't be enough for her to impress citizens and win the coming President Election.

Her amazing speech and message
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1816974609637417112

[Sithara007]

You never know what's going on behind the scenes. In any case, there are less than 24 hours left until Trump speaks at the Bitcoin Conference in Nashville and I think he can win a lot of votes from people in the cryptocurrency space, from simple holders of modest amounts to big miners.

How many active Bitcoin users and investors are there in the United States? 100k? or 1 million? The number is too small to be electorally significant. And I believe that the vast majority of the Bitcoin users already support Trump. He has made many pro-Bitcoin comments during his campaign, and even promised amnesty for Ross Ulbricht in case he is elected as the POTUS. Around 3 months remain for the elections, and if the current trend continues, then we will have Donald Trump as the 48th president of the United States.

[criptoevangelista]

You never know what's going on behind the scenes. In any case, there are less than 24 hours left until Trump speaks at the Bitcoin Conference in Nashville and I think he can win a lot of votes from people in the cryptocurrency space, from simple holders of modest amounts to big miners.

How many active Bitcoin users and investors are there in the United States? 100k? or 1 million? The number is too small to be electorally significant. And I believe that the vast majority of the Bitcoin users already support Trump. He has made many pro-Bitcoin comments during his campaign, and even promised amnesty for Ross Ulbricht in case he is elected as the POTUS. Around 3 months remain for the elections, and if the current trend continues, then we will have Donald Trump as the 48th president of the United States.

If Trump speaks in favor of bitcoin today at the bitcoin conference, it will be the decisive factor in the American elections... after all, what will decide are the hodlers and the people who buy cryptocurrencies... And I believe he will do exactly that: a speech in favor of freedom, the total abandonment of a CBDC and support for bitcoin, all for the votes, of course.